Chiefs vs. Giants SNF Week 3 SGP predictions: Back Kelce and Robinson in +390 wager

Chiefs vs. Giants predictions

The Kansas City Chiefs and New York Giants are desperate for a win on Sunday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Both teams are 0-2, needing a victory to gain some early-season momentum. It’s safe to say the Super Bowl finalist Chiefs have more on the line, as a 0-3 start is hard to come back from in the NFL.

Check out my Chiefs vs. Giants same-game parlay predictions for Week 3 below, featuring Travis Kelce and Wan’Dale Robinson.

Chiefs vs. Giants SGP predictions

SGP: Chiefs ML | Kelce over 42.5 receiving yards | Robinson over 43.5 receiving yards (+390)

Chiefs ML (-286): I don’t trust the Chiefs’ offence right now, but I believe they have enough to scrape out a win against the Giants on the road.

Kansas City has had a tough start. The side has had to play the Los Angeles Chargers and the Philadelphia Eagles.

Losing those games by a total of nine points doesn’t significantly affect the Chiefs’ stock, but a loss to the Giants would be different.

And I just can’t see Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs starting 0-3.

This is the team that went 15-2 last season and is 65-18 since the start of 2020 in games that Mahomes started.

The Giants are 0-2, and they got blown out by the Washington Commanders in Week 1.

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Sunday Night Football SGP picks

Kelce over 42.5 receiving yards (-113): The tight end has lost a step, but with all the injuries on Kansas City’s offence, he’s still the biggest downfield threat.

  • In Week 1, he had two receptions for 47 yards, and his longest reception was 37 yards.
  • In Week 2, he had four catches for 61 yards, and his longest reception was 23 yards.

Kelce isn’t just running underneath routes. He’s still the big-play guy he’s always been.

He’s not going to be targeted 10-plus times a game anymore, but he’s still playing over 75% of the snaps, and he should get enough attention from Mahomes to clear this modest line.

Robinson over 43.5 receiving yards (-113): The Giants are finally letting Robinson loose, and the results have been amazing.

This wasn’t a fluke performance, and 10 targets are nothing out of the ordinary for Robinson.

  • Last season, the wide receiver was targeted 140 times (8.2 per game).
  • That is WR1 volume, but he only cashed this wager eight times because of his 5.0 yards per target.
  • This season, he’s surpassed that number in both games so far and has a 10.9 yards per target.

Brian Daboll expanded Robinson’s route tree, and he had a career game. Why would he put the training wheels back on now?

Chiefs vs. Giants predictions made at 7:19 a.m. on 09/20/2025.

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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.