The Kansas City Chiefs and New York Giants search for their first win of the season on Sunday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: Kansas City and New York are both staring down the barrel of a 0-3 start. As both teams aim to avoid it at all costs, expect stellar performances from star players on either side.
Check out our top Chiefs vs. Giants SNF TD picks, including wagers on Isiah Pacheco and Malik Nabers.
Chiefs vs. Giants TD picks: Week 3
Best Bet: Pacheco to score a TD (+140)
Kansas City’s run game has struggled to generate much in the early going.
The only player having any success is Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs QB leads the team with 123 yards and two scores on 13 carries.
Nobody else has topped 50 yards or has a TD.
Pacheco, especially, has struggled to produce. He’s turned 15 carries into a measly 47 yards while adding three catches for just 10 yards.
But Kansas City doesn’t have many options at running back, and it seems committed to making it work with Pacheco.
The thundering running back saw increased action from Week 1 to Week 2:
- 50.8% snap share in Week 1
- 58.3% snap share in Week 2
A similar workload should yield better results against New York.
The Giants can’t stop the run. They’re allowing the second-most yards per carry (5.9) and the most rushing yards per game (177.5).
Most importantly for this wager, however, New York is allowing the third-most red zone touchdowns per game (3.0).
The Chiefs should be able to march down the field, and that means Pacheco should be able to cap off a drive for his team.
Key stat: Pacheco is tied for the lead among Chiefs RBs with two red zone carries.
Sunday Night Football TD picks
Nabers to score a TD (+160): If Russell Wilson has shown anything this season, it’s that he’s going to lock in on Nabers.
The star wide receiver has been a target magnet. He has 25 targets through two games and has turned them into 14 catches for 167 yards and two touchdowns.
Wilson has shown that he’ll home in on Nabers in the red zone. Nabers is:
- T-4th in targets inside the 20 (four)
- T-3rd in targets inside the 10 (three)
- T-2nd in targets inside the five (two)
Kansas City hasn’t done a great job of stopping the pass in the early going. The Chiefs are tied for the sixth-most yards per pass allowed thus far (7.1).
Chiefs vs. Giants TD picks made at 10:27 a.m. ET on 09/21/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.