We’re officially past the halfway point of the CFL’s 21-week season as Week 11 action rolls in this weekend.
This week’s CFL narrative: The Montreal Alouettes suffered an embarrassing home loss last week and look to right the ship on the road in BC. Week 11’s opener between the Ottawa Redblacks and Winnipeg Blue Bombers should be loaded with offence.
Check out the latest CFL Week 11 predictions for the games beginning Thursday, Aug. 14.
CFL Week 11 predictions
Best bet: Alouettes/Lions under 51.5 points (-118)
The Alouettes couldn’t defeat Nathan Rourke and the Lions last month, but they did slow down the Canadian-born quarterback.
Rourke threw for 352 yards but on just 22-of-36 passing. He had one touchdown and one interception in a 21-20 win for BC.
The Ohio University grad has been a bit erratic since returning from injury, with four INTs in five games during that span. Montreal had one of the best pass defences last year, and that’s holding up in 2025.
Here’s where the Als’ pass defence ranks in some key categories this year:
- T-1st in sacks (22)
- 2nd in yards/attempt (7.93)
- 3rd in QB rating (96.7)
- 3rd in yards/game (251.4)
If Montreal can keep Rourke relatively contained again, I really like the outlook for the under.
BC’s defence has struggled lately, coughing up 108 points in the past three weeks. But Montreal is still missing its starting quarterback, Davis Alexander, and the offence has often looked misguided without him.
In their past five games without Alexander, the Als have averaged just 17.6 PPG.
Key stat: Unders are 4-0-1 in Montreal’s past five games.
CFL Week 11 best bets
Redblacks/Blue Bombers over 52.5 points (-110): Dru Brown looks like he’s back to his gunslinging self, and that’s a great sign for anyone who loves watching high-event football.
Brown sustained multiple injuries earlier this season that forced him out, but his past two full games have been strong:
- July 31 vs. Stampeders (31-11 W): 19 of 27, 225 yards, two TDs, one INT
- Aug. 9 at Argonauts (46-42 W): 26 of 31, 373 yards, five TDs, zero INTs
Brown leads the CFL in touchdown rate (6.4%), and he’s No. 1 in completion percentage (74.5%).
Overs are 5-1 in Winnipeg’s past six games, so this looks like a recipe for offence. The Bombers have allowed 28-plus points in five consecutive games.
Argonauts moneyline (+123): Anything the Argonauts struggle with, the Elks are even worse. Well, almost.
Toronto ranks last in the CFL in scoring defence (32.4 points/game), with Edmonton trailing immediately behind. But the Elks are dead-last in total defence, as well as scoring and total offence.
The Elks’ -58 point differential through eight games is atrocious, too. Not that the Argos’ -35 point differential in nine games is good, but it’s somewhat of a step up at least.
In a matchup between the league’s two bottom-dwellers, I’m compelled to take the plus-money odds on the defending champions.
One thing to be wary of is the Argos’ injury report, which featured two notable wide receivers on the first day of the practice week (Tuesday).
But as long as Damonte Coxie and DaVaris Daniels are good to go, that won’t be a concern.
Toronto is 4-1 vs. Edmonton since the 2022 season.
CFL Week 11 predictions as of 1:50 p.m. on 08/13/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.