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NHL best bets Nov 6: Bet on the Golden Knights to beat the Oilers, offence in Predators vs. Capitals

One moneyline pick and an over/under wager make up my NHL best bets for November 6.

The pregame narrative: The Vegas Golden Knights are riding high into their meeting with the Edmonton Oilers and I’m backing them to win. Earlier on, I like the value on the over in the Nashville Predators and Washington Capitals game.

Find my NHL best bets for Nov. 6 below.

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Best Bet: Golden Knights to win in regulation (+187)

Connor McDavid remains sidelined and the Golden Knights are red-hot.

Vegas is 5-1 over its last six games and the offence is clicking. It has a +14 goal differential in that span.

The Golden Knights rank second in goals per game (4.5) and have a tremendous 32.3% powerplay conversion rate which is good enough for third in the NHL.

That could be trouble for the Oilers who own the league’s worst penalty kill (60%).

Stuart Skinner is the confirmed starter for Edmonton and he’s yet to shake off the early-season rust. He’s allowed three or more goals in five of seven starts this season and carries a .881 SV% into this contest.

Key stat: The Oilers are 22-27-10 without McDavid since he was drafted.

Quick pick

Predators/Capitals over 6 goals (-112): The Capitals continue to light up scoreboards in Alexander Ovechkin’s pursuit of Wayne Gretzky’s goal record.

They average the third most goals per game (4.2) all while holding the league’s worst powerplay percentage (10.8%) which is a real testament to how good they’ve been at even strength.

That is great news for the over as Washington has a 4-1-1 record against this line in its past six games.

Part of that is also the defence, as the Caps allow the ninth most goals per game (3.0). Goalie Logan Thompson has a 5-0-0 record this season despite having a below-average 2.97 GAA and .893 SV%.

That again shows how much support the offence has provided.

Nashville has struggled out of the gates to find chemistry and is allowing 3.42 goals per game.

Washington is dealing with an injury to Jakob Chychrun which is a massive loss on the blue line. With that being said, I believe the Predators can also add a few goals to contribute to the total.

NHL picks made at 10:39 a.m. ET 11/06/2024.

NHL best bets Nov 6: Bet on the Golden Knights to beat the Oilers, offence in Predators vs. Capitals

One moneyline pick and an over/under wager make up my NHL best bets for November 6.

The pregame narrative: The Vegas Golden Knights are riding high into their meeting with the Edmonton Oilers and I’m backing them to win. Earlier on, I like the value on the over in the Nashville Predators and Washington Capitals game.

Find my NHL best bets for Nov. 6 below.

NHL best bets

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Best Bet: Golden Knights moneyline (-103)

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Connor McDavid remains sidelined and the Golden Knights are red-hot.

Vegas is 5-1 over its last six games and the offence is clicking. It has a +14 goal differential in that span.

The Golden Knights rank second in goals per game (4.5) and have a tremendous 32.3% powerplay conversion rate which is good enough for third in the NHL.

That could be trouble for the Oilers who own the league’s worst penalty kill (60%).

Stuart Skinner is the confirmed starter for Edmonton and he’s yet to shake off the early-season rust. He’s allowed three or more goals in five of seven starts this season and carries a .881 SV% into this contest.

Key stat: The Oilers are 22-27-10 without McDavid since he was drafted.

Quick pick

Predators/Capitals over 6 goals (-103): The Capitals continue to light up scoreboards in Alexander Ovechkin’s pursuit of Wayne Gretzky’s goal record.

They average the third most goals per game (4.2) all while holding the league’s worst powerplay percentage (10.8%) which is a real testament to how good they’ve been at even strength.

That is great news for the over as Washington has a 4-1-1 record against this line in its past six games.

Part of that is also the defence, as the Caps allow the ninth most goals per game (3.0). Goalie Logan Thompson has a 5-0-0 record this season despite having a below-average 2.97 GAA and .893 SV%.

That again shows how much support the offence has provided.

Nashville has struggled out of the gates to find chemistry and is allowing 3.42 goals per game.

Washington is dealing with an injury to Jakob Chychrun which is a massive loss on the blue line. With that being said, I believe the Predators can also add a few goals to contribute to the total.

NHL picks made at 10:39 a.m. ET 11/06/2024.

Best NHL prop picks Nov 5: Back Kirill Kaprizov, Jake DeBrusk to produce

I’ve got two prop bets from tonight’s sizeable NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: Kirill Kaprizov is on a heater and I like him and the Minnesota Wild to torch a backup goaltender tonight. After that, Jake DeBrusk is a good bet to record a point against the Anaheim Ducks.

Find my NHL prop picks for Nov. 5 below.

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Best Bet: DeBrusk to record a point (+100)

DeBrusk got the monkey off his back on Saturday when he scored his first goal as a Vancouver Canuck in a 3-2 win over the San Jose Sharks.

The former Boston Bruin had just four points (all assists) in nine games before then despite playing on Vancouver’s top line and second power play.

But I think the levy is about to break for a talented player riding shotgun with J.T. Miller and Brock Boeser — especially since he gets to play the Ducks tonight.

Anaheim has allowed the eighth-fewest goals per game (2.82) thanks to the fantastic play of Lukas Dostal. The 24-year-old Czechian netminder has a 2.22 GAA and .937 SV% through nine starts and is first in goals saved above expected (13.0), per Money Puck.

But the Ducks are playing with fire, allowing a league-high 73.8 chances and 34.7 shots per 60, per Natural Stat Trick.

I am happy to bet on some regression from Dostal at some point, especially considering he has started three straight games for Anaheim (last played on Sunday).

Key stat: DeBrusk has a point in five of 10 games.

Quick picks

Kaprizov to score 2+ points (+105): Kirill “The Thrill” Kaprizov is living up to his name so far.

The Russian winger has a league-high 21 points and has led his Wild to a stellar 8-1-2 record through 11 games.

Kaprizov was held pointless in a 2-1 overtime victory over the Toronto Maple Leafs on Sunday but had two-plus points in six straight games before that.

The Los Angeles Kings are on a back-to-back and that means David Rittich is in the net tonight. The veteran netminder has had a miserable start to the season, posting a 3.09 GAA and .870 SV% through six starts.

He’s allowed 11 goals in his last three games and five came across two starts against the awful San Jose Sharks.

Picks made at 11:07 on 11/05/2024.

Best NHL prop picks Nov 5: Back Kirill Kaprizov, Jake DeBrusk to produce

I’ve got two prop bets from tonight’s sizeable NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: Kirill Kaprizov is on a heater and I like him and the Minnesota Wild to torch a backup goaltender tonight. After that, Jake DeBrusk is a good bet to record a point against the Anaheim Ducks.

Find my NHL prop picks for Nov. 5 below.

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Best Bet: DeBrusk to record a point (-103)

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DeBrusk got the monkey off his back on Saturday when he scored his first goal as a Vancouver Canuck in a 3-2 win over the San Jose Sharks.

The former Boston Bruin had just four points (all assists) in nine games before then despite playing on Vancouver’s top line and second power play.

But I think the levy is about to break for a talented player riding shotgun with J.T. Miller and Brock Boeser — especially since he gets to play the Ducks tonight.

Anaheim has allowed the eighth-fewest goals per game (2.82) thanks to the fantastic play of Lukas Dostal. The 24-year-old Czechian netminder has a 2.22 GAA and .937 SV% through nine starts and is first in goals saved above expected (13.0), per Money Puck.

But the Ducks are playing with fire, allowing a league-high 73.8 chances and 34.7 shots per 60, per Natural Stat Trick.

I am happy to bet on some regression from Dostal at some point, especially considering he has started three straight games for Anaheim (last played on Sunday).

Key stat: DeBrusk has a point in five of 10 games.

Quick picks

Kaprizov to score 2+ points (+125): Kirill “The Thrill” Kaprizov is living up to his name so far.

The Russian winger has a league-high 21 points and has led his Wild to a stellar 8-1-2 record through 11 games.

Kaprizov was held pointless in a 2-1 overtime victory over the Toronto Maple Leafs on Sunday but had two-plus points in six straight games before that.

The Los Angeles Kings are on a back-to-back and that means David Rittich is in the net tonight. The veteran netminder has had a miserable start to the season, posting a 3.09 GAA and .870 SV% through six starts.

He’s allowed 11 goals in his last three games and five came across two starts against the awful San Jose Sharks.

Picks made at 11:07 on 11/05/2024.

NHL parlay picks Nov. 5: Fade offence in Canucks vs. Ducks, bet on Jets to win

With the NFL and NBA on the sidelines tonight, plenty of eyes should be on the NHL’s 11-game slate.

The pregame narrative: The Winnipeg Jets look like a strong moneyline pick at home, while the Colorado Avalanche’s goaltending woes shouldn’t be as pronounced against the Seattle Kraken.

Check out the full +320 NHL parlay picks for Nov. 5.

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Parlay: Jets moneyline + Coyotes +1.5 + Kraken under 2.5 goals (+320)

Jets moneyline (-209): The Jets are figuratively soaring above the competition right now, stacking 11 wins in their first 12 games. Playing at home against a suspect Utah squad, this is a great spot to bet on Winnipeg staying hot.

The Hockey Club are 5-4-3 this season, and they’ve lost four consecutive games on the road. And since opening night, Utah only has one regulation victory.

Neither starting goalie has been announced at the time of this writing, but I think Karel Vejmelka will be in the crease for Utah after Connor Ingram started the past four games. That’s a good thing for Winnipeg.

Vejmelka, who led the NHL in losses as a rookie in 2021-22, has a sub-.900 save percentage in all four of his NHL seasons. He’s 0-2-0 with eight goals allowed in two starts this year.

Other picks

Kraken/Avalanche under 6.5 goals (-120): Overs have been red hot for the Avalanche so far, going 8-3-1 this season. So why am I going the other way?

Well, the primary driver of Colorado’s high goal totals has been its inept goaltending. The Avs have allowed a league-high 4.22 goals per 60, but Natural Stat Trick grades their xGA per 60 at just 2.99.

Seattle, meanwhile, has the lowest xG per 60 in the NHL (2.49). So if the Kraken can’t capitalize against the Avs the way other teams have, I don’t see this game clearing 6.5 goals.

The Kraken have scored just once over their past three games, and they have two or fewer goals in six of their past eight.

This under is 7-1 in the past eight meetings between Colorado and Seattle (dating back to April 2023).

Canucks/Ducks under 6.5 goals – regular time (-182): At some point, but Ducks’ fast-and-loose method of defending is going to bite them. They’re allowing an NHL-high 35.76 scoring chances per 60 but offsetting that with the NHL’s second-highest SV% (.920).

I like this under because I don’t believe Vancouver is the team that’ll make Anaheim pay. The Canucks rank 29th in xG per 60 (2.65) and have hit this under in seven of their past nine games.

As for the Ducks, this under is 9-2 on the season.

Tonight marks the first meeting between these teams in 2024-25, but it’s nice to know their recent history aligns with this pick. Each of their past six matchups — dating back to March 2023 — went under this total.

Picks made at 11:00 a.m. on 11/05/2024.

Maple Leafs picks vs. Bruins Nov. 5: Back Boston, Pastrnak against Matthews-less Toronto

The Toronto Maple Leafs welcome their biggest rival, the Boston Bruins, into town tonight.

The pregame narrative: Toronto lost in overtime to Boston in Game 7 last season and again a few weeks ago. To make matters worse for the Leafs, Auston Matthews is unavailable tonight. I expect the Bruins to continue dominating their rival and am also backing Mitch Marner and David Pastrnak to produce.

Check out our Maple Leafs picks vs. Bruins for the game on Nov. 5.

Maple Leafs picks vs. Bruins

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Best Bet: Bruins moneyline (+132)

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Toronto scraped and clawed its way to a series-deciding Game 7 last year … and lost.

But things weren’t nearly as close in the regular season. Boston has won eight straight games against its rival outside of the playoffs, with three of those coming by three-plus goals.

The Leafs can’t seem to figure out Jeremy Swayman or the Bruins’ defence and are averaging just 1.7 goals per game against them in the last 10 meetings (playoffs included).

Without Matthews, who is still the world’s best goalscorer despite his slow start, I can’t imagine Toronto having an offensive outburst.

Then there’s the question of goaltending, with neither Joseph Woll nor Anthony Stolarz being confirmed at the time of writing.

Woll has looked shaky so far with an .892 SV% across three starts and Stolarz has cooled off after his red-hot start, allowing 10 goals in his last three outings.

Key stat: Toronto has lost five of its last seven games.

Quick picks

Marner and Pastrnak 1+ point each (+107): Neither team is playing immaculate hockey right now but I love the value of pairing these superstar wingers to find the stat sheet.

Let’s start with Marner, who has registered a point in five straight games. He started that streak with a three-assist game against the Bruins on Oct. 26 and has 14 points in 13 games on the year.

The 27-year-old won’t get to play with Matthews tonight but will still get top-line minutes and significant power play time. The PP isn’t performing at an elite pace but that’s bound to change at some point.

Marner has played at a 1.27 points per game pace over the last three seasons, notching points in nine of his last 11 regular season games against Boston.

As for Pastrnak, the man is a straight-up Leaf killer.

He scored the overtime winner in Game 7 and in their first meeting this season and has 62 points (30 goals) in 50 career games against Toronto.

NHL picks made at 10:21 a.m. ET on 11/05/24.

NHL parlay picks Nov. 5: Fade offence in Canucks vs. Ducks, bet on Jets to win

With the NFL and NBA on the sidelines tonight, plenty of eyes should be on the NHL’s 11-game slate.

The pregame narrative: The Winnipeg Jets look like a strong moneyline pick at home, while the Colorado Avalanche’s goaltending woes shouldn’t be as pronounced against the Seattle Kraken.

Check out the full +326 NHL parlay picks for Nov. 5.

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Parlay: Jets moneyline + Kraken/Avalanche under 6.5 goals + Canucks/Ducks under 6.5 goals – reguar time (+326)

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Jets moneyline (-210): The Jets are figuratively soaring above the competition right now, stacking 11 wins in their first 12 games. Playing at home against a suspect Utah squad, this is a great spot to bet on Winnipeg staying hot.

The Hockey Club are 5-4-3 this season, and they’ve lost four consecutive games on the road. And since opening night, Utah only has one regulation victory.

Neither starting goalie has been announced at the time of this writing, but I think Karel Vejmelka will be in the crease for Utah after Connor Ingram started the past four games. That’s a good thing for Winnipeg.

Vejmelka, who led the NHL in losses as a rookie in 2021-22, has a sub-.900 save percentage in all four of his NHL seasons. He’s 0-2-0 with eight goals allowed in two starts this year.

Other picks

Kraken/Avalanche under 6.5 goals (-122): Overs have been red hot for the Avalanche so far, going 8-3-1 this season. So why am I going the other way?

Well, the primary driver of Colorado’s high goal totals has been its inept goaltending. The Avs have allowed a league-high 4.22 goals per 60, but Natural Stat Trick grades their xGA per 60 at just 2.99.

Seattle, meanwhile, has the lowest xG per 60 in the NHL (2.49). So if the Kraken can’t capitalize against the Avs the way other teams have, I don’t see this game clearing 6.5 goals.

The Kraken have scored just once over their past three games, and they have two or fewer goals in six of their past eight.

This under is 7-1 in the past eight meetings between Colorado and Seattle (dating back to April 2023).

Canucks/Ducks under 6.5 goals – regular time (-175): At some point, but Ducks’ fast-and-loose method of defending is going to bite them. They’re allowing an NHL-high 35.76 scoring chances per 60 but offsetting that with the NHL’s second-highest SV% (.920).

I like this under because I don’t believe Vancouver is the team that’ll make Anaheim pay. The Canucks rank 29th in xG per 60 (2.65) and have hit this under in seven of their past nine games.

As for the Ducks, this under is 9-2 on the season.

Tonight marks the first meeting between these teams in 2024-25, but it’s nice to know their recent history aligns with this pick. Each of their past six matchups — dating back to March 2023 — went under this total.

Picks made at 10:20 a.m. on 11/05/2024.

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Best NHL prop picks Nov 4: Bet on Josi, Meier and Ekholm on Monday

There are only two games on the NHL schedule tonight, but I found three prop picks worth a look.

The pregame narrative: Roman Josi is one of the better offensive defencemen in the league and I like the over on his shots prop tonight. Later on, I’m backing Mattias Ekholm and Timo Meier to each record a point when the New Jersey Devils visit the Edmonton Oilers.

Find my NHL prop picks for Nov. 4 below.

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Best Bet: Roman Josi over 3.5 shots (+110)

As a team, the Nashville Predators love to get shots off. They rank second in the NHL with 34.1 shots per game, and Josi is one of the leaders.

The Predators’ captain has 49 shots this season, which is second on the team behind Filip Forsberg (51).

Josi also unsurprisingly leads the team in time on ice (25:57) by a wide margin. It’s not shocking that playing almost half the game on a nightly basis has led to tons of shot opportunities.

And he’s not afraid to let it rip. Josi a cleared this line regularly this year, and I’m looking to take advantage of the plus-money price.

Key stat: Josi has cleared this line in eight of 11 games this season.

Quick picks

Ekholm to score 1+ points (+100): Here’s a prop for another defenceman who’s on the ice a lot.

Ekholm ranks second on the team in average time on ice (23:10) behind Evan Bouchard (24:17), but the latter is -180 to record a point despite having two fewer points this season.

At 34, Ekholm is still effective on offence, recording two goals and seven assists in 12 games. With Connor McDavid sidelined for now, other top Oilers players will need to step up and create more chances in the attacking zone.

Ekholm has a point in seven of 12 games this season.

Meier to score 1+ points (-120): Since the start 2021-2022 season, Meier has 206 points in 238 games. He’s gone under the radar as part of a stacked Devils’ forward core but is still a consistent point producer.

The winger has 12 points in 14 games and has only been held off the score sheet five times.

Edmonton has turned things around, winning back-to-back games, but its penalty kill (61.8%) is still the worst in the league.

Meier skates on the first line and second power play unit, where he averages 2:41 of ice time per game.

Picks made at 11:54 a.m. on 11/04/2024.

Best NHL prop picks Nov 4: Bet on Josi, Meier and Ekholm on Monday

There are only two games on the NHL schedule tonight, but I found three prop picks worth a look.

The pregame narrative: Roman Josi is one of the better offensive defencemen in the league and I like the over on his shots prop tonight. Later on, I’m backing Mattias Ekholm and Timo Meier to each record a point when the New Jersey Devils visit the Edmonton Oilers.

Find my NHL prop picks for Nov. 4 below.

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Best Bet: Roman Josi over 3.5 shots (+110)

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As a team, the Nashville Predators love to get shots off. They rank second in the NHL with 34.1 shots per game, and Josi is one of the leaders.

The Predators’ captain has 49 shots this season, which is second on the team behind Filip Forsberg (51).

Josi also unsurprisingly leads the team in time on ice (25:57) by a wide margin. It’s not shocking that playing almost half the game on a nightly basis has led to tons of shot opportunities.

And he’s not afraid to let it rip. Josi a cleared this line regularly this year, and I’m looking to take advantage of the plus-money price.

Key stat: Josi has cleared this line in eight of 11 games this season.

Quick picks

Ekholm to score 1+ points (+104): Here’s a prop for another defenceman who’s on the ice a lot.

Ekholm ranks second on the team in average time on ice (23:10) behind Evan Bouchard (24:17), but the latter is -180 to record a point despite having two fewer points this season.

At 34, Ekholm is still effective on offence, recording two goals and seven assists in 12 games. With Connor McDavid sidelined for now, other top Oilers players will need to step up and create more chances in the attacking zone.

Ekholm has a point in seven of 12 games this season.

Meier to score 1+ points (-121): Since the start 2021-2022 season, Meier has 206 points in 238 games. He’s gone under the radar as part of a stacked Devils’ forward core but is still a consistent point producer.

The winger has 12 points in 14 games and has only been held off the score sheet five times.

Edmonton has turned things around, winning back-to-back games, but its penalty kill (61.8%) is still the worst in the league.

Meier skates on the first line and second power play unit, where he averages 2:41 of ice time per game.

Picks made at 10:21 on 11/04/2024.

NHL best bets Nov. 3: Back Flames as underdogs, fade offence in Blackhawks vs. Ducks

One total and an underdog moneyline pick make up my NHL best bets for Sunday.

The pregame narrative: A pair of promising young goalies meet in Anaheim which is a huge reason why I’m backing the under. I’m also taking a shot on the Calgary Flames at plus-money over the Edmonton Oilers.

Find my NHL best bets for Nov. 3 below.

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Best Bet: Blackhawks/Ducks under 6 goals (-106)

It is hard to put into words how good Lukas Dostal has been in goal for the Anaheim Ducks so let’s take a look at some stats.

His 1.99 GAA and .945 SV% both rank top two in the NHL and he leads the league in goals saved above expected (13.6), according to MoneyPuck.

For context, Igor Shesterkin (10.4) and Frederik Anderson (7.1) rank second and third showing truly how dominant Dostal has been.

Arvid Soderblom starts across from him for the Chicago Blackhawks and he was solid in his first two starts of the season.

He allowed three goals against the Buffalo Sabres and two goals against the Winnipeg Jets – both games finished on six total goals or less.

Neither of these teams provides much of a threat on offence and I expect shutdown goaltending when required.

Key stat: Chicago and Anaheim combine to score 4.9 goals per game.

Quick pick

Flames moneyline (+125): Connor McDavid is out for a few weeks and the results have been mixed through two games.

The Oilers’ captain got injured on his first shift against the Columbus Blue Jackets in a game that they ended up losing 6-1.

His team rebounded and beat the Nashville Predators, 5-1, on the road but this is a good spot to fade it.

Edmonton closes out a four-game road trip in Calgary before returning home and playing the New Jersey Devils tomorrow night on a quick turnaround.

I can’t see the already poor offence improving in McDavid’s absence and that leaves me worried for the upcoming weeks.

The Oilers scored the third-fewest goals per game (2.45) while allowing the 11th most (3.27). They also have the league’s worst penalty kill (62.5%).

Calgary isn’t a world-beater by any means but it’s been solid at home (4-2-0) and is riding the momentum of a 3-0 win over the Devils on Friday.

NHL picks made at 10:39 a.m. ET 11/03/2024.