Category: NBA

Bucks vs. Pacers SGP predictions Game 2: Back Damian Lillard to score in his return at +310

Bucks vs. Pacers predictions

The Milwaukee Bucks get a much-needed shot in the arm when Damian Lillard returns to take on the Indiana Pacers in Game 2.

The pregame narrative: Lillard hasn’t played since March 18, and Milwaukee got smoked without him in the series opener. Bet on the Bucks to cover an alternate spread and Lillard to score in this +310 SGP, which also features Indiana’s Pascal Siakam.

Check out my Bucks vs. Pacers play-in SGP predictions for April 22.

Bucks vs. Pacers predictions

Parlay: Bucks +8.5 | Lillard 20+ points | Siakam 6+ rebounds (+310)

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Bucks +8.5 (-220): Will Lillard’s presence be enough to turn the tide of this series in Milwaukee’s favour? It’s hard to say, but I’m banking on the Bucks at least keeping Game 2 close.

Milwaukee went 8-6 with Lillard following the all-star break, covering a +6.5 spread in 11 of those games.

That includes a pair of contests against the Pacers, one of which the Bucks won (126-119 at home) and one they narrowly lost (115-114 on the road).

Lillard’s defence is sub-par, and there’s no sugarcoating that. But the star point guard is a bona fide bucket-getter who has torched Indiana in the past.

The Pacers are a mediocre 14-16-2 ATS as home favourites this year, while the Bucks are 10-8-1 as road underdogs.

Milwaukee also covered this number in four straight games against Indiana prior to Game 1.

NBA SGP legs

Lillard 20+ points (+110): Back to Lillard, who was sidelined since March with a blood clot in his calf.

Bucks general manager Jon Horst said, “We’re thrilled for Dame … every step of (his) recovery has been at the direction of world-class medical professionals and their specific and strict protocols that have allowed for Dame’s safe and healthy return to play.”

That’s encouraging to hear, and leads me to believe he’ll be near 100% for the contest.

Lillard played in four games against the Pacers in last year’s postseason, and he blew past this line each time.

  • Game 1: 35 points, 11-of-24 shooting
  • Game 2: 34 points, 10-of-21 shooting
  • Game 3: 28 points, 6-of-20 shooting
  • Game 6: 28 points, 7-of-16 shooting

It might take a few shots for Lillard to shake the rust off, but this milestone will be attainable if he has anywhere near the type of shot volume from the 2023-24 postseason.

Siakam 6+ rebounds (-250): Siakam had himself a night on Sunday, scoring 25 points on 10-of-15 shooting in the win.

But I want to tap into his abilities as a rebounder for Tuesday’s matchup.

The former Toronto Raptor is averaging 8.1 rebounds in his last 10 games against the Bucks.

  • 7+ rebounds nine times
  • 8+ rebounds five times

Myles Turner, Indiana’s centre, is averaging just 6.0 rebounds per game since the beginning of April. There’s no reason to believe Siakam’s production on the glass will taper off.

Bucks vs. Pacers predictions made at 12:05 p.m. ET 04/22/2025.

Best NBA playoff prop bets April 22: Fade Bane, back DiVincenzo from 3-point range

NBA prop bets

There are three NBA playoff games tonight, and I’ve got a prop bet from each of them.

The pregame narrative: In the nightcap, I like Donte DiVincenzo to cash a plus-money 3s prop against the Los Angeles Lakers. Earlier on, I’m fading Desmond Bane and looking for Pascal Siakam to fill the net.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 22.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Siakam over 20.5 points (-108)

The Pacers have a balanced scoring attack, but Siakam is still the No. 1 option. And with that in mind, this is a perfectly attainable number for him to hit.

The ex-Raptor led the Pacers in points per game (20.2) during the regular season and had a team-high 25 points in Game 1 against the Bucks.

It was a tidy shooting effort against Milwaukee, as Siakam shot 10-for-15 from the floor (3-for-5 from 3-point range). That’s nothing new.

  • In five matchups against Milwaukee this season, Siakam is averaging 24.2 PPG on 57.3% shooting.
  • He has 20+ points in 5 of 5 games — and 25+ points in 4 of 5.

According to Cleaning The Glass, the Bucks allow the highest rate of long mid-range shots in the NBA (9.5%).

That’s a stylistic fit for Siakam, who ranks in the 91st percentile in long mid-range shot attempts (13.0%).

Key stat: In the past 15 days, Milwaukee has allowed the sixth-most PPG to opposing power forwards, according to Betting Pros.

Best NBA picks

Bane under 2.5 threes (-110): After getting run out of the building in Game 1 against the top-seeded Thunder, the Grizzlies desperately need a spark on offence.

I just don’t think Bane will be the one to provide it.

During the regular season, OKC allowed the lowest opponent 3-point percentage (34.2%). And the Thunder have largely had the clamps on Bane.

In five matchups this season against OKC, Bane is shooting 27.3% from deep. He’s just 3-for-18 beyond the arc in the past three meetings.

Overall, Bane has gone under 2.5 threes in 43 of 70 games. I don’t expect him to buck that trend in this matchup.

DiVincenzo over 2.5 threes (+105): The Timberwolves seemingly couldn’t miss from 3-point range in Game 1 against the Lakers. Well, except for DiVincenzo.

The shooting guard went 1-for-5 from deep, while the rest of his team shot 20-for-37. Sigh.

But if you watched the game, you should’ve come away encouraged by the quality of looks DiVincenzo saw.

According to NBA.com, all five of his attempted 3s were either “open” (4-to-6 feet from the closest defender) or “wide open” (6+ feet).

If that keeps up, the shots should start to fall.

After missing several weeks with a toe injury, DiVincenzo finished the regular season shooting 44.7% from 3-point range in his final 22 games. He cashed this bet 16 times in that span.

NBA prop picks made at 10:28 a.m. ET on 04/22/2025.

Best NBA playoff prop bets April 22: Fade Bane, back DiVincenzo from 3-point range

NBA prop bets

There are three NBA playoff games tonight, and I’ve got a prop bet from each of them.

The pregame narrative: In the nightcap, I like Donte DiVincenzo to cash a plus-money 3s prop against the Los Angeles Lakers. Earlier on, I’m fading Desmond Bane and looking for Pascal Siakam to fill the net.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 22.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Siakam over 20.5 points (-113)

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The Pacers have a balanced scoring attack, but Siakam is still the No. 1 option. And with that in mind, this is a perfectly attainable number for him to hit.

The ex-Raptor led the Pacers in points per game (20.2) during the regular season and had a team-high 25 points in Game 1 against the Bucks.

It was a tidy shooting effort against Milwaukee, as Siakam shot 10-for-15 from the floor (3-for-5 from 3-point range). That’s nothing new.

  • In five matchups against Milwaukee this season, Siakam is averaging 24.2 PPG on 57.3% shooting.
  • He has 20+ points in 5 of 5 games — and 25+ points in 4 of 5.

According to Cleaning The Glass, the Bucks allow the highest rate of long mid-range shots in the NBA (9.5%).

That’s a stylistic fit for Siakam, who ranks in the 91st percentile in long mid-range shot attempts (13.0%).

Key stat: In the past 15 days, Milwaukee has allowed the sixth-most PPG to opposing power forwards, according to Betting Pros.

Best NBA picks

Bane under 2.5 threes (-104): After getting run out of the building in Game 1 against the top-seeded Thunder, the Grizzlies desperately need a spark on offence.

I just don’t think Bane will be the one to provide it.

During the regular season, OKC allowed the lowest opponent 3-point percentage (34.2%). And the Thunder have largely had the clamps on Bane.

In five matchups this season against OKC, Bane is shooting 27.3% from deep. He’s just 3-for-18 beyond the arc in the past three meetings.

Overall, Bane has gone under 2.5 threes in 43 of 70 games. I don’t expect him to buck that trend in this matchup.

DiVincenzo over 2.5 threes (+120): The Timberwolves seemingly couldn’t miss from 3-point range in Game 1 against the Lakers. Well, except for DiVincenzo.

The shooting guard went 1-for-5 from deep, while the rest of his team shot 20-for-37. Sigh.

But if you watched the game, you should’ve come away encouraged by the quality of looks DiVincenzo saw.

According to NBA.com, all five of his attempted 3s were either “open” (4-to-6 feet from the closest defender) or “wide open” (6+ feet).

If that keeps up, the shots should start to fall.

After missing several weeks with a toe injury, DiVincenzo finished the regular season shooting 44.7% from 3-point range in his final 22 games. He cashed this bet 16 times in that span.

NBA prop picks made at 9:28 a.m. ET on 04/22/2025.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder SGP predictions Game 2: Take OKC to cover, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to shine at +370

Grizzlies vs. Thunder predictions

The Oklahoma City Thunder head into Game 2 of their NBA playoff series against the Memphis Grizzlies riding high.

The pregame narrative: Oklahoma City demolished the Grizzlies by 51 points and I’ll take OKC to cover the spread once again on Tuesday. Picks on Ja Morant and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander round out this +370 same-game parlay recommendation.

Check out my Grizzlies vs. Thunder first-round SGP predictions for Game 2 on April 22.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder predictions

Parlay: Thunder -11.5 | Morant 6+ assists | Gilgeous-Alexander 30+points (+370)

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Thunder -11.5 (-162): Things couldn’t have gone better for the Thunder in the opening game. OKC walked away with a 131-80 win that was never close.

Although not to the same degree, this has been the story between these two teams this season:

  • Dec. 29: Thunder win 130-106
  • Feb. 8: Thunder win 125-112
  • March 5: Thunder win 120-103
  • March 27: Thunder win 125-104

In fact, Memphis has lost 10 straight games in this matchup dating back to 2022. Eight of those losses came by double-digit points.

I don’t expect the Grizzlies to lose by 50 again, but they’ve shown nothing to suggest they can compete with the Thunder.

NBA SGP legs

Morant 6+ assists (-152): In his very limited 23 minutes of action in Game 1, Morant still managed to record four assists on 12 potential assists.

The Grizzlies shot a putrid 32-for-93 from the floor (6-for-34 from three).

If Memphis makes a few more shots, Morant clears this mark even in the blowout.

I fully expect Morant to play 30-plus minutes in Game 2 and continue being the lead facilitator for his squad.

He cleared this total in 12 of the final 14 games before the postseason and both outings against Oklahoma City during the regular season.

Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points (-159): The leading MVP candidate fell well short of this line on Sunday, scoring 15 points on 4-of-13 shooting (1-for-7 from deep).

He played just 23 minutes in the dominating win, but that’ll surely be an outlier when this series is over.

In the regular season, SGA dominated the Grizzlies:

  • Dec. 29: 35 points
  • Feb. 8: 32 points
  • March 5: 41 points
  • March 27: 37 points

That averaged out to 36.3 points per game across the four meetings on 53.4% shooting. I’m predicting a bounce-back performance.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder predictions made at 3:24 p.m. ET 04/21/2025.

Pistons vs. Knicks SGP predictions Game 2: Back Detroit on alt spread, Cunningham in +310 wager

The Detroit Pistons look to even the series against the New York Knicks on Monday.

The pregame narrative: Detroit let Game 1 slip away in the fourth quarter, but I’m happy to back the away side to cover an alternate spread again. This SGP also includes picks on Cade Cunningham and Josh Hart.

Check out my Pistons vs. Knicks play-in SGP predictions for Game 2 on April 21.

Pistons vs. Knicks predictions

Parlay: Pistons +11.5 | Cunningham over 8.5 assists | Hart over 15.5 rebounds/assists (+310)

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Pistons +11.5 (-275): The Pistons had the Knicks right where they wanted them, up eight going into the final frame.

New York went on to score 21 unanswered fourth-quarter points and won 123-112 in the end. Detroit covered this spread, but it wasn’t pretty.

I expect a young Pistons squad to use the experience and be more poised in Game 2 if a lead presents itself.

And Detroit may just have the edge in this matchup when exploring the regular-season meetings.

  • The Pistons went 3-1 against the Knicks, winning the final three matchups.
  • Detroit won those three games by an average of 7.7 points.
  • Two of those three wins were in New York.

The Knicks aren’t world-beaters. They had a 0-10 record against the three best teams in the league in the regular season.

This series should be close, and barring another collapse, the Pistons should be in this game until the end.

NBA SGP legs

Cunningham over 8.5 assists (-136): The playmaking guard easily cleared this line in Game 1, recording 12 assists.

He had the best season of his career, which included 9.1 assists and 15.4 potential assists per game.

His floor as a passer is very high, and I assume the Knicks will want to continue to force the ball out of Cunningham’s hands.

That’ll force other Pistons to be the deciding factor, but Cunningham should continue putting his teammates in prime positions to score.

Cunningham had 20.0 potential assists in Game 1. “Potential assists” are passes that lead directly to a shot by any teammate.

Hart over 15.5 assists/rebounds (-117): I feel pretty good predicting Hart to play more minutes in Game 2.

The stat-stuffing guard played just 29 minutes in Game 1 after missing the final regular-season contest with a knee injury.

Hart led the league in minutes per game (37.6) this year, so I’m sure Tom Thibodeau is itching to have his workhorse out there more.

When he is fully available, take a look at what Hart can do:

  • 15.5 rebounds/assists per game this season.
  • Averaged 16.1 rebounds/assists in 36.8 minutes over his final 10 games.
  • Went 4-0 against this line to close out the regular season.

This will come down to availability, but Hart is off the injury report prior to Game 2, so I feel a full workload is coming.

Pistons vs. Knicks predictions made at 1:30 p.m. ET 04/21/2025.

Best NBA playoff prop bets April 21: Bet on Karl-Anthony Towns and Christian Braun on Monday

NBA prop bets

I’ve got one prop bet from each of Monday’s NBA playoff games.

The pregame narrative: Christian Braun eats up big minutes for the Denver Nuggets, and I expect him to stuff the stat sheet against the Los Angeles Clippers. Before that, look for Karl-Anthony Towns to hit a pair of 3s against the Detroit Pistons.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 21.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Braun over 6.5 rebounds and assists (-154)

This isn’t the sexiest pick, and it’s definitely not the sexiest price, but I believe it’s a bet worth making.

Braun had a decent outing on Sunday, scoring 11 points (5-of-10 shooting) with three rebounds and one assist in 45 minutes of play.

He fell well short of this line, but let’s look at the positives. Interim head coach David Adelman ran the guard out for an absurd amount of playing time thanks to his defensive prowess. Braun should see 35-plus minutes again on Monday, and I expect him to stuff the stat sheet.

  • Braun averaged 5.4 rebounds and 3.4 assists in 25 games following the all-star break.
  • In that span, he recorded 7+ rebounds/assists 18 times. That 72.0% hit rate far exceeds the 58.85% implied probability of this wager.

The Clippers allow the fewest rebounds (5.77) and the fifth-fewest assists (4.59) per game to shooting guards, according to Fantasy Pros.

It’s a tough matchup, but Braun should get enough opportunity to coast by this modest total.

Key stat: Braun cleared this line in both regular-season games against the Clippers where he played 30-plus minutes.

Best NBA picks

Towns over 1.5 threes (+130): Towns has played the Pistons twice in the last 11 days and shot a combined 1-for-4 from 3-point range. That’s not great, but I expect the big man to be more active from deep on Monday night.

  • Towns has averaged 2.0+ threes per game in each of the last six seasons.
  • He shot 42.0% from deep this year, which led all centres and was the 16th-best rate in the NBA.
  • KAT cleared this mark in both games against the Pistons before April 10, shooting a combined 7-for-15 from deep in those contests.

Detroit had the sixth-highest opponent 3-point percentage (36.7) in the NBA and allowed the eighth-most 3s per game to opposing centres this season.

NBA prop picks made at 8:48 a.m. ET on 04/21/2025.

Clippers vs. Nuggets SGP predictions Game 2: Bet on Kawhi Leonard, fade Jamal Murray at +300

Clippers vs. Nuggets predictions

After a thrilling overtime finish in Game 1, the Los Angeles Clippers and Denver Nuggets run it back on Monday night.

The pregame narrative: Denver erased an early 15-point deficit to force overtime and win 112-110 on Saturday. In this +300 SGP, I’m backing the Nuggets to at least keep things close with prop bets on Kawhi Leonard and Jamal Murray.

Check out my Clippers vs. Nuggets playoff SGP predictions for Game 2 on April 21.

Clippers vs. Nuggets predictions

Parlay: Nuggets +8.5 | Leonard 2+ threes | Murray under 19.5 points (+300)

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Nuggets +8.5 (-400): Backing the Nuggets at home in the postseason — or in general — is a pretty safe bet.

  • Denver is 15-4 SU in the playoffs since the 2022-23 season, covering a +8.5 spread in 18 of 19 games.
  • It went 26-15 SU at home during the regular season, covering a +8.5 spread in 33 of 41 games.

Los Angeles looked like the better team on Saturday — holding Denver to a collective 43.6 FG% — but it still lost. That’s a bad sign for the road team.

The Clippers have failed to cover this number in all five games against the Nuggets this season (Saturday included), going 1-3 straight up at Ball Arena.

NBA SGP legs

Leonard 2+ threes (-200): I love the value of adding this leg to the parlay. Leonard wasn’t active from deep in Game 1 (1-for-3 shooting), but I’m not worried about that.

The Claw was on fire from 3-point land to close out the regular season, averaging 2.5 makes on 46.3% shooting in the final 10 games. In that span, he went 9-1 against this line.

Denver struggled to defend the arc all season, allowing opponents to shoot 36.5% from deep (24th in the NBA).

Murray under 19.5 points (-121): Murray has cleared this line in four of his last five games against the Clippers, but I believe some regression is coming.

  • The Canadian PG never scored more than 22 points in those contests.
  • Murray scored 21 points on 35.0% shooting in Game 1 (ended regulation with 19 points).

Murray takes 44% of his shots from the mid-range, which ranks in the 88th percentile of all NBA players, according to Cleaning the Glass. L.A. had the fifth-best mid-range defence in the NBA (42.1%).

The Clippers also held opposing point guards to the seventh-fewest PPG this season, per Fantasy Pros.

Clippers vs. Nuggets predictions made at 11:05 a.m. ET 04/21/2025.

Best NBA playoff prop bets April 21: Bet on Karl-Anthony Towns and Christian Braun on Monday

NBA prop bets

I’ve got one prop bet from each of Monday’s NBA playoff games.

The pregame narrative: Christian Braun eats up big minutes for the Denver Nuggets, and I expect him to stuff the stat sheet against the Los Angeles Clippers. Before that, look for Karl-Anthony Towns to hit a pair of 3s against the Detroit Pistons.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 21.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Braun over 6.5 rebounds and assists (-143)

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This isn’t the sexiest pick, and it’s definitely not the sexiest price, but I believe it’s a bet worth making.

Braun had a decent outing on Sunday, scoring 11 points (5-of-10 shooting) with three rebounds and one assist in 45 minutes of play.

He fell well short of this line, but let’s look at the positives. Interim head coach David Adelman ran the guard out for an absurd amount of playing time thanks to his defensive prowess. Braun should see 35-plus minutes again on Monday, and I expect him to stuff the stat sheet.

  • Braun averaged 5.4 rebounds and 3.4 assists in 25 games following the all-star break.
  • In that span, he recorded 7+ rebounds/assists 18 times. That 72.0% hit rate far exceeds the 58.85% implied probability of this wager.

The Clippers allow the fewest rebounds (5.77) and the fifth-fewest assists (4.59) per game to shooting guards, according to Fantasy Pros.

It’s a tough matchup, but Braun should get enough opportunity to coast by this modest total.

Key stat: Braun cleared this line in both regular-season games against the Clippers where he played 30-plus minutes.

Best NBA picks

Towns over 1.5 threes (+100): Towns has played the Pistons twice in the last 11 days and shot a combined 1-for-4 from 3-point range. That’s not great, but I expect the big man to be more active from deep on Monday night.

  • Towns has averaged 2.0+ threes per game in each of the last six seasons.
  • He shot 42.0% from deep this year, which led all centres and was the 16th-best rate in the NBA.
  • KAT cleared this mark in both games against the Pistons before April 10, shooting a combined 7-for-15 from deep in those contests.

Detroit had the sixth-highest opponent 3-point percentage (36.7) in the NBA and allowed the eighth-most 3s per game to opposing centres this season.

NBA prop picks made at 8:48 a.m. ET on 04/21/2025.

Heat vs. Cavaliers Game 1 prop picks April 20: Herro, Jerome should fill the net in series opener

Heat vs. Cavaliers prop bets

The top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers host the Miami Heat on Sunday night in Game 1 of their opening-round Eastern Conference playoff series.

The pregame narrative: Ty Jerome is a bit of an unsung hero for the Cavaliers, and I think his points prop is in bargain territory. On the other side, Tyler Herro is a reliable, high-volume shooter from 3-point range that should can a few triples tonight.

Check out my Heat vs. Cavaliers prop picks for April 20.

Heat vs. Cavaliers prop picks

Best Bet: Herro over 2.5 threes (-118)

There are three reasons why I think this is a great pick for Game 1 of tonight’s series between Miami and Cleveland:

1. Herro shot 37.5% from 3-point range on 8.7 attempts this year. That means he was routinely putting himself in position to cash this bet.

2. He’s been torching the Cavaliers in recent matchups. Herro has 3+ threes in five straight games against Cleveland. In two meetings this season, he shot 9-for-19 from deep.

3. Herro came up clutch in the play-in tournament. In a pair of must-win games, he dropped 30+ points twice and shot 8-for-17 from deep.

Cleveland posted a top-10 defensive rating this season, but the more fearsome component of its defence is the interior tandem of Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley.

The Cavaliers ranked 13th in the NBA in 3-point percentage, attempts and makes this season. So not a plus matchup, per se, but not a terrible one, either.

I love where Herro’s 3-point volume has been all season, and his recent form combined with success against the Cavs makes this worth a look.

Key stat: Including the play-in games, Herro has cashed this bet in 51 of 79 games (64.6%).

Quick pick

Jerome over 8.5 points (-130): Through his first five NBA seasons, Jerome averaged just 7.0 PPG and bounced between four organizations.

It seems he’s found a home in Cleveland, though, where he blossomed into a remarkably productive bench option this season.

Jerome played 70 games (three starts) and averaged 12.5 PPG on 51.6/43.9/87.2 shooting splits.

He hit the 10-point milestone in 43 of 70 games (61.4%) — including all three against the Heat. And he only shot 4-for-15 from deep in the Miami matchups, so it’s not like he just happened to get hot beyond the arc.

Heat vs. Cavaliers prop picks made at 4:21 p.m. ET 04/20/2025.

Warriors vs. Rockets Game 1 SGP predictions: Fade Jimmy Butler, ride with Golden State to cover

Warriors vs. Rockets predictions

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets begin their first-round playoff series in Sunday’s NBA playoff nightcap.

The pregame narrative: Golden State is expected to win the series, and I’m backing the road squad to cover an alt underdog spread in this game. My +275 SGP also features picks on Jimmy Butler and Alperen Sengun.

Check out my Warriors vs. Rockets playoff SGP predictions for Game 1 on April 20.

Warriors vs. Rockets predictions

Parlay: Warriors +6.5 | Butler under 5.5 assists | Sengun 8+ rebounds (+275)

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Warriors +6.5 (-275): The Warriors are -177 favourites to win this series despite being road underdogs in Game 1. Even if they start with a loss, I like this margin for them.

Golden State is 10-6 ATS as a road underdog this season, per Team Rankings. And the team is 5-0-1 ATS in its past six road games overall.

Houston, on the other hand, is just 2-5 ATS in its past seven games as a home team.

It’s difficult to quantify the advantage Golden State might wield based on playoff experience. But I think there’s something to that.

Also, the Warriors were a top-10 squad in net rating this season (+3.2), trailing the Rockets (+4.6) by a modest margin.

NBA SGP legs

Butler under 5.5 assists (-109): It’s not that I think Butler will have a down game. I just expect he’ll be relied upon as a scorer far more than a passer.

Look at how the Warriors’ past two games went. Butler attempted 20 shots apiece in those matchups and hit the 30-point mark both times.

Those were meaningful games against the Clippers (to try to avoid the play-in tournament) and Grizzlies (to clinch the No. 7 seed). With Jonathan Kuminga seemingly in the doghouse, it’s tough to find reliable scoring support behind Butler and Curry.

Butler went under 5.5 assists in both matchups vs. Houston this season. The Rockets allowed the second-fewest assists per game.

Sengun 8+ rebounds (-420): Golden State doesn’t have a ton of size, and that should help Sengun make his mark on Sunday night.

  • The 6-foot-11 centre averaged 10.3 rebounds per game this season.
  • He grabbed 8+ rebounds in 62 of 76 games.
  • Sengun went 4-0 against this prop when facing the Warriors.

During the regular season, Golden State allowed the third-most rebounds per game to opposing centres (16.38).

Warriors vs. Rockets predictions made at 1:28 p.m. ET 04/20/2025.