Category: NBA

Best NBA prop bets Oct. 30: Fade Adebayo vs. Wemby, bet on Wagner from 3-point range

NBA prop bets

I’ve got three NBA prop bets in mind from tonight’s four-game slate, including a fade of Bam Adebayo.

The latest: Adebayo’s Miami Heat face Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs, which should make for a tough night on the glass. I do have a plus-money rebounding prediction on an over elsewhere, though.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 30, featuring Kyshawn George and Franz Wagner.

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NBA prop bets

Best bet: George over 7.5 rebounds (+110)

The Wizards are among the youngest teams in the NBA this year, and George is at the forefront of the youth movement.

It’s still quite early, but the 21-year-old appears capable of making a significant leap in his second season.

George leads the Wizards in minutes (33.0/game), assists (5.0/game) and rebounds (9.3/game). He’s also 14-for-26 (53.8%) from 3-point range.

-> Want to back Kyshawn George tonight? Wager here!

Though he’s listed as a shooting guard, George has plenty of size at 6-foot-7. He plays an aggressive brand of basketball, evidenced by his 20 personal fouls through four games.

On the glass, he’s averaging 12.8 rebound chances per game, according to NBA.com’s tracking data. That’s a healthy number relative to what this prop is asking.

Despite George’s promising start as a scorer and passer, I’m hesitant to back him in other prop markets based on how stout the Oklahoma City Thunder are on defence.

This seems like a good fit, though, given that OKC allows the seventh-most rebounds per game and will be missing 7-footer Chet Holmgren.

Key stat: George is 4-0 vs. this prop, grabbing 9+ rebounds in three of four games.

Best NBA picks

Wagner over 1.5 threes (-108): The Orlando Magic have dropped four games in a row, so the vibes aren’t exactly great right now.

Orlando needs a lift on offence, and I expect that to happen Thursday night against a subpar Charlotte Hornets squad.

-> Bet on Franz Wagner to cash in from 3-point range on Thursday

Charlotte has allowed the fifth-most points per game (124.8), which is due in part to its 39.2% opponent 3-point percentage (fourth-highest in the NBA).

Who better to take advantage than Wagner, who’s 8-for-19 from deep so far?

Wagner is 3-2 vs. this prop on fairly pedestrian shooting volume. Over the previous two seasons, he averaged 5.2 attempted 3s per game.

I’m hoping for that kind of volume in a matchup that should entice the Magic to prioritize outside shooting.

Adebayo under 9.5 rebounds (-130): Victor Wembanyama is staying home in the paint a lot more this year, and that’s terrible news for opposing centres.

Wemby spent a lot more time floating on the perimeter last season, lessening his rebound opportunities in the process.

But the 7-foot-4 superstar has been a menace around the rim this year, grabbing a league-high 12.0 rebounds per game.

-> Fade Adebayo vs. Wembanyama’s Spurs

At 6-foot-9, Adebayo is undersized as a centre. He’s typically right around the 9.5-rebound mark, averaging 9.6 RPG since the start of the 2020-21 season.

There’s nothing traditional about Wembanyama, but given that he’s playing more like a traditional centre right now, Adebayo’s rebounding numbers should suffer.

The San Antonio Spurs have allowed just 6.7 RPG to opposing centres, which is easily the lowest total in the NBA.

NBA prop picks made at 4:36 p.m. ET on 10/30/2025.

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Heat vs. Spurs SGP predictions Oct. 30: Back Wembanyama and Castle at +270

Heat vs. Spurs predictions

Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs host the Miami Heat to close out Thursday’s NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Wembanyama has been on a rampage to start the season, averaging a 31-point double-double through four games. His Spurs are undefeated and are favoured to beat a Heat team off to a solid 3-1 start of their own.

Check out my Heat vs. Spurs SGP predictions for Oct. 30, featuring Wembanyama and Stephon Castle.

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Heat vs. Spurs predictions

Parlay: Spurs moneyline | Wembanyama 3+ blocks | Castle 6+ assists (+270)

Spurs moneyline (-230): I backed the Raptors to cover a +10.5 spread against San Antonio on Monday, and that failed miserably.

The Spurs won 121-103, marking their third double-digit win in four games. From now on, I’ll be backing San Antonio at home untill it gives me a reason not to.

-> Bet on NBA futures at NorthStar Bets

Wembanyama has leaned into his size advantage by trimming his 3-point attempts, instead opting to bludgeon opponents in the paint.

The Spurs boast the best net rating (+15.6) and the second-best defensive rating (104.9) in basketball.

Miami’s offence is off to a hot start, with seven players averaging north of 10.0 PPG. That type of depth is admirable, but I want to back the squad with the best player on the court. And no one is playing as well as Wembanyama right now.

Embed: #120459

NBA SGP legs

Wembanyama 3+ blocks (-286): How good has Wembanyama been so far? Draymond Green said the 7-foot-4 phenom could win the MVP, Defensive Player of the Year, and Most Improved Player of the Year.

I agree with him.

  • On top of averaging 31.8 points and 13.9 rebounds, Wemby has put up a staggering 4.8 blocks per game.
  • He is 3-1 against this milestone, and he logged nine blocks against the New Orleans Pelicans on Oct. 24.

It seems like a matter of when — not if — that Wembanyama will become the next player to record a quadruple-double.

-> Bet on Wembanyama to win NBA MVP

Miami is a fairly undersized team, with centre Bam Adebayo standing at 6-foot-9. Kel’el Ware, a 7-footer, is getting around 20 minutes of run a night, but he’s still four inches shorter than Wembanyama.

San Antonio will be hosting a block party tonight.

Castle 6+ assists (+100): Castle has elevated his game following a strong Rookie of the Year campaign.

  • 2024-25: 14.7 PPG, 4.1 APG, 42.8 FG%
  • 2025-26: 18.3 PPG, 4.8 APG, 52.2 FG%

I want to tap into his passing abilities in this mathcup.

The Heat are allowing the sixth-most assists per game to opposing PGs, according to Fantasy Pros.

With Miami lacking size in the interior, I expect Wembanyama to wreak havoc in the paint. Castle is 2-2 against this line, and he should be the one supplying the big man.

Heat vs. Spurs predictions made at 12:30 p.m. ET 10/30/2025.

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Best NBA prop bets Oct. 30: Fade Adebayo vs. Wemby, bet on Wagner from 3-point range

NBA prop bets

I’ve got three NBA prop bets in mind from tonight’s four-game slate, including a fade of Bam Adebayo.

The latest: Adebayo’s Miami Heat face Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs, which should make for a tough night on the glass. I do have a plus-money rebounding prediction on an over elsewhere, though.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 30, featuring Kyshawn George and Franz Wagner.

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NBA prop bets

Best bet: George over 7.5 rebounds (+108)

The Wizards are among the youngest teams in the NBA this year, and George is at the forefront of the youth movement.

It’s still quite early, but the 21-year-old appears capable of making a significant leap in his second season.

George leads the Wizards in minutes (33.0/game), assists (5.0/game) and rebounds (9.3/game). He’s also 14-for-26 (53.8%) from 3-point range.

-> Want to back Kyshawn George tonight? Wager here!

Though he’s listed as a shooting guard, George has plenty of size at 6-foot-7. He plays an aggressive brand of basketball, evidenced by his 20 personal fouls through four games.

On the glass, he’s averaging 12.8 rebound chances per game, according to NBA.com’s tracking data. That’s a healthy number relative to what this prop is asking.

Despite George’s promising start as a scorer and passer, I’m hesitant to back him in other prop markets based on how stout the Oklahoma City Thunder are on defence.

This seems like a good fit, though, given that OKC allows the seventh-most rebounds per game and will be missing 7-footer Chet Holmgren.

Key stat: George is 4-0 vs. this prop, grabbing 9+ rebounds in three of four games.

Embed: #120455

Best NBA picks

Wagner over 1.5 threes (-127): The Orlando Magic have dropped four games in a row, so the vibes aren’t exactly great right now.

Orlando needs a lift on offence, and I expect that to happen Thursday night against a subpar Charlotte Hornets squad.

-> Bet on Franz Wagner to cash in from 3-point range on Thursday

Charlotte has allowed the fifth-most points per game (124.8), which is due in part to its 39.2% opponent 3-point percentage (fourth-highest in the NBA).

Who better to take advantage than Wagner, who’s 8-for-19 from deep so far?

Wagner is 3-2 vs. this prop on fairly pedestrian shooting volume. Over the previous two seasons, he averaged 5.2 attempted 3s per game.

I’m hoping for that kind of volume in a matchup that should entice the Magic to prioritize outside shooting.

Adebayo under 9.5 rebounds (-134): Victor Wembanyama is staying home in the paint a lot more this year, and that’s terrible news for opposing centres.

Wemby spent a lot more time floating on the perimeter last season, lessening his rebound opportunities in the process.

But the 7-foot-4 superstar has been a menace around the rim this year, grabbing a league-high 12.0 rebounds per game.

-> Fade Adebayo vs. Wembanyama’s Spurs

At 6-foot-9, Adebayo is undersized as a centre. He’s typically right around the 9.5-rebound mark, averaging 9.6 RPG since the start of the 2020-21 season.

There’s nothing traditional about Wembanyama, but given that he’s playing more like a traditional centre right now, Adebayo’s rebounding numbers should suffer.

The San Antonio Spurs have allowed just 6.7 RPG to opposing centres, which is easily the lowest total in the NBA.

NBA prop picks made at 11:37 a.m. ET on 10/30/2025.

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Best NBA prop bets Oct. 29: Take overs for Walker Kessler, Austin Reaves, Cooper Flagg

NBA prop bets

I have three prop picks from Wednesday’s loaded 10-game NBA slate.

The latest: Rookie sensation Cooper Flagg has had an up-and-down start to his NBA career, but I expect an offensive showcase against the Indiana Pacers. Later on, look for Austin Reaves to continue carrying the Los Angeles Lakers.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 29, featuring a bet on Walker Kessler.

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NBA prop bets

Best bet: Reaves over 12.5 rebounds/assists (-120)

With LeBron James and Luka Doncic sidelined for the Lakers, Reaves has put together an MVP-calibre start this year.

  • 35.8 PPG
  • 6.8 RPG
  • 8.5 APG

That scoring production is likely to come down, but his ability as a rebounder and passer matches these numbers.

Last season, Reaves played nine games without James. In those contests, he averaged 8.3 assists and 6.6 rebounds. As noted, he’s posted similar stats so far this season.

-> Wager on Austin Reaves prop bets on NorthStar Bets

Reaves has been consistently strong as the Lakers’ top option when called upon, and he should continue stuffing the stat sheet on Wednesday.

Minnesota has a below-average defensive rating (117.3) and will be without Anthony Edwards in this game.

Key stat: Reaves is averaging 14.5 rebounds/assists in two games without LeBron and Doncic this season.

Best NBA picks

Flagg over 15.5 points (-118): Flagg is 2-2 against this line, but the matchup is everything.

  • In the two games he fell short, he played the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder. Two elite defensive teams that have yet to lose a game.
  • He cashed this wager against the Washington Wizards and Toronto Raptors, two teams a lot closer to the level of the Indiana Pacers (tonight’s opponents).

Flagg averaged 20.0 points and shot 50.0% from the floor in the games where he cashed this prop.

-> Bet on Cooper Flagg to bounce back on Tuesday

He has taken 13+ shots in three of four contests and will continue to be an integral part of this offence with Anthony Davis.

The Pacers are 0-3 so far and allow the fourth-most points per game (127.7).

This is a great matchup for Flagg to get back on track.

Kessler over 22.5 points/rebounds (-118): Kessler is taking his offensive game to a new level.

After averaging 11.1 PPG in 2024-25, the big man has upped that number to 16.7 PPG to start this season.

That includes two performances of 20+ points and an incredible 85.0% field goal rate. He’s even 3-for-4 from 3-point range.

I don’t expect him to be a 3-point sniper by any means, but the added offence goes a long way for the nightly double-double threat.

-> Back Walker Kessler vs. Portland

Speaking of which, Kessler has nine or more rebounds in every game so far. Last season, he averaged 12.3 per contest.

His opponents, the Portland Trail Blazers, don’t have much front-court depth. And starting centre Donovan Clingan is a traditional big man who plays in the paint.

That should force Kessler to play in the post, where he can contest for plenty of rebounds.

As long as he keeps shooting at a high FG%, this over should be light work for the 7-footer.

NBA prop picks made at 2:37 p.m. ET on 10/29/2025.

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Best NBA prop bets Oct. 29: Take overs for Walker Kessler, Austin Reaves, Cooper Flagg

NBA prop bets

I have three prop picks from Wednesday’s loaded 10-game NBA slate.

The latest: Rookie sensation Cooper Flagg has had an up-and-down start to his NBA career, but I expect an offensive showcase against the Indiana Pacers. Later on, look for Austin Reaves to continue carrying the Los Angeles Lakers.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 29, featuring a bet on Walker Kessler.

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NBA prop bets

Best bet: Reaves over 12.5 rebounds/assists (-120)

With LeBron James and Luka Doncic sidelined for the Lakers, Reaves has put together an MVP-calibre start this year.

  • 35.8 PPG
  • 6.8 RPG
  • 8.5 APG

That scoring production is likely to come down, but his ability as a rebounder and passer matches these numbers.

Last season, Reaves played nine games without James. In those contests, he averaged 8.3 assists and 6.6 rebounds. As noted, he’s posted similar stats so far this season.

-> Wager on Austin Reaves prop bets on NorthStar Bets

Reaves has been consistently strong as the Lakers’ top option when called upon, and he should continue stuffing the stat sheet on Wednesday.

Minnesota has a below-average defensive rating (117.3) and will be without Anthony Edwards in this game.

Key stat: Reaves is averaging 14.5 rebounds/assists in two games without LeBron and Doncic this season.

Embed: #120436

Best NBA picks

Flagg over 15.5 points (-109): Flagg is 2-2 against this line, but the matchup is everything.

  • In the two games he fell short, he played the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder. Two elite defensive teams that have yet to lose a game.
  • He cashed this wager against the Washington Wizards and Toronto Raptors, two teams a lot closer to the level of the Indiana Pacers (tonight’s opponents).

Flagg averaged 20.0 points and shot 50.0% from the floor in the games where he cashed this prop.

-> Bet on Cooper Flagg to bounce back on Tuesday

He has taken 13+ shots in three of four contests and will continue to be an integral part of this offence with Anthony Davis.

The Pacers are 0-3 so far and allow the fourth-most points per game (127.7).

This is a great matchup for Flagg to get back on track.

Kessler over 22.5 points/rebounds (-118): Kessler is taking his offensive game to a new level.

After averaging 11.1 PPG in 2024-25, the big man has upped that number to 16.7 PPG to start this season.

That includes two performances of 20+ points and an incredible 85.0% field goal rate. He’s even 3-for-4 from 3-point range.

I don’t expect him to be a 3-point sniper by any means, but the added offence goes a long way for the nightly double-double threat.

-> Back Walker Kessler vs. Portland

Speaking of which, Kessler has nine or more rebounds in every game so far. Last season, he averaged 12.3 per contest.

His opponents, the Portland Trail Blazers, don’t have much front-court depth. And starting centre Donovan Clingan is a traditional big man who plays in the paint.

That should force Kessler to play in the post, where he can contest for plenty of rebounds.

As long as he keeps shooting at a high FG%, this over should be light work for the 7-footer.

NBA prop picks made at 2:37 p.m. ET on 10/29/2025.

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Grizzlies vs. Suns SGP predictions Oct. 29: Devin Booker should fill the net at home

Grizzlies vs. Suns predictions

In the 10th and final NBA game of the night, the Memphis Grizzlies visit the struggling Phoenix Suns on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Phoenix is 1-3 straight up and 0-3-1 ATS to start the season. And the team is on a five-game losing skid vs. Memphis dating back to January 2024. The Suns are slight underdogs in a game with the highest projected total of the night.

Check out my Grizzlies vs. Suns SGP predictions for Oct. 29, with prop bets on Devin Booker and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.

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Grizzlies vs. Suns predictions

Parlay: Booker over 30.5 pts | Caldwell-Pope over 1.5 threes | Over 239.5 points (+295)

Embed: #120433

Booker over 30.5 points (-118): With Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal gone, the Suns aren’t exactly teeming with scoring options.

Booker is the obvious (and justified) alpha dog of the bunch. I expect him to act like it on Wednesday.

  • Four games into the season, Booker has already scored 30+ points three times. He’s shooting 50.7% from the floor
  • Booker is eighth in the NBA in free throw attempts per game (10.3), and he’s canning them at an 80.5% clip.

-> Bet on Devin Booker to go off vs. Grizzlies

Phoenix’s most high-volume shooter is Dillon Brooks (19.7 FGA), but he’s out tonight with a groin injury. So expect even more shots for Booker.

The Grizzlies have allowed the most PPG to opposing shooting guards so far this season (29.46), according to Fantasy Pros.

NBA SGP legs

Caldwell-Pope over 1.5 threes (-143): No one has really gotten going from beyond the arc for the Grizzlies yet, but Caldwell-Pope’s steady shot volume from deep makes him stand out to me.

  • 4+ attempted 3s in every game
  • 1+ made 3s in every game
  • 2-2 vs. this milestone

-> Check out tonight’s NBA prop markets at NorthStar Bets

KCP has averaged 5.3 attempted 3s per game, and if he keeps that up, this pick will be in play on a nightly basis.

Phoenix is currently allowing the ninth-highest 3PT% in the NBA (37.6%).

Last year was a bit of a lost season for KCP in Orlando, but he’s still known as a sharpshooter from deep. In five seasons from 2019-24, he posted a 40.3 3PT%.

Over 239.5 points (-138): Neither team has put on a defensive clinic to this point, and I expect tons of scoring on both sides tonight.

  • Overs are 3-1-0 in Grizzlies games so far, thanks in large part to their lightning-quick pace (No. 2 in the NBA).
  • Overs are 4-0-0 in Suns games so far, thanks in large part to their brutally poor defensive rating (No. 29 in the NBA).

Memphis’ games have averaged 247.5 points and cashed this over in three of four games. If the Grizzlies continue to push the pace, the scoring will follow.

Two notable players on the defensive end, Brooks and Zach Edey (Grizzlies), are out tonight. Their absences should help free up some scoring opportunities, too.

Grizzlies vs. Suns predictions made at 1:40 p.m. ET 10/29/2025.

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Rockets vs. Raptors prop picks Oct. 29: Bet on Scottie Barnes, Amen Thompson on Wednesday

Rockets vs. Raptors picks

The Toronto Raptors and Houston Rockets meet on Wednesday.

The latest: Both teams could use a win after some early-season struggles. Scottie Barnes has been inconsistent, but Toronto will need his length tonight against the tallest starting five in the NBA. On the other side, take a plus-money prop on Amen Thompson.

Check out these Rockets vs. Raptors picks for the game on Oct. 29 in Toronto.

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Rockets vs. Raptors picks

Best bet: Barnes over 29.5 points/rebounds/assists (-112)

Let’s get the ugly out of the way first. Barnes is coming off his worst game of the young season against the San Antonio Spurs. In that matchup, he had eight points, three rebounds and two assists.

He is still 2-2 against this number, though, while averaging 31.3 points/rebounds/assists.

I can see guards RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickly struggling in this matchup because of Houston’s size. Four of its five starters are taller than 6-foot-7, while Josh Okogie is the shortest of the bunch at 6-foot-4.

This should make it difficult for the craftier players to find opportunities to create. That’s why I can see Barnes facilitating and scoring more using his brute force.

-> Bet on Scottie Barnes props at NorthStar Bets

We saw how impactful that can be against the Dallas Mavericks. Barnes led the Raptors with 33 points, adding 11 rebounds and six assists.

He has dealt with foul trouble a couple of times already this season. Because of that, he’s played fewer minutes than expected.

If Barnes plays close to 35 minutes tonight, I’m confident he can cash the over on this total, which falls below his statistical averages.

Key stat: Barnes has averaged more than 32.0 PRA in back-to-back seasons.

-> Wager on Wednesday’s loaded 10-game NBA slate

Thompson prop bet

Thompson over 5.5 assists (+120): With Fred VanVleet out for the season, Thompson has taken the reins as Houston’s starting point guard.

And rightfully so. The 6-foot-7 wing is a triple-double threat on any night, and he’s an incredible defender, which helps him match up with any position.

He’s 1-2 against this wager this season, but he hasn’t been playing great to this point.

Thompson showed off his playmaking potential in the Rockets’ recent win over the Brooklyn Nets, posting eight assists in just over 25 minutes of action.

-> Bet on Rockets vs. Raptors player props!

The third-year player has never averaged over 5.0 assists per game in a season, but his numbers have consistently gotten better each year.

Thompson dished out 3.8 assists per game last season. But he elevated his production in the final 25 games:

  • 5.7 APG
  • 5+ assists in 19 of 25

Toronto has had problems with defensive rotations, leading to opposing teams recording 27.8 assists per game (seventh-most in the NBA).

Additionally, the Raptors allow the sixth-most points per game (125.0). There should be a lot of scoring tonight, which will open up assist opportunities for Houston’s PG.

Rockets vs. Raptors picks made at 1:30 p.m. ET on 10/29/2025.

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Rockets vs. Raptors prop picks Oct. 29: Bet on Scottie Barnes, Amen Thompson on Wednesday

Rockets vs. Raptors picks

The Toronto Raptors and Houston Rockets meet on Wednesday.

The latest: Both teams could use a win after some early-season struggles. Scottie Barnes has been inconsistent, but Toronto will need his length tonight against the tallest starting five in the NBA. On the other side, take a plus-money prop on Amen Thompson.

Check out these Rockets vs. Raptors picks for the game on Oct. 29 in Toronto.

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Rockets vs. Raptors picks

Best bet: Barnes over 30.5 points/rebounds/assists (-107)

Let’s get the ugly out of the way first. Barnes is coming off his worst game of the young season against the San Antonio Spurs. In that matchup, he had eight points, three rebounds and two assists.

He is still 2-2 against this number, though, while averaging 31.3 points/rebounds/assists.

I can see guards RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickly struggling in this matchup because of Houston’s size. Four of its five starters are taller than 6-foot-7, while Josh Okogie is the shortest of the bunch at 6-foot-4.

This should make it difficult for the craftier players to find opportunities to create. That’s why I can see Barnes facilitating and scoring more using his brute force.

-> Bet on Scottie Barnes props at NorthStar Bets

We saw how impactful that can be against the Dallas Mavericks. Barnes led the Raptors with 33 points, adding 11 rebounds and six assists.

He has dealt with foul trouble a couple of times already this season. Because of that, he’s played fewer minutes than expected.

If Barnes plays close to 35 minutes tonight, I’m confident he can cash the over on this total, which falls below his statistical averages.

Key stat: Barnes has averaged more than 32.0 PRA in back-to-back seasons.

Embed: #120414

-> Wager on Wednesday’s loaded 10-game NBA slate

Thompson prop bet

Thompson over 5.5 assists (+118): With Fred VanVleet out for the season, Thompson has taken the reins as Houston’s starting point guard.

And rightfully so. The 6-foot-7 wing is a triple-double threat on any night, and he’s an incredible defender, which helps him match up with any position.

He’s 1-2 against this wager this season, but he hasn’t been playing great to this point.

Thompson showed off his playmaking potential in the Rockets’ recent win over the Brooklyn Nets, posting eight assists in just over 25 minutes of action.

-> Bet on Rockets vs. Raptors player props!

The third-year player has never averaged over 5.0 assists per game in a season, but his numbers have consistently gotten better each year.

Thompson dished out 3.8 assists per game last season. But he elevated his production in the final 25 games:

  • 5.7 APG
  • 5+ assists in 19 of 25

Toronto has had problems with defensive rotations, leading to opposing teams recording 27.8 assists per game (seventh-most in the NBA).

Additionally, the Raptors allow the sixth-most points per game (125.0). There should be a lot of scoring tonight, which will open up assist opportunities for Houston’s PG.

Rockets vs. Raptors picks made at 10:16 a.m. ET on 10/29/2025.

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Grizzlies vs. Suns SGP predictions Oct. 29: Devin Booker should fill the net at home

Grizzlies vs. Suns predictions

In the 10th and final NBA game of the night, the Memphis Grizzlies visit the struggling Phoenix Suns on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Phoenix is 1-3 straight up and 0-3-1 ATS to start the season. And the team is on a five-game losing skid vs. Memphis dating back to January 2024. The Suns are slight underdogs in a game with the highest projected total of the night.

Check out my Grizzlies vs. Suns SGP predictions for Oct. 29, with prop bets on Devin Booker and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.

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Grizzlies vs. Suns predictions

Parlay: Booker over 29.5 pts | Caldwell-Pope over 1.5 threes | Over 239.5 points (+350)

Embed: #120408

Booker over 29.5 points (-122): With Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal gone, the Suns aren’t exactly teeming with scoring options.

Booker is the obvious (and justified) alpha dog of the bunch. I expect him to act like it on Wednesday.

  • Four games into the season, Booker has already scored 30+ points three times. He’s shooting 50.7% from the floor
  • Booker is eighth in the NBA in free throw attempts per game (10.3), and he’s canning them at an 80.5% clip.

-> Bet on Devin Booker to go off vs. Grizzlies

Phoenix’s most high-volume shooter is Dillon Brooks (19.7 FGA), but he’s out tonight with a groin injury. So expect even more shots for Booker.

The Grizzlies have allowed the most PPG to opposing shooting guards so far this season (29.46), according to Fantasy Pros.

Embed: #120407

NBA SGP legs

Caldwell-Pope over 1.5 threes (-134): No one has really gotten going from beyond the arc for the Grizzlies yet, but Caldwell-Pope’s steady shot volume from deep makes him stand out to me.

  • 4+ attempted 3s in every game
  • 1+ made 3s in every game
  • 2-2 vs. this milestone

-> Check out tonight’s NBA prop markets at NorthStar Bets

KCP has averaged 5.3 attempted 3s per game, and if he keeps that up, this pick will be in play on a nightly basis.

Phoenix is currently allowing the ninth-highest 3PT% in the NBA (37.6%).

Last year was a bit of a lost season for KCP in Orlando, but he’s still known as a sharpshooter from deep. In five seasons from 2019-24, he posted a 40.3 3PT%.

Over 239.5 points (-127): Neither team has put on a defensive clinic to this point, and I expect tons of scoring on both sides tonight.

  • Overs are 3-1-0 in Grizzlies games so far, thanks in large part to their lightning-quick pace (No. 2 in the NBA).
  • Overs are 4-0-0 in Suns games so far, thanks in large part to their brutally poor defensive rating (No. 29 in the NBA).

Memphis’ games have averaged 247.5 points and cashed this over in three of four games. If the Grizzlies continue to push the pace, the scoring will follow.

Two notable players on the defensive end, Brooks and Zach Edey (Grizzlies), are out tonight. Their absences should help free up some scoring opportunities, too.

Grizzlies vs. Suns predictions made at 10:00 a.m. ET 10/29/2025.

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Best NBA prop bets Oct. 28: Bet on Chet Holmgren, Norman Powell to shine

NBA prop bets

A light five-game NBA slate is enough to inspire a trio of prop bets that caught my interest.

The latest: Chet Holmgren is having a fantastic season as the second option on offence for the Oklahoma City Thunder. Expect him to continue his rise against the Sacramento Kings. Before that, Norman Powell and the Miami Heat have a good shot to pile up points against the Charlotte Hornets.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 28, featuring a bet on 3-point sniper Ryan Rollins.

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NBA prop bets

Best bet: Holmgren over 27.5 points/rebounds (-108)

In Jalen Williams’ absence, Holmgren has stepped up for the 4-0 Thunder.

  • In four games, the centre is averaging 23.0 points and 10.3 rebounds.
  • He is 3-1 against this wager, finishing with 35+ points/rebounds twice.

This line would make more sense to me if this were a tough matchup, but it’s not. The Kings allow the most rebounds per game to centres (19.33), per Fantasy Pros.

Holmgren has such a high offensive floor right now that if he can grab double-digit rebounds for the fourth straight game, I’m confident he’ll smash this line.

-> Bet on Chet Holmgren to have another big game on Tuesday

The 23-year-old big is shooting 56.9% from the field (41.7% from 3) and canning more than 85% of his free throws.

With those splits, he doesn’t need a ton of shooting volume to help cash this pick.

There’s almost always blowout potential when OKC plays, but it’s smart to look past that and play the good numbers when available.

Key stat: Holmgren had 18 points and 10 rebounds in his one meeting with Sacramento last season.

Best NBA picks

Powell over 22.5 points (-118): This pick is based on Powell’s consistency and the matchup at hand.

  • The former Toronto Raptor is 2-1 against this line, averaging 24.0 PPG.
  • In the one game he fell short, he only played 24 minutes and took 10 shots in a blowout win. He still shot 50% from the field.
  • Charlotte is 2-1 but beat the Washington Wizards and Brooklyn Nets. In its loss to the Philadelphia 76ers, the defence gave up 125 points and allowed the Sixers to shoot 46% from deep.

Philly is the most comparable opponent to the Heat, and Powell is the lead candidate to take advantage of the Hornets’ poor perimeter defence.

He scored 28+ points in both games in which he played more than 30 minutes.

-> Back Powell vs. Charlotte at NorthStar Bets

Rollins over 1.5 threes made (-130): Rollins made a name for himself as a 3-point assassin for the Milwaukee Bucks last season.

He took 2.1 threes per game and shot 40.8% from beyond the arc. This year, he’s taking on a lot more volume, but his efficiency has suffered.

  • Game 1: 1-for-6 3PT
  • Game 2: 1-for-5 3PT
  • Game 3: 1-for-5 3PT

Rollins is playing more than 30 minutes per night, so the uptick in shot attempts should continue, and it’s only a matter of time before he starts drilling them at a heightened rate.

This is nothing more than a cold spell. Rollins has proven to be efficient in a starting role before.

In 19 starts last season, the guard went 11-8 against this wager, shooting 40.5% from 3-point range.

NBA prop picks made at 12:35 p.m. ET on 10/28/2025.

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