Category: NBA

Lakers vs. Thunder prop picks Nov. 12: Bet on Doncic to fire away from 3-point range

Lakers vs. Thunder picks

The Los Angeles Lakers are on the road against the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday night.

The latest: OKC faced the Golden State Warriors last night and ran away with a 24-point victory. The Thunder are 5-0 at home, hosting a Lakers squad that is 5-1 so far on the road.

Check out my Lakers vs. Thunder picks for Nov. 12, featuring Luka Doncic and Marcus Smart.

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Lakers vs. Thunder picks

Best bet: Doncic over 3.5 threes (-130)

Oklahoma City was the best defensive team in the league last season, and so far that reputation is holding up this year.

If there’s one place to try to attack the Thunder, it’s on the perimeter. And I’m sure Doncic is more than happy to do that.

  • Doncic is on a scoring rampage so far, averaging 37.1 PPG through seven games.
  • His 3-point shooting hasn’t been particularly efficient, but the volume has been steady. He has 10+ attempted 3s in all seven games, averaging 3.9 makes on 32.1% shooting.
  • Doncic is 5-2 vs. this line — including 3-0 on the road.

-> Want to bet on Luka Doncic vs. the Thunder? Go to NorthStar Bets!

Oklahoma City allows the eighth-most attempted 3s per game, as well as the seventh-highest 3PT% (37.3).

Last year, in two games vs. OKC while playing for the Lakers, Doncic shot 8-for-18 (44.4%) from deep and went 1-1 vs. this number.

If the 3-point shot volume stays where it is, this line will be playable any night.

Key stat: Doncic is averaging 3.8 threes since the start of the 2023-24 season, and his 12.0 attempts/game this year is on track to be a career-high.

-> Wager on Wednesday’s 12-game NBA slate

L.A. vs. OKC props

Smart 4+ assists (+115): OKC is excellent at disrupting the flow of an opponent’s offence, which explains why the team has allowed the fourth-fewest assists per game so far.

Still, I think Smart is worth taking a flier on at this plus-money price. He’s third among facilitators on the Lakers, behind Doncic and Austin Reaves, but he still gets involved a fair amount.

-> Check out tonight’s Lakers vs. Thunder prop markets

  • Since joining the starting lineup on Oct. 26, Smart has averaged 4.4 assists in seven games. In that span, he’s averaging 7.6 potential assists, which denotes passes that lead directly to a shot.
  • Smart is 6-1 vs. this line in his past seven games.

For eight straight seasons from 2016-24, Smart averaged at least 4.0 APG. He knows how to dish the rock when given the opportunity.

Lakers vs. Thunder picks made at 9:16 a.m. ET on 11/05/2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 12: Bet on De’Aaron Fox, Paolo Banchero and Trey Murphy on Wednesday

NBA prop picks Nov. 12

It’s a busy Wednesday night in the NBA, featuring 12 games and loads of player prop options.

Today’s NBA props narrative: I’m dialling up three recommendations, including a best bet on De’Aaron Fox. The San Antonio Spurs point guard has been strong since returning from injury and should keep up his production in a favourable matchup.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 12, featuring predictions on Paolo Banchero and Trey Murphy.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 12

Best bet: Fox over 20.5 points (-106)

The Spurs have wasted no time unleashing Fox, which has paid immediate dividends.

Fox, who missed the first few weeks of the season recovering from a hamstring strain, has been sharp in two performances to kick off his 2025-26 campaign.

  • Oct. 11 @ CHI: 37 mins, 8-of-14 shooting, 21 points.
  • Oct. 8 vs. NO: 31 mins, 9-of-14 shooting, 24 points.

Both games resulted in wins for the Spurs.

Fox has big scoring upside, averaging 25-plus points three times in his career as the No. 1 option with the Sacramento Kings.

-> Check out full prop markets on Fox, Wembanyama & more!

His circumstances are different now, playing alongside Victor Wembanyama in San Antonio, but the high-usage guard will have every opportunity to form a potent 1-2 scoring punch with the French phenom.

Fox has an excellent matchup against the Golden State Warriors, who are on a back-to-back and got torched last night.

Beyond the fatigue factor, the Warriors have been horrific at defending point guards, allowing the third-most points to the position (per Betting Pros).

Key stat: Golden State has given up 120-plus points in three of its last four games.

Best NBA picks

Banchero over 7.5 rebounds (-138): The New York Knicks are an excellent rebounding team, fuelled by starting centre Karl-Anthony Towns’ 12.7 per game (fourth in the NBA).

But New York is on a back-to-back, which means we might not see the best version of this team tonight.

And Banchero has been putting in work on the glass. 

-> Bet on tonight’s Magic vs. Knicks Eastern Conference clash

The young Orlando Magic star is averaging a career-best 9.1 rebounds per game, a significant jump from the 7.5 he averaged in an injury-shortened campaign last season. 

  • Banchero has five double-digit rebounding games and is 8-3 vs. this line on the season.
  • The 23-year-old has gobbled up nine-plus boards in six of his last seven contests.

NBA player prop predictions

Murphy over 27.5 points/rebounds (-118): The fifth-year forward has turned in some big duds early on but he’s also blown past this line multiple times, including each of his last two games.

  • Murphy dropped 21 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in Monday’s loss to the Phoenix Suns.
  • The game before that, he scored a career-high 41 points and added nine rebounds.

With Zion Williamson and Jordan Poole out, Murphy is competing with no one on this New Orleans Pelicans team for shots.

-> Bet on tonight’s 12-game NBA slate at NorthStar Bets!

And plenty of the volume we see from him tonight should come from long range, allowing Murphy to pile up points if he can get into a rhythm.

Murphy has attempted 10-plus shots from distance in four of his last six games. He’s buried five-plus triples in each of those contests.

Averaging a career-high 7.0 rebounds, Murphy faces a Portland Trail Blazers team that’s surrendering just shy of 120 points a night.

NBA prop picks made at 12:10 p.m. ET on Nov. 12, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 12: Bet on De’Aaron Fox, Paolo Banchero and Trey Murphy on Wednesday

NBA prop picks Nov. 12

It’s a busy Wednesday night in the NBA, featuring 12 games and loads of player prop options.

Today’s NBA props narrative: I’m dialling up three recommendations, including a best bet on De’Aaron Fox. The San Antonio Spurs point guard has been strong since returning from injury and should keep up his production in a favourable matchup.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 12, featuring predictions on Paolo Banchero and Trey Murphy.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the NBA today!

NBA prop picks Nov. 12

Best bet: Fox over 20.5 points (-112)

The Spurs have wasted no time unleashing Fox, which has paid immediate dividends.

Fox, who missed the first few weeks of the season recovering from a hamstring strain, has been sharp in two performances to kick off his 2025-26 campaign.

  • Oct. 11 @ CHI: 37 mins, 8-of-14 shooting, 21 points.
  • Oct. 8 vs. NO: 31 mins, 9-of-14 shooting, 24 points.

Both games resulted in wins for the Spurs.

Fox has big scoring upside, averaging 25-plus points three times in his career as the No. 1 option with the Sacramento Kings.

-> Check out full prop markets on Fox, Wembanyama & more!

His circumstances are different now, playing alongside Victor Wembanyama in San Antonio, but the high-usage guard will have every opportunity to form a potent 1-2 scoring punch with the French phenom.

Fox has an excellent matchup against the Golden State Warriors, who are on a back-to-back and got torched last night.

Beyond the fatigue factor, the Warriors have been horrific at defending point guards, allowing the third-most points to the position (per Betting Pros).

Key stat: Golden State has given up 120-plus points in three of its last four games.

Embed: #120914

Best NBA picks

Banchero over 7.5 rebounds (-127): The New York Knicks are an excellent rebounding team, fuelled by starting centre Karl-Anthony Towns’ 12.7 per game (fourth in the NBA).

But New York is on a back-to-back, which means we might not see the best version of this team tonight.

And Banchero has been putting in work on the glass. 

-> Bet on tonight’s Magic vs. Knicks Eastern Conference clash

The young Orlando Magic star is averaging a career-best 9.1 rebounds per game, a significant jump from the 7.5 he averaged in an injury-shortened campaign last season. 

  • Banchero has five double-digit rebounding games and is 8-3 vs. this line on the season.
  • The 23-year-old has gobbled up nine-plus boards in six of his last seven contests.

NBA player prop predictions

Murphy over 27.5 points/rebounds (-115): The fifth-year forward has turned in some big duds early on but he’s also blown past this line multiple times, including each of his last two games.

  • Murphy dropped 21 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in Monday’s loss to the Phoenix Suns.
  • The game before that, he scored a career-high 41 points and added nine rebounds.

With Zion Williamson and Jordan Poole out, Murphy is competing with no one on this New Orleans Pelicans team for shots.

-> Bet on tonight’s 12-game NBA slate at NorthStar Bets!

And plenty of the volume we see from him tonight should come from long range, allowing Murphy to pile up points if he can get into a rhythm.

Murphy has attempted 10-plus shots from distance in four of his last six games. He’s buried five-plus triples in each of those contests.

Averaging a career-high 7.0 rebounds, Murphy faces a Portland Trail Blazers team that’s surrendering just shy of 120 points a night.

NBA prop picks made at 12:10 p.m. ET on Nov. 12, 2025.

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Nuggets vs. Clippers SGP predictions Nov. 12: Take Denver to win, Jokic to continue scoring in bunches

Nuggets vs. Clippers predictions

The Denver Nuggets look to keep their perfect November intact on Wednesday night in a road matchup against the slumping Los Angeles Clippers.

The pregame narrative: Last night, Nikola Jokic continued his scoring binge with an ultra-efficient 35 points in Sacramento. Denver is a road favourite against an L.A. squad that is just 3-7 to start the year.

Check out my Nuggets vs. Clippers SGP, featuring picks on Jokic and John Collins.

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Nuggets vs. Clippers SGP predictions

Parlay: Nuggets ML | Jokic 25+ points | Collins under 1.5 threes (+300)

Nuggets moneyline (-141): The Clippers have the rest advantage over a Nuggets team that played yesterday, but I don’t think that’ll affect the outcome tonight.

Denver is still rightfully favoured thanks to a blazing hot start. The Nuggets are 8-2 with the NBA’s second-best net rating (+13.0).

Last season, the Nuggets went 13-4 straight up when playing on zero rest.

-> Bet on tonight’s NBA slate at NorthStar Bets

The Clippers, who were bounced by the Nuggets in the first round last season, enter tonight’s matchup on a five-game losing skid. Their -4.9 net rating ranks 22nd in the NBA.

Kawhi Leonard (ankle) will sit tonight for the fifth straight game. As you’d expect, L.A. has struggled without its leading scorer and second-leading rebounder.

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NBA SGP legs

Jokic 25+ points (-175): After taking a more passive role in Denver’s offence over the first week and change, Jokic has really upped his shot volume.

If you want something done right, sometimes you have to do it yourself.

  • Jokic has 25+ points in all five games this month, and Denver is 5-0 in those matchups.
  • Last night, Jokic scored 35 points on 16-of-19 shooting. His 66.9% field goal percentage is second out of 123 players who are attempting at least 10 shots per game.

-> Bet on Nikola Jokic futures markets

In four road games against the Clippers last season (playoffs included), Jokic went 3-1 vs. this scoring milestone while averaging 28.0 PPG.

Collins under 1.5 threes (-143): Collins’ 3-point attempts are currently at a seven-year low, and I don’t expect a high-volume effort from him tonight.

Denver has excelled at defending the perimeter, holding opponents to a 30.5 3PT% — the lowest mark in the league.

-> Bet on tonight’s Nuggets vs. Clippers game

Collins, in his first year with Los Angeles, is shooting at a 39.3% clip from beyond the arc. But he’s only averaging 2.8 attempts.

On so few 3-point attempts, and against the team with the lowest opponent 3PT%, it’s tough to see Collins having a big night beyond the arc.

This under on this prop is 7-3 so far this season despite the fact that Collins is shooting nearly 40.0% from outside.

Nuggets vs. Clippers SGP made at 11:10 a.m. ET 11/12/2025.

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Lakers vs. Thunder prop picks Nov. 12: Bet on Luka Doncic to fire away from 3-point range

Lakers vs. Thunder picks

The Los Angeles Lakers are on the road against the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday night.

The latest: OKC faced the Golden State Warriors last night and ran away with a 24-point victory. The Thunder are 5-0 at home, hosting a Lakers squad that is 5-1 so far on the road.

Check out my Lakers vs. Thunder picks for Nov. 12, featuring Luka Doncic and Marcus Smart.

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Lakers vs. Thunder picks

Best bet: Doncic over 3.5 threes (-115)

Oklahoma City was the best defensive team in the league last season, and so far that reputation is holding up this year.

If there’s one place to try to attack the Thunder, it’s on the perimeter. And I’m sure Doncic is more than happy to do that.

  • Doncic is on a scoring rampage so far, averaging 37.1 PPG through seven games.
  • His 3-point shooting hasn’t been particularly efficient, but the volume has been steady. He has 10+ attempted 3s in all seven games, averaging 3.9 makes on 32.1% shooting.
  • Doncic is 5-2 vs. this line — including 3-0 on the road.

-> Want to bet on Luka Doncic vs. the Thunder? Go to NorthStar Bets!

Oklahoma City allows the eighth-most attempted 3s per game, as well as the seventh-highest 3PT% (37.3).

Last year, in two games vs. OKC while playing for the Lakers, Doncic shot 8-for-18 (44.4%) from deep and went 1-1 vs. this number.

If the 3-point shot volume stays where it is, this line will be playable any night.

Key stat: Doncic is averaging 3.8 threes since the start of the 2023-24 season, and his 12.0 attempts/game this year is on track to be a career-high.

Embed: #120896

-> Wager on Wednesday’s 12-game NBA slate

L.A. vs. OKC props

Smart 4+ assists (+125): OKC is excellent at disrupting the flow of an opponent’s offence, which explains why the team has allowed the fourth-fewest assists per game so far.

Still, I think Smart is worth taking a flier on at this plus-money price. He’s third among facilitators on the Lakers, behind Doncic and Austin Reaves, but he still gets involved a fair amount.

-> Check out tonight’s Lakers vs. Thunder prop markets

  • Since joining the starting lineup on Oct. 26, Smart has averaged 4.4 assists in seven games. In that span, he’s averaging 7.6 potential assists, which denotes passes that lead directly to a shot.
  • Smart is 6-1 vs. this line in his past seven games.

For eight straight seasons from 2016-24, Smart averaged at least 4.0 APG. He knows how to dish the rock when given the opportunity.

Lakers vs. Thunder picks made at 9:16 a.m. ET on 11/05/2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 11: Bet on Jaylen Brown, Pascal Siakam to go off

NBA prop picks Nov. 11

Two all-star players headline Tuesday’s batch of NBA prop picks.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Jaylen Brown has stepped up as the No. 1 option for a Jayson Tatum-less Boston Celtics squad. He has a good chance to go off vs. the Philadelphia 76ers. Out west, look for Pascal Siakam to stuff the stat sheet against the Utah Jazz.

Check out my favourite NBA prop picks for Nov. 11, featuring Memphis Grizzlies rookie Cedric Coward.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 11

Best bet: Brown over 27.5 points (-123)

Fans saw this matchup on Halloween night, when Brown went off for 32 points on 13-of-19 shooting.

He also scored 25 points on opening night vs. the 76ers, which falls under tonight’s total but is far from a bad performance.

Brown is averaging 28.0 points this season on 52.2% shooting. That PPG average is good for seventh in the NBA.

The dynamic wing has a sky-high offensive floor nightly, going 6-3 against this wager over the last nine games.

-> Bet on Brown and the Celtics at NorthStar Bets

Brown starts at small forward but plays more like a shooting guard when running the offence.

That is important to note because the 76ers allow the second-most points per game to opposing SGs (25.88), per Fantasy Pros.

The first two games between these teams finished with an average of 225 points. Tonight’s total is 232.5, which suggests the offensive ceiling in this matchup is higher than what we’ve seen.

Key stat: Brown is averaging 32.5 points on 25.3 field goal attempts over his last four games.

Today’s best NBA prop bets

Siakam over 38.5 points/rebounds/assists (-112): You may think the Jazz are the weak team in this matchup, but Indiana is a horrendous 1-9.

That hasn’t been Siakam’s fault, though. He’s been a fine No. 1 option for the injury-depleted Pacers.

He is averaging 24.3 points, 7.9 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game (38.0 PRA).

That’s just below what is needed for this prop to cash, but Tuesday’s matchup looks like a great one.

-> Bet on Siakam to go off vs. Utah

Utah’s frontcourt is severely shorthanded with starting centre Walker Kessler out for the season and forward Taylor Hendricks listed as questionable after missing Monday’s contest.

The Jazz just lost back-to-back games to the Minnesota Timberwolves, and look what starting power forward Julius Randle was able to do:

  • Nov. 7 (26 minutes): 19 points, 10 rebounds, 12 assists
  • Nov. 10 (34 minutes): 27 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists

He didn’t even need maximum minutes to do damage against the Jazz. Siakam is a do-it-all forward like Randle.

The Pacers need Siakam to carry the offence, and this matchup provides him a solid opportunity to have an above-average night in all areas.

Coward over 18.5 points/rebounds (-120): Coward has jumped up to +1,000 to win NBA Rookie of the Year after his hot start.

-> Bet on rising rookie Coward on Tuesday

He has yet to start a game, but he’s still the third-most reliable player on the dysfunctional Grizzlies right now.

Coward is averaging 14.8 points and 6.2 rebounds per game on an extremely efficient 52.9% field-goal rate (44.4% from 3-point range).

That gives him a high floor every night, and since he’s a rookie, he should see consistent minutes regardless of the score.

Coward’s usage has been on the rise lately, too. Over the last seven games, he’s playing 28.6 minutes and averaging 20.5 points/rebounds.

NBA prop picks made at 3:36 p.m. ET on 11/11/2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 11: Bet on Jaylen Brown, Pascal Siakam to go off

NBA prop picks Nov. 11

Two all-star players headline Tuesday’s batch of NBA prop picks.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Jaylen Brown has stepped up as the No. 1 option for a Jayson Tatum-less Boston Celtics squad. He has a good chance to go off vs. the Philadelphia 76ers. Out west, look for Pascal Siakam to stuff the stat sheet against the Utah Jazz.

Check out my favourite NBA prop picks for Nov. 11, featuring Memphis Grizzlies rookie Cedric Coward.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 11

Best bet: Brown over 26.5 points (-125)

Fans saw this matchup on Halloween night, when Brown went off for 32 points on 13-of-19 shooting.

He also scored 25 points on opening night vs. the 76ers, which falls under tonight’s total but is far from a bad performance.

Brown is averaging 28.0 points this season on 52.2% shooting. That PPG average is good for seventh in the NBA.

The dynamic wing has a sky-high offensive floor nightly, going 7-2 against this wager over the last nine games.

-> Bet on Brown and the Celtics at NorthStar Bets

Brown starts at small forward but plays more like a shooting guard when running the offence.

That is important to note because the 76ers allow the second-most points per game to opposing SGs (25.88), per Fantasy Pros.

The first two games between these teams finished with an average of 225 points. Tonight’s total is 232.5, which suggests the offensive ceiling in this matchup is higher than what we’ve seen.

Key stat: Brown is averaging 32.5 points on 25.3 field goal attempts over his last four games.

Embed: #120873

Today’s best NBA prop bets

Siakam over 38.5 points/rebounds/assists (-110): You may think the Jazz are the weak team in this matchup, but Indiana is a horrendous 1-9.

That hasn’t been Siakam’s fault, though. He’s been a fine No. 1 option for the injury-depleted Pacers.

He is averaging 24.3 points, 7.9 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game (38.0 PRA).

That’s just below what is needed for this prop to cash, but Tuesday’s matchup looks like a great one.

-> Bet on Siakam to go off vs. Utah

Utah’s frontcourt is severely shorthanded with starting centre Walker Kessler out for the season and forward Taylor Hendricks listed as questionable after missing Monday’s contest.

The Jazz just lost back-to-back games to the Minnesota Timberwolves, and look what starting power forward Julius Randle was able to do:

  • Nov. 7 (26 minutes): 19 points, 10 rebounds, 12 assists
  • Nov. 10 (34 minutes): 27 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists

He didn’t even need maximum minutes to do damage against the Jazz. Siakam is a do-it-all forward like Randle.

The Pacers need Siakam to carry the offence, and this matchup provides him a solid opportunity to have an above-average night in all areas.

Coward over 18.5 points/rebounds (-124): Coward has jumped up to +1,000 to win NBA Rookie of the Year after his hot start.

-> Bet on rising rookie Coward on Tuesday

He has yet to start a game, but he’s still the third-most reliable player on the dysfunctional Grizzlies right now.

Coward is averaging 14.8 points and 6.2 rebounds per game on an extremely efficient 52.9% field-goal rate (44.4% from 3-point range).

That gives him a high floor every night, and since he’s a rookie, he should see consistent minutes regardless of the score.

Coward’s usage has been on the rise lately, too. Over the last seven games, he’s playing 28.6 minutes and averaging 20.5 points/rebounds.

NBA prop picks made at 12:56 p.m. ET on 11/11/2025.

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Warriors vs. Thunder SGP predictions Nov. 11: Bet on Steph Curry to shine in return

Warriors vs. Thunder predictions

Steph Curry makes his return for the Golden State Warriors against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday.

The pregame narrative: Curry missed three games with an illness but is off the injury report ahead of this contest. It’s a tough matchup against the champs, but I still expect the best shooter of all time to be lights out from range.

Check out my Warriors vs. Thunder SGP predictions for Nov. 11, featuring Isaiah Hartenstein.

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Warriors vs. Thunder SGP

Parlay: Thunder ML | Curry 4+ threes | Hartenstein double-double (+350)

Thunder moneyline (-295): OKC is at home and that instantly gives it the edge over any team in the NBA.

  • The Thunder are 4-0 at Paycom Center to start this season.
  • Last year, they had the best home record in the league (35-6).

But that’s just a little added juice to what’s an already amazing team regardless of location.

-> Bet on NBA futures at NorthStar Bets

The Thunder have the best average point differential in the NBA (+13.5) led by the best defensive rating (104.5).

Even with Curry in the lineup, Golden State is failing to meet expectations this season with a mediocre 6-5 record.

It also doesn’t help that the Warriors are 1-5 on the road.

NBA SGP legs

Curry 4+ threes (-182): I’m not worried about the fact that Curry has missed a few games.

He was questionable for Sunday’s contest but didn’t get the green light, and that extra rest hopefully means he’s fully recovered now.

Prior to his absence, Curry hit four or more 3s in six of seven games. He should be able to pick up right where he left off.

-> Bet on Curry on Tuesday night

As mentioned, OKC is the best defensive team in the NBA, but Curry was successful against them last season.

He went 2-0 against this line, hitting 12 of his 23 attempts from 3-point range in those games.

The Thunder also surprisingly allow the sixth-most 3s to opposing point guards (3.51/game), per Fantasy Pros.

Hartenstein to record a double-double (+125): I want to close things out with a high-value pick on the Thunder’s starting centre.

He’s been highly productive lately, posting six double-doubles in his past nine games.

Over that span, Hartenstein is playing close to 29 minutes per game while averaging 15.1 points and 12.0 rebounds.

The Warriors should have difficulty contesting Hartenstein for rebounds. Quinten Post is their tallest player at 7-feet but the centre only plays 16 minutes per game.

With Al Horford questionable, 6-foot-6 Draymond Green could be getting a lot of the minutes at centre. He’s a capable rebounder but is six inches shorter than Hartenstein, who’s a menace on the glass.

Warriors vs. Thunder SGP made at 11:20 a.m. ET 11/11/2025.

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Raptors vs. Nets prop picks Nov. 11: Look for Quickley to take advantage of Brooklyn’s struggling defence

Raptors vs. Nets prop picks

The Toronto Raptors’ five-game road trip continues on Tuesday night against the lowly Brooklyn Nets.

The latest: Brooklyn is one of three one-win teams in the NBA, and the team is 0-5 at Barclays Center so far. Toronto won both matchups in Brooklyn last year by double-digit margins, and the Raps are laying 10.5 points tonight.

Check out these Raptors vs. Nets prop picks for the game on Nov. 11, featuring Immanuel Quickley and Egor Demin.

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Raptors vs. Nets prop picks

Best bet: Quickley over 21.5 points/assists (-120)

Brooklyn’s defence has posted an NBA-worst 126.6 defensive rating so far, and I’m bullish on Quickley’s opportunity to thrive tonight.

  • For one thing, Quickley has carved up the Nets in the past. He’s 3-0 vs. this points/assists number in three matchups as the Raptors’ starting point guard, averaging 25.7 points and 9.0 assists.
  • Quickley hasn’t scored as much this year as last year, but he has 15+ points in five of his past seven games.
  • The Nets are allowing the most assists per game to opponents (31.0).

-> Bet on Immanuel Quickley here!

I expect Quickley to dish at least six assists, as he has in eight of 10 games this season. If that happens, he’d need a decent — but doable — scoring output to cash.

Hopefully, Quickley can build off his season-high 22 points from last time out. He was an efficient 8-of-16 (5-of-9 from deep) in that game.

One aspect of his game that definitely has meat on the bone is free-throw shooting. Quickley has only scored at a 76.9% clip from the line this season, but he’s an 85.5% shooter from the line in his career.

Key stat: Quickley has cashed this points/assists prop in back-to-back games and has 22+ PA in five of his past seven games.

-> Wager on Tuesday’s six-game NBA slate

Toronto vs. Brooklyn props

Demin over 17.5 points/rebounds/assists (-118): With Cam Thomas (hamstring) ruled out again, I’m loving this prop for Demin based on presumed opportunity.

The eighth-overall pick in the 2025 draft has started in both games sans-Thomas. He posted 18 PRA in the first start and 17 PRA in the second one.

-> Full Raptors vs. Nets props at NorthStar Bets

In his five games with 20+ minutes played this year, Demin is 3-2 vs. this PRA number.

The Raptors are hefty favourites tonight, but if the game gets out of hand, the 19-year-old Demin doesn’t seem like the type of player who’d be pulled early. And the Nets don’t play again until Friday, anyway.

Raptors vs. Nets prop picks made at 12:10 p.m. ET on 11/11/2025.

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Nuggets vs. Kings SGP predictions Nov. 11: Bet on Denver to win, Jokic to rack up assists

Nuggets vs. Kings predictions

For the second time in just over a week, Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets face Domantas Sabonis and the Sacramento Kings.

The pregame narrative: Sabonis (chest) is questionable after missing a pair of games on Nov. 5 and 7. He played on Sunday, though, posting 20 points and 13 rebounds in just 30 minutes. Denver is looking for its seventh consecutive win in this Western Conference matchup.

Check out my Nuggets vs. Kings SGP, featuring picks on Jokic and Sabonis.

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Nuggets vs. Kings SGP predictions

Parlay: Jokic 10+ assists | Nuggets -4.5 | Sabonis 12+ rebounds (+380)

Jokic 10+ assists (-159): It doesn’t seem like Jokic should still be capable of climbing to new statistical heights, but the three-time MVP is finding a way in his age-30 season.

Jokic currently leads the NBA in rebounds (13.0/game) and assists (11.9). His 11.9 APG is on track to be a career-high mark.

Keep in mind that Jokic just posted a career-high APG last season (10.2). But now he’s shooting less and passing more.

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  • Jokic has attempted 15.0 shots/per game, down from 19.5 FGA last season.
  • In addition to leading the NBA in assists, Jokic also leads the way in potential assists (19.2/game). A potential assist is any pass that leads directly to a shot.

Jokic has 10+ assists in seven of nine games, and he had exactly nine assists in both outliers.

Against the Kings, Jokic is 5-1 vs. this assists milestone in his past six matchups (with 14 assists in their lone meeting this year).

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NBA SGP legs

Nuggets -5.5 (-182): Denver has begun establishing some extended dominance against Sacramento in recent seasons, and this is a number I expect the Nuggets to cover on Tuesday.

  • The Nuggets have won six consecutive matchups vs. the Kings, covering a -5.5 spread in five of them. That includes a 130-124 win in Denver on Nov. 3.
  • Since their win over the Kings, the Nuggets have won three straight games by 10+ points.

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Sacramento is coming off back-to-back home losses by 25+ points. On the season, the Kings are 1-4 ATS at home.

It’s early, but Denver looks like a legit title contender once again — and Sacramento looks like a team that will be clawing for a play-in spot.

The Nuggets have the second-best net rating in the NBA (+13.0), while the Kings have the fifth-worst (-8.0).

Sabonis 12+ rebounds (-137): Jokic may lead the NBA in rebounds, but he can’t be the only one bringing down boards at Golden 1 Center tonight.

Sabonis, the three-time reigning rebounds champ, should be expected to put up big numbers on the glass as usual.

-> Bet on tonight’s Nuggets vs. Kings game

At 14.0 rebounds/game, Sabonis would be the rebounding leader again this year if he was qualified. But with a few games missed, he’s currently just off the pace.

Sabonis grabbed 17 rebounds last Monday against the Nuggets to extend a remarkably productive stretch against them.

He has 12+ rebounds in seven of his past eight head-to-head matchups against Denver. And he’s 6-1 vs. this milestone this season.

Nuggets vs. Kings SGP made at 11:50 a.m. ET 11/11/2025.

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