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Clippers vs. Kings SGP predictions Feb. 6: Bet on Kawhi Leonard, John Collins at +340

The Los Angeles Clippers and Sacramento Kings close out Friday’s NBA slate with an intrastate showdown in California’s capital.

The pregame narrative: Los Angeles hasn’t performed well without James Harden this season, and new addition Darius Garland isn’t available to fill his shoes just yet. The Clippers are favoured, though, against a Kings squad that has lost 10 straight.

Check out my same-game parlay Clippers vs. Kings predictions for Feb. 6, featuring Kawhi Leonard and John Collins.

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Clippers vs. Kings predictions

SGP: Kings +10.5 | Leonard 6+ rebounds | Collins 2+ threes (+340)

Kings +10.5 (-435): Sacramento entered Thursday’s NBA trade deadline on a 10-game losing streak with a 12-40 record, and the team opted to keep Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan.

It’s a bold strategy, Cotton. Let’s see if it pays off for ’em.

I don’t want to spend too much time talking about the Kings’ organizational failures, though, and think they’re worth backing on a heavily-teased spread tonight.

Sacramento has covered this line in five of its last 10 games and nine of its last 14.

Los Angeles is 2-4 SU without Harden, and 1-5 ATS vs. this line. It most recently lost by 23 points to the Cleveland Cavaliers after trading The Beard.

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The Clippers also traded Ivica Zubac at the deadline for Bennedict Mathurin, but the Canadian guard isn’t available tonight.

That means L.A.’s starting rotation will consist of Leonard, Collins, Kobe Sanders, Kris Dunn, and Brook Lopez. I can’t see that group winning by 11 points.

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NBA SGP picks

Leonard 6+ rebounds (-167): Leonard’s career year is almost certainly going to be wasted on the middling Clippers. He’s mainly done damage as a scorer, but he should feast on the glass tonight.

-> Bet on Kawhi Leonard and John Collins tonight in Sacramento!

Zubac averaged 11.0 rebounds per game (fifth in the NBA) and is no longer on the court. On the other side, Sabonis, the three-time reigning rebounding champ, is questionable with back soreness.

Even if Sabonis plays, I expect Leonard to have an uptick in production as a rebounder.

The Claw is averaging 6.1 boards this season.

Clippers vs. Kings prop prediction

Collins 2+ threes (+110): Finally, I like Collins to drain a pair of 3s.

The power forward was lights out from deep over his last 20 games.

2.2 threes per game
57.1 3PT%
14-6 vs. this line

Sacramento skews as a semi-difficult matchup, allowing the 11th-fewest 3s per game.

But Collins is going to get plenty of looks with L.A.’s skeleton squad lineup, and has already cashed this wager against the Kings in December.

Clippers vs. Kings predictions made at 10 a.m. on Feb. 6, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Feb. 6: Fade Trey Murphy, look for Jarace Walker to shine for Pacers

Newfound opportunities are calling for Jarace Walker and Ron Holland, which is why both lesser-known players have worked their way into Friday’s NBA prop picks.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Walker and Holland have predictably modest points props tonight in their respective matchups and look like solid picks to cash. Elsewhere, Trey Murphy is worth fading despite putting on a sharpshooting masterclass last time out.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 6.

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NBA prop picks Feb. 6

Best bet: Murphy under 3.5 threes (-124)

It would’ve come with a hefty price tag, but some thought Murphy would be on the move ahead of Thursday’s 3 p.m. trade deadline.

Murphy flashed his peak value on Wednesday, dropping a season-high 44 points while burying 12-of-19 attempts from 3-point range.

Clearly, his ceiling is high, but I still think tonight’s 3s line is a bit high based on a few factors.

He doesn’t typically go over 3.5 threes. In 49 games this season, Murphy has cashed this under 31 times (63.3%).
Minnesota is tough on opposing 3-point shooters. The Timberwolves excel at limiting chances from beyond the arc, holding opponents to the seventh-fewest makes and the fourth-fewest attempts.
Murphy is less efficient as a visitor. The small forward, who will play in Minnesota tonight, has a lower 3-point percentage on the road (36.2%) than he does at home (38.4%).

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It’s easy to see Murphy’s 19 attempted 3s last time out and want nothing to do with this under. But that volume was an anomaly.

In his past eight games before Wednesday’s explosion, Murphy shot 23.6% from deep. And this under went 8-0 in those games.

Key stat: In his lone matchup vs. Minnesota this season, Murphy went 0-for-5 from deep.

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Best NBA picks

Holland over 8.5 points (+102): This seems like great value for Holland, a bench player who could see a short-term promotion for the Detroit Pistons.

Last night, Jalen Duren suffered a knee injury that forced him out — and Holland started in his place in the second half. Holland finished with 11 points on 4-of-9 shooting in 25 minutes.

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The second-year lottery pick is averaging 8.2 PPG this season on roughly 20 minutes per night. And he’s 25-23 (52.1%) vs. this prop.

Assuming Duren sits tonight, which seems more than fair on a back-to-back, look for Holland to find a bit more work on offence.

NBA player prop predictions

Walker over 11.5 points (-107): Ivica Zubac will be wearing an Indiana Pacers jersey as soon as Sunday, which means tonight could be Walker’s last chance in the starting lineup for the foreseeable future.

I’m betting on him to make the most of it.

In his past seven games (five starts), Walker is averaging 17.1 PPG on 51.8/41.2/76.9 shooting splits. He is 6-1 vs. this line and scored 11 points in the outlier.

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Walker started against the Milwaukee Bucks back in November and excelled, scoring 18 points in 38 minutes (7-of-15 shooting). And that was with Giannis Antetokounmpo protecting the rim.

Giannis will be in street clothes tonight, which should make things even easier on the 22-year-old power forward out of Houston.

NBA prop picks made at 10:20 a.m. ET on Feb. 6, 2026.

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76ers vs. Lakers SGP picks Feb. 5: Bet on Philly to cover, Joel Embiid to score in +320 parlay

Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers continue a West Coast road trip on Thursday night against the Los Angeles Lakers.

The pregame narrative: L.A. will play its first game at Crypto.com Arena since Jan. 18, having just returned from an extensive road trip of its own. The Lakers, who are on a six-game ATS win streak as favourites, are laying 4 points vs. the 76ers.

Check out my same-game parlay 76ers vs. Lakers picks, featuring prop bets on Embiid and Luka Doncic.

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76ers vs. Lakers picks

SGP: Embiid over 28.5 points | Doncic 3+ threes | 76ers +4.5 (+320)

Embiid over 28.5 points (-118): Embiid had a poor shooting night — by his lofty standards — last time out to fall under this number. But I still think his recent body of work is worth getting behind.

Since Dec. 30, Embiid has played every game aside from a quartet of back-to-backs. That’s as healthy as anyone can hope or expect him to be at this point.

And in 16 games over that time, here’s what he’s done offensively (NBA ranks in parentheses):

29.6 PPG (4th)
19.7 shots/game (6th)
8.1 made free throws/game (2nd)

Embiid is getting plenty of shots up, and he’s getting to the line pretty much as well as anyone. Naturally, big scoring performances have followed.

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Prior to his 24-point effort on Monday, Embiid had cashed this bet in seven straight games.

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NBA SGP pick

Doncic 3+ threes (-275): As the odds indicate, this is the safest and most straightforward leg of the SGP.

Doncic averages 3.6 triples on 10.4 attempts. So we’re working with decent efficiency on elite volume (only Steph Curry averages more attempted 3s than Doncic).

And his latest output paints an even rosier picture: Doncic has cashed this milestone prop in 11 straight games, canning 4.6 threes at a 41.6% clip in that span.

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Doncic shot just 2-for-9 from deep when he last faced the Sixers (on Dec. 7), but I’m chalking that up to an off-night. As long as his shot volume is in the expected range, I won’t be worried at all.

Philadelphia vs. Los Angeles ATS prediction

76ers +4.5 (-117): I’m going to harken back to Dec. 30, which is a mile marker for Embiid’s good health and also for a strong run by Philly.

And of course, it makes sense for those things to be intertwined.

From Dec. 30 onward, the Sixers are 13-7 with the ninth-best net rating in the NBA (+3.8). Their defence has been so-so, but the offence has operated at the fourth-best efficiency (118.1 rating).

In that same time frame, the Lakers are 10-9 with a -0.6 net rating. L.A.’s offensive and defensive ratings in that span are both below Philly’s.

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The Sixers have covered this number in 15 of their past 16 games with Embiid on the floor, and they covered it when they faced the Lakers in December.

L.A. just got back from an eight-game road swing that ended in New York on Tuesday, while Philly has been on the West Coast all week. I like this as a potential upset spot for the visitors.

76ers vs. Lakers picks made at 12:05 p.m. on Feb. 5, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Feb. 5: Fade Moody, bet on Banchero and Harper to shine

Dylan Harper is heating up for the San Antonio Spurs, and he’s got my attention in Thursday’s all-Texas tussle against the Dallas Mavericks.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Harper comes off the bench for a Spurs team with a glut of guard talent, but he still gets plenty of minutes. And with the way he’s shooting right now, that shouldn’t change.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 5, featuring predictions on Paolo Banchero and Moses Moody.

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NBA prop picks Feb. 5

Best bet: Banchero over 4.5 assists (-108)

There’s some blowout potential in tonight’s matchup between the Brooklyn Nets and Orlando Magic, which does pose a bit of a risk for Banchero.

But I’m a big fan of the matchup and the price, so I’m willing to take the plunge.

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Against the Brooklyn Nets, Banchero is certainly capable of doing a lot with a little.

Brooklyn allows the sixth-most assists per game (27.6) and the highest opponent FG% (49.4).

The Nets play at the second-slowest pace, but they are among the least efficient defences in the NBA (fifth-worst defensive rating).

The hope will simply be that Banchero’s minutes aren’t slashed too severely. But given that he’s averaging 4.8 assists this season, this feels like a very worthy flier.

Key stat: Dating back to the 2022-23 season, Banchero is 5-2 vs. this prop when facing the Nets. That includes a six-assist performance against them last month.

Best NBA picks

Moody under 14.5 points (-130): With Steph Curry ruled out for the Golden State Warriors, you might expect Moody to help pick up the slack from 3-point range.

No doubt he’ll try, but I think this is a great spot to fade the fifth-year shooting guard.

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Moody was bottled up by the Phoenix Suns when he last faced them in a home-and-home on Dec. 18 and 20. He finished with just eight combined points on 3-for-14 shooting across those two games.

In 12 games without Curry this season, Moody has hit this under 11 times. He’s averaging 11.3 PPG in those matchups.

The Suns allow the third-lowest opponent 3PT% (34.6) and the fourth-fewest made 3s per game.

Moody takes roughly two-thirds of his shots from deep, so he should be in a tough spot on the road tonight in Phoenix.

NBA player prop predictions

Harper over 9.5 points (-130): I’m pleasantly surprised to see Harper’s points prop is still set at 9.5 points, which is an over I touted a few days ago.

Back on Sunday, Harper crushed this line by scoring 15 points on 6-of-12 shooting off the bench for the Spurs.

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That marked Harper’s third consecutive game with at least 15 points on 50.0% or better shooting. It’s no coincidence that it was also his third straight game with 22-plus minutes (for the first time since Dec. 3-8).

San Antonio’s No. 2 overall draft pick is shooting well right now and earning his extended run.

He’s averaging 10.7 PPG and scored 15 points against the Mavericks when they played on opening night.

NBA prop picks made at 11:10 a.m. ET on Feb. 5, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Feb. 5: Fade Moody, bet on Banchero and Harper to shine

Dylan Harper is heating up for the San Antonio Spurs, and he’s got my attention in Thursday’s all-Texas tussle against the Dallas Mavericks.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Harper comes off the bench for a Spurs team with a glut of guard talent, but he still gets plenty of minutes. And with the way he’s shooting right now, that shouldn’t change.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 5, featuring predictions on Paolo Banchero and Moses Moody.

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NBA prop picks Feb. 5

Best bet: Banchero over 4.5 assists (+112)

There’s some blowout potential in tonight’s matchup between the Brooklyn Nets and Orlando Magic, which does pose a bit of a risk for Banchero.

But I’m a big fan of the matchup and the price, so I’m willing to take the plunge.

-> Bet on tonight’s NBA slate now!

Against the Brooklyn Nets, Banchero is certainly capable of doing a lot with a little.

Brooklyn allows the sixth-most assists per game (27.6) and the highest opponent FG% (49.4).

The Nets play at the second-slowest pace, but they are among the least efficient defences in the NBA (fifth-worst defensive rating).

The hope will simply be that Banchero’s minutes aren’t slashed too severely. But given that he’s averaging 4.8 assists this season, this feels like a very worthy flier.

Key stat: Dating back to the 2022-23 season, Banchero is 5-2 vs. this prop when facing the Nets. That includes a six-assist performance against them last month.

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Best NBA picks

Moody under 14.5 points (-121): With Steph Curry ruled out for the Golden State Warriors, you might expect Moody to help pick up the slack from 3-point range.

No doubt he’ll try, but I think this is a great spot to fade the fifth-year shooting guard.

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Moody was bottled up by the Phoenix Suns when he last faced them in a home-and-home on Dec. 18 and 20. He finished with just eight combined points on 3-for-14 shooting across those two games.

In 12 games without Curry this season, Moody has hit this under 11 times. He’s averaging 11.3 PPG in those matchups.

The Suns allow the third-lowest opponent 3PT% (34.6) and the fourth-fewest made 3s per game.

Moody takes roughly two-thirds of his shots from deep, so he should be in a tough spot on the road tonight in Phoenix.

NBA player prop predictions

Harper over 9.5 points (-107): I’m pleasantly surprised to see Harper’s points prop is still set at 9.5 points, which is an over I touted a few days ago.

Back on Sunday, Harper crushed this line by scoring 15 points on 6-of-12 shooting off the bench for the Spurs.

-> See tonight’s NBA moneyline odds, spreads & game totals

That marked Harper’s third consecutive game with at least 15 points on 50.0% or better shooting. It’s no coincidence that it was also his third straight game with 22-plus minutes (for the first time since Dec. 3-8).

San Antonio’s No. 2 overall draft pick is shooting well right now and earning his extended run.

He’s averaging 10.7 PPG and scored 15 points against the Mavericks when they played on opening night.

NBA prop picks made at 10 a.m. ET on Feb. 5, 2026.

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Cavaliers vs. Clippers SGP predictions Feb. 4: Back Kawhi Leonard and Sam Merrill at +310

Last night, the Los Angeles Clippers and Cleveland Cavaliers made a blockbuster trade centred around James Harden and Darius Garland. One day later, they battle at Intuit Dome.

The pregame narrative: It’s unlikely we’ll see Harden (questionable) cross the aisle and immediately play for his new team. Garland, meanwhile, remains sidelined with a toe injury. The Cavs are modest 2-point road favourites after this seismic roster shakeup.

Check out my same-game parlay Cavaliers vs. Clippers picks, featuring Kawhi Leonard and Sam Merrill.

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Cavaliers vs. Clippers picks

SGP: Cavaliers +6.5 | Leonard over 26.5 points | Merrill 3+ threes (+310)

Cavaliers +6.5 (-360): If this trade were made months ago, when the Cavs were a middling 15-14, I would’ve thought it was a bit knee-jerk on their part.

But Cleveland has been on a heater lately, and sits near the top of the Eastern Conference at 30-21.

For you math aficionados out there, that means the Cavs have gone 15-7 in their last 21 games.

In that span, they’ve covered a +6.5 spread 80.9% of the time.

Cleveland has gone 7-2 with a +5.6 net rating (seventh in the NBA) since Garland’s injury on Jan. 14.

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Los Angeles has been on quite a run of its own over the last six weeks, but it will certainly miss Harden until Garland is ready to play.

The Clippers are 1-4 against this line without Harden this year.

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NBA SGP pick

Leonard over 26.5 points (-118): When Leonard is healthy and on the court, as he is right now, he’s simply one of the best players in the game.

The Claw is averaging a career-best 27.6 PPG while boasting near 50-40-90 shooting splits.

And his last 20 games have been particularly impressive:

29.8 PPG
25+ points 14 times
20+ points in every game

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Cleveland is typically a tough matchup for any forward, with reigning DPOY Evan Mobley patrolling the interior. But Mobley is out tonight, which will be a boon for Leonard and the Clippers.

Cavaliers prop prediction

Merrill 3+ threes (-155): Merrill is a stereotypical journeyman guard. He’s 29 years old, is starting consistently for the first time in his career, and is lights out from deep.

Merrill is averaging 3.5 threes on 7.9 attempts per game (45.9%).

He is 13-5 against this milestone as a starter.

That includes a 6-of-8 performance from deep in his last game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers.

-> Bet on tonight’s Cavaliers vs. Clippers game!

Los Angeles allows the 12th-most 3s per game (13.7) at the sixth-highest rate (36.9%).

Cavaliers vs. Clippers picks made at 12:25 p.m. on Feb. 4, 2026.

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Timberwolves vs. Raptors prop picks Feb. 4: Back Rudy Gobert, Sandro Mamukelashvili on Wednesday

The Toronto Raptors welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves into town for the last game before Thursday’s NBA trade deadline.

The pregame narrative: Toronto is reportedly looking to add a big name tomorrow, meaning this could be the last time Immanuel Quickley or RJ Barrett suit up for the Raptors. Minnesota has won four of its last five games and is laying 2.5 points on the road.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Raptors prop picks for Feb. 4, featuring Rudy Gobert and Sandro Mamukelashvili.

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Timberwolves vs. Raptors prop picks

Best bet: Gobert double-double (+138)

Jakob Poeltl is one name circulating the rumour mill.

The oft-injured centre hasn’t played since Dec. 21, and has been floated in a package with Barrett that could potentially return Domantas Sabonis.

But that’s neither here nor there. Poeltl is out, meaning Gobert should run roughshod on the glass.

-> Bet on Rudy Gobert against the Raptors tonight!

The Frenchman is averaging 11.3 rebounds per game (second in the NBA) and has double-digit boards in 22 of his last 25 games. I’m not worried about the rebounding portion of this bet tonight.

Scoring 10 points should be the challenge against a Raptors team allowing the fifth-fewest PPG to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

But Gobert may have an increased role with Anthony Edwards (elbow) and Julius Randle (thumb) questionable.

Even if they are in the lineup, I like his chances of reaching this total.

Gobert has double-digit points in 27 of his 49 starts, falling one basket shy another 10 times. He also has fantastic numbers against the Raptors.

Key stat: Gobert has recorded eight straight double-doubles against Toronto.

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Best Raptors prop bet

Mamukelashvili over 10.5 points (-112): Mamukelashvili will rotate with Collin Murray-Boyles at centre this evening, but the Raps are playing a positionally-agnostic frontcourt with Scottie Barnes in the mix.

That’s why acquiring Sabonis makes sense, but again, I digress.

Mamukelashvili has been playing big minutes since Jan. 1 with encouraging results:

26.3 MPG
13.1 PPG
54.5 FG%

He has gone over this mark in nine of 15 games since the new year.

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Minnesota has allowed the sixth-most PPG to opposing centres this year, so I’m confident Mamukelashvili can get his licks in.

Timberwolves vs. Raptors prop picks made at 11:20 a.m. ET on Feb. 4, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Feb. 4: Back Victor Wembanyama, Derik Queen, Nikola Jokic

I’m targeting a trio of centres in Wednesday’s NBA prop picks.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Victor Wembanyama’s rebound total is enticing in a potential Western Conference Finals preview between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder. Elsewhere, look for Nikola Jokic to connect from 3-point land in the Big Apple.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 4, featuring a best bet on New Orleans Pelicans rookie Derik Queen.

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NBA prop picks Feb. 4

Best bet: Queen over 22.5 PRA (-130)

Queen is the youngest and by far the least proven of the three players I’m backing, but the No. 13 pick out of Maryland has a sky-high ceiling.

After all, you don’t earn the nickname “Baby Jokic” on Basketball Reference for nothing.

The 6-foot-9 centre is averaging 24.0 PRA per game, and can put up big numbers in any of the three major counting stats on a nightly basis:

9 games with 20+ points
17 games with 9+ rebounds
10 games with 7+ assists

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There have been nine games where Queen has gone completely nuclear, totalling 35+ PRA.

The rookie also has quiet nights, but shouldn’t face much adversity in Milwaukee.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is sitting out tonight and might be traded before tomorrow’s deadline. Bobby Portis (hip) is also questionable after missing Tuesday’s game.

The vibes will be low in Fiserv Forum, and I think the Pelicans should rout a defeated Bucks squad.

Key stat: Queen has cleared this line in 27 of 51 games.

Best NBA picks

Wembanyama over 10.5 rebounds (-125): San Antonio is a 2-point home underdog as these two heavyweights put a bow on their regular-season series, which the Spurs currently lead 3-1.

Oklahoma City is slightly shorthanded without Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell, but it does have Isaiah Hartenstein back at centre, giving the defending champs some rebounding pop.

Still, this looks like a smash play for Wembanyama.

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The sophomore is 1-3 against this line vs. OKC this year, but was on a minutes restriction in each of those games.

When Wemby has played 30-plus minutes, as he’s done in four of his last six games, he is 10-5 against this line.

OKC is 25th in rebounding rate, and gives up the eighth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

NBA player prop predictions

Jokic over 1.5 threes (-130): This is Jokic’s fourth game back following a month-long injury stint. The early 3-point shooting results have been encouraging:

6-for-10 (60.0% shooting)
2-1 vs. this line

On the season, Jokic is averaging career highs in makes (2.1) and attempts (4.7). That 44.5 three-point rate ranks 10th in the NBA.

-> See tonight’s NBA moneyline odds, spreads & game totals

The New York Knicks have struggled to defend the perimeter, and are allowing the seventh-most 3s per game (14.0) at the 12th-highest clip (36.3%).

NBA prop picks made at 10:10 a.m. ET on Feb. 4, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Feb. 4: Back Victor Wembanyama, Derik Queen, Nikola Jokic

I’m targeting a trio of centres in Wednesday’s NBA prop picks.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Victor Wembanyama’s rebound total is enticing in a potential Western Conference Finals preview between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder. Elsewhere, look for Nikola Jokic to connect from 3-point land in the Big Apple.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 4, featuring a best bet on New Orleans Pelicans rookie Derik Queen.

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NBA prop picks Feb. 4

Best bet: Queen over 22.5 PRA (-120)

Queen is the youngest and by far the least proven of the three players I’m backing, but the No. 13 pick out of Maryland has a sky-high ceiling.

After all, you don’t earn the nickname “Baby Jokic” on Basketball Reference for nothing.

The 6-foot-9 centre is averaging 24.0 PRA per game, and can put up big numbers in any of the three major counting stats on a nightly basis:

9 games with 20+ points
17 games with 9+ rebounds
10 games with 7+ assists

-> Bet on tonight’s NBA slate now!

There have been nine games where Queen has gone completely nuclear, totalling 35+ PRA.

The rookie also has quiet nights, but shouldn’t face much adversity in Milwaukee.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is sitting out tonight and might be traded before tomorrow’s deadline. Bobby Portis (hip) is also questionable after missing Tuesday’s game.

The vibes will be low in Fiserv Forum, and I think the Pelicans should rout a defeated Bucks squad.

Key stat: Queen has cleared this line in 27 of 51 games.

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Best NBA picks

Wembanyama over 10.5 rebounds (-127): San Antonio is a 2-point home underdog as these two heavyweights put a bow on their regular-season series, which the Spurs currently lead 3-1.

Oklahoma City is slightly shorthanded without Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell, but it does have Isaiah Hartenstein back at centre, giving the defending champs some rebounding pop.

Still, this looks like a smash play for Wembanyama.

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The sophomore is 1-3 against this line vs. OKC this year, but was on a minutes restriction in each of those games.

When Wemby has played 30-plus minutes, as he’s done in four of his last six games, he is 10-5 against this line.

OKC is 25th in rebounding rate, and gives up the eighth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

NBA player prop predictions

Jokic over 1.5 threes (-118): This is Jokic’s fourth game back following a month-long injury stint. The early 3-point shooting results have been encouraging:

6-for-10 (60.0% shooting)
2-1 vs. this line

On the season, Jokic is averaging career highs in makes (2.1) and attempts (4.7). That 44.5 three-point rate ranks 10th in the NBA.

-> See tonight’s NBA moneyline odds, spreads & game totals

The New York Knicks have struggled to defend the perimeter, and are allowing the seventh-most 3s per game (14.0) at the 12th-highest clip (36.3%).

NBA prop picks made at 10:10 a.m. ET on Feb. 4, 2026.

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Suns vs. Trail Blazers SGP picks Feb. 3: Back Brooks and Clingan in +320 wager

Tuesday’s NBA nightcap between the Phoenix Suns and Portland Trail Blazers is lacking some starpower.

The pregame narrative: Devin Booker is out for Phoenix, and Deni Avdija is doubtful for Portland. The Suns are modest 3-point road favourites at the time of writing, and look to improve on their league-best 33-17-0 ATS record.

Check out my same-game parlay Suns vs. Trail Blazers picks for Feb. 3, featuring picks on Donovan Clingan and Dillon Brooks.

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Suns vs. Trail Blazers picks

SGP: Suns +5.5 | Brooks over 21.5 points | Clingan double-double (+320)

Suns +5.5 (-385): Phoenix is one win away from passing its preseason 30.5 win total.

That should tell you everything about how Jordan Ott’s squad is playing, and why the rookie bench boss is in the running for Coach of the Year.

The Suns were supposed to be a mess this year, and have consistently exceeded expectations. Losing Booker is tough, but the squad has gone 4-5 without him with impressive wins over the Cavaliers, Timberwolves, and Pistons.

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Portland isn’t a great team by any metric, has lost five straight, and is likely without its best player and lone all-star, Avdija.

The Trail Blazers are 2-4 without Avdija, losing three straight games with him on the sideline.

Phoenix is 7-2 ATS as a road favourite, so I feel very comfortable teasing them through zero to a 5.5-point underdog.

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NBA SGP predictions

Brooks over 21.5 points (-108): This is a smash play for me.

Brooks is having a monster year offensively: He is posting career highs in points (21.1/game), field goal attempts (17.2/game), and field goal percentage (44.6%).

The Canadian has been dynamite since Booker got injured five games ago: He’s averaging 28.2 PPG, and is 5-0 against this line.

He’s a mid-range assassin: Brooks takes 49% of his shots from the mid-range (96th percentile for wing players), per Cleaning the Glass. Portland ranks 24th in mid-range defence.

-> Bet on Dillon Brooks, Donovan Clingan and more in Suns vs. Blazers!

Brooks is running hot and has a great matchup. I expect him to lead Phoenix’s offence this evening.

Donovan Clingan prop bet

Clingan double-double (-148): Finally, I’m backing Clingan to record a double-double.

The sophomore skyscraper stands at 7-foot-2, averaging 11.1 points and 11.1 rebounds per game. He’s live to clear this total on a nightly basis, and has a favourable matchup against Phoenix.

The Suns allow the 10th-most rebounds per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros. His rebounding total is set at 12.5 (-106 to the over), so that’s not what I’m worried about.

Scoring 10 points is the real test, and it’s one Clingan should pass.

Phoenix has the fifth-worst rim defence (shots within four feet of the basket), allowing opponents to score at a 68.7% clip.

With Avdija out, Clingan should get enough looks to reach double digits.

Suns vs. Trail Blazers SGP picks made at 12:40 p.m. on Feb. 3, 2026.

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