It’s a light Tuesday NBA slate, but I have three players I’m targeting on the prop market tonight.
Today’s NBA props narrative: Ajay Mitchell has been a big contributor off the Oklahoma City Thunder bench, and I like him to keep his scoring up in a game with blowout potential vs. the Steph Curry-less Golden State Warriors.
Check out my top NBA prop picks for Dec. 2, featuring predictions on San Antonio Spurs guards Devin Vassell and Dylan Harper.
-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the NBA!
NBA prop picks Dec. 2
Best bet: Harper over 11.5 points (-105)
The No. 2 overall pick has been limited to nine games, all off the bench.
Harper’s per-game numbers might look underwhelming (13.2 points, 3.0 rebounds, 3.1 assists), but he’s only averaging 21.3 minutes a night.
On a per-36-minute basis, he’s averaging an excellent 22.2 points, and more than five rebounds and assists. Harper is also shooting well from the field (50.5%).
He can provide the Spurs with a scoring jolt off the bench and can perhaps start earning himself more minutes with starters Stephon Castle and Victor Wembanyama sidelined.
-> Bet on tonight’s 6-game NBA slate
The 19-year-old did that in his last game, logging 20 minutes for the first time in four November outings and scoring 17 points, his most since a 20-point outing vs. the Nets in October.
He has a good opportunity to turn in another productive scoring night against the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies have not fared well against guards, allowing the third-most points to point guards and fifth-most to shooting guards, per Fantasy Pros.
That makes this a ripe matchup for Harper, whether he’s the primary PG during his minutes or playing off-ball.
Key stat: Harper is 6-3 vs. this line and landed on 11 points in two of the three games he fell short of this number.
Best NBA picks
Mitchell over 13.5 points (-115): With Curry out, we could very well be staring down another lopsided Thunder win.
That would bode well for Mitchell and other reserves, leading to more run if the starters aren’t needed for heavy minutes.
Oklahoma City is a 12-point road favourite as of Tuesday afternoon. The Thunder enter with a 20-1 record and on a 12-game winning streak. They’ve won by double digits 13 times.
-> Bet on OKC to win its 13th game in a row!
OKC has already disposed of the Warriors once this season, winning by 24 in a game Curry suited up for.
- That was one of five straight games Mitchell started, and he dropped 17 points in the blowout.
- While he naturally got more playing time in those starts, he’s still averaging a healthy 26.5 minutes on the season.
- The second-year guard has made the most of those minutes, taking a big leap in the scoring department. He’s averaging 15.2 PPG after contributing 6.5 in his rookie season.
Mitchell has cleared this line in 14 of 21 games.
NBA player prop predictions
Vassell over 2.5 threes (-105): I’m doubling down on Spurs guards vs. the Grizzlies.
-> See tonight’s NBA prop markets
This time, I’m also looking to take advantage of Memphis’ weak perimeter defence. While Harper doesn’t have much of a 3-point shot — at least not yet — Vassell certainly does.
- He’s averaging 2.7 triples on 38.3% shooting from long range.
- Vassell has taken 9+ attempts from deep in two straight contests and cleared this line in four of his last five.
- The 25-year-old has cashed this prop in 10 of 19 games.
- Only six teams are allowing more threes per game than the Grizzlies, who rank 21st in opponent 3-point percentage.
NBA prop picks made at 1:35 p.m. ET on Dec. 2, 2025.
