Category: NBA

Best NBA prop picks Jan. 16: Back Domantas Sabonis in his return, Derik Queen vs. Pacers

NBA prop picks Jan. 16

Three big men are the focus of Friday’s NBA prop bets.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Domantas Sabonis was a full participant in practice yesterday and is eyeing a return tonight against the Washington Wizards. The three-time rebounding champ should be active on the glass. Elsewhere, look for rookie Derik Queen to stuff the stat sheet against the Indiana Pacers.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Jan. 16, featuring a bet on Cleveland’s Evan Mobley.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 16

Best bet: Queen over 23.5 points/rebounds/assists (-130)

Queen’s production can fluctuate wildly on a nightly basis, but his per-game PRA average is right around this line:

  • 12.5 PPG
  • 7.5 RPG
  • 4.5 APG

Putting up 24.5 PRA as a rookie centre on an awful team is no small feat. The No. 13 pick out of Maryland has been dubbed “Baby Jokic” on Basketball Reference, for his high ceiling as a do-it-all big.

Is that wildly premature and a little bit disrespectful to the real thing? Sure. But Queen has nine double-doubles and two triple-doubles this year, along with two 30-point games.

-> Bet on Derik Queen vs. Pacers!

Tonight’s matchup is perfect for Queen to have a Jokic-esque game.

Indiana has the second-worst rebounding rate in the NBA and plays at the 10th-fastest pace (possessions per 48 minutes), per NBA.com.

The Pacers also give up the ninth-most points and assists per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Queen smashed this line in his lone meeting with Indiana this year. He had 17 points, 10 rebounds and four assists on 8-of-8 shooting.

Best NBA picks

Sabonis over 9.5 rebounds (-118): Sabonis has led the league in rebounding in each of the last three seasons, with absurd marks over the last two campaigns:

  • 2023-24: 13.7 RPG
  • 2024-25: 13.9 RPG

The big man missed 27 games with a partial meniscus tear, so he will likely be eased back into action — especially since his name is floating around some serious trade rumours.

-> Full betting markets for Friday’s NBA slate

But I expect Sabonis to clear this line even on a minutes restriction.

He’s the world’s best rebounder and is going up against an undersized Wizards team missing Khris Middleton and Bilal Coulibaly.

Washington gives up the most rebounds per game to opposing centres (16.63).

NBA player prop predictions

Mobley over 1.5 blocks (-154)): I don’t typically recommend these types of bets, but the reigning Defensive Player of the Year has been on a tear since returning from injury and re-entering Cleveland’s starting lineup on Dec. 29:

  • 2.8 blocks/game
  • 7-2 vs. this line

Mobley has recorded five “stocks” (steals plus blocks) in back-to-back games, logging four blocks and a steal against the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday.

He plays the Sixers again tonight, and I love the value on a repeat performance.

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NBA prop picks made at 9:55 a.m. ET on Jan. 16, 2026.

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Timberwolves vs. Rockets SGP predictions Jan. 16: Back Jaden McDaniels, Amen Thompson in +410 same-game parlay

Timberwolves vs. Rockets picks

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Houston Rockets as part of Friday night’s light six-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Minnesota is down superstar Anthony Edwards but has played well without him and will enjoy a rest advantage against the sputtering Rockets. I like the underdog Timberwolves to cover and have two prop predictions in this +410 same-game parlay recommendation.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Rockets picks for Jan. 16, featuring SGP legs on Jaden McDaniels and Amen Thompson.

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Timberwolves vs. Rockets picks

Parlay: Timberwolves +4.5 | McDaniels 15+ points | Thompson 8+ rebounds (+410)

Timberwolves +4.5 (-109): The Rockets have been below .500 since the start of December with some bad losses over that stretch. 

  • Utah 
  • New Orleans 
  • Sacramento (x2) 
  • Portland (x2)

These teams are going in opposite directions. Minnesota is fourth in the NBA in net rating over that same time period and has won six of its last seven games.

-> See full betting markets for tonight’s NBA slate

While the Timberwolves are without their leading scorer, they haven’t played since Tuesday, giving them a significant rest advantage. The Rockets lost by 20 to the Thunder last night. 

Houston is 0-3 on zero days of rest this season and has cleared 105 points just once over its past seven games. 

This team is struggling and it wouldn’t be surprising if some key rotation pieces are absent tonight on the second half of a back-to-back.

Minnesota is 5-1 over its last six games without Edwards.

NBA SGP prediction

McDaniels 15+ points (-186): McDaniels will have an opportunity to take on a bigger scoring role with Edwards sidelined, and he’s taken advantage of that situation before.

In eight games without Edwards, McDaniels has received extra playing time and beefed up his scoring. 

  • With Edwards: 13.5 PPG, 31.1 MPG
  • Without Edwards: 19.9 PPG, 34.6 MPG

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McDaniels has cashed this scoring milestone six times in eight games without Edwards, most recently on Tuesday when he dropped 17 points in a blowout win over the Bucks.

Rockets prop prediction

Thompson 8+ rebounds (-122): The 22-year-old is an excellent rebounder for his size, and his heavy dose of minutes will give him every chance to get to this number again. 

  • Thompson is 7-3 vs. this line in his last 10 and is second in the NBA in minutes per game. 
  • He’s averaging 8.9 rebounds in January, hitting double digits three times. 

Another plus could be Sengun’s availability. Houston’s centre missed three games earlier this month with an ankle injury, making him a possible rest candidate tonight. 

Thompson is averaging 9.0 rebounds in his last five games without Sengun, reaching this milestone four times.

Even if Sengun suits up, Thompson remains a viable play.

Timberwolves vs. Rockets picks made at 1:05 p.m. on Jan. 16, 2026.

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Clippers vs. Raptors picks Jan. 16: Prop predictions on Collin Murray-Boyles, Kawhi Leonard

Clippers vs. Raptors picks

Kawhi Leonard and the Los Angeles Clippers are in Toronto on Friday night to face the Raptors.

The pregame narrative: L.A. is on a rampage, going 11-2 in its past 13 games to move within striking distance of the Western Conference playoff picture. The recent hot streak explains why the Clips are 2-point road favourites over a Toronto squad that sits fourth in the East.

Check out my Clippers vs. Raptors picks for Jan. 16, featuring Leonard and Collin Murray-Boyles.

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Clippers vs. Raptors picks

Best bet: Leonard over 2.5 threes (-130)

Leonard is aging like a fine wine, averaging a career-best 28.2 points per game in his age-34 season.

His NBA-leading free-throw percentage (94.1%) is a contributing factor, but there’s something else: The Klaw is shooting more 3s than ever before.

  • Entering 2025-26, Leonard had been a 39.2% 3-point shooter, averaging just 4.1 attempts per game.
  • This year, Leonard is up to 7.3 attempts, and he’s connecting at a 39.9% clip.

-> Bet on Kawhi Leonard in Toronto tonight!

Beyond-the-arc shooting wasn’t a primary weapon for Leonard in his earlier years, but it’s become a valuable part of his offensive bag. In each of his previous three seasons, he shot north of 41.0% from deep.

He’s a couple of ticks below that now, but the increased volume is a worthwhile trade-off for this bet. And we’re catching Kawhi during a particularly scoring stretch.

Coming off a season-high seven made 3s, here’s what Leonard has accomplished since Dec. 20:

  • 44.0 3PT%
  • 3.9 makes/game
  • 8.9 attempts/game

The Raptors are typically pretty tough on opposing 3-point shooters, but Kawhi has shot 43.8% from deep in his past five games against them.

And with how hot he’s been lately, Leonard should be firing at will.

Key stat: Over his past 13 games, Leonard is 10-3 vs. this prop.

Embed: #122819

Raptors prop predictions

Murray-Boyles over 2.5 assists (+105): Immanuel Quickley (back) is at risk of missing a second consecutive game tonight, which would open the door for some other Raptors to create plays.

Enter Murray-Boyles, the 20-year-old lottery pick out of South Carolina who cracked the starting lineup on Jan. 3 and hasn’t looked back.

As a power forward, he isn’t tasked with racking up assists. But his recent production makes this line look like a steal.

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  • In seven games (all starts) this month, CMB is averaging 3.6 assists.
  • He is 5-2 vs. this prop.
  • Over just his past three games, Murray-Boyles is 3-0 vs. this prop with a total of 12 assists.

Clippers vs. Raptors picks made at 12:10 p.m. ET on Jan. 16, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Jan. 16: Back Domantas Sabonis in his return, Derik Queen vs. Pacers

NBA prop picks Jan. 16

Three big men are the focus of Friday’s NBA prop bets.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Domantas Sabonis was a full participant in practice yesterday and is eyeing a return tonight against the Washington Wizards. The three-time rebounding champ should be active on the glass. Elsewhere, look for rookie Derik Queen to stuff the stat sheet against the Indiana Pacers.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Jan. 16, featuring a bet on Cleveland’s Evan Mobley.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 16

Best bet: Queen over 23.5 points/rebounds/assists (-130)

Queen’s production can fluctuate wildly on a nightly basis, but his per-game PRA average is right around this line:

  • 12.5 PPG
  • 7.5 RPG
  • 4.5 APG

Putting up 24.5 PRA as a rookie centre on an awful team is no small feat. The No. 13 pick out of Maryland has been dubbed “Baby Jokic” on Basketball Reference, for his high ceiling as a do-it-all big.

Is that wildly premature and a little bit disrespectful to the real thing? Sure. But Queen has nine double-doubles and two triple-doubles this year, along with two 30-point games.

-> Bet on Derik Queen vs. Pacers!

Tonight’s matchup is perfect for Queen to have a Jokic-esque game.

Indiana has the second-worst rebounding rate in the NBA and plays at the 10th-fastest pace (possessions per 48 minutes), per NBA.com.

The Pacers also give up the ninth-most points and assists per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Queen smashed this line in his lone meeting with Indiana this year. He had 17 points, 10 rebounds and four assists on 8-of-8 shooting.

Embed: #122820

Best NBA picks

Sabonis over 9.5 rebounds (+106): Sabonis has led the league in rebounding in each of the last three seasons, with absurd marks over the last two campaigns:

  • 2023-24: 13.7 RPG
  • 2024-25: 13.9 RPG

The big man missed 27 games with a partial meniscus tear, so he will likely be eased back into action — especially since his name is floating around some serious trade rumours.

-> Full betting markets for Friday’s NBA slate

But I expect Sabonis to clear this line even on a minutes restriction.

He’s the world’s best rebounder and is going up against an undersized Wizards team missing Khris Middleton and Bilal Coulibaly.

Washington gives up the most rebounds per game to opposing centres (16.63).

NBA player prop predictions

Mobley over 2.5 steals and blocks (+100): I don’t typically recommend these types of bets, but the reigning Defensive Player of the Year has been on a tear since returning from injury and re-entering Cleveland’s starting lineup on Dec. 29:

  • 2.8 blocks/game
  • 1.1 steals/game
  • 7-2 vs. this line

Mobley has recorded five “stocks” (steals plus blocks) in back-to-back games, logging four blocks and a steal against the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday.

He plays the Sixers again tonight, and I love the value on a repeat performance.

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NBA prop picks made at 9:55 a.m. ET on Jan. 16, 2026.

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Knicks vs. Warriors SGP predictions Jan. 15: Back Karl-Anthony Towns and Steph Curry on Thursday night

Knicks vs. Warriors SGP

The New York Knicks battle the Golden State Warriors in Thursday’s marquee matchup.

The pregame narrative: Golden State is laying 7.5 points as it catches a slumping New York on a back-to-back. The Knicks just lost outright as double-digit favourites to the Sacramento Kings with Jalen Brunson exiting early due to an ankle injury.

Check out my Knicks vs. Warriors SGP picks for Jan. 15, featuring Steph Curry and Karl-Anthony Towns.

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Knicks vs. Warriors SGP

Parlay: Warriors -3.5 | Curry 4+ threes | Towns 12+ rebounds (+275)

Warriors -3.5 (-186): I can’t trust the Knicks right now after backing them to cover against the Kings yesterday. Especially without Brunson.

New York ended up losing by 11 points last night, a 21.5-point swing off the game spread. Take a look at the team’s updated road stats:

  • 8-11 SU record (1-4 in their last five games)
  • 5-14 ATS record (last in NBA)
  • 118.8 defensive rating (24th in NBA)

Sacramento is one of the league’s bottom-feeders, so it seemed like a good spot for New York to buck that trend. But the Knicks couldn’t, and I fully expect their road woes to continue in San Francisco.

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The Warriors have won three of their last four games and have a stellar 14-6 record at Chase Center.

Embed: #122811

NBA SGP legs

Curry 4+ threes (-335): I’ve run out of words to describe Curry. So just take a look at his 3-point numbers since returning from injury on Dec. 12:

  • 4.5 threes/game
  • 11.8 attempts/game
  • 38.4 3PT%

The Hall-of-Fame-bound guard is 10-5 against this line in that span, and he has a Grade-A matchup tonight.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on Curry against the Knicks now!

New York has the sixth-worst 3-point defence in the NBA (37.1%). Curry has cleared this mark in nine straight games against the Knicks, averaging 5.3 threes on 38.7% shooting.

Towns 12+ rebounds (-141): All year long, I’ve been backing opposing big men against the Warriors. Why? They simply don’t have the size to contend on the glass.

Quinten Post is the only player above 6-foot-8 logging meaningful minutes for Golden State, and the 7-footer averages more 3-point attempts (4.5) than rebounds (3.8).

Unsurprisingly, the Warriors give up the fifth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Towns is a monster in the paint and is third in rebounding this season (11.2/game).

He’s also performed well on back-to-backs this season, averaging 14.3 rebounds and going 3-0 against this line.

I expect KAT to eat tonight.

Knicks vs. Warriors SGP predictions made at 12:45 p.m. on Jan. 15, 2026.

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Hornets vs. Lakers SGP predictions Jan. 15: Ride with Knueppel, Doncic in +320 parlay

Hornets vs. Lakers SGP

In Thursday’s NBA nightcap, Luka Doncic and the Los Angeles Lakers host the Charlotte Hornets.

The pregame narrative: Doncic (33.4 PPG) is on track for his second scoring title in three seasons, but that’s not the only way he’s helping the Lakers remain competitive in the Western Conference. The Slovenian point guard is among the league’s top playmakers, too.

Check out my Hornets vs. Lakers SGP predictions for Jan. 15, featuring Doncic and Kon Knueppel.

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Hornets vs. Lakers SGP

Parlay: Doncic over 8.5 assists | Knueppel 25+ PRA | Lakers +2.5 (+320)

Doncic over 8.5 assists (-134): Despite leading the NBA in scoring, Doncic is also among the league’s elite when it comes to racking up assists. Everybody eats when he’s on the court.

  • Doncic is averaging 8.8 assists and is 15-16 vs. this line. But he also finished with exactly eight assists in six of the unders.
  • He has eight or more assists in eight straight games, going 5-3 vs. this prop in that span.

Doncic finished with seven assists when he faced the Hornets back in November, splitting his passing duties with backcourt sidekick Austin Reaves.

But Reaves (calf) has been out since Dec. 28 and will miss tonight’s game.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on Doncic against the Hornets now!

I like Doncic’s chances of picking up the slack as a playmaker, which he tends to do when Reaves is hurt. In 14 games without Reaves, Doncic is averaging 9.2 assists — with at least eight assists in 11 of 14.

The Hornets allow the fourth-most assists per game, so expect Doncic to create plenty of quality looks for his teammates.

Embed: #122795

NBA SGP legs

Knueppel 25+ points/rebounds/assists (-155): Much like The Ringer’s Bill Simmons, I can’t quit Kon Kneuppel.

The sharpshooting rookie out of Duke is having a stellar season, which includes averaging 19.1 PPG while shooting 42.5% from deep.

Knueppel deserves more shots, but he’s often capped by the ball-dominant tendencies of LaMelo Ball, Miles Bridges and Brandon Miller. Still, this is a line that Knueppel is going to clear on most nights.

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On the season, the 20-year-old is averaging 27.8 PRA. He is 9-6 vs. this PRA milestone in his past 15 games.

The Lakers might be the right team to let Knueppel loose against. In his first matchup against them, he went for 19 points on 6-of-11 shooting to go with 10 rebounds and nine assists.

Lakers +2.5 (-275): Los Angeles is a 5-point favourite tonight, but I’m able to tease this line all the way across the zero while building out an SGP with odds longer than +300. Not half bad.

  • The Lakers are 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS as home favourites this year. On Tuesday, while laying 1.5 points against the visiting Atlanta Hawks, L.A. authored a dominant, 25-point victory.
  • The Hornets are 6-12 SU as road dogs.

I debated just taking the Lakers on the moneyline, which beefs up this SGP to a +350 price tag. But the Hornets have been relatively frisky on the road so far in January, with underdog wins over the Thunder and Bulls, along with a one-point loss against the Bucks.

A 2.5-point cushion isn’t much, but it might help against a Charlotte team that is better than its 14-26 record.

Hornets vs. Lakers SGP predictions made at 12:05 p.m. on Jan. 15, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Jan. 15: Bet on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to score in bunches vs. Rockets

NBA prop picks Jan. 15

The NBA’s reigning MVP is back in action tonight, and I’ve got my eye on him in the prop market.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gets a ton of buckets on a nightly basis, and it doesn’t seem to matter who’s guarding the opposing hoop. His points prop tonight is set below his season average, and I say he clears it against the Houston Rockets.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Jan. 15, featuring Jrue Holiday and Derrick White.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 15

Best bet: Holiday over 23.5 points/rebounds/assists (-120)

Holiday is working his way back to full strength for the Portland Trail Blazers, and he couldn’t be doing so at a better time.

Coinciding with Holiday’s resurgence — after a 27-game layoff due to a calf injury — is the fact that Deni Avdija will miss his second consecutive game tonight with a back issue.

Avdija was everything for the Blazers in Holiday’s absence, averaging 26.3 points, 7.4 rebounds and 8.0 assists without the veteran point guard.

Will Holiday be able to replicate that production sans-Avdija? No chance, but this PRA line isn’t asking for nearly that much.

Before his injury, Holiday averaged 16.7 points, 8.3 assists and 5.3 rebounds (30.3 PRA). Once he’s fully back up to speed, we won’t see a PRA line this low.

Holiday is getting there, though he’s still on a minutes restriction. Tonight will be his third game back, but we’ve already seen a nice progression from Games 1-2:

  • Jan. 11: 8 points (2-of-7 shooting), 2 rebounds, 4 assists, 14 PRA
  • Jan. 13: 12 points (4-of-12 shooting), 8 rebounds, 3 assists, 23 PRA

-> Bet on Blazers guard Jrue Holiday vs. Hawks!

Holiday played 16:17 in his first game back, and then 20:53 in the second game. He was averaging 33.3 minutes pre-injury, so he should see another uptick tonight.

Key stat: Holiday will face the Atlanta Hawks, who played at the second-fastest pace in the NBA. As a result, they allow the fifth-most assists and rebounds, along with the sixth-most points in the league.

Best NBA picks

Gilgeous-Alexander over 30.5 points (-118): Gilgeous-Alexander is arguably the best scorer in the world right now. But he’s undoubtedly the most consistent.

  • SGA has scored 20+ points in 111 straight games, which is the second-longest streak of all time behind Wilt Chamberlain (1961-63). I’m looking for more than that out of the Hamilton, Ontario native tonight, but it gives a basic illustration of his elite consistency.
  • The reigning MVP and scoring champ sits at 31.9 PPG this season, leading the NBA in made field goals (10.9/game). He’s also second in the league in made free throws (8.2/game).
  • He has 30+ points in 28 of 39 games (71.8%).

-> Full betting markets for Thursday’s NBA slate

Houston is a tough team to score against, but Gilgeous-Alexander is even tougher to defend.

He dropped 35 on the Rockets back in October and is 7-2 vs. this prop when facing Houston since the start of the 2023-24 season.

NBA player prop predictions

White 4+ threes (-106): White went berserk the last time he faced the Miami Heat, and that has my attention.

Last month, White posted 9-of-14 shooting from beyond the arc against Miami in a 33-point effort. The matchup is right for him to thrive again from deep.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on tonight’s NBA prop markets!

Miami allows the fourth-most attempted 3s per game (40.3), so White should have the opportunity to fire away.

Since the start of December, White is averaging 3.7 makes on 10.8 attempts from 3-point range. You need solid shot volume to hit a milestone like this, and I expect he’ll get that against Miami.

NBA prop picks made at 10:45 a.m. ET on Jan. 15, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Jan. 15: Bet on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to score in bunches vs. Rockets

NBA prop picks Jan. 15

The NBA’s reigning MVP is back in action tonight, and I’ve got my eye on him in the prop market.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gets a ton of buckets on a nightly basis, and it doesn’t seem to matter who’s guarding the opposing hoop. His points prop tonight is set below his season average, and I say he clears it against the Houston Rockets.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Jan. 15, featuring Jrue Holiday and Derrick White.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 15

Best bet: Holiday over 22.5 points/rebounds/assists (-120)

Holiday is working his way back to full strength for the Portland Trail Blazers, and he couldn’t be doing so at a better time.

Coinciding with Holiday’s resurgence — after a 27-game layoff due to a calf injury — is the fact that Deni Avdija will miss his second consecutive game tonight with a back issue.

Avdija was everything for the Blazers in Holiday’s absence, averaging 26.3 points, 7.4 rebounds and 8.0 assists without the veteran point guard.

Will Holiday be able to replicate that production sans-Avdija? No chance, but this PRA line isn’t asking for nearly that much.

Before his injury, Holiday averaged 16.7 points, 8.3 assists and 5.3 rebounds (30.3 PRA). Once he’s fully back up to speed, we won’t see a PRA line this low.

Holiday is getting there, though he’s still on a minutes restriction. Tonight will be his third game back, but we’ve already seen a nice progression from Games 1-2:

  • Jan. 11: 8 points (2-of-7 shooting), 2 rebounds, 4 assists, 14 PRA
  • Jan. 13: 12 points (4-of-12 shooting), 8 rebounds, 3 assists, 23 PRA

-> Bet on Blazers guard Jrue Holiday vs. Hawks!

Holiday played 16:17 in his first game back, and then 20:53 in the second game. He was averaging 33.3 minutes pre-injury, so he should see another uptick tonight.

Key stat: Holiday will face the Atlanta Hawks, who played at the second-fastest pace in the NBA. As a result, they allow the fifth-most assists and rebounds, along with the sixth-most points in the league.

Embed: #122793

Best NBA picks

Gilgeous-Alexander over 30.5 points (-112): Gilgeous-Alexander is arguably the best scorer in the world right now. But he’s undoubtedly the most consistent.

  • SGA has scored 20+ points in 111 straight games, which is the second-longest streak of all time behind Wilt Chamberlain (1961-63). I’m looking for more than that out of the Hamilton, Ontario native tonight, but it gives a basic illustration of his elite consistency.
  • The reigning MVP and scoring champ sits at 31.9 PPG this season, leading the NBA in made field goals (10.9/game). He’s also second in the league in made free throws (8.2/game).
  • He has 30+ points in 28 of 39 games (71.8%).

-> Full betting markets for Thursday’s NBA slate

Houston is a tough team to score against, but Gilgeous-Alexander is even tougher to defend.

He dropped 35 on the Rockets back in October and is 7-2 vs. this prop when facing Houston since the start of the 2023-24 season.

NBA player prop predictions

White 4+ threes (+110): I’m taking a plus-money swing on White, who went berserk the last time he faced the Miami Heat.

Last month, White posted 9-of-14 shooting from beyond the arc against Miami in a 33-point effort. The matchup is right for him to thrive again from deep.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on tonight’s NBA prop markets!

Miami allows the fourth-most attempted 3s per game (40.3), so White should have the opportunity to fire away.

Since the start of December, White is averaging 3.7 makes on 10.8 attempts from 3-point range. You need solid shot volume to hit a milestone like this, and I expect he’ll get that against Miami.

NBA prop picks made at 9:55 a.m. ET on Jan. 15, 2026.

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Raptors vs. Pacers picks Jan. 14: Prop predictions on Scottie Barnes, Brandon Ingram

Raptors vs. Pacers picks

The Indiana Pacers host the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday with a win streak on the line.

The pregame narrative: Indiana’s NBA Finals hangover has hit like a Mack Truck, but the Eastern Conference basement-dwellers have won their last three games while playing solid defence. The Raptors are 2-0 against the Pacers this year, and are 2.5-point road favourites tonight.

Check out my Raptors vs. Pacers picks for Jan. 14, featuring Scottie Barnes and Brandon Ingram.

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Raptors vs. Pacers picks

Best bet: Barnes over 8.5 rebounds (-143)

Barnes is averaging 8.3 boards per game and has an outsized opportunity with Jakob Poeltl and RJ Barrett sidelined.

-> Bet on Scottie Barnes tonight!

Who’s going to clean the glass for Indiana?

I’m certainly not worried about “Jay Huff,” the 7-foot-1 starting centre who is averaging more 3-point attempts (4.0) than rebounds (2.7) in January.

Pascal Siakam holds the highest rebounding total of any Pacer at 6.5, but Barnes is just as big and seven years younger.

Look for the Raptors’ top dog to be active tonight.

Key stat: Barnes is 5-1 against this line in his six games against the Pacers, averaging 10.5 rebounds per game.

Raptors prop predictions

Ingram under 1.5 threes (+137): Ingram is on a dry spell from 3-point land, going 0-for-4 in his last two contests.

He only played 11 minutes before exiting with an injury against the Charlotte Hornets on Jan. 7, but he has still gone under 1.5 threes in six of his last eight games (with a 25.6 3PT%).

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This isn’t a great matchup for Ingram to find his beyond-the-arc scoring touch.

The Pacers have the second-best 3-point defence in the NBA (34.4%) and the third-worst mid-range defence (48.6%), per Cleaning the Glass.

Ingram isn’t a big 3-point shooter to begin with, taking 74% of his shots inside the arc, and he’s better off going inside to do damage.

Case in point: He scored 45 points across two games vs. the Pacers this year despite shooting 1-for-6 from deep. Expect a similar game plan on Wednesday.

Raptors vs. Celtics picks made at 9:50 a.m. ET on Jan. 14, 2026.

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Knicks vs. Kings SGP predictions Jan. 14: Bet on Russell Westbrook and Karl-Anthony Towns at +320

Knicks vs. Kings SGP

Wednesday’s late-night NBA slate features a matchup between the New York Knicks and Sacramento Kings.

The pregame narrative: New York has lost four of six games since the calendar turned. Sacramento has won back-to-back games as a home underdog. Still, it’s the Knicks who are laying 10.5 points on the road this evening.

Check out my Knicks vs. Kings SGP predictions for Jan. 14, featuring Karl-Anthony Towns and Russell Westbrook.

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Knicks vs. Kings predictions

Parlay: Knicks -9.5 | Town 10+ rebounds | Westbrook 2+ threes (+320)

Knicks -9.5 (-143): Sacramento’s last two games:

  • Dec. 12: 12-point win over the Los Angeles Lakers as +9.5 underdogs
  • Dec. 11: 13-point win over the Houston Rockets as +14.5 underdogs

Backing New York might seem scary after those outings, but I can’t ignore Sacramento’s larger body of work. The Kings are 10-30 with six double-digit losses in their last nine games.

On top of that, they rank 29th in offensive rating and net rating this season, per NBA.com.

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The Knicks are a much more talented roster with no injuries on their ledger, and they just picked up a nine-point win over the Trail Blazers in Portland on Sunday.

Domantas Sabonis and Keegan Murray remain sidelined for the home side, and I don’t see a third-straight underdog story playing out.

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NBA SGP legs

Towns 10+ rebounds (-420): Losing Sabonis, who led the NBA in rebounding over the last three seasons, has been tough on Sacrameneto.

  • The Kings are 28th in rebounding rate since Sabonis went down with an injury on Dec. 16.
  • Over the last 30 days, they are giving up the second-most rebounds per game to oppsing centres (16.0), per Fantasy Pros.

Towns is averaging the second-most rebounds per game (11.4). He has reached this milestone in eight of his last 10 games and 28 of 36 games on the season.

-> Back Knicks’ superstar Karl-Anthony Towns vs. Kings

I like KAT to reach 12 rebounds at -121 as a standalone play, but I’ll tease that mark down for this SGP.

Westbrook 2+ threes (-132): Finaly, I want to back Westbrook from 3-point land. That statement would be scoffed at just a few years ago.

The veteran guard is averaging 1.9 threes on 5.6 attempts per game (34.5%). That’s the most makes since the 2016-17 season, when he won MVP.

Westbrook is coming off a two-game tear, where he went 2-0 against this line and shot 7-of-14 from beyond the arc.

He should stay hot against a Knicks team with the sixth-worst 3-point defence (37.2%) in the NBA.

Knicks vs. Kings SGP made at 11:15 a.m. ET on Jan. 14, 2026.

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