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NHL prop picks Jan. 24: Bet on Dorofeyev and Morrissey, fade Palmieri

Four games are on tap for Friday’s NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: The New York Islanders are hosting the Philadelphia Flyers but I’m fading the home team’s Kyle Palmieri to record a point. I also have bets on Josh Morrissey and Pavel Dorofeyev.

Check out my NHL prop picks for Jan. 24.

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Best bet: Dorofeyev over 0.5 points (-125)

I made this pick last Friday when the Vegas Golden Knights battled the Carolina Hurricanes — a similar opponent to tonight’s Dallas Stars matchup.

Dorofeyev hasn’t given any reason to steer away from backing him.

He played just 47 games last year, recording 13 goals and 24 points. This season, in 48 games, he has 21 goals and 31 points.

Vegas recognized his talent and moved him to the No. 1 power play, where he’s potted nine of his 21 goals. He leads the Knights in PP tallies.

Key stat: Dorofeyev has 10 points in the last six games, including six on the man advantage.

Quick picks

Palmieri under 0.5 points (-150): The Islanders are not a good hockey team.

To go with the league’s worst penalty kill (67.7%), they also rank poorly in most offensive categories:

T28th in goals/game: 2.65
32nd in power play: 12.5% (laughable)
29th in shooting percentage: 9.2%

Palmieri hasn’t fared any better. The former Devil has just three points in his last 10 games and is without a goal since Dec. 23.

He’s been demoted to the Islanders’ No. 2 power-play unit, but at a 12.5% success rate, it probably doesn’t matter where he’s slotted.

Morrissey over 0.5 points (-150): Morrissey is coming off a strong performance on Wednesday in Colorado.

The Calgary native picked up two assists with four shots on goal, playing just over 23:00.

Morrissey has eight points in 10 games in January and is fifth in the league in points for defencemen (42).

He quarterbacks the No. 1 ranked power play in the NHL operating at 31.9%, where 17 of his 42 points have come from.

Picks made at 12:30 p.m. ET on 01/24/2025.

NHL prop picks Jan. 24: Bet on Dorofeyev and Morrissey, fade Palmieri

Four games are on tap for Friday’s NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: The New York Islanders are hosting the Philadelphia Flyers but I’m fading the home team’s Kyle Palmieri to record a point. I also have bets on Josh Morrissey and Pavel Dorofeyev.

Check out my NHL prop picks for Jan. 24.

NHL prop picks

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Embed: #107398

Best bet: Dorofeyev over 0.5 points (-109)

I made this pick last Friday when the Vegas Golden Knights battled the Carolina Hurricanes — a similar opponent to tonight’s Dallas Stars matchup.

Dorofeyev hasn’t given any reason to steer away from backing him.

He played just 47 games last year, recording 13 goals and 24 points. This season, in 48 games, he has 21 goals and 31 points.

Vegas recognized his talent and moved him to the No. 1 power play, where he’s potted nine of his 21 goals. He leads the Knights in PP tallies.

Key stat: Dorofeyev has 10 points in the last six games, including six on the man advantage.

Quick picks

Palmieri under 0.5 points (-148): The Islanders are not a good hockey team.

To go with the league’s worst penalty kill (67.7%), they also rank poorly in most offensive categories:

T28th in goals/game: 2.65
32nd in power play: 12.5% (laughable)
29th in shooting percentage: 9.2%

Palmieri hasn’t fared any better. The former Devil has just three points in his last 10 games and is without a goal since Dec. 23.

He’s been demoted to the Islanders’ No. 2 power-play unit, but at a 12.5% success rate, it probably doesn’t matter where he’s slotted.

Morrissey over 0.5 points (-155): Morrissey is coming off a strong performance on Wednesday in Colorado.

The Calgary native picked up two assists with four shots on goal, playing just over 23:00.

Morrissey has eight points in 10 games in January and is fifth in the league in points for defencemen (42).

He quarterbacks the No. 1 ranked power play in the NHL operating at 31.9%, where 17 of his 42 points have come from.

Picks made at 11:30 a.m. ET on 01/24/2025.

Golden Knights vs. Stars prop picks Jan. 24: Fade Miro Heiskanen, back Jason Robertson on Friday

A burgeoning rivalry is renewed tonight when the Dallas Stars host the Vegas Golden Knights.

The pregame narrative: Dallas is struggling to score lately, so I’ll fade standout defenceman Miro Heiskanen on his points prop market. Jason Robertson has been putting pucks on net, though, which I expect to continue.

Check out my Golden Knights vs. Stars props for Jan. 24.

Golden Knights vs. Stars prop picks

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Best bet: Heiskanen under 0.5 points (-112)

Heiskanen is an uber-talented defenceman who will likely have a Norris Trophy under his belt when it’s all said and done.

But we’re seeing a serious offensive slump from the Finn, who has put up just 22 points in 47 games. That nets out to a 37-point pace over a full season, which is well below the 62-point pace he was chugging at last season.

Heiskanen has points in back-to-back games but has been held off the stat sheet more often than not lately.

In his last 15 games, he’s 9-6 against this line.

Dallas has also lost four of its last six games while averaging just 2.5 goals per game. Most of Heiskanen’s production comes in the assist department (five goals, 17 assists this year), so I don’t like him to break out of this slump tonight.

Key stat: Heiskanen has five points — all assists — in 15 regular-season games against the Golden Knights, going under this mark in five of the last six.

Quick picks

Robertson over 2.5 shots (-125): Robertson has been one Star doing damage during this skid, with five goals in his last six games. Over that stretch, he’s fired 23 pucks on net, averaging out to 3.8 shots per game.

The talented winger has 2+ shots in seven straight games, giving us a nice floor to work with.

He’s cashed this bet in five of those contests, with 4+ shots four times.

Robertson plays on Dallas’ top line and is integral to its power play. The latter unit has struggled to produce this year, but I’m not asking for Robertson to register a point. He has the most dangerous shot on the team and is the No. 1 option on the man advantage.

The 25-year-old is averaging 18.16 chances (shot attempts) per 60, according to Natural Stat Trick. That paces all Stars players.

Picks made at 10:00 a.m. ET on 01/24/2025.

Golden Knights vs. Stars prop picks Jan. 24: Fade Miro Heiskanen, back Jason Robertson on Friday

A burgeoning rivalry is renewed tonight when the Dallas Stars host the Vegas Golden Knights.

The pregame narrative: Dallas is struggling to score lately, so I’ll fade standout defenceman Miro Heiskanen on his points prop market. Jason Robertson has been putting pucks on net, though, which I expect to continue.

Check out my Golden Knights vs. Stars props for Jan. 24.

Golden Knights vs. Stars prop picks

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Embed: #107359

Best bet: Heiskanen under 0.5 points (-107)

Heiskanen is an uber-talented defenceman who will likely have a Norris Trophy under his belt when it’s all said and done.

But we’re seeing a serious offensive slump from the Finn, who has put up just 22 points in 47 games. That nets out to a 37-point pace over a full season, which is well below the 62-point pace he was chugging at last season.

Heiskanen has points in back-to-back games but has been held off the stat sheet more often than not lately.

In his last 15 games, he’s 9-6 against this line.

Dallas has also lost four of its last six games while averaging just 2.5 goals per game. Most of Heiskanen’s production comes in the assist department (five goals, 17 assists this year), so I don’t like him to break out of this slump tonight.

Key stat: Heiskanen has five points — all assists — in 15 regular-season games against the Golden Knights, going under this mark in five of the last six.

Quick picks

Robertson over 2.5 shots (-106): Robertson has been one Star doing damage during this skid, with five goals in his last six games. Over that stretch, he’s fired 23 pucks on net, averaging out to 3.8 shots per game.

The talented winger has 2+ shots in seven straight games, giving us a nice floor to work with.

He’s cashed this bet in five of those contests, with 4+ shots four times.

Robertson plays on Dallas’ top line and is integral to its power play. The latter unit has struggled to produce this year, but I’m not asking for Robertson to register a point. He has the most dangerous shot on the team and is the No. 1 option on the man advantage.

The 25-year-old is averaging 18.16 chances (shot attempts) per 60, according to Natural Stat Trick. That paces all Stars players.

Picks made at 10:00 a.m. ET on 01/24/2025.

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Canucks vs. Oilers prop picks Jan. 23: Bet on Draisaitl, Hughes on Thursday night

The Vancouver Canucks and Edmonton Oilers battle for the second time this week.

The pregame narrative: The Oilers lost to the Canucks on Saturday and hope to avoid a three-game skid as they welcome their divisional rivals to Rogers Place on Thursday. I’m backing Quinn Hughes and Leon Draisaitl to produce.

Check out my Canucks vs. Oilers prop picks for Jan. 23.

Canucks vs. Oilers prop picks

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Best bet: Draisaitl over 2.5 shots (-163)

I’ve been on this bet a few times and it’s been printing me money, so I’m going back to the well.

The two-headed monster in Edmonton has shrunk to one with the suspension of Connor McDavid. Draisaitl has been up to the task.

The German sniper has six points in his last three games, including nine shots on goal over that stretch.

The Oilers have been firing pucks on net this season. They rank second in the NHL with 31.9 shots per game.

Draisaitl ranks in the top 20 among all NHL players with 3.17 shots/game.

Key stat: Draisaitl has cleared this line in eight of his last 10 games.

Quick pick

Hughes over 0.5 power-play points (+162): Hughes is the backbone of the lacklustre ninth-place Vancouver Canucks.

His team ranks among his Canucks teammates:

1st in points (51)
1st in assists (39)
1st in time in ice (25:21)
1st in plus-minus (+11)

Despite Vancouver’s woes, their T13th-ranked power play has been sufficient — and it’s led by the reigning Norris Trophy winner.

Hughes paces all Canucks in power-play points (20) and ice time (3:44/game). He has eight more power-play points than the next Canucks player.

Picks made at 2:45 p.m. ET on 01/23/2025.

Canucks vs. Oilers prop picks Jan. 23: Bet on Draisaitl, Hughes on Thursday night

The Vancouver Canucks and Edmonton Oilers battle for the second time this week.

The pregame narrative: The Oilers lost to the Canucks on Saturday and hope to avoid a three-game skid as they welcome their divisional rivals to Rogers Place on Thursday. I’m backing Quinn Hughes and Leon Draisaitl to produce and am fading Jake DeBrusk.

Check out my Canucks vs. Oilers props for Jan. 23.

Canucks vs. Oilers prop picks

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Embed: #107280

Best bet: Draisaitl over 2.5 shots (-143)

I’ve been on this bet a few times and it’s been printing me money, so I’m going back to the well.

The two-headed monster in Edmonton has shrunk to one with the suspension of Connor McDavid. Draisaitl has been up to the task.

The German sniper has six points in his last three games, including nine shots on goal over that stretch.

The Oilers have been firing pucks on net this season. They rank second in the NHL with 31.9 shots per game.

Draisaitl ranks in the top 20 among all NHL players with 3.17 shots/game.

Key stat: Draisaitl has cleared this line in eight of his last 10 games.

Quick picks

DeBrusk under 0.5 points (-165): Throughout his career, DeBrusk’s strongest ability has been his goalscoring.

DeBrusk paces the Canucks in goals (17) but has been on a cold stretch lately, with just three in his last 18 games.

The Oilers’ defensive numbers have been impressive this season, making this pick all the more enticing.

7th in goals allowed/game: 2.74
4th in shots allowed/game: 26.1

Vancouver has the second-lowest shots on goal per game (25.3), ahead of only the Chicago Blackhawks.

According to Natural Stat Trick, the Canucks are second-worst in high-danger chances per 60 (9.6).

Hughes over 0.5 power-play points (+165): Hughes is the backbone of the lacklustre ninth-place Vancouver Canucks.

His team ranks among his Canucks teammates:

1st in points (51)
1st in assists (39)
1st in time in ice (25:21)
1st in plus-minus (+11)

Despite Vancouver’s woes, their T13th-ranked power play has been sufficient — and it’s led by the reigning Norris Trophy winner.

Hughes paces all Canucks in power-play points (20) and ice time (3:44/game). He has eight more power-play points than the next Canucks player.

Picks made at 2:10 p.m. ET on 01/23/2025.

NHL prop picks Jan. 23: Bet on Brady Tkachuk to stay active vs. the Bruins

Three prop picks from Thursday’s 12-game NHL slate have my attention.

The pregame narrative: Brady Tkachuk is a menace in every area of the ice and I expect another high offensive output against the Boston Bruins tonight. I also have picks on Lane Hutson and Yegor Sharangovich.

Check out my NHL prop picks for Jan. 23.

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Embed: #107220

Best bet: Tkachuk over 3.5 shots (-112)

On Jan. 18, Tkachuk had eight shots against the Bruins in a 6-5 win for his Ottawa Senators.

Boston isn’t the team it was in past seasons. The red-hot Sens have jumped the Bruins in the standings, claiming the final wild-card position, for now.

Tkachuk ranks second in the NHL in shots per game (4.0) behind only David Pastrnak (4.2), his opponent on Thursday.

The difference is that Pastrnak’s line is set at 4.5 while bettors can still grab Tkachuk at 3.5 at a good price.

And if we look at the stats, the Bruins are more vulnerable to giving up shots. They rank in the bottom half of the NHL, allowing 28.6 per game.

Tkachuk also has a knack for peppering Boston’s goal when these two sides meet.

Key stat: Ottawa’s captain has 20 shots in two games vs. the Bruins this season.

Quick picks

Hutson to score 1+ points (-132): The second overall pick in 2022 is turning into an elite offensive defenceman very quickly.

Hutson has 39 points in 47 games to start his rookie season and is on a major heater right now.

He recorded at least one point in nine straight games.

Hutson has 13 points during that stretch.

He may be a rookie but the Montreal Canadiens rely on him like a vet. He averages the second-most ice time (22:36) while quarterbacking the first power-play unit.

The Detroit Red Wings rank bottom 10 in goals allowed (3.2) and shots against (29.1) per game while owning the NHL’s second-worst penalty kill (68.1%).

Sharangovich to score 1+ points (+123): Sharangovich started the season on the injured list and hasn’t been as productive as the Calgary Flames would’ve hoped since returning with 14 points in 38 outings.

But he has found some recent chemistry with his linemates after being moved back to the centre position to deal with an injury to Connor Zary.

Sharangovich has three points in four games since the move, going 2-2 against this line. It’s nothing spectacular but this is a plus-money pick, after all.

Additionally, he was recently promoted to the first line on the power play.

The Buffalo Sabres provide an enticing matchup, allowing the fourth-most goals per game (3.4). They also take the sixth-most penalty minutes (9.9) while killing penalties at a below-average rate (77.1%).

There should be ample opportunity for Calgary’s forward group on Thursday and I like the value on Sharangovich.

Picks made at 9:50 a.m. ET on 01/23/2025.

Panthers vs. Kings picks and predictions Jan. 22: Bet on Fiala to put up shots, and fade Bennett

The Los Angeles Kings host the Florida Panthers on Wednesday night.

The pregame narrative: Los Angeles aims for its first home win since Jan. 4 as it takes on the reigning Cup champion Florida Panthers. With these two strong defensive teams, I’m backing a low-scoring game. I also have prop plays on Kevin Fiala and Sam Bennett.

Check out my Panthers vs. Kings picks for Jan. 22.

Panthers vs. Kings picks

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Best bet: Fiala over 2.5 shots (-130)

This was my best bet on Monday this week when the Kings faced the Penguins. Fiala delivered then, producing five shots in a 5-1 loss. And while the Panthers pose a bigger threat defensively than Pittsburgh, I’m still backing the Swiss native.

Fiala has cleared this mark in six straight games, including 15 shots over his last two games.

The Kings haven’t won at Crypto.com Arena in over two weeks so I expect them to come out firing in a big measuring stick game against the defending champs.

Key stat: Fiala is averaging five shots per game over his last six contests.

Quick picks

Under 5.5 goals (-109): Last season, these teams met twice and the under hit both times.

The Kings, once again, are one of the strongest defensive teams in the NHL:

No. 3 in goals allowed/game (2.48)
No. 1 in shots allowed/game (24.9)
T6th in penalty kill (82.6%)

Both Panthers goalies have looked sharp recently. Sergei Bobrovsky recorded a 28-save win against the Anaheim Ducks Tuesday. His backup Spencer Knight, who posted a 34-save shutout on Jan. 18 and has won his past three starts, is expected to be in the crease Wednesday.

Meanwhile, Kings goaltender Darcy Kuemper enters Wednesday’s contest with an impressive 2.10 goals against average and a .920 save percentage.

Bennett under 0.5 points (-148): Bennett snapped a 20-game goal drought in Anaheim Tuesday. Prior to that, Bennett had just one point in his past 14 games.

Since 2022, Bennett has recorded just one point in his five games versus the Kings.

Picks made at 4:20 p.m. ET on 01/22/2025.

Maple Leafs props vs. Blue Jackets Jan. 22: Bet on Matthews to stay hot as a goalscorer

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Columbus Blue Jackets on Wednesday night.

The pregame narrative: Toronto aims to extend its win streak to four and Columbus hopes to get back on track after back-to-back losses. I’m backing Auston Matthews to light the lamp tonight while fading Mitch Marner’s shots prop.

Check out my Maple Leafs props vs. Blue Jackets for Jan. 22.

Maple Leafs props vs. Blue Jackets

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Best bet: Matthews to score (-130)

Matthews has been on a stellar run since returning from his upper body injury on Jan. 4.

He’s racked up eight goals and 14 points in nine games post-injury. He’s also posted an ungodly 29.6% shooting percentage over that stretch, which is something I’ve never seen before.

Obviously, that figure isn’t sustainable over time, but I’m getting behind the hot steak in this matchup.

Elvis Merzlikins is the confirmed starter for Columbus, and he’s struggling this season.

42nd in GAA (3.06) minimum 16 starts
43rd in SV % (.890) – minimum 16 starts

The Jackets allow the fifth-most goals per game in the NHL (3.34), and the Maple Leafs captain has had their number his whole career.

The three-time Rocket Richard winner has 22 points in 16 career games against Columbus.

Key stat: Since 2021, Matthews has scored 10 goals in eight matchups versus the Blue Jackets.

Quick pick

Marner under 2.5 shots (-150): Marner is on pace to surpass his career-best point total (99) from two seasons ago.

He’s also just for assists and seven points behind Nathan MacKinnon, who leads the NHL in both categories.

Marner’s shooting percentage is around his 13.0% career average, but the Markham native isn’t shooting as much overall.

He’s finished below 2.5 shots in eight straight games and 11 of the last 12 — despite 18 points over that stretch.

It’s clear he’s taken his playmaking to another level. Playing on a line with Matthews, I figure he’s primarily operating with a pass-first mindset.

Picks made at 2:45 p.m. ET on 01/22/2025.

Maple Leafs props vs. Blue Jackets Jan. 22: Bet on Matthews to stay hot as a goalscorer

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Columbus Blue Jackets on Wednesday night.

The pregame narrative: Toronto aims to extend its win streak to four and Columbus hopes to get back on track after back-to-back losses. I’m backing Auston Matthews to light the lamp tonight while fading Mitch Marner’s shots prop.

Check out my Maple Leafs props vs. Blue Jackets for Jan. 22.

Maple Leafs props vs. Blue Jackets

Embed: #107147

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Best bet: Matthews to score (-132)

Matthews has been on a stellar run since returning from his upper body injury on Jan. 4.

He’s racked up eight goals and 14 points in nine games post-injury. He’s also posted an ungodly 29.6% shooting percentage over that stretch, which is something I’ve never seen before.

Obviously, that figure isn’t sustainable over time, but I’m getting behind the hot steak in this matchup.

Elvis Merzlikins is the confirmed starter for Columbus, and he’s struggling this season.

42nd in GAA (3.06) minimum 16 starts
43rd in SV % (.890) – minimum 16 starts

The Jackets allow the fifth-most goals per game in the NHL (3.34), and the Maple Leafs captain has had their number his whole career.

The three-time Rocket Richard winner has 22 points in 16 career games against Columbus.

Key stat: Since 2021, Matthews has scored 10 goals in eight matchups versus the Blue Jackets.

Quick pick

Marner under 2.5 shots (-157): Marner is on pace to surpass his career-best point total (99) from two seasons ago.

He’s also just for assists and seven points behind Nathan MacKinnon, who leads the NHL in both categories.

Marner’s shooting percentage is around his 13.0% career average, but the Markham native isn’t shooting as much overall.

He’s finished below 2.5 shots in eight straight games and 11 of the last 12 — despite 18 points over that stretch.

It’s clear he’s taken his playmaking to another level. Playing on a line with Matthews, I figure he’s primarily operating with a pass-first mindset.

Picks made at 2:05 p.m. ET on 01/22/2025.