Category: Soccer

Top European soccer picks and predictions: Best bets for EPL, La Liga, Serie A this weekend

European soccer predictions

European soccer is back in full swing with the EPL, La Liga and Serie A all in action this weekend.

The pre-weekend narrative: Tottenham looks like a serious contender to make noise at the top of the Premier League table. The undefeated Hotspur host Bournemouth on Saturday. On Sunday, Inter Milan looks to build on a dominant start while taking on Udinese.

Check out this weekend’s best European soccer predictions for games beginning on Aug. 30, 2025, featuring a pick on Real Madrid vs. Mallorca.

Soccer predictions

Tottenham vs. Bournemouth (Aug. 30, 10 a.m. ET)

Best bet: Tottenham to win (-134)

The Hotspur have been thriving so far under new manager Thomas Frank. Fans have boasted about the new tactics and rightfully so. Tottenham is 2-0 with two clean sheets.

One of the wins was over Manchester City, 2-0, and the side sits at a +5 goal differential It’s a very impressive start that I don’t see slowing down at home against Bournemouth.

The away side has a 1-1 record with the win coming against 0-2 Wolverhampton. Even then, Bournemouth scraped by with a one-goal win despite the Wolves going down to 10 men early in the second half.

The club’s also seen the lowest of lows. On Matchday 1, the Cherries were blown out at home, 4-0, by Man City.

This feels like a battle between teams on different tiers. Tottenham should control this match at home.

Key stat: Through two matches, the Hotspur have the highest average match rating in the EPL, per Fotmob (7.35).

Full EPL betting markets

La Liga best bet

Matchup: Real Madrid vs. Mallorca (Aug. 30, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Read Madrid over 2.5 goals (-112): Bernabeu Stadium will be rocking this weekend with Los Blancos returning home after a 3-0 road win.

Madrid has yet to concede this season, but I want to tap into that offensive potential we saw on Matchday 2.

The side had 26 shot attempts (10 on target) against Oviedo. Kylian Mbappe led the way, scoring a brace.

Mallorca played a top-tier opponent in Barcelona already this season and got stifled 3-0. It had the benefit of playing at home for that game, which won’t be the case on Saturday.

Despite scoring four goals through two matches, Madrid has actually left production on the table, missing three big chances (tied for third most in La Liga).

Bet on La Liga soccer

Serie A prediction

Matchup: Inter Milan vs. Udinese (Aug. 31, 2:45 p.m. ET)

Inter Milan halftime/fulltime (-112): Milan looked dominant in its Serie A debut, battering Torino 5-0 last Sunday.

Just take a look at its offensive stats from the match:

  • Six big chances.
  • Nine shots on target.
  • Led Serie A with nine takeaways in the opposing third.

Inter may now have an elite offence to match its stonewall defence.

Udinese tied its first match at home against Verona, a team that finished six points above a relegation spot last season.

Because of that, I expect Nerazzurri to be the better side, grab an early lead, and never look back.

Bet on Serie A soccer

Soccer predictions made at 1:30 p.m. on 08/27/25.

Inter Milan vs. Torino SGP predictions Aug. 25: Bet on Inter to win, Lautaro Martinez at +290

Inter Milan vs. Torino predictions

Inter Milan makes its Serie A season debut against Torino on Monday.

The pregame narrative: Inter Milan had a very successful campaign across all competitions in 2024-25, but looks to reclaim the Serie A title after finishing second in Italy. The side will host Torino as a sizeable favourite.

Check out my Inter Milan vs. Torino predictions, including props on Lautaro Martinez

lnter Milan vs. Torino predictions

Parlay: Inter Milan to win | Both teams to score – no | Martinez to score (+290)

Inter Milan to win (-225): Inter was one of the best teams in Europe last season. It finished as the runner-up in the Champions League and second in Serie A.

Despite finishing one point behind Napoli for the title, it was Inter with the best goal differential in the league (+44).

I don’t feel crazy saying Inter is the best team in Italy, and the club has a nice matchup to open the season.

Torino finished in the bottom half of Serie A last season. The side had a -6 goal differential and had fewer than half the goals that Inter had (39 for Torino, 79 for Inter).

Additionally, the club finished last season losing four of its last five matches and drawing the other.

One of the losses was to Inter, 2-0.

Inter vs. Torino betting markets

Serie A SGP legs

Both teams to score – no (-121): I truly believe Torino will have a tough time scoring.

  • As mentioned, the club had just 39 goals for in 38 matches played last season.
  • During that five-match winless streak at the end, Torino scored just one goal.
  • It finished with the third-fewest xG among teams that weren’t relegated (35.2).

The side brought in just three players worth more than $1 million in the transfer window, and none were notable enough to make me think this year will be much different.

And that means Inter has every reason to dominate this match from start to finish.

Martinez to score (+110): Out of all the candidates to bag a goal in Inter’s opening match, I like Martinez’s chances the best.

  • The Argentine attacker was a crucial part of Inter’s UCL run, scoring eight goals in 10 starts.
  • He only scored 14 times in Serie A but finished fourth in Italy with 13.5 xG.
  • For reference, teammate Marcus Thuram had more goals (14) but only 10.1 xG.

If anything, Martinez had an unlucky season, and he should be expected to get back to scoring 20+ goals like he did for Inter in the three seasons prior.

Inter Milan vs. Torino predictions made at 2:18 p.m. ET on 08/16/2025.

Top European soccer picks and predictions: Best bets for Serie A opener, Week 2 of EPL and La Liga

Soccer predictions

The European soccer schedule is in full swing, with matches from the Premier League, Serie A and La Liga making their way into this weekend’s predictions.

The pregame narrative: Bournemouth put up a strong effort against Liverpool in its season opener and should build off that with a home win against Wolverhampton. Elsewhere, I expect two European powerhouses — Barcelona and Inter Milan — to dominate the competition.

Check out this weekend’s best European soccer predictions for games beginning on Saturday, Aug. 23, 2025.

Soccer predictions

Matchup: Bournemouth vs. Wolves (Aug. 23, 10 a.m. ET)

Best bet: Bournemouth to win (-125)

Bournemouth is coming off its best-ever Premier League finish, landing ninth in the 2024-25 table with a 15-11-12 record.

The Cherries sold a trio of promising young defenders over the summer, but also spent north of $100 million on replacements.

They should still be a solid side, and we saw some promise last Friday, when Bournemouth was on the brink of stealing points from the defending champions at Anfield.

Full EPL betting markets

Federico Chiesa eventually broke a 2-2 draw in the 88th minute for Liverpool, but I can’t ignore that effort.

Back at home, I love Bournemouth’s chances of beating an awful Wolverhampton side.

The Wolves finished 16th in the table last year and got shelled, 4-0, by Manchester City at home to open the season.

Vítor Pereira’s side will likely be fighting a relegation battle this year, and I expect it to struggle, again, on the road.

Key stat: Wolverhampton went 6-3-10 on the road last year, losing 4-2 to Bournemouth at home.

La Liga best bet

Matchup: Barcelona vs. Levante (Aug. 23, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Barcelona over 2.5 goals (-130): This is a mismatch of epic proportions, and I expect the score to reflect that.

Barcelona is coming off a renaissance season, winning a domestic Treble (La Liga, Copa del Rey, Supercopa de Espana) and beating its arch-rivals Real Madrid in all four El Clasicos.

Hansi Flick’s side led La Liga in these categories last season, according to FotMob:

  • Goals per game (2.7)
  • Possession (69.1%)
  • xG (92.4)
  • SOT per match (6.6)

The loaded offence — led by Robert Lewandowski, Lamine Yamal and Raphinha — shouldn’t have a problem dissecting the back line of the freshly promoted Levante.

Bet on La Liga soccer

Serie A prediction

Matchup: Inter Milan vs. Torino (Aug. 25, 2:45 p.m. ET)

Torino under 0.5 goals (+105): I’m expecting Inter Milan to shut out Torino in Serie A’s opening weekend.

The Nerazzurri had a heartbreaking 2024-25 season, finishing one point behind Napoli for the Scudetto and losing badly to PSG in the Champions League final.

However, Inter is still a great team, built on a strong defence.

Last season, it had the third-most clean sheets (16) while allowing the second-fewest goals per game (0.9) and holding the highest possession (59.8%).

Inter has five clean sheet victories in its last six matches against Torino.

Bet on the new Serie A season

Soccer predictions made at 4:05 p.m. on 08/22/25.

Best EPL Week 2 prop picks: Target Bryan Mbeumo, Hugo Ekitike this weekend

EPL prop picks

I’ve got picks on two attackers for this weekend’s EPL action.

The pregame narrative: Hugo Ekitike has been making waves as Liverpool’s new target man up top. Look for him to continue contributing against Newcastle United on Monday. Before that, target Bryan Mbeumo for Manchester United against Fulham.

Check out my favourite EPL prop picks for Week 2 of the Premier League season.

EPL prop picks

Best bet: Ekitike over 2.5 shots (+110)

The Reds’ newest number nine is exactly what the club needed on attack.

In the Community Shield match against Crystal Palace, Ekitike scored his first goal for his new team and recorded three shots.

He followed that up by scoring a goal in his EPL debut and taking four total shots in 70 minutes of action.

His 3.94 shots per 90 ranks in the 94th percentile for attackers, per Football Reference.

In the Bundesliga last season, he went 23-10 against this wager despite only playing the full 90 minutes eight times.

At 23 years old, the French striker is improving quickly, and he’s off to a fantastic start for Liverpool.

The Reds scored four goals on Matchday 1 and should easily be one of the best offensive sides again this season.

Ekitike doesn’t need to be on the pitch a ton to top this mark. He’s yet to play more than 72 minutes in a game for Liverpool, yet he’s 2-0 on this over.

Key stat: Ekitike ranks in the 93rd percentile for shot-creating actions (3.53 per 90).

EPL betting markets

Best Matchday 2 picks

Mbeumo over 2.5 shots (+115): Out of all the new transfers Manchester United brought in, it was Mbeumo who showed the most promise.

The winger was creative on attack, attempting five shots in his debut on Matchday 1. He played all 90 minutes and looks to be a crucial part of the Red Devils’ plans moving forward.

Last year, he played more of an attacking midfielder role for Brentford and scored 20 goals, tied for fourth-most in the EPL.

Manchester United doesn’t need a midfielder, though, as they already have Bruno Fernandes, one of the best centre attacking midfielders in world football.

So more of a forward approach should be expected from Mbeumo this season, and we saw the results of that last weekend in a very difficult matchup vs. Arsenal.

Man U lost 1-0 to Arsenal but thoroughly outplayed the London club. The Red Devils attempted 22 shots, more than any other team during the opening matches.

Fulham doesn’t have the quality that Arsenal possesses, and was just outshot 10-6 by Brighton in its first game.

Expect another offensive-loaded performance from Manchester United, led by its new $71 million man.

EPL prop picks made at 5:54 p.m. on 08/21/25.

Best EPL Week 2 prop picks: Target Bryan Mbeumo, Hugo Ekitike this weekend

EPL prop picks

I’ve got picks on two attackers for this weekend’s EPL action.

The pregame narrative: Hugo Ekitike has been making waves as Liverpool’s new target man up top. Look for him to continue contributing against Newcastle United on Monday. Before that, target Bryan Mbeumo for Manchester United against Fulham.

Check out my favourite EPL prop picks for Week 2 of the Premier League season.

EPL prop picks

Best bet: Ekitike over 2.5 shots (-123)

The Reds’ newest number nine is exactly what the club needed on attack.

In the Community Shield match against Crystal Palace, Ekitike scored his first goal for his new team and recorded three shots.

He followed that up by scoring a goal in his EPL debut and taking four total shots in 70 minutes of action.

His 3.94 shots per 90 ranks in the 94th percentile for attackers, per Football Reference.

In the Bundesliga last season, he went 23-10 against this wager despite only playing the full 90 minutes eight times.

At 23 years old, the French striker is improving quickly, and he’s off to a fantastic start for Liverpool.

The Reds scored four goals on Matchday 1 and should easily be one of the best offensive sides again this season.

Ekitike doesn’t need to be on the pitch a ton to top this mark. He’s yet to play more than 72 minutes in a game for Liverpool, yet he’s 2-0 on this over.

Key stat: Ekitike ranks in the 93rd percentile for shot-creating actions (3.53 per 90).

EPL betting markets

Best Matchday 2 picks

Mbeumo over 2.5 shots (-112): Out of all the new transfers Manchester United brought in, it was Mbeumo who showed the most promise.

The winger was creative on attack, attempting five shots in his debut on Matchday 1. He played all 90 minutes and looks to be a crucial part of the Red Devils’ plans moving forward.

Last year, he played more of an attacking midfielder role for Brentford and scored 20 goals, tied for fourth-most in the EPL.

Manchester United doesn’t need a midfielder, though, as they already have Bruno Fernandes, one of the best centre attacking midfielders in world football.

So more of a forward approach should be expected from Mbeumo this season, and we saw the results of that last weekend in a very difficult matchup vs. Arsenal.

Man U lost 1-0 to Arsenal but thoroughly outplayed the London club. The Red Devils attempted 22 shots, more than any other team during the opening matches.

Fulham doesn’t have the quality that Arsenal possesses, and was just outshot 10-6 by Brighton in its first game.

Expect another offensive-loaded performance from Manchester United, led by its new $71 million man.

EPL prop picks made at 1:39 p.m. on 08/21/25.

Top European soccer picks and predictions: Best bets for Serie A opener, Week 2 of EPL and La Liga

Soccer predictions

The European soccer schedule is in full swing, with matches from the Premier League, Serie A and La Liga making their way into this weekend’s predictions.

The pregame narrative: Bournemouth put up a strong effort against Liverpool in its season opener and should build off that with a home win against Wolverhampton. Elsewhere, I expect two European powerhouses — Barcelona and Inter Milan — to dominate the competition.

Check out this weekend’s best European soccer predictions for games beginning on Saturday, Aug. 23, 2025.

Soccer predictions

Matchup: Bournemouth vs. Wolves (Aug. 23, 10 a.m. ET)

Best bet: Bournemouth to win (-130)

Bournemouth is coming off its best-ever Premier League finish, landing ninth in the 2024-25 table with a 15-11-12 record.

The Cherries sold a trio of promising young defenders over the summer, but also spent north of $100 million on replacements.

They should still be a solid side, and we saw some promise last Friday, when Bournemouth was on the brink of stealing points from the defending champions at Anfield.

Full EPL betting markets

Federico Chiesa eventually broke a 2-2 draw in the 88th minute for Liverpool, but I can’t ignore that effort.

Back at home, I love Bournemouth’s chances of beating an awful Wolverhampton side.

The Wolves finished 16th in the table last year and got shelled, 4-0, by Manchester City at home to open the season.

Vítor Pereira’s side will likely be fighting a relegation battle this year, and I expect it to struggle, again, on the road.

Key stat: Wolverhampton went 6-3-10 on the road last year, losing 4-2 to Bournemouth at home.

La Liga best bet

Matchup: Barcelona vs. Levante (Aug. 23, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Barcelona over 2.5 goals (-130): This is a mismatch of epic proportions, and I expect the score to reflect that.

Barcelona is coming off a renaissance season, winning a domestic Treble (La Liga, Copa del Rey, Supercopa de Espana) and beating its arch-rivals Real Madrid in all four El Clasicos.

Hansi Flick’s side led La Liga in these categories last season, according to FotMob:

  • Goals per game (2.7)
  • Possession (69.1%)
  • xG (92.4)
  • SOT per match (6.6)

The loaded offence — led by Robert Lewandowski, Lamine Yamal and Raphinha — shouldn’t have a problem dissecting the back line of the freshly promoted Levante.

Bet on La Liga soccer

Serie A prediction

Matchup: Inter Milan vs. Torino (Aug. 25, 2:45 p.m. ET)

Torino under 0.5 goals (+100): I’m expecting Inter Milan to shut out Torino in Serie A’s opening weekend.

The Nerazzurri had a heartbreaking 2024-25 season, finishing one point behind Napoli for the Scudetto and losing badly to PSG in the Champions League final.

However, Inter is still a great team, built on a strong defence.

Last season, it had the third-most clean sheets (16) while allowing the second-fewest goals per game (0.9) and holding the highest possession (59.8%).

Inter has five clean sheet victories in its last six matches against Torino.

Bet on the new Serie A season

Soccer predictions made at 1:30 p.m. on 08/20/25.

EPL Matchday 2 odds, schedule and betting notes: Liverpool takes on Newcastle at St James’ Park

EPL odds

The Premier League rolls on to Matchday 2 this week with a pair of Grade-A matchups on deck.

The Week 2 narrative: Tottenham has long been a thorn in Manchester City’s side, but the Citizens are heavily favoured to win this fixture at the Etihad. The last matchup of the week takes place at St James’ Park, where reigning champion Liverpool takes on Newcastle United.

Check out the latest EPL odds for Matchday 2 below.

EPL odds and key fixtures

  • Tottenham is an impressive 5-4-1 in its last 10 meetings against Manchester City, picking up a shocking 4-0 win at the Etihad last season. City won the reverse fixture, 1-0, at Tottenham Stadium, though, and is the prohibitive favourite to win this matchup.
  • The Thomas Frank EPL era began with a 3-0 win for Spurs after a solid showing in the European Super Cup against PSG (2-2 loss in penalties). City also picked up a clean sheet win, smashing Wolverhampton, 4-0, behind an Erling Haaland brace.
  • Liverpool was level with Bournemouth heading into the dying minutes of Matchday 1 before Federico Chiesa broke the deadlock with an 88th-minute goal at Anfield.
  • The Reds lost their last fixture against Newcastle, 2-1, in the 2025 League Cup, snapping a 17-game unbeaten streak against the Magpies.
  • Newcastle went 12-2-5 at home last year, drawing Liverpool 3-3 in their meeting at St James’ Park.

EPL Matchday 2 betting lines

West Ham (+410) vs. Chelsea (-148)
Aug. 22 3:00 p.m. ET

Bournemouth (-122) vs. Wolves (+335)
Aug. 23 7:30 a.m. ET

Brentford (+235) vs. Aston Villa (+118)
Aug. 23 10:00 a.m. ET

Burnley (+145) vs. Sunderland (+220)
Aug. 23 10:00 a.m. ET

Arsenal (-360) vs. Leeds United (+1,050)
Aug. 23 12:30 p.m. ET

Crystal Palace (+130) vs. Nottingham Forest (+225)
Aug. 24 9:00 a.m. ET

Everton (+200) vs. Brighton (+148)
Aug. 24 9:00 a.m. ET

Fulham (+235) vs. Manchester United (+120)
Aug. 24 11:30 a.m. ET

EPL betting markets

  • Chelsea has dominated its derby matchup against West Ham in recent years, going 7-2-1 in the last 10 matchups. That includes a pair of wins last season by a combined score of 5-1.
  • Arsenal eked out a 1-0 win over Manchester United on Matchday 1 but should have no problem smashing newly-promoted Leeds United at the Emirates. The Gunners went 11-6-2 at home last season.
  • Speaking of the Red Devils, they probably deserved a better result after generating 1.5 xG to Arsenal’s 1.3. Ruben Amorim’s side has a chance to get in the win column against a Fulham squad it beat twice in the EPL last season (both matches ended 1-0).

EPL odds as of 10:55 a.m. ET on 08/19/2025.

Everton vs. Leeds United best bet Aug. 18: EPL Matchday Week 1 picks and predictions

EPL predictions

The 2025-26 English Premier League season kicks off with Matchday 1 this weekend.

The pregame narrative: There are 20 teams in action for the weekly slate, including a club that has rejoined the Premiership. Everton welcomes recently promoted Leeds United, which is a favourite for its first game back in the EPL after two years.

Check out my EPL predictions and best bets for the season-opening soccer action, featuring a pick on the Manchester United vs. Arsenal match.

EPL predictions

Best bet: Manchester United/Arsenal both teams to score (-150)

Arsenal was third in scoring last season, finishing with 69 goals despite dealing with numerous injuries.

Bukayo Saka and Martin Odegaard missed a majority of the season but come into 2025-26 at full health.

Both teams also made a splash during the transfer window.

  • Man U signed three attackers (Bryan Mbeumo, Benjamin Sesko, Matheus Cunha), all for $50 million or more.
  • Arsenal, meanwhile, bought centre forward Viktor Gyokeres for $75 million.

We have yet to see what these additions can provide on offence, but I don’t think it’s crazy to expect a lot of goals from these clubs to start the new season.

Mbeumo and Cunha, the signings who already played in England, had 35 tallies and 13 assists in the Premier League last season.

Gyokeres had 39 goals and seven assists in 33 games in Liga Portugal last season, so he’s looking like a strong candidate to fill Arsenal’s gap up top.

Both sides made huge offensive moves, and I can’t help but think this is going to be a barn burner.

Key stat: This bet cashed in four of the last six matches between Manchester United and Arsenal.

EPL betting markets

Premier League picks: Matchday 1

Everton to win (+210): I love the underdog value here on Everton.

Midway through last season, the Toffees made a change, re-hiring David Moyes as manager. And that’s when things turned around.

  • Everton picked up points in 15 matches while losing just four from that point on.
  • That included eight wins and draws over clubs such as Liverpool and Arsenal, the EPL’s top two finishers.

Everton sees the potential and has spent some money this transfer window to bolster its squad. Attacker Thierno Barry joins the team from Villarreal in La Liga, while Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall joins the midfield from Chelsea.

These two players cost close to $60 million combined.

Leeds earned promotion to the top flight by winning the Championship. The club is expected to do well this season, but I’ll side with the experienced EPL team that finished the 2024-25 campaign in strong form.

Over the last 19 games of the 2024-25 season, Everton had the ninth-most points in the EPL (31).

EPL predictions made at 11:06 a.m. on 08/15/25.

Everton vs. Leeds United best bet Aug. 18: EPL Matchday Week 1 picks and predictions

EPL predictions

The 2025-26 English Premier League season kicks off with Matchday 1 this weekend.

The pregame narrative: There are 20 teams in action for the weekly slate, including a club that has rejoined the Premiership. Everton welcomes recently promoted Leeds United, which is a favourite for its first game back in the EPL after two years.

Check out my EPL predictions and best bets for the season-opening soccer action, featuring a pick on the Manchester United vs. Arsenal match.

EPL predictions

Best bet: Manchester United/Arsenal both teams to score (-143)

Arsenal was third in scoring last season, finishing with 69 goals despite dealing with numerous injuries.

Bukayo Saka and Martin Odegaard missed a majority of the season but come into 2025-26 at full health.

Both teams also made a splash during the transfer window.

  • Man U signed three attackers (Bryan Mbeumo, Benjamin Sesko, Matheus Cunha), all for $50 million or more.
  • Arsenal, meanwhile, bought centre forward Viktor Gyokeres for $75 million.

We have yet to see what these additions can provide on offence, but I don’t think it’s crazy to expect a lot of goals from these clubs to start the new season.

Mbeumo and Cunha, the signings who already played in England, had 35 tallies and 13 assists in the Premier League last season.

Gyokeres had 39 goals and seven assists in 33 games in Liga Portugal last season, so he’s looking like a strong candidate to fill Arsenal’s gap up top.

Both sides made huge offensive moves, and I can’t help but think this is going to be a barn burner.

Key stat: This bet cashed in four of the last six matches between Manchester United and Arsenal.

EPL betting markets

Premier League picks: Matchday 1

Everton to win (+195): I love the underdog value here on Everton.

Midway through last season, the Toffees made a change, re-hiring David Moyes as manager. And that’s when things turned around.

  • Everton picked up points in 15 matches while losing just four from that point on.
  • That included eight wins and draws over clubs such as Liverpool and Arsenal, the EPL’s top two finishers.

Everton sees the potential and has spent some money this transfer window to bolster its squad. Attacker Thierno Barry joins the team from Villarreal in La Liga, while Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall joins the midfield from Chelsea.

These two players cost close to $60 million combined.

Leeds earned promotion to the top flight by winning the Championship. The club is expected to do well this season, but I’ll side with the experienced EPL team that finished the 2024-25 campaign in strong form.

Over the last 19 games of the 2024-25 season, Everton had the ninth-most points in the EPL (31).

EPL predictions made at 8:43 a.m. on 08/15/25.

La Liga picks and predictions Aug. 17: Target Alexander Sorloth for Atletico Madrid

La Liga predictions

The first weekend of La Liga action concludes with two afternoon matches on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: It starts with Athletic Bilbao, looking to build off a strong season, against Sevilla, which narrowly escaped relegation in 2024-25. After that, European powerhouse Atletico Madrid looks to get off on the right foot against Espanyol.

Check out my La Liga predictions and best bets for the season-opening soccer action, featuring Alexander Sorloth

La Liga predictions

Best bet: Alexander Sorloth to score (-108)

The 6-foot-5 striker is a clinical goalscorer in every way.

  • Last season, he only started 15 matches (35 appearances) but still managed to score 20 goals.
  • His 1.15 goals per 90 minutes ranked first and far outpaced Kylan Mbappe’s 0.96 goals per 90 (31 total goals).
  • Sorloth recorded the second-most shots on goal per 90 last season (2.4).

I expect him to start on Sunday, but he will probably be subbed off in the second half, especially if Madrid holds the lead.

And it’s very possible Atletico is up multiple goals by that point. The side is -167 to win and -122 to score two or more goals.

That’s because Espanyol was one of the worst defensive sides in La Liga last season.

Key stat: Amongst teams that didn’t get relegated, Espanyol was tied for the most xG conceded last season (54.6).

La Liga betting markets

La Liga picks: Week 1

Sevilla under 0.5 goals (+100): Bilbao was Spain’s best defensive team last season, being the only club to concede fewer than 30 goals.

The side held a clean sheet in eight of the final 11 matches last season, including a 1-0 win over Sevilla.

Bilbao will also have the advantage of playing at home.

Sevilla was a huge disappointment last season, finishing one point clear of relegation with 41 points and a -13 goal differential.

The side was a below-average offensive team, scoring 1.1 goals per game and should struggle to score in a tough matchup.

Sevilla didn’t bring in any notable players this transfer window and could be back in the battle to avoid relegation again this season.

La Liga predictions made at 1:21 p.m. on 08/16/25.