Category: Soccer

CONCACAF Gold Cup odds 2025: Canada is third on board behind USA, Mexico

Gold Cup odds

The Gold Cup begins this weekend, with three North American teams atop the odds board.

The latest: USA and Mexico are neck-and-neck as the favourites, with Canada not far behind. Les Rouges brought an exceptionally strong squad to this tournament, even in the absence of their captain, Alphonso Davies, who is out with a torn ACL.

Here are the latest CONCACAF Gold Cup odds for the 2025 soccer tournament.

Gold Cup odds

Full Gold Cup markets and latest odds

TeamOdds
USA+200
Mexico+200
Canada+600
Saudi Arabia+800
Panama+1,400
Jamaica+1,600
Costa Rica+2,000
Honduras+3,300
El Salvador+6,600
Guatemala+10,000
Suriname+15,000

Gold Cup odds as of 11:32 a.m. ET on 06/13/2025.

The favourites: USA (+200), Mexico (+200)

  • The USA is missing three top players. Captain Christian Pulisic opted to skip this tournament while Weston McKennie and Timothy Weah are unavailable as Juventus plays in the FIFA Club World Cup. Still, the Americans boast a deep squad under new manager Mauricio Pochettino.
  • Mexico is fresh off winning the 2024 CONCACAF Nations League, beating both Canada and the USA last year. The Tricolour are bringing an experienced and talented group to this tournament, but they’re missing forward Hirving Lozano due to injury.

Canada’s odds

Canada (+600)

The Canadians are primed for a deep run.

Without Davies, Les Rouges hammered Ukraine 4-2 in the inaugural Canadian Shield — a four-team friendly tournament — picking up their first win over European competition since 2011.

Canada then lost in penalties to the reigning AFCON champions, Ivory Coast, after forcing a 0-0 draw in regulation.

With those two results, Jesse Marsch’s side boasts a 6-1-3 record in regulation since losing to Argentina in the 2024 Copa America semis.

The Canadians currently sit 30th in FIFA’s rankings, which is their highest spot ever.

There are no notable absences for Les Rouges outside of Davies, with names like Jonathan David, Cyle Larin, and Tajon Buchanan all slated to play.

FIFA Club World Cup betting primer: Odds, top favourites, predictions, FAQ and more

FIFA Club World Cup betting

After taking on a new format, the FIFA Club World Cup returns in 2025.

The pre-tournament narrative: The best soccer clubs in the world will meet in an international tournament that’s freshly revamped to be bigger and better than ever. This star-packed soccer event will feature most of the sport’s best players and takes place in North America, where the 2026 World Cup will be held.

Before the group stage kicks off on June 14, check out our FIFA Club World Cup betting primer.

FIFA Club World Cup betting odds

The favouritesOdds
Real Madrid+350
PSG+400
Manchester City+450
Bayern Munich+650
Chelsea+850
Inter Milan+1,200
Atletico Madrid+1,400

FIFA Club World Cup betting odds as of 3:20 p.m. ET on 06/12/2025.

Full FIFA Club World Cup betting markets

•Group A: FC Porto | Palmeiras | Inter Miami | Al Ahly Cairo

•Group B: PSG | Atletico Madrid | Botafogo | Seattle Sounders FC

•Group C: Bayern Munich | Auckland City FC | Boca Juniors | Benfica

•Group D: Flamengo | Esperance Sportive de Tunis | Chelsea | LAFC

•Group E: River Plate | Urawa Red Diamonds | CF Monterrey | Inter Milan

•Group F: Fluminense | Borussia Dortmund | Ulsan HD | Mamelodi Sundowns

•Group G: Manchester City | Wydad AC | Al Ain | Juventus

•Group H: Real Madrid | Al Hilal | CF Pachuca | FC Salzburg

  • Real Madrid has won the FIFA World Cup five times since 2014 and is understandably the favourite to win another. The Spanish giants have one of the easiest groups — a favourable path in the knockout stages is all but assured.
  • PSG sits just behind, most likely because of its group. The Champions League winners share Group B with fellow European powerhouse Atletico Madrid (+1,400 to win). If PSG wins the group, the side would likely emerge as the favourite heading into the latter part of this competition.
  • Manchester City enters as the reigning FIFA Club World Cup champion, winning this tournament in 2023. The English club isn’t as strong as it was back then, but it still poses a serious threat to repeat.

Tournament prediction

Serhou Guirassy to score the most goals (+1,200): The Borussia Dortmund forward enters the tournament fresh off a record.

  • Guirassy scored 13 goals in the Champions League, the most ever by an African-born player in one season.
  • He added 21 goals in the Bundesliga, making his total 35 in 42 matches across all competitions.

Guirassy is one of the world’s premier goal scorers and is coming off a remarkable season.

Plus, Dortmund has one of the easier groups as it is -1,250 to qualify for the knockout stages and -200 to win Group F.

I believe this pick has a ton of value based on Guirassy’s goalscoring prowess and Dortmund’s feasible path to the later stages of the tournament.

Bet on the FIFA Club World Cup

FIFA Club World Cup FAQ

What is the FIFA Club World Cup?

This is an international men’s soccer tournament organized by FIFA for the top soccer clubs in the world. What was once an annual tournament, the FIFA CWC was redesigned to be held every four years.

This new format will have 32 teams for the first time (12 from Europe, six from South America, four from Asia, four from Africa, four from North America and the Caribbean, one from Oceania, and one extra team from the host nation) and feature $1 billion in prize money.

Where is the FIFA Club World Cup taking place?

The 2025 FIFA CWC will be held across 12 different venues in the USA. That includes MetLife Stadium in New Jersey (home to the NFL’s New York Giants and Jets) for the championship game on July 13.

When does the FIFA Club World Cup start?

The group stage starts with Al Ahly Cairo vs. Inter Miami CF on Saturday, June 14 at 8 p.m. ET.

How did teams qualify for the FIFA Club World Cup?

Teams qualified for this tournament in a variety of different ways.

  • The first was through winning the respective continent’s top tournament in the last four years (EX: UEFA Champions League)
  • The second way was through the ranking pathway. For example, Inter Milan was consistently good in the past four years of European competition despite not winning a UCL trophy.
  • Two clubs from the United States qualified through winning the MLS Shield in 2024 (Inter Miami) and through a play-in that determined the final team from the host nation (Los Angeles FC).

Who are the biggest stars playing in the FIFA Club World Cup?

With teams like Real Madrid, Bayern Munich and Inter Miami in the mix, there will be plenty of star power in action. Expect the sport’s top talents like Kylian Mbappe, Harry Kane and Lionel Messi to play.

How many games does each team play? 

The FIFA CWC will follow a standard group-stage format with eight groups of four teams playing each other once. The top two teams in each group will advance to the knockout stages.

How does the knockout stage work? 

The final 16 teams will play single-elimination matches starting with a round of 16 on June 28 and ending with the final, similar to the FIFA World Cup or Euros.

FIFA Club World Cup betting primer: Odds, top favourites, predictions, FAQ and more

FIFA Club World Cup betting

After taking on a new format, the FIFA Club World Cup returns in 2025.

The pre-tournament narrative: The best soccer clubs in the world will meet in an international tournament that’s freshly revamped to be bigger and better than ever. This star-packed soccer event will feature most of the sport’s best players and takes place in North America, where the 2026 World Cup will be held.

Before the group stage kicks off on June 14, check out our FIFA Club World Cup betting primer.

FIFA Club World Cup betting odds

The favouritesOdds
Real Madrid+400
PSG+450
Manchester City+500
Bayern Munich+700
Chelsea+1,000

FIFA Club World Cup betting odds as of 3:50 p.m. ET on 06/11/2025.

Full FIFA Club World Cup betting markets

•Group A: FC Porto | Palmeiras | Inter Miami | Al Ahly Cairo

•Group B: PSG | Atletico Madrid | Botafogo | Seattle Sounders FC

•Group C: Bayern Munich | Auckland City FC | Boca Juniors | Benfica

•Group D: Flamengo | Esperance Sportive de Tunis | Chelsea | LAFC

•Group E: River Plate | Urawa Red Diamonds | CF Monterrey | Inter Milan

•Group F: Fluminense | Borussia Dortmund | Ulsan HD | Mamelodi Sundowns

•Group G: Manchester City | Wydad AC | Al Ain | Juventus

•Group H: Real Madrid | Al Hilal | CF Pachuca | FC Salzburg

  • Real Madrid has won the FIFA World Cup five times since 2014 and is understandably the favourite to win another. The Spanish giants have one of the easiest groups — a favourable path in the knockout stages is all but assured.
  • PSG sits just behind, most likely because of its group. The Champions League winners share Group B with fellow European powerhouse Atletico Madrid (+1,400 to win). If PSG wins the group, the side would likely emerge as the favourite heading into the latter part of this competition.
  • Manchester City enters as the reigning FIFA Club World Cup champion, winning this tournament in 2023. The English club isn’t as strong as it was back then, but it still poses a serious threat to repeat.

Tournament predictions

Serhou Guirassy to score the most goals (+1,600): The Borussia Dortmund forward enters the tournament fresh off a record.

  • Guirassy scored 13 goals in the Champions League, the most ever by an African-born player in one season.
  • He added 21 goals in the Bundesliga, making his total 35 in 42 matches across all competitions.

Guirassy is one of the world’s premier goal scorers and is coming off a remarkable season.

Plus, Dortmund has one of the easier groups as it is -1,250 to qualify for the knockout stages and -200 to win Group F.

I believe this pick has a ton of value based on Guirassy’s goalscoring prowess and Dortmund’s feasible path to the later stages of the tournament.

Inter Miami to be eliminated in the group stage (+110): Group A is certainly wide open, but I’d argue Inter Miami is in the bottom two.

The MLS side opens its tournament against Al Ahly Cairo, which has the longest odds in the group. Al Ahly did win the Egyptian premiership, though, so it won’t be a walk in the park by any means.

A draw in this game would be detrimental to Miami’s chances of getting out.

And then there’s Palmeiras (the fourth-place Brazilian Serie A team) and FC Porto, a staple in Liga Portugal and the Champions League.

Inter Miami isn’t dominating the MLS, either. The club sits third in the Eastern Conference with an 8-5-3 record.

At plus money, I’ll happily fade one of the American teams on home turf.

Bet on the FIFA Club World Cup

FIFA Club World Cup FAQ

What is the FIFA Club World Cup?

This is an international men’s soccer tournament organized by FIFA for the top soccer clubs in the world. What was once an annual tournament, the FIFA CWC was redesigned to be held every four years.

This new format will have 32 teams for the first time (12 from Europe, six from South America, four from Asia, four from Africa, four from North America and the Caribbean, one from Oceania, and one extra team from the host nation) and feature $1 billion in prize money.

Where is the FIFA Club World Cup taking place?

The 2025 FIFA CWC will be held across 12 different venues in the USA. That includes MetLife Stadium in New Jersey (home to the NFL’s New York Giants and Jets) for the championship game on July 13.

When does the FIFA Club World Cup start?

The group stage starts with Al Ahly Cairo vs. Inter Miami CF on Saturday, June 14 at 8 p.m. ET.

How did teams qualify for the FIFA Club World Cup?

Teams qualified for this tournament in a variety of different ways.

  • The first was through winning the respective continent’s top tournament in the last four years (EX: UEFA Champions League)
  • The second way was through the ranking pathway. For example, Inter Milan was consistently good in the past four years of European competition despite not winning a UCL trophy.
  • Two clubs from the United States qualified through winning the MLS Shield in 2024 (Inter Miami) and through a play-in that determined the final team from the host nation (Los Angeles FC).

Who are the biggest stars playing in the FIFA Club World Cup?

With teams like Real Madrid, Bayern Munich and Inter Miami in the mix, there will be plenty of star power in action. Expect the sport’s top talents like Kylian Mbappe, Harry Kane and Lionel Messi to play.

How many games does each team play? 

The FIFA CWC will follow a standard group-stage format with eight groups of four teams playing each other once. The top two teams in each group will advance to the knockout stages.

How does the knockout stage work? 

The final 16 teams will play single-elimination matches starting with a round of 16 on June 28 and ending with the final, similar to the FIFA World Cup or Euros.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast men’s soccer odds and best bet: Expect a low-scoring game at BMO Field

Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds

The Canadian men’s national team is back in action on Tuesday when it hosts the Ivory Coast in the Canadian Shield Tournament.

The pregame narrative: Canada erupted for a 4-2 victory over Ukraine in the tournament opener, securing its first win over a European opponent since 2011. Les Rouges are favoured to beat Ivory Coast, which lost its opener to New Zealand, 1-0.

Check out our Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds and my predictions for the men’s soccer match on June 10.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds

Go to full Canada vs. Ivory Coast betting markets

Canada vs. Ivory Coast marketsBetting odds
Canada to win+100
Draw+245
Ivory Coast to win+260
Canada draw no bet-223
Ivory Coast draw no bet+155
Canada to win or tie-350
Ivory Coast to win or tie-130
Over 2.5 goals+100
Under 2.5 goals-125

Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds as of 3:30 p.m. ET on 06/09/2024.

Best bet

Under 2.5 goals (-125)

Canada cashed the over on this total on its own Saturday … before the halftime whistle blew.

But I’m expecting a more measured contest against a Côte d’Ivoire side that has been great defensively over the last few years.

  • The Ivory Coast won the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations by conceding one or fewer goals in six of seven games.
  • In the last 12 months, the group is 7-1-3 while allowing just four total goals (0.36 per game). The under on this total is 9-2 in that span.

Canada’s offence has plenty of firepower, with Jonathan David, Cyle Larin and Tajon Buchanan all making noise for the country and European clubs. But Les Rouges are still missing their star player, Alphonso Davies, who suffered an ACL injury in March.

This seems like a match where Jesse Marsch’s squad will rely on securing possession in the midfield instead of relying on the counter-attack.

Key stat: Canada has gone under this mark in nine of its last 15 games, landing on exactly three goals in four of the outliers.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast predictions made at 3:30 p.m. on 06/09/25.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast men’s soccer odds and best bet: Expect a low-scoring game at BMO Field

Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds

The Canadian men’s national team is back in action on Tuesday when it hosts the Ivory Coast in the Canadian Shield Tournament.

The pregame narrative: Canada erupted for a 4-2 victory over Ukraine in the tournament opener, securing its first win over a European opponent since 2011. Les Rouges are favoured to beat Ivory Coast, which lost its opener to New Zealand, 1-0.

Check out our Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds and my predictions for the men’s soccer match on June 10.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds

Go to full Canada vs. Ivory Coast betting markets

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast marketsBetting odds
Canada to win-106
Draw+265
Ivory Coast to win+280
Canada draw no bet-245
Ivory Coast draw no bet+175
Canada to win or tie-420
Ivory Coast to win or tie-122
Over 2.5 goals-103
Under 2.5 goals-130

Canada vs. Ivory Coast odds as of 3:30 p.m. ET on 06/09/2024.

Best bet

Under 2.5 goals (-130)

Canada cashed the over on this total on its own Saturday … before the halftime whistle blew.

But I’m expecting a more measured contest against a Côte d’Ivoire side that has been great defensively over the last few years.

  • The Ivory Coast won the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations by conceding one or fewer goals in six of seven games.
  • In the last 12 months, the group is 7-1-3 while allowing just four total goals (0.36 per game). The under on this total is 9-2 in that span.

Canada’s offence has plenty of firepower, with Jonathan David, Cyle Larin and Tajon Buchanan all making noise for the country and European clubs. But Les Rouges are still missing their star player, Alphonso Davies, who suffered an ACL injury in March.

This seems like a match where Jesse Marsch’s squad will rely on securing possession in the midfield instead of relying on the counter-attack.

Key stat: Canada has gone under this mark in nine of its last 15 games, landing on exactly three goals in four of the outliers.

Canada vs. Ivory Coast predictions made at 3:30 p.m. on 06/09/25.

Bet on Canada’s stars with the Great Canadian Parlay

Great Canadian Parlay

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Offered multiple times per week as part of our NorthStar Specials lineup, the Great Canadian Parlay includes regular odds boosts of up to 20%, offering more potential value every time you back Canada.*

These SGPs are handcrafted in Toronto by the NorthStar Bets team and are available for a limited time on game days, so be sure to bookmark the NorthStar Specials page and make it part of your game-day routine.

With custom bets, boosted odds, and national pride on offer, The Great Canadian Parlay is a fun and rewarding way to elevate your sports betting experience — and show your support for the red and white.

Look for the Great Canadian Parlay inside the NorthStar Specials section of our sportsbook, like this one from June 6:

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Don’t miss out. Bet on Canada with the Great Canadian Parlay — only at NorthStar Bets.

(*All Great Canadian Parlays will feature a minimum odds boost of 10%, with select SGPs featuring a 20% boost.)

Canada vs. Ukraine men’s soccer odds and best bets: Back Les Rouges to win Canadian Shield match

Canada vs. Ukraine odds

The inaugural Canadian Shield begins on Saturday when host nation Canada battles Ukraine at BMO Field in Toronto.

The pregame narrative: Canada is without its captain, Alphonso Davies, who suffered an ACL tear playing for his country in March. Still, Les Rouges sit a record 30th in FIFA’s rankings and are favoured to win this match.

Check out our Canada vs. Ukraine odds and my predictions for the men’s soccer match on June 7.

Canada vs. Ukraine odds

Go to full Canada vs. Ukraine betting markets

Canada vs. Ukraine marketsBetting odds
Canada to win+110
Draw+225
Ukraine to win+210
Canada draw no bet-182
Ukraine draw no bet+130
Canada to win or tie-350
Ukraine to win or tie-150
Over 2.5 goals-110
Under 2.5 goals-120

Canada vs. Ukraine odds as of 3:52 p.m. ET on 06/05/2024.

Best bet

Canada to win (+110)

The absence of Davies puts a damper on this game, but Canada still boasts a ton of firepower on attack.

Jesse Marsch has the two-headed monster of Jonathan David and Cyle Larin to rely upon, who rank first and second in goals for their country.

And the midfield has quickly become a strength of the team with Tajon Buchanan and Ismael Kone — two players playing for European Clubs — locking things down across a variety of formations.

Ukraine is without its captain Andriy Yarmolenko (rest), top striker Artem Dovbyk (injury) and dynamic midfielder Mykhailo Mudryk (suspension).

That offsets the Davies injury and then some.

Canada has always been a great home side with this group, especially at BMO Field. And while Ukraine hasn’t played within its own borders in a while, it has struggled in true road games, going 1-1-3 in its last five.

Key stat: Canada has won five of its last seven games.

Canada vs. Ukraine predictions made at 3:52 p.m. on 06/05/25.

Canada vs. Ukraine men’s soccer odds and best bets: Back Les Rouges to win Canadian Shield match

Canada vs. Ukraine odds

The inaugural Canadian Shield begins on Saturday when host nation Canada battles Ukraine at BMO Field in Toronto.

The pregame narrative: Canada is without its captain, Alphonso Davies, who suffered an ACL tear playing for his country in March. Still, Les Rouges sit a record 30th in FIFA’s rankings and are favoured to win this match.

Check out our Canada vs. Ukraine odds and my predictions for the men’s soccer match on June 7.

Canada vs. Ukraine odds

Go to full Canada vs. Ukraine betting markets

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip.

Canada vs. Ukraine marketsBetting odds
Canada to win+117
Draw+230
Ukraine to win+250
Canada draw no bet-200
Ukraine draw no bet+143
Canada to win or tie-360
Ukraine to win or tie-152
Over 2.5 goals-108
Under 2.5 goals-121

Canada vs. Ukraine odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET on 06/05/2024.

Best bet

Canada to win (+117)

The absence of Davies puts a damper on this game, but Canada still boasts a ton of firepower on attack.

Jesse Marsch has the two-headed monster of Jonathan David and Cyle Larin to rely upon, who rank first and second in goals for their country.

And the midfield has quickly become a strength of the team with Tajon Buchanan and Ismael Kone — two players playing for European Clubs — locking things down across a variety of formations.

Ukraine is without its captain Andriy Yarmolenko (rest), top striker Artem Dovbyk (injury) and dynamic midfielder Mykhailo Mudryk (suspension).

That offsets the Davies injury and then some.

Canada has always been a great home side with this group, especially at BMO Field. And while Ukraine hasn’t played within its own borders in a while, it has struggled in true road games, going 1-1-3 in its last five.

Key stat: Canada has won five of its last seven games.

Canada vs. Ukraine predictions made at 1:29 p.m. on 06/05/25.

Nations League semifinal picks and predictions: Best bets for Germany vs. Portugal, Spain vs. France

Nations League predictions

Four countries remain in the Nations League semifinal that kicks off on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Spain and France met in the semis of the Euros almost a year ago and now rematch in the Nations League. Before that, Germany and Portugal put their offences to the test with a spot in the final on the line.

Check out the best Nations League predictions for the semifinal matches taking place on June 4-5.

Nations League predictions

Best bet: Spain/France over 2.5 goals (+110)

Spain has played eight matches in this competition, and this wager cashed in six of them (3.38 average goals per game).

Both of France’s quarterfinal games vs. Croatia finished just below this total with two goals each. But Les Bleus still have a 4-4 record against this over at the Nations League.

The advanced stats, per Fotmob, paint a better picture of how much offensive potential there is in this matchup:

  • Spain ranks first in shots on goal per match (7.3), second in big chances (30), and second with 17.7 xG.
  • France ranks third in shots on goal per match (5.9), sixth in big chances (21) and sixth with 12.7 xG.

With talents like Kylian Mbappe and Kolo Muani up top, France is always dangerous in the offensive third.

On top of that, key defensive pieces will be absent for both sides, as well.

  • Out for France: Eduardo Camavinga, William Saliba, Dayot Upamecano
  • Out for Spain: Rodri, Dani Carvajal, Aymeric LaPorte

Plus, France could be without several players who were involved in Saturday’s Champions League final.

I expect a high-paced contest between two nations that will need to lean on their offensive firepower. For that reason, I’ll happily take a shot on this modest total at a plus-money price.

Key stat: France and Spain met in the semifinal at the 2024 Euros in a match that finished over this total at 2-1.

Go to full Nations League betting markets

Germany vs. Portugal Nations League best bet

Germany to win (-112): Germany leads this tournament or ranks near the top in many important stats:

  • Most goals per match (2.9)
  • Most xG (19.1)
  • Most big changes (34)
  • Second-fewest goals conceded per match (1.0)
  • Fourth-fewest xG (8.8)

The Germans fended off Italy in the quarterfinal, winning 5-4 on aggregate.

Portugal has been dominant in its own right, but has faced inferior competition en route to the semis, including a quarterfinal clash with Denmark.

But the Navigators have benefited from an undeniably strong offence, as well as some good luck.

They are scoring goals at a high rate, with the third most at this competition (2.3 per game), but the side leaves something to be desired on defence.

Portugal has only conceded eight goals but ranks right in the middle of the pack with 10.4 xG allowed.

It hasn’t cost Portugal yet, but I think Germany can take advantage and score a few goals while relying on a strong defensive shape.

Nations League predictions made at 1:39 p.m. on 06/03/2025.

Nations League semifinal picks and predictions: Best bets for Germany vs. Portugal, Spain vs. France

Nations League predictions

Four countries remain in the Nations League semifinal that kicks off on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Spain and France met in the semis of the Euros almost a year ago and now rematch in the Nations League. Before that, Germany and Portugal put their offences to the test with a spot in the final on the line.

Check out the best Nations League predictions for the semifinal matches taking place on June 4-5.

Nations League predictions

Best bet: Spain/France over 2.5 goals (+123)

Spain has played eight matches in this competition, and this wager cashed in six of them (3.38 average goals per game).

Both of France’s quarterfinal games vs. Croatia finished just below this total with two goals each. But Les Bleus still have a 4-4 record against this over at the Nations League.

The advanced stats, per Fotmob, paint a better picture of how much offensive potential there is in this matchup:

  • Spain ranks first in shots on goal per match (7.3), second in big chances (30), and second with 17.7 xG.
  • France ranks third in shots on goal per match (5.9), sixth in big chances (21) and sixth with 12.7 xG.

With talents like Kylian Mbappe and Kolo Muani up top, France is always dangerous in the offensive third.

On top of that, key defensive pieces will be absent for both sides, as well.

  • Out for France: Eduardo Camavinga, William Saliba, Dayot Upamecano
  • Out for Spain: Rodri, Dani Carvajal, Aymeric LaPorte

Plus, France could be without several players who were involved in Saturday’s Champions League final.

I expect a high-paced contest between two nations that will need to lean on their offensive firepower. For that reason, I’ll happily take a shot on this modest total at a plus-money price.

Key stat: France and Spain met in the semifinal at the 2024 Euros in a match that finished over this total at 2-1.

Go to full Nations League betting markets

Germany vs. Portugal Nations League best bet

Germany to win (-107): Germany leads this tournament or ranks near the top in many important stats:

  • Most goals per match (2.9)
  • Most xG (19.1)
  • Most big changes (34)
  • Second-fewest goals conceded per match (1.0)
  • Fourth-fewest xG (8.8)

The Germans fended off Italy in the quarterfinal, winning 5-4 on aggregate.

Portugal has been dominant in its own right, but has faced inferior competition en route to the semis, including a quarterfinal clash with Denmark.

But the Navigators have benefited from an undeniably strong offence, as well as some good luck.

They are scoring goals at a high rate, with the third most at this competition (2.3 per game), but the side leaves something to be desired on defence.

Portugal has only conceded eight goals but ranks right in the middle of the pack with 10.4 xG allowed.

It hasn’t cost Portugal yet, but I think Germany can take advantage and score a few goals while relying on a strong defensive shape.

Nations League predictions made at 12:32 p.m. on 06/03/2025.