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Cavaliers vs. Heat SGP predictions Game 4: Bet on Tyler Herro and Max Strus at +300

The Cleveland Cavaliers look to sweep the Miami Heat on Monday.

The pregame narrative: Cleveland has been the class of the Eastern Conference all season, and that’s shown through three games against Miami. I expect the Cavaliers to close out the series tonight, and have prop bets on two sharpshooters, Tyler Herro and Max Strus.

Check out my Cavaliers vs. Heat playoff SGP predictions for Game 4 on April 28.

Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions

Parlay: Cavaliers -4.5 | Strus 2+ threes | Herro over 23.5 points (+300)

Cavaliers -4.5 (-240): The Cavaliers posted an East-best 64 wins during the regular season and haven’t missed a beat in the playoffs.

They’ve won each game by at least nine points and secured a 37-point blowout on the road in Game 3.

I expect a better effort from Miami with its season on the line, but Cleveland should cover this spread comfortably.

The Cavs had the third-best road net rating (+7.0) in the NBA this season.

Cleveland is 21-14 ATS as a road favourite, winning those games by an average of 10.0 points.

They have covered this number in five straight games vs. Miami dating back to the regular season.

Get the brooms ready, because this one should be over tonight.

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NBA SGP legs

Strus 2+ threes (-220): Strus is the kind of role player that can help a team win a championship. He plays solid defensive minutes, hits his shots and can chip in offensively.

Take a look at what he’s done this series:

Game 1: 21 mins, 9 pts (3-for-5 from deep)
Game 2: 26 mins, 14 pts (4-for-8 from deep)
Game 3: 31 mins, 18 pts (4-for-9 from deep)

Strus has attempted 26 shots this postseason, and 22 of them have been from 3-point land. He’s cashed 11 of those for an impressive 50.0% rate.

The 29-year-old has reached this milestone in six straight games and eight of his last 10. In a game with blowout potential, I expect the backup guard to get plenty of looks.

Herro over 23.5 points (-139): Cleveland’s Darius Garland was asked what the key to this series is following Game 2, and he responded: “Pick on Tyler Herro.”

In the next game, Herro shot 5-of-13 from the field and scored 13 points.

I’m expecting a response from Miami’s top dog, and not just because of a bruised ego.

Herro scored 33 points in Game 2 and had fallen just short of this line with 21 in the series opener.

He dropped 30 and 38 points in the Heat’s two play-in games and had scored at least 20 points in 14 straight games before Saturday’s stinker.

Cleveland is a great defensive team, but Herro has to shoot if Miami wants to win this contest. I think the Heat will ultimately fall short, but I believe Herro can have a solid performance.

Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions made at 9:40 a.m. ET 04/28/2025.

NBA playoff prop bets April 28: Bet on Davion Mitchell, fade Fred VanVleet

I’m fading one guard and backing another for Monday night’s NBA playoff doubleheader.

The pregame narrative: Davion Mitchell has been an unsung star of the first round for the soon-to-be-bounced Miami Heat. I’m sticking with what has been a very profitable prop market for him, while Fred VanVleet has solid value on an under.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 28.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Mitchell over 18.5 points/assists (-118)

I know this isn’t the flashiest play out there, but I keep coming back to it because it keeps cashing.

The ex-Toronto Raptor is 10-4 against this prop since March 23.

Mitchell has been the primary ball-handler for the Heat in their first-round series, but he’s also had to take matters into his own hands when teammates’ shots aren’t falling.

So far in the postseason, Mitchell is averaging 17.7 potential assists per game, which refers to passes that immediately lead to a shot. And that’s the third-highest among all playoff performers.

But Mitchell is only averaging 6.7 assists, meaning a 37.9% conversion rate on his potential assists. Other primary passers like Tyrese Haliburton, James Harden and Jalen Brunson are all over 60.0%.

I take this to mean that Mitchell could see some positive regression if the pass volume holds. But also, it might be further incentive for him to continue shooting.

Mitchell is 22-for-32 (68.8 FG%) from the floor in the playoffs. He has 16-plus points in each game.

It’s fair to think his shooting efficiency will regress, but the passing side of things should make up for that.

This might be the last game of the year to bet on Mitchell in this market, and I’m not going to miss out.

Key stat: In the first round, Mitchell is averaging 17.3 points and 6.7 assists (24.0 PA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

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Best NBA picks

VanVleet under 2.5 threes (+100): Betting against VanVleet failed me in Game 4, as he slogged his way to 17 points on 5-for-14 shooting.

I still think he’s generally worth fading, though, and at an even-money price, I think this is the right way to do it.

VanVleet is 6-for-29 (20.7%) from 3-point range in this series. Yes, that’s a lot of 3s, and therein lies the risk. But he’s just not hitting them at anything close to a respectable clip.

That’s been a theme for the veteran guard all year against the Golden State Warriors.

Under 2.5 threes is 5-2 when VanVleet faces the Warriors, and he’s shooting 21.3% from deep in those games. Playing the averages, I see enough value here to buy in.

NBA prop picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 04/28/2025.

Pacers vs. Bucks SGP predictions Game 4: Bet on Indiana ATS, Giannis to stay hot at +285

The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers close out Sunday’s NBA playoff quadrupleheader with a pivotal Game 4.

The pregame narrative: Milwaukee lost the first two games of this series and is looking to even things up after picking up a decisive win at home on Friday. I’ll ride with Indiana to keep this one close, though, with prop bets on Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bobby Portis.

Check out my Pacers vs. Bucks playoff SGP predictions for Game 4 on Sunday, April 27.

Pacers vs. Bucks predictions

Parlay: Pacers +8.5 | Giannis 30+ points | Portis 8+ rebounds (+285)

Pacers +8.5 (-215): Indiana was on the wrong end of a blowout in Game 3, but there are plenty of reasons to believe it can rebound on Sunday.

The Pacers won the series opener by 19 points and followed that up with an 8-point win in Game 2.

Dating back to the start of last season, Indiana has covered a +10.5 spread in 13 of 18 games against Milwaukee (playoffs included).

Rick Carlisle’s squad went 12-10 ATS as a road underdog this season, with a -2.3 average margin of victory.

Indiana had a horrific shooting night in Game 3, going 43.3% from the floor and 31.7% from deep. I’ll consider that a one-off, though, because Milwaukee isn’t a defensive juggernaut.

The Bucks were a pedestrian 16th in defensive rating following the all-star break and are 12th out of 16 playoff teams as of April 27th.

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NBA SGP legs

Giannis 30+ points (-225): We’re only three games in, but Giannis is heading toward one of the great playoff series performances of all time.

Game 1: 36 points (14-of-23 shooting), 12 rebounds
Game 2: 34 points (14-of-20 shooting), 18 rebounds
Game 3: 37 points (14-of-19 shooting), 12 rebounds

The Greek Freak has been scoring at will against the Pacers, which is nothing new. He’s averaging 36.1 PPG in his last 15 games against them, reaching this milestone 12 times.

Indiana also allowed the sixth-most PPG to opposing power forwards this year, according to Fantasy Pros.

The one concern I would have with Giannis is his conditioning. He’s being asked to do it all and has delivered, but how long can that last?

That said, he only played 32 minutes in Game 3 and should be relatively well-rested for another monster showing on Sunday.

Portis 8+ rebounds (-210): Milwaukee is going to need secondary players beyond Giannis and Damian Lillard to produce, and Portis can be that guy.

The veteran forward has cleared this line in all six games since returning to the Bucks’ active lineup on April 8 and also in seven of 10 games before getting injured.

Portis had double-digit boards in five of six playoff games against Indiana last year, with the exception being a game where he was ejected after seven minutes.

So if you exclude that, he’s hit this milestone in eight straight playoff games against the Pacers.

Pacers vs. Bucks predictions made at 11:30 a.m. ET 04/27/2025.

NBA playoff prop bets April 27: Bet on guards Schroder, White and Lillard

Derrick White and Damian Lillard headline Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: White should have ample opportunities to rack up assists with fellow guard Jrue Holiday sidelined. Lillard, meanwhile, has had a tough run since returning from injury and is a solid buy-low candidate. A pick on Detroit’s Dennis Schroder rounds out my plays

Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 27.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: White over 4.5 assists (-125)

White is best known for his 3-point shooting, but the veteran guard can really do it all.

This season, he averaged 4.8 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game while playing excellent defence. On Sunday, I want to tap into his abilities as a passer against the Orlando Magic.

White has cleared this line in consecutive games, and 11 of his past 13 dating to the regular season.

Holiday, much like White, provides secondary production while playing top-tier defence. He was leading Boston with 9.5 potential assists per game this postseason, and is out with a hamstring injury on Sunday.

That means White should have increased opportunities as a passer.

White averaged 5.4 assists in 19 games without Holiday this season, clearing this line 11 times. He also landed on exactly four assists four times.

Key stat: White has cleared this total in four straight games without Holiday.

Best NBA picks

Lillard over 2.5 threes (-125): Lillard has struggled to find his shooting stroke through two appearances this postseason, going a combined 3-of-16 from deep against the Indiana Pacers.

But he’s still firing with volume, and I’m hoping the rust from a months-long absence will be shaken off for a pivotal Game 4 on Sunday.

Lillard has always been a clutch playoff performer, averaging 3.3 threes in the postseason on 9.0 attempts per game (36.8%).

Last year, he played four playoff games against the Pacers and cleared this line in each of them, averaging 5.0 threes on 41.7% shooting.

If the Milwaukee Bucks want any chance of advancing to the second round, they’ll need Lillard to heat up. Doc Rivers should give him the green light to shoot his way out of this mini-slump.

Schroder over 15.5 points and assists (-118): Schroder cleared this mark on points alone in his last two games, and has received steady minutes off the bench all series.

Game 1: 8 points, 3 assists, 26 minutes
Game 2: 20 points, 3 assists, 29 minutes
Game 3: 18 points, 2 assists, 30 minutes

The journeyman point guard has boatloads of postseason experience and should feature heavily in the frontcourt for J.B. Bickerstaff again on Sunday.

New York allowed the fifth-most PPG to point guards and the 12th-most PPG to shooting guards this season, according to Fantasy Pros.

Schroder should be able to score, and I also expect him to chip in as a passer. After all, his 5.3 assists per game mark was the second highest on the Pistons during the regular season behind Cade Cunningham.

NBA prop picks made at 9:41 a.m. ET on 04/27/2025.

NBA playoff prop bets April 27: Bet on guards Schroder, White and Lillard

Derrick White and Damian Lillard headline Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: White should have ample opportunities to rack up assists with fellow guard Jrue Holiday sidelined. Lillard, meanwhile, has had a tough run since returning from injury and is a solid buy-low candidate. A pick on Detroit’s Dennis Schroder rounds out my plays

Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 27.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: White over 4.5 assists (-112)

White is best known for his 3-point shooting, but the veteran guard can really do it all.

This season, he averaged 4.8 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game while playing excellent defence. On Sunday, I want to tap into his abilities as a passer against the Orlando Magic.

White has cleared this line in consecutive games, and 11 of his past 13 dating to the regular season.

Holiday, much like White, provides secondary production while playing top-tier defence. He was leading Boston with 9.5 potential assists per game this postseason, and is out with a hamstring injury on Sunday.

That means White should have increased opportunities as a passer.

White averaged 5.4 assists in 19 games without Holiday this season, clearing this line 11 times. He also landed on exactly four assists four times.

Key stat: White has cleared this total in four straight games without Holiday.

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Best NBA picks

Lillard over 2.5 threes (-129): Lillard has struggled to find his shooting stroke through two appearances this postseason, going a combined 3-of-16 from deep against the Indiana Pacers.

But he’s still firing with volume, and I’m hoping the rust from a months-long absence will be shaken off for a pivotal Game 4 on Sunday.

Lillard has always been a clutch playoff performer, averaging 3.3 threes in the postseason on 9.0 attempts per game (36.8%).

Last year, he played four playoff games against the Pacers and cleared this line in each of them, averaging 5.0 threes on 41.7% shooting.

If the Milwaukee Bucks want any chance of advancing to the second round, they’ll need Lillard to heat up. Doc Rivers should give him the green light to shoot his way out of this mini-slump.

Schroder over 15.5 points and assists (-118): Schroder cleared this mark on points alone in his last two games, and has received steady minutes off the bench all series.

Game 1: 8 points, 3 assists, 26 minutes
Game 2: 20 points, 3 assists, 29 minutes
Game 3: 18 points, 2 assists, 30 minutes

The journeyman point guard has boatloads of postseason experience and should feature heavily in the frontcourt for J.B. Bickerstaff again on Sunday.

New York allowed the fifth-most PPG to point guards and the 12th-most PPG to shooting guards this season, according to Fantasy Pros.

Schroder should be able to score, and I also expect him to chip in as a passer. After all, his 5.3 assists per game mark was the second highest on the Pistons during the regular season behind Cade Cunningham.

NBA prop picks made at 9:41 a.m. ET on 04/27/2025.

Lakers vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions Game 4: Bet on LeBron James, Anthony Edwards to cash scoring props

A critical Game 4 between the Los Angeles Lakers and Minnesota Timberwolves is set for Sunday afternoon, as L.A. looks to even the series before heading home.

The pregame narrative: Though I don’t expect a lot of scoring overall, both Anthony Edwards and LeBron James look like solid plays to cash a pair of scoring milestones in this +250 SGP.

Check out my Lakers vs. Timberwolves playoff SGP predictions for Game 4 on Sunday, April 27.

Lakers vs. Timberwolves predictions

Parlay: Under 217.5 points | Edwards 25+ points | LeBron 20+ points (+250)

Under 217.5 points (-250): Last time out, these teams combined for 220 points. But that hasn’t been the norm in their matchups this season.

Unders are 6-1 in this head-to-head matchup this season, and each of those unders went below 217.5 points.

The average total in Lakers/T-Wolves games this season is 201.4 points.

The Timberwolves and Lakers both wielded top-10 scoring defences this year, so the premium on points when these teams clash makes sense.

During the regular season, neither of their head-to-head matchups in Minnesota even cleared 200 points.

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NBA SGP legs

Edwards 25+ points (-180): Edwards is shooting a ton in this series, which is obviously a good thing if you want him to score a bunch of points.

The three-time all-star has attempted 70 shots through three games. That’s 24 more than anyone else on Minnesota (Jaden McDaniels is next at 46).

Through 30 career playoff games, Edwards is averaging 27.5 points on 20.6 shots.

He’s coming off a 29-point outing and has now hit on this bet in eight of 14 home playoff games.

LeBron 20+ points (-265): Though it was in a losing effort, LeBron put on a scoring clinic in Game 3 that reminded everyone what the ageless wonder is still capable of.

The King finished with 38 points on 13-of-21 shooting (5-of-9 from 3-point range). That comes after he scored 19 and 21 points, respectively, in Games 1 and 2.

A 20-point milestone is still very much in play on a nightly basis for LeBron at this stage of his career.

Since 2023, he has 20-plus points in 22 of 24 playoff games.

Lakers vs. Timberwolves predictions made at 3:20 p.m. ET 04/26/2025.

Rockets vs. Warriors SGP predictions Game 3: Curry should produce in low-scoring environment

With the series knotted at one game apiece, the Golden State Warriors host the Houston Rockets on Saturday night at Chase Center.

The pregame narrative: Both games in this series were starved for offence, which is a trend I could see continuing tonight. I’m also backing Steph Curry and fading Brandin Podziemski on various scoring props.

Check out my Rockets vs. Warriors playoff SGP predictions for April 26.

Rockets vs. Warriors predictions

Parlay: Under 212.5 points | Curry 25+ points | Podziemski under 2.5 threes (+255)

Under 212.5 points (-235): Both games so far in this series were rock fights, and that really isn’t surprising.

Golden State and Houston both ranked inside the top eight in defensive rating and opponent PPG.

Unders are now 6-1 in their matchups this season.

The average point total in their seven head-to-head meetings is 201.3 points.

In six consecutive games between Houston and Golden State, one or both teams finished below 100 points.

I just can’t foresee a scoring explosion between two teams that have things locked down on the defensive end.

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NBA SGP legs

Curry 25+ points (-167): Jimmy Butler (pelvis) is questionable to play tonight. Whether or not he suits up, the bulk of Golden State’s scoring responsibility still falls on Curry.

That’s why I’m comfortable playing this milestone prop despite also backing an alt under.

Curry has 51 of the Warriors’ 189 points so far in this series. That is a significant piece of the pie.

Over his past 15 playoff games — dating back to 2023 — Curry is averaging 29.8 PPG. He’s hit the 25-point milestone in 12 of those 15 matchups.

Also, Curry has averaged 25.3 PPG against the Rockets since the start of the 2022-23 season.

Podziemski under 2.5 threes (-186): Podziemski snuck past this number in Game 1, going 3-for-8 from deep, but I don’t expect that to become a trend.

Including the regular season and playoffs, Podziemski has gone under 2.5 threes in 50 of 66 games.

The under is 5-2 for Podziemski against the Rockets this year.

Houston allowed the second-fewest 3-point makes (12.3/game) and attempts (34.5/game) to opponents during the regular season.

It’s a daunting matchup, and Podziemski reportedly dealt with a stomach bug on Wednesday and shot 0-for-5 from the floor before leaving early.

If he has any lingering effects from that issue, it’ll only strengthen this under in my eyes.

Rockets vs. Warriors predictions made at 1:50 p.m. ET 04/26/2025.

Nuggets vs. Clippers SGP predictions Game 4: Bet on L.A. to win, Harden and Jokic to cash from 3-point range

After a dominant win last time out, the Los Angeles Clippers look to push Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets to the brink of elimination.

The pregame narrative: I like Jokic to make noise from 3-point range tonight, but I’m still expecting the Clippers to come out on top. Also, James Harden looks like a solid pick to stay hot beyond the arc.

Check out my Nuggets vs. Clippers playoff SGP predictions for Game 4 on Saturday, April 26.

Nuggets vs. Clippers predictions

Parlay: Clippers -6 | Jokic 2+ threes | Harden 3+ threes (+440)

Clippers -6 (-114): Game 3 was a thorough beatdown in the Clippers’ favour. I think we could be in for a repeat in Game 4.

L.A. won every quarter en route to a 117-83 victory. I wouldn’t count on a margin that sizeable tonight, but a fairly comfortable win would make perfect sense.

In their first season at Intuit Dome, the Clippers are 31-11 straight up and 29-13 ATS.

L.A. is 3-0 ATS so far in this series — and 7-2 ATS in its past nine games overall.

Thursday’s home dominance was just an extension of what the Clips accomplished to close out the regular season.

From March 1 through the end of the year, they went 11-1 at home and posted an NBA-best +15.4 net rating.

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NBA SGP legs

Jokic 2+ threes (-159): Michael Porter Jr. (shoulder) is questionable to play tonight, which means other Denver shooters might have to pick up the slack from 3-point range.

Enter Jokic, who’s enjoyed a career year from beyond the arc. During the regular season, he averaged 2.0 triples on 41.7 3PT%.

The three-time MVP is 18-for-36 (50.0%) from beyond the arc against the Clippers this season, cashing this bet in five of six games.

Jokic only attempted three 3s last time out; fortunately, he sank two of them.

I’m hoping an uptick in shot volume tonight makes this less of a white-knuckled play.

Harden 3+ threes (-150): This prop is on the cusp of being played as a solo wager, if you’re okay with the extra juice.

It also lifts this SGP from +225 to +440, which I find quite compelling.

Harden posted a mediocre 35.2 3PT% this season, but his shot volume was high. He averaged 3.0 threes on 8.5 attempts.

In this series, Harden is 3-0 against this milestone prop, shooting 11-for-28 (39.3%) beyond the arc.

Denver allowed the 10th-most attempted 3s to opponents during the regular season. So hopefully Harden continues getting ample shots up.

Nuggets vs. Clippers predictions made at 12:10 p.m. ET 04/26/2025.

Best NBA playoff prop bets April 26: Bet on Davion Mitchell, Jamal Murray to shine

Coming off strong outings, Jamal Murray and Davion Mitchell are two of my three NBA prop targets for Saturday’s playoff slate.

The pregame narrative: Murray and Mitchell are both solid options to clear their points/assists props tonight, which they’ve been making a habit of recently. On a more negative note, Fred VanVleet is worth a fade amid some truly nightmarish shooting performances.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 26.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Mitchell over 17.5 points/assists (-130)

Mitchell has earned himself a nice raise this offseason, as the restricted-free-agent-to-be is putting up some sweet postseason numbers.

Game 1: 18 pts (8-of-12 shooting), nine assists

Game 2: 18 points (7-of-9 shooting), six assists

Here we have a situation where the fourth-year guard has cashed this bet with his scoring production alone.

Combine that with the fact that he’s acting as the team’s primary facilitator, and we’ve got something cooking here.

Mitchell is averaging 19.0 potential assists per game through two playoff matchups. That’s second in the NBA behind only Nikola Jokic. He also leads the Heat in passes made and received.

Since March 23, Mitchell has cashed this bet in 10 of 13 games.

Key stat: In three games against Cleveland since the beginning of March, Mitchell has averaged 15.0 points and 7.3 assists.

Best NBA picks

VanVleet under 12.5 points (-118): I’ve already touted this pick elsewhere, but in case you missed it, I think it’s worth repeating for emphasis.

VanVleet is 6-for-27 from the floor in this series, totalling just 17 points and finishing under this total in both games.

Last time out, the Rockets won by 15 points in a game where VanVleet had seven points on eight shots. So it’s not like they need him to succeed.

In his final 20 games of the regular season, VanVleet averaged 11.7 PPG on 34.2% shooting. Woof.

Also, he’s gone under 12.5 points in five of six games against the Warriors this season, finishing at exactly 13 points in the outlier.

Murray over 27.5 points/assists (-118): I targeted Murray on this prop market in Game 3, and he cashed it despite Denver’s overall struggles.

Murray had 23 of the Nuggets’ 83 points, and he added four assists as well. He’s 2-1 against this line so far in this series.

It’s no secret that Nikola Jokic steers the ship for the Nuggets, but Murray is a competent co-pilot who should continue to be relied upon for significant minutes and offensive production.

Murray is 4-3 vs. this line when facing the Clippers this season, averaging 27.0 PA in those matchups.

NBA prop picks made at 10:55 a.m. ET on 04/26/2025.

Best NBA playoff prop bets April 26: Bet on Davion Mitchell, Jamal Murray to shine

Coming off strong outings, Jamal Murray and Davion Mitchell are two of my three NBA prop targets for Saturday’s playoff slate.

The pregame narrative: Murray and Mitchell are both solid options to clear their points/assists props tonight, which they’ve been making a habit of recently. On a more negative note, Fred VanVleet is worth a fade amid some truly nightmarish shooting performances.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 26.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Mitchell over 17.5 points/assists (-121)

Mitchell has earned himself a nice raise this offseason, as the restricted-free-agent-to-be is putting up some sweet postseason numbers.

Game 1: 18 pts (8-of-12 shooting), nine assists

Game 2: 18 points (7-of-9 shooting), six assists

Here we have a situation where the fourth-year guard has cashed this bet with his scoring production alone.

Combine that with the fact that he’s acting as the team’s primary facilitator, and we’ve got something cooking here.

Mitchell is averaging 19.0 potential assists per game through two playoff matchups. That’s second in the NBA behind only Nikola Jokic. He also leads the Heat in passes made and received.

Since March 23, Mitchell has cashed this bet in 10 of 13 games.

Key stat: In three games against Cleveland since the beginning of March, Mitchell has averaged 15.0 points and 7.3 assists.

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Best NBA picks

VanVleet under 12.5 points (-108): I’ve already touted this pick elsewhere, but in case you missed it, I think it’s worth repeating for emphasis.

VanVleet is 6-for-27 from the floor in this series, totalling just 17 points and finishing under this total in both games.

Last time out, the Rockets won by 15 points in a game where VanVleet had seven points on eight shots. So it’s not like they need him to succeed.

In his final 20 games of the regular season, VanVleet averaged 11.7 PPG on 34.2% shooting. Woof.

Also, he’s gone under 12.5 points in five of six games against the Warriors this season, finishing at exactly 13 points in the outlier.

Murray over 26.5 points/assists (-118): I targeted Murray on this prop market in Game 3, and he cashed it despite Denver’s overall struggles.

Murray had 23 of the Nuggets’ 83 points, and he added four assists as well. He’s 3-0 against this line so far in this series.

It’s no secret that Nikola Jokic steers the ship for the Nuggets, but Murray is a competent co-pilot who should continue to be relied upon for significant minutes and offensive production.

Murray is 5-2 vs. this line when facing the Clippers this season, averaging 27.0 PA in those matchups.

NBA prop picks made at 9:55 a.m. ET on 04/26/2025.