Category: NBA

Knicks vs. Pacers prop picks Game 3: Target point guards Brunson, Haliburton in Indiana

Knicks vs. Pacers picks

The Indiana Pacers return home with a 2-0 lead in the Eastern Conference finals.

The pregame narrative: The New York Knicks will be fighting an uphill battle trying to do something that’s only been done five times in NBA history. And that’s to win a seven-game series after losing the first two games at home.

I’m targeting Jalen Brunson and Tyrese Haliburton in my Knicks vs. Pacers prop picks on May 25.

Knicks vs. Pacers prop picks

Best Bet: Brunson over 38.5 points/assists (-117)

Despite the Knicks’ woes, Brunson has been doing his part to will New York’s offence.

Through two games, he’s averaging 39.5 points and 8.5 assists. That comes with a very efficient 53.8% field-goal percentage.

I was expecting another high-scoring showdown after what we saw in Game 1, but the second contest stayed relatively tame, finishing with 223 total points.

That didn’t stop Brunson from filling the stat sheet with 36 points and 11 assists, though.

Tonight’s contest should get back to the standard. The Knicks and Pacers finished with 247.5 average points in their four previous meetings this year.

A lot of that could be attributed to Indiana playing at the fastest pace among Eastern Conference playoff teams.

That should lead to more production opportunities for Brunson, who’s averaging 30.4 points and 7.7 assists in the postseason.

Key stat: Brunson has cleared this line in five straight games vs. Indiana in which he’s played 35 or more minutes.

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Game 3 prop prediction

Haliburton over 9.5 assists (-109): Indiana’s point guard cleared this line in the first two games, dishing out 11 assists in both matchups.

Haliburton is averaging 12.5 adjusted assists (which includes free-throw assists and secondary assists) in this series, according to NBA.com, which further highlights his playmaking ability.

His 17.5 potential assists per game (denoting all passes that lead directly to a shot) in the playoffs rank above any remaining player.

If there is more scoring, like I predict, Haliburton should be able to achieve a double-digit assist total once again.

Overall, Haliburton has cashed this wager in seven of 12 postseason games.

Knicks vs. Pacers prop picks made at 12:32 p.m. ET 05/25/2025.

Knicks vs. Pacers SGP predictions Game 3: Fade Hart, look for Towns to stay active on the glass

Knicks vs. Pacers predictions

After a stunning pair of road victories, the Indiana Pacers are back home for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals with a chance to push the New York Knicks to the edge.

The pregame narrative: Indiana never trailed in the fourth quarter of Game 2, and now the team is just two wins shy of its first NBA Finals appearance since 2000. It’ll be an uphill climb for the Knicks, but they are 5-1 on the road so far in the playoffs (with four underdog victories).

Check out my Pacers vs. Knicks SGP predictions for Game 3 on May 25, featuring Karl-Anthony Towns, Josh Hart and Aaron Nesmith.

Pacers vs. Knicks predictions

Parlay: Hart under 10.5 points | Towns 10+ rebounds | Nesmith 2+ threes (+335)

Hart under 10.5 points (-129): Hart has been whisper-quiet so far in this series, totalling just 14 points through two games on nine shots.

In Game 2, he spent the first six-and-a-half minutes of the fourth quarter on the bench as the Knicks gave Miles McBride some crunch-time run. That’s not a good omen for Hart.

Hart’s 24-point night against Boston in Game 5 of the second round is starting to look like an anomaly when you stack up the rest of his recent performances.

Over his past six games, Hart has cashed this under five times. And he’s shooting just 41.7% from the floor in that span.

I just don’t trust that Hart will be involved enough on offence to clear this number.

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NBA SGP legs

Towns 10+ rebounds (-195): KAT only had seven rebounds in Game 2, but that’s an outlier compared to his recent production.

  • In his past 10 games, Towns is 8-2 vs. this milestone while averaging 12.1 RPG.
  • He also has 55 total boards in five matchups vs. the Pacers this season.

Indiana has allowed more rebounds to opponents than any other Eastern Conference playoff team. The Pacers don’t employ a 7-footer, which is part of the reason, and they play at the fastest pace of all the East teams.

KAT’s main rebounding rival is probably his teammate, Mitchell Robinson. But Robinson is a free throw liability who also happened to roll an ankle in the second half on Friday.

Even if Robinson has a normal workload (20-25 minutes), there should be enough time for KAT to get 10 boards.

Nesmith 2+ threes (-165): After going nuclear in Game 1, shooting 8-for-9 from deep, Nesmith had a more subdued showing in Game 2. But he still cashed this milestone, and I want to buy back in.

Keep in mind that the fifth-year forward has been putting on a 3-point shooting clinic for months.

  • March: 2.8 threes/game, 45.8 3PT%
  • April: 2.5 threes/game, 50.0 3PT%
  • May: 3.3 threes/game, 56.1 3PT%

Nesmith has cashed this bet in nine of 12 postseason games, including a 2-for-3 showing in Game 2.

I don’t understand why the Pacers aren’t consistently giving him more chances than that, but his efficiency makes him worth backing regardless.

Knicks vs. Pacers predictions made at 11:25 a.m. ET 05/24/2025.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves prop picks Game 3: Bet on Gilgeous-Alexander, McDaniels to score in bunches

Gilgeous-Alexander props

After struggling on offence in Games 1 and 2 of the Western Conference finals, the Minnesota Timberwolves look to flip the script at home on Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: Minnesota is down 2-0 thanks in large part to the efforts of Oklahoma City Thunder superstar Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who’s been finding all sorts of ways to score. The T-wolves need someone to step up, and Jaden McDaniels has proven he’s up for the task.

Check out my Thunder vs. Timberwolves prop picks on SGA and McDaniels for Game 3 on May 24.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves prop picks

Best Bet: Gilgeous-Alexander over 32.5 points (-108)

SGA is the only player in the world right now who’s worth this high of a points prop.

Based on what he’s shown so far in this series — and in the season as a whole, frankly — I’m content to ride with the over.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander is coming off a 38-point effort in Game 2. He had 31 points against the Timberwolves in the series opener.
  • In his past 10 playoff games, SGA is averaging 31.5 PPG. He’s 6-4 vs. this scoring line, landing on 31 points in two of the shortcomings.
  • He averaged an NBA-high 32.7 PPG during the regular season.

Gilgeous-Alexander has a 35.5% usage rate so far in this series, which is easily the highest of all players. He has nine more field-goal attempts (48) and 12 more free-throw attempts (29) than anyone else.

The Thunder are leaning heavily on their recently-anointed MVP, and can you blame them?

I can’t, and I don’t expect them to change that strategy. Game 3 has a 2.5-point spread in OKC’s favour, so it should be a tight game that requires another star effort from the Hamilton, Ontario native.

When he last played in Minnesota on Feb. 23, SGA had 37 points.

In six matchups against the T-wolves this year, he’s averaging 34.8 PPG. And he had at least 20 field-goal attempts and nine free-throw attempts in each of those matchups.

Key stat: Dating back to last year, Gilgeous-Alexander has 30-plus points in 14 of his past 18 playoff games.

Game 3 prop predictions

McDaniels over 13.5 points (-118): McDaniels provided a much-needed spark from the 3-point line in Game 2, going 4-for-8 from deep. The rest of the team shot just 22.6%.

That was part of a 22-point night for McDaniels, who should be well-positioned to thrive at home on Saturday.

  • In five games at Target Center this postseason, McDaniels is 4-1 vs. this line while averaging 17.6 PPG.
  • In his past five games against the Thunder, McDaniels has averaged 18.8 PPG. He cashed this bet in both regular season matchups at home vs. OKC.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves prop picks made at 9:25 a.m. ET 05/24/2025.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves prop picks Game 3: Bet on Gilgeous-Alexander, McDaniels to score in bunches

Gilgeous-Alexander props

After struggling on offence in Games 1 and 2 of the Western Conference finals, the Minnesota Timberwolves look to flip the script at home on Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: Minnesota is down 2-0 thanks in large part to the efforts of Oklahoma City Thunder superstar Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who’s been finding all sorts of ways to score. The T-wolves need someone to step up, and Jaden McDaniels has proven he’s up for the task.

Check out my Thunder vs. Timberwolves prop picks on SGA and McDaniels for Game 3 on May 24.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves prop picks

Best Bet: Gilgeous-Alexander over 31.5 points (-124)

SGA is the only player in the world right now who’s worth this high of a points prop.

Based on what he’s shown so far in this series — and in the season as a whole, frankly — I’m content to ride with the over.

  • Gilgeous-Alexander is coming off a 38-point effort in Game 2. He had 31 points against the Timberwolves in the series opener.
  • In his past 10 playoff games, SGA is averaging 31.5 PPG. He’s 6-4 vs. this scoring line, landing on exactly 31 points in two of the shortcomings.
  • He averaged an NBA-high 32.7 PPG during the regular season.

Gilgeous-Alexander has a 35.5% usage rate so far in this series, which is easily the highest of all players. He has nine more field-goal attempts (48) and 12 more free-throw attempts (29) than anyone else.

The Thunder are leaning heavily on their recently-anointed MVP, and can you blame them?

I can’t, and I don’t expect them to change that strategy. Game 3 has a 2.5-point spread in OKC’s favour, so it should be a tight game that requires another star effort from the Hamilton, Ontario native.

When he last played in Minnesota on Feb. 23, SGA had 37 points.

In six matchups against the T-wolves this year, he’s averaging 34.8 PPG. And he had at least 20 field-goal attempts and nine free-throw attempts in each of those matchups.

Key stat: Dating back to last year, Gilgeous-Alexander has 30-plus points in 14 of his past 18 playoff games.

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Game 3 prop predictions

McDaniels over 12.5 points (-130): McDaniels provided a much-needed spark from the 3-point line in Game 2, going 4-for-8 from deep. The rest of the team shot just 22.6%.

That was part of a 22-point night for McDaniels, who should be well-positioned to thrive at home on Saturday.

  • In five games at Target Center this postseason, McDaniels is 4-1 vs. this line while averaging 17.6 PPG.
  • In his past five games against the Thunder, McDaniels has averaged 18.8 PPG. He cashed this bet in both regular season matchups at home vs. OKC.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves prop picks made at 8:05 a.m. ET 05/24/2025.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions Game 3: Bet on Minnesota’s Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle in +425 same-game parlay

Thunder vs. Timberwolves predictions

We’ll find out what the Minnesota Timberwolves are made of when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday for Game 3 of the Western Conference finals.

The pregame narrative: Minnesota barely put up a fight in Oklahoma and heads home trailing this series 2-0. The NBA-best Thunder have looked the part behind MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and can take a commanding lead with a road victory at Target Center.

Check out my Thunder vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions for Game 3 on May 24, featuring plays on Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves predictions

Parlay: Timberwolves to win | Edwards 3+ threes | Randle over 17.5 points (+425)

Timberwolves moneyline (+120): My confidence in the Timberwolves winning this series has gone from moderate to non-existent. 

The Thunder handled business at home. But more than the two wins, it was the way they did it. 

  • They won Game 1 by 26 points and Game 2 by 15. 
  • Oklahoma City won the rebounding and turnover battle in both games. 
  • OKC, the NBA’s No. 1 defence, held the T-wolves to 38.2% shooting.
  • The Thunder held Edwards to a combined 14-for-39 from the field (4-of-17 from long range). 
  • Edwards was especially quiet in Game 1, and Randle was a ghost in Game 2.
  • The potential edge Rudy Gobert can provide as the biggest player on the court hasn’t been there, as he’s been held to seven points and 12 rebounds. 

That said, I don’t think the Timberwolves are getting swept. Game 3 is the one to back them in straight up, and we’re getting excellent value here as a home underdog. 

Minnesota is no slouch, it has just run into its toughest opponent. 

The No. 6-seeded Timberwolves finished 16 games over .500 and fourth in net rating (top 10 in both offence/defence). 

They then dispatched a flawed, yet dangerous, Los Angeles Lakers team in five games before wiping the floor with the Steph Curry-less Golden State Warriors.

The Thunder can be beaten — the Denver Nuggets took them to seven games. And while the T-wolves don’t have a Nikola Jokic-like X-factor, I do expect their biggest stars to power a Game 3 victory.

Minnesota is 4-1 at home in the playoffs and 9-1 at Target Center over its last 10 games.

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NBA SGP legs

Edwards 3+ threes (-200): There’s little doubt that Edwards will be chucking in Game 3. 

His 26 attempts from the field in Game 2 were tied for the second-most he’s taken this postseason. That led to 32 points (he scored 18 in Game 1) despite shooting 1-of-9 from distance. 

Edwards has taken eight-plus shots from the perimeter in all but two playoff games (Games 1 and 2 vs. Golden State).

While he’s no guarantee for three triples at that volume, he’s a good bet. 

The 23-year-old star is 7-5 against this line in the postseason and averaged 4.1 threes in the regular season, second in the NBA to Curry.

Randle over 17.5 points (-113): This leg feels more risky than Edwards, but I’m not sure it should be.

Randle’s scoring is up considerably in the playoffs. 

  • He’s averaging 22.6 PPG after dropping 18.7 in the regular season.
  • Randle is coming off his worst postseason performance (six points), but lit up the Thunder for 28 in Game 1. 
  • The power forward is 10-2 against this line and shooting 50.3% from the field. That includes a stellar 37.5% clip from long range. 

Randle only took 11 shots last game, matching his lowest mark this postseason. The Game 2 loss was also the second time he failed to take more than three 3-point attempts. 

Give the Thunder defence credit, but Randle has earned the benefit of doubt that a rebound is likely. He’s scored 20-plus points nine times this postseason.

Expect Randle to be more involved and efficient in this must-win game for Minnesota, which will desperately need offence outside of Edwards.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves predictions made at 2:45 p.m. ET 05/23/2025.

Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks Game 2: Bet on Haliburton and Bridges on Friday night at MSG

Pacers vs. Knicks picks

The Indiana Pacers look to bank another upset win in Game 2 against the New York Knicks on Friday night.

The pregame narrative: Tyrese Haliburton came up clutch and stunned the crowd at Madison Square Garden during the Pacers’ improbable fourth quarter comeback in Game 1. The Knicks need a win on home court to avoid going down 2-0 in the Eastern Conference final.

I’m targeting Haliburton and Mikal Bridges in my Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks on May 23.

Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks

Best bet: Haliburton over 29.5 points/assists (-125)

Certain players elevate in the playoffs, and it’s obvious Haliburton is one of those guys.

His lengthy list of clutch moments was topped off by this last-second shot that sent the opening game to overtime.

Haliburton finished that matchup with 31 points and 11 assists. Mind you, the game ended with 273 total points, and while I don’t expect that again, something similar should be in the works.

That’s based on the fact that the average total in Pacers/Knicks games this year is 247.5 points.

Indiana plays at a fast pace. It ranked seventh in the NBA during the regular season and is third in the playoffs.

When a team like New York is willing to match, it often leads to a high-scoring contest.

And Haliburton is playing his best ball right now, so he’s worth targeting.

Key stat: Indiana’s point guard averaged 31 points and 9.5 assists over his last two games. He is 6-5 against this line overall in the playoffs.

Game 2 prop prediction

Bridges over 8.5 rebounds/assists (-106): With the uptick in scoring comes more rebounding and assist opportunities, too.

Bridges was a beneficiary of that in Game 1, hauling in six rebounds and dishing out five assists.

Since the start of the series with the Boston Celtics, he has had at least five rebounds/assists in every game while going 4-3 against this line.

Boston provided a much tougher defensive matchup, however. The Knicks scored an average of 105.6 points during seven games in that series.

On Wednesday, we saw that the potential for offence is much higher in the East final, and I expect Bridges to keep contributing in multiple areas.

He’s 3-1 against this line vs. Indiana this year, averaging 9.5 rebounds/assists.

Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks made at 1:00 p.m. ET 05/23/2025.

Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks Game 2: Bet on Haliburton and Bridges on Friday night at MSG

Pacers vs. Knicks picks

The Indiana Pacers look to bank another upset win in Game 2 against the New York Knicks on Friday night.

The pregame narrative: Tyrese Haliburton came up clutch and stunned the crowd at Madison Square Garden during the Pacers’ improbable fourth quarter comeback in Game 1. The Knicks need a win on home court to avoid going down 2-0 in the Eastern Conference final.

I’m targeting Haliburton and Mikal Bridges in my Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks on May 23.

Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks

Best bet: Haliburton over 29.5 points/assists (-113)

Certain players elevate in the playoffs, and it’s obvious Haliburton is one of those guys.

His lengthy list of clutch moments was topped off by this last-second shot that sent the opening game to overtime.

Haliburton finished that matchup with 31 points and 11 assists. Mind you, the game ended with 273 total points, and while I don’t expect that again, something similar should be in the works.

That’s based on the fact that the average total in Pacers/Knicks games this year is 247.5 points.

Indiana plays at a fast pace. It ranked seventh in the NBA during the regular season and is third in the playoffs.

When a team like New York is willing to match, it often leads to a high-scoring contest.

And Haliburton is playing his best ball right now, so he’s worth targeting.

Key stat: Indiana’s point guard averaged 31 points and 9.5 assists over his last two games. He is 6-5 against this line overall in the playoffs.

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Game 2 prop prediction

Bridges over 7.5 rebounds/assists (-134): With the uptick in scoring comes more rebounding and assist opportunities, too.

Bridges was a beneficiary of that in Game 1, hauling in six rebounds and dishing out five assists.

Since the start of the series with the Boston Celtics, he has had at least five rebounds/assists in every game while going 4-3 against this line.

Boston provided a much tougher defensive matchup, however. The Knicks scored an average of 105.6 points during seven games in that series.

On Wednesday, we saw that the potential for offence is much higher in the East final, and I expect Bridges to keep contributing in multiple areas.

He’s 3-1 against this line vs. Indiana this year, averaging 9.5 rebounds/assists.

Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks made at 9:32 a.m. ET 05/23/2025.

Pacers vs. Knicks SGP predictions Game 2: Look for Towns to shine in high-scoring showdown

Pacers vs. Knicks predictions

After a wild, dramatic finish in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals, the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers are back at it on Friday night for Game 2.

The pregame narrative: Indiana pulled off a stunning last-minute comeback over New York that culminated in a 138-135 overtime win. Karl-Anthony Towns (35 points, 12 rebounds) was one of the stars for the Knicks, and he should be expected to shine again.

Check out my Pacers vs. Knicks SGP predictions for Game 2 on May 23, featuring Towns and an alt total.

Pacers vs. Knicks predictions

Parlay: Knicks ML | Over 219.5 points | Towns over 23.5 points (+230)

Knicks moneyline (-250): It’s not hyperbolic to say that New York’s Game 1 loss was one of the most improbable outcomes in NBA history.

A monumental collapse at home is concerning for the Knicks, but it doesn’t wash away the strong showing from the team as a whole. And remember, this is the same New York squad that authored two 20-point comeback wins against the Celtics last round.

New York is 58-21 as a home favourite since the start of last year, per Team Rankings.

I expect the Knicks to build a fourth-quarter lead again — and not let it slip away this time.

NBA SGP legs

Over 219.5 points (-223): Indiana and New York didn’t need overtime to breeze past this total. They combined for 250 total points in regulation — including 70 points in a blistering first quarter.

  • Indiana has played at the fastest pace among all Eastern Conference playoff teams, averaging 99.03 possessions per game.
  • All four Knicks/Pacers matchups this year have gone over this total. The average total in those matchups is 247.5 points.

Overs are 5-1 in the past six matchups between these teams, which dates back to their second-round playoff series last May.

Also, since that 2024 playoff series, five of six meetings at Madison Square Garden have surpassed this total.

There was plenty of animosity and physicality in Game 1, but that didn’t stop these teams from running the floor and often scoring at will.

Towns over 23.5 points (-120): All these high-scoring games between Indiana and New York have coincided with some monster performances from Towns.

On Wednesday, Towns had 35 points on 11-of-17 shooting and added 12 rebounds in the Knicks’ losing effort.

KAT took eight shots from 3-point range, which matched his 2025 postseason high. Given that he went 4-for-8 from deep, I’m hopeful that he’ll keep firing.

Check out KAT’s four games vs. Indiana this year:

  • Oct. 25: 21 points, 32 minutes
  • Nov. 10: 30 points, 39 minutes
  • Feb. 11: 40 points, 38 minutes
  • May 21: 35 points, 39 minutes

Pacers vs. Knicks predictions made at 2:40 p.m. ET 05/22/2025.

Pacers vs. Knicks SGP predictions Game 2: Look for Towns to shine in high-scoring showdown

Pacers vs. Knicks predictions

After a wild, dramatic finish in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals, the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers are back at it on Friday night for Game 2.

The pregame narrative: Indiana pulled off a stunning last-minute comeback over New York that culminated in a 138-135 overtime win. Karl-Anthony Towns (35 points, 12 rebounds) was one of the stars for the Knicks, and he should be expected to shine again.

Check out my Pacers vs. Knicks SGP predictions for Game 2 on May 23, featuring Towns and Aaron Nesmith.

Pacers vs. Knicks predictions

Parlay: Knicks ML | Over 219.5 points | Towns over 34.5 pts/reb | Nesmith 2+ threes (+410)

Knicks moneyline (-225): It’s not hyperbolic to say that New York’s Game 1 loss was one of the most improbable outcomes in NBA history.

A monumental collapse at home is concerning for the Knicks, but it doesn’t wash away the strong showing from the team as a whole. And remember, this is the same New York squad that authored two 20-point comeback wins against the Celtics last round.

New York is 58-21 as a home favourite since the start of last year, per Team Rankings.

I expect the Knicks to build a fourth-quarter lead again — and not let it slip away this time.

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NBA SGP legs

Over 219.5 points (-225): Indiana and New York didn’t need overtime to breeze past this total. They combined for 250 total points in regulation — including 70 points in a blistering first quarter.

  • Indiana has played at the fastest pace among all Eastern Conference playoff teams, averaging 99.03 possessions per game.
  • All four Knicks/Pacers matchups this year have gone over this total. The average total in those matchups is 247.5 points.

Overs are 5-1 in the past six matchups between these teams, which dates back to their second-round playoff series last May.

Also, since that 2024 playoff series, five of six meetings at Madison Square Garden have surpassed this total.

There was plenty of animosity and physicality in Game 1, but that didn’t stop these teams from running the floor and often scoring at will.

Towns over 34.5 points/rebounds (-124): All these high-scoring games between Indiana and New York have coincided with some monster performances from Towns.

On Wednesday, Towns had 35 points on 11-of-17 shooting and added 12 rebounds in the Knicks’ losing effort.

Will KAT cash this bet on points alone in Game 2? Probably not, but I wouldn’t put it past him. And with 11-plus rebounds in eight of his past nine games, he can afford to be a bit quieter in the scoring department.

Check out KAT’s four games vs. Indiana this year:

  • Oct. 25: 21 points, 15 rebounds
  • Nov. 10: 30 points, 9 rebounds
  • Feb. 11: 40 points, 12 rebounds
  • May 21: 35 points, 12 rebounds

Can Nesmith stay hot?

Nesmith 2+ threes (-195): Nesmith put on an all-timer of a performance in Game 1, going 8-for-9 from 3-point range. He did most of his work in the fourth quarter, dragging the Pacers out of the jaws of defeat.

Backing Nesmith at this 3s milestone isn’t a prisoner-of-the-moment thing. The fifth-year forward has been a menace from deep for months.

  • From March 1 through the end of the regular season, he shot 46.3% from deep and averaged 2.6 threes.
  • In the playoffs, Nesmith has a 53.8 3PT%, averaging 3.2 threes.
  • Altogether since March 1, Nesmith as 2+ threes in 24 of 33 games (72.7%).

Pacers vs. Knicks predictions made at 2:40 p.m. ET 05/22/2025.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder prop picks Game 2: Target Julius Randle during hot streak

Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks

The Minnesota Timberwolves look to even the series against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday night.

The pregame narrative: Julius Randle is a big reason why the Timberwolves have been so successful en route to the Western Conference finals. The Thunder, on the other hand, have an arsenal of options, and Jalen Williams has cemented himself as one of OKC’s most reliable ball handlers.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Thunder prop picks on Randle and Williams for Game 2 on May 22.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder prop picks

Best Bet: Randle over 19.5 points (-130)

Anthony Edwards has been the topic of conversation for the T-wolves, while Randle has gone under the radar as a very efficient scorer in these playoffs:

  • 24.3 points per game
  • 52.2 FG% (39.3 3PT%)
  • 9-2 against this line

Despite losing Game 1 by 26 points, Randle was still able to get his. He scored 28 points on 9-of-13 shooting in 35 minutes of action.

OKC’s defence is the best in the league, but since Randle was one of two Timberwolves who shot above 50.0% in Game 1, Chris Finch should continue drawing up offence for the power forward.

Additionally, he shot above 50% in seven of 11 playoff games and should continue to roll as Minnesota’s second option behind Edwards.

Key stat: Randle has scored at least 16 points in all 11 playoff games. That gives him an incredibly reliable floor to work with against this modest total.

Game 2 prop predictions

Williams over 10.5 rebounds/assists (-106): Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the clear No. 1 ball-handler for the Thunder, but Williams has proven himself to be a solid secondary creator.

So far this postseason, the 6-foot-6 wing is averaging:

  • 5.7 assists/game
  • 5.6 rebounds/game

That equates to an average of 11.3 RA. Williams is 9-3 against this wager in the postseason.

Williams was on the court for 33 minutes in Game 1, which is below average for him and was a result of the Thunder’s massive lead.

He still managed to grab eight rebounds while dishing out five assists, clearing this line easily in the process.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder prop picks made at 12:34 p.m. ET 05/22/2025.