Category: NBA

Best NBA prop bets Oct. 28: Bet on Chet Holmgren, Norman Powell to shine

NBA prop bets

A light five-game NBA slate is enough to inspire a trio of prop bets that caught my interest.

The latest: Chet Holmgren is having a fantastic season as the second option on offence for the Oklahoma City Thunder. Expect him to continue his rise against the Sacramento Kings. Before that, Norman Powell and the Miami Heat have a good shot to pile up points against the Charlotte Hornets.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 28, featuring a bet on 3-point sniper Ryan Rollins.

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NBA prop bets

Best bet: Holmgren over 26.5 points/rebounds (-124)

In Jalen Williams’ absence, Holmgren has stepped up for the 4-0 Thunder.

  • In four games, the centre is averaging 23.0 points and 10.3 rebounds.
  • He is 4-0 against this wager, finishing with 35+ points/rebounds twice.

This line would make more sense to me if this were a tough matchup, but it’s not. The Kings allow the most rebounds per game to centres (19.33), per Fantasy Pros.

Holmgren has such a high offensive floor right now that if he can grab double-digit rebounds for the fourth straight game, I’m confident he’ll smash this line.

-> Bet on Chet Holmgren to have another big game on Tuesday

The 23-year-old big is shooting 56.9% from the field (41.7% from 3) and canning more than 85% of his free throws.

With those splits, he doesn’t need a ton of shooting volume to help cash this pick.

There’s almost always blowout potential when OKC plays, but it’s smart to look past that and play the good numbers when available.

Key stat: Holmgren had 18 points and 10 rebounds in his one meeting with Sacramento last season.

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Best NBA picks

Powell over 22.5 points (-115): This pick is based on Powell’s consistency and the matchup at hand.

  • The former Toronto Raptor is 2-1 against this line, averaging 24.0 PPG.
  • In the one game he fell short, he only played 24 minutes and took 10 shots in a blowout win. He still shot 50% from the field.
  • Charlotte is 2-1 but beat the Washington Wizards and Brooklyn Nets. In its loss to the Philadelphia 76ers, the defence gave up 125 points and allowed the Sixers to shoot 46% from deep.

Philly is the most comparable opponent to the Heat, and Powell is the lead candidate to take advantage of the Hornets’ poor perimeter defence.

He scored 28+ points in both games in which he played more than 30 minutes.

-> Back Powell vs. Charlotte at NorthStar Bets

Rollins over 1.5 threes made (-124): Rollins made a name for himself as a 3-point assassin for the Milwaukee Bucks last season.

He took 2.1 threes per game and shot 40.8% from beyond the arc. This year, he’s taking on a lot more volume, but his efficiency has suffered.

  • Game 1: 1-for-6 3PT
  • Game 2: 1-for-5 3PT
  • Game 3: 1-for-5 3PT

Rollins is playing more than 30 minutes per night, so the uptick in shot attempts should continue, and it’s only a matter of time before he starts drilling them at a heightened rate.

This is nothing more than a cold spell. Rollins has proven to be efficient in a starting role before.

In 19 starts last season, the guard went 11-8 against this wager, shooting 40.5% from 3-point range.

NBA prop picks made at 12:35 p.m. ET on 10/28/2025.

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Clippers vs. Warriors SGP predictions Oct. 28: Bet on Curry, Harden in +310 parlay

Clippers vs. Warriors predictions

In the fifth and final NBA game of the night, the Golden State Warriors host the Los Angeles Clippers at Chase Center.

The pregame narrative: Neither team has won on the road yet, and I think Golden State’s home-court advantage will help the Warriors at least keep this one close. Steph Curry continues lighting it up from 3-point range and draws a favourable matchup to keep that going.

Check out my Clippers vs. Warriors SGP predictions for Oct. 28, with prop bets on Curry and James Harden.

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Clippers vs. Warriors predictions

Parlay: Harden over 14.5 reb/ast | Curry 4+ threes | Warriors +5.5 (+310)

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Harden over 14.5 rebounds/assists (-117): Harden is a three-time scoring champ, but it’s been several years since he was at the peak of his powers in that regard.

  • In the first 11 seasons of his career, Harden won his three scoring titles while averaging 25.2 PPG. He only averaged 11.6 rebounds/assists in that span.
  • In six seasons since then, Harden has scaled back to 21.2 PPG. Meanwhile, he’s up to 16.0 RA on a nightly basis.

The point guard is still capable of a double-digit assist total on any given night. And at 6-foot-5, 220 pounds, he’s got plenty of size to compete for rebounds around the rim.

-> Bet on NBA futures at NorthStar Bets

Last season, Harden went 3-1 vs. this RA prop when facing the Warriors. He averaged 11.0 assists and 5.8 rebounds in those games.

He was also 46-40 overall in this prop market last year (playoffs included).

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NBA SGP legs

Curry 4+ threes (-225): How much longer can the 37-year-old Curry keep this up? I don’t know, but for now, it’s worthwhile to enjoy the ride.

Curry, who has led the NBA in 3s per game in 10 of the previous 13 seasons, is off to another scorching start from deep.

  • at Lakers: 3-for-9
  • vs. Nuggets: 6-for-12
  • at Trailblazers: 7-for-14
  • vs. Grizzlies: 4-for-9

-> Bet on Steph Curry to rain 3s vs. Los Angeles

While I don’t love the individual price for this 3s milestone, I do respect the volume and efficiency with which Curry is letting it fly.

Through three games, the Clippers have allowed the second-most attempted 3s to opponents (44.0/game). And Curry put in some serious work vs. L.A. last year.

In three games against the Clippers during the 2024-25 season, Curry shot 17-of-34 and cashed this milestone all three times.

Warriors +5.5 (-190): Golden State’s recent track record against L.A. is terrible, but I still think the home team should be safe against this number tonight.

  • The Warriors are just 1-7 SU vs. the Clippers since the 2023-24 season, but the Dubs have covered a +5.5 spread in five of those eight games.
  • Since the start of last season, the Clippers are 8-14 ATS as road favourites. That includes a 129-108 loss in Utah (as -9.5 favourites) in their season opener this year.

Golden State is 2-0 SU and ATS at home to begin the new campaign. The Dubs will be at a rest disadvantage, but that doesn’t mean much to me since we’re only a week into the season.

Clippers vs. Warriors predictions made at 11:20 a.m. ET 10/28/2025.

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Raptors vs. Spurs SGP predictions Oct. 27: Bet on Wembanyama, Castle in +300 same-game parlay

Raptors vs. Spurs predictions

The Toronto Raptors conclude their Texas road trip on Monday against Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs.

The pregame narrative: Wembanyama’s monster start to the season has the Spurs unbeaten through three games. San Antonio is favoured to win as Toronto looks to snap a two-game losing streak after falling in Dallas on Sunday.

Check out my Raptors vs. Spurs SGP predictions for Oct. 27, featuring Wembanyama and Stephon Castle.

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Raptors vs. Spurs predictions

Parlay: Raptors +10.5 | Wembanyama 2+ threes | Castle over 14.5 points (+300)

Raptors +10.5 (-325): I want to start this parlay out by backing the Raptors to cover as underdogs, which they did plenty of last season.

  • Toronto was 39-29-1 as a dog last season. That was the fourth-best mark in the NBA (excluding OKC, which was only an underdog three times).
  • The Raptors are 1-0-0 ATS as an underdog so far, and have covered a +10.5 spread in all three of their games.

Buying six points on the standard +4.5 line seems pretty safe to me. San Antonio is off to a perfect start, but has faced three non-playoff teams from 2024-25.

-> Bet on Raptors futures at NorthStar Bets

It has only covered a -10.5 spread once — on opening night against the shorthanded Dallas Mavericks.

Wembanyama is matchup-proof and should feast tonight, but Toronto is the much deeper team here. Look for the Raptors to pick up ground during the bench minutes.

Embed: #120148

NBA SGP legs

Wembanyama 2+ threes (-149): Wembanyama has come out of the gates in MVP form. He’s averaging 33.3 points, 13.3 rebounds and 6.0 blocks through three games.

The 7-foot-4 centre only attempted five 3s through his first three games, but kicked things into high gear by going 3-for-6 from beyond the arc last night.

-> Bet on Wembanyama to win NBA MVP

That was more on brand with the type of basketball we saw Wembanyama play last season. In 2024-25, he averaged 3.1 threes on 8.8 attempts per game (35.2%).

Toronto has a good perimeter defence, but Wembanyama’s jumper is unguardable thanks to his length. This will simply come down to the type of 3-point shot volume we’ll see, and I’m betting it will be high.

Castle 15+ points (-162): Castle won Rookie of the Year honours last season thanks to a strong second half. He averaged 17.8 PPG on 43.9% shooting in 30 games following the all-star break.

The point guard wasn’t efficient by any means, but also didn’t have the luxury of floor spacing with Wembanyama sidelined.

Now, Castle has much more room to operate and is playing well as San Antonio’s No. 2.

  • 17.0 PPG
  • 52.9 FG%
  • 30.7 MPG

Toronto has gotten torched by point guards so far, giving up 30.85 PPG to the position through three games, according to Fantasy Pros.

I like Castle’s chances of reaching this teased-down milestone.

Raptors vs. Spurs predictions made at 1:40 p.m. ET 10/27/2025.

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Best NBA prop bets Oct. 27: Back VJ Edgecombe and Trey Murphy

NBA prop bets

Monday’s 11-game NBA slate is ripe with prop betting opportunities.

The latest: VJ Edgecombe has gotten plenty of run in his first two games with the Philadelphia 76ers, and is a good bet to stuff the stat sheet tonight. Elsewhere, look for Trey Murphy III to do damage against the struggling Boston Celtics.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 27.

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NBA prop bets

Best bet: Edgecombe over 9.5 rebounds and assists (-118)

Edgecombe, the 2025 No. 3 overall pick, has played 82 minutes over his first two NBA games.

So much for easing a rookie into things.

The Baylor Bears product cleared this number in each of those contests, logging seven rebounds and three assists against the Celtics and six rebounds and eight assists against the Charlotte Hornets.

With Joel Embiid (knee) sidelined, I expect Nick Nurse to give the youngster plenty of run again against the Orlando Magic.

-> Bet on Edgecombe to stuff the stat sheet on Monday

Orlando is off to a 1-2 start, but still ranks sixth in defensive efficiency, so this won’t be an easy matchup for Edgecombe.

It is worth noting, though, that the Magic have given up the sixth-most rebounds and second-most assists per game to shooting guards, according to Fantasy Pros.

If Edgecombe plays anywhere near 40 minutes again, he should have enough opportunities to fly past this total.

Key stat: Five guards have cleared this line against Orlando in three games.

Best NBA picks

Murphy over 25.5 points and rebounds (-112): I’m loving Murphy’s chances of clearing this line against the new-look Celtics, who just look bad.

Boston is off to an 0-3 start with Jayson Tatum sidelined, and Holiday and Kristaps Porzingis traded. It ranks 23rd in defensive rating and 29th in rebounding rate.

Murphy stands at 6-foot-8 with solid rebounding upside at the shooting guard position.

He just dropped 24 points and 10 rebounds against Victor Wembanyama’s San Antonio Spurs, who are second in defensive rating and rebounding rate.

Murphy had 13 points and seven rebounds in his season opener, but shot a terrible 5-for-15 from the field. The shot volume is there for him to eclipse this mark.

NBA prop picks made at 10:45 a.m. ET on 10/27/2025.

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Best NBA prop bets Oct. 27: Back VJ Edgecombe and Trey Murphy, fade Austin Reaves

NBA prop bets

Monday’s 11-game NBA slate is ripe with prop betting opportunities.

The latest: Austin Reaves is coming off a career-high 51-point game, but is worth fading on a back-to-back against the Portland Trail Blazers. Elsewhere, look for Trey Murphy III to do damage against the struggling Boston Celtics.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 27, featuring a best bet on Philadelphia 76ers rookie VJ Edgecombe.

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NBA prop bets

Best bet: Edgecombe over 9.5 rebounds and assists (-114)

Edgecombe, the 2025 No. 3 overall pick, has played 82 minutes over his first two NBA games.

So much for easing a rookie into things.

The Baylor Bears product cleared this number in each of those contests, logging seven rebounds and three assists against the Celtics and six rebounds and eight assists against the Charlotte Hornets.

With Joel Embiid (knee) sidelined, I expect Nick Nurse to give the youngster plenty of run again against the Orlando Magic.

-> Bet on Edgecombe to stuff the stat sheet on Monday

Orlando is off to a 1-2 start, but still ranks sixth in defensive efficiency, so this won’t be an easy matchup for Edgecombe.

It is worth noting, though, that the Magic have given up the sixth-most rebounds and second-most assists per game to shooting guards, according to Fantasy Pros.

If Edgecombe plays anywhere near 40 minutes again, he should have enough opportunities to fly past this total.

Key stat: Five guards have cleared this line against Orlando in three games.

Embed: #120135

Best NBA picks

Reaves under 3.5 threes (-129): Reaves had the best game of his career on Sunday night, dropping 51 points to pair with 11 rebounds and nine assists.

So fading him with Luka Doncic and LeBron James sidelined might seem crazy, but hear me out.

  • Reaves is playing his third game in four nights, logging 76 minutes across the contests.
  • Portland acquired defensive stalwart Jrue Holiday, who will be guarding Reaves. Opposing SGs are averaging just 2.19 threes per game against Portland so far (sixth-lowest).
  • Reaves is 1-2 against this line, making just three total 3s before Sunday’s 6-for-10 performance.

Reaves is a capable 3-point shooter, but does damage at the rim as well. He scored 21 points at the free-throw line on Sunday and won’t be restricted to just the long ball.

-> Fade Reaves vs. Portland at NorthStar Bets

Murphy over 24.5 points and rebounds (-114): I’m loving Murphy’s chances of clearing this line against the new-look Celtics, who just look bad.

Boston is off to an 0-3 start with Jayson Tatum sidelined, and Holiday and Kristaps Porzingis traded. It ranks 23rd in defensive rating and 29th in rebounding rate.

Murphy stands at 6-foot-8 with solid rebounding upside at the shooting guard position.

He just dropped 24 points and 10 rebounds against Victor Wembanyama’s San Antonio Spurs, who are second in defensive rating and rebounding rate.

Murphy had 13 points and seven rebounds in his season opener, but shot a terrible 5-for-15 from the field. The shot volume is there for him to eclipse this mark.

NBA prop picks made at 10:45 a.m. ET on 10/27/2025.

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Best NBA prop bets Oct. 26: Expect Avdija to continue strong start, Siakam to stuff stat sheet

NBA prop bets

Two under-the-radar players headline my NBA prop bets on Sunday.

The latest: Pascal Siakam is the biggest name of the bunch. He has an opportunity to fill the stat sheet against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Later on, Deni Avdija looks to improve on his impressive start to the season.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 26.

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NBA prop bets

Best bet: Avdija over 20.5 points (-125):

Avdija has had a solid rise as an NBA player, but this looks like his true breakout season.

He’s played extremely well through two games, averaging 23.0 points while clearing this line both times.

Some would argue there’s regression to come, but I think this is the start of a very strong campaign. Here’s why:

  • In the first game of the season, Avdija scored 20 points on 6-for-16 from the field (0-for-6 from 3). That is not a strong showing by any means, and he still got past this number.
  • He went on to score 26 in his second game, going 11-for-18 from the field with four triples.

-> Back Avdija against the Clippers at NorthStar Bets

His usage rate (26.9%) ranks in the top 50 above players like Trae Young, Kawhi Leonard and Chet Holmgren.

The 24-year-old is shaping into a legit star, and the Portland Trail Blazers are treating him as such.

Key stat: Through two games, the Los Angeles Clippers have the third-worst defensive rating.

Best NBA picks

Siakam over 11.5 rebounds/assists (-125): Siakam cleared this line on Saturday, even though he played only 25 minutes because of a blowout.

He’s now 2-0 on this wager, averaging 10.5 rebounds and 5.0 assists.

The good news about yesterday’s lopsided score is that Siakam and the Pacers’ starters will be more rested today than they would be for a typical back-to-back.

-> Bet on Pascal Siakam props

There is blowout potential here again with the Timberwolves being 12.5-point favourites at the time of writing.

But I’ve learned to buy in on the good lines without thinking too much about the outcome of the game, and there’s a ton of value here.

Siakam could clear this number with rebounds alone, but he’s been tasked with more playmaking duties with Tyrese Haliburton out for the season.

NBA prop picks made at 1:03 p.m. ET on 10/26/2025.

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Raptors vs. Mavericks prop picks Oct. 26: Bet on Cooper Flagg, Scottie Barnes in epic showdown

Raptors vs. Mavericks props

The Toronto Raptors get their first look at Cooper Flagg and the Dallas Mavericks.

The latest: The No. 1 overall draft pick hasn’t had the best start to his career, but his production and efficiency should continue to get better with every game. For Toronto, take the value on Scottie Barnes’ assists prop.

Check out these Raptors vs. Mavericks picks for the season opener on Oct. 26 in Dallas.

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Raptors vs. Mavericks picks

Best bet: Barnes over 4.5 assists (-163)

This feels like Barnes’ floor as a playmaker.

  • The power forward has averaged 5.8 assists or better for three straight seasons.
  • Barnes averaged 6.0 assists on 9.0 potential assists through the first two games.

So why are we getting such good value?

Well, there seems to be recency bias involved in this line, as Barnes fell under this mark in his recent matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks with three assists.

But one poor performance doesn’t sway me from a number that’s well below Barnes’ 2024-25 assist average (6.0).

-> Bet on Scottie Barnes props at NorthStar Bets

The Mavericks are allowing 25.5 assists per game in the early going, and I think it’s fair to assume Barnes can record a handful of those.

Only Immanuel Quickley has more potential assists through two games.

Barnes has the potential to stuff the statsheet on Sunday, and it starts with his ability to find open teammates.

Dallas is 0-2 in the early goings, struggling to find chemistry. The squad is coming off a 117-111 loss to the Washington Wizards.

Key stat: Barnes averaged 8.5 assists in two meetings with the Mavs last season.

-> Wager on Sunday’s loaded eight-game NBA slate

Flagg prop bet

Flagg over 26.5 points/rebounds/assists (-118): Flagg has cleared this mark in one of two NBA games to start his career.

He struggled in his first game, recording 10 points on 4-of-13 shooting to go along with 10 rebounds.

Flagg bounced back nicely in his second contest, scoring 18 points while adding five rebounds and six assists (29 PRA).

That second game is what I expect to be his floor moving forward.

-> Bet on rookie sensation Cooper Flagg!

At 6-foot-9, he can do it all. He averaged 19.2 points, 7.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists in his one College season with Duke.

Flagg will continue to get every opportunity to succeed, as he is averaging 33 minutes of playing time a night so far.

If this game stays close, the rookie has a great chance to get past this number just on volume alone. If he plays well and has a breakout performance of sorts, he would breeze past this modest line.

Raptors vs. Mavericks picks made at 1:25 p.m. ET on 10/26/2025.

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Best NBA prop bets Oct. 26: Expect Avdija to continue strong start, Siakam to stuff stat sheet

NBA prop bets

Three under-the-radar players headline my NBA prop bets on Sunday.

The latest: Pascal Siakam is the biggest name of the bunch. He has an opportunity to fill the stat sheet against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Later on, Deni Avdija looks to improve on his impressive start to the season.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 26, featuring a pick on rookie Kon Knueppel.

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NBA prop bets

Best bet: Knueppel 3+ threes made (+160)

It looks like Brandon Miller is going to miss tonight’s contest after suffering a shoulder injury in the Charlotte Hornets’ last game.

His status is important for this wager because if he’s out, Knueppel will be the lead candidate to fill his minutes.

After Miller exited in the second quarter against the Philadelphia 76ers, the rookie wing went on to play 30 minutes and scored 14 points on 5-of-11 shooting.

Knueppel has hit three or more 3-pointers in both games to start the season. His deep range ability got him drafted fourth overall and gives him a solid floor as a scorer.

-> Bet on Kon Knueppel vs. the Wizards

Triples can add up quickly when half of a player’s shot attempts are from beyond the arc. It also helps that Knueppel is shooting 60% from deep to begin his career.

He has a nice matchup to score, too. The Washington Wizards allowed the second-most points per game in the NBA last season.

This is still a good pick with Miller in the lineup, but if he’s out, this is a smash play.

Key stat: Knueppel was the best shooter in the draft, hitting more than 40% of his 3s in college. He started his rookie season 6-for-10 from 3-point range.

Embed: #120101

Best NBA picks

Avdija over 19.5 points (-118): Avdija has had a solid rise as an NBA player, but this looks like his true breakout season.

He’s played extremely well through two games, averaging 23.0 points while clearing this line both times.

Some would argue there’s regression to come, but I think this is the start of a very strong campaign. Here’s why:

  • In the first game of the season, Avdija scored 20 points on 6-for-16 from the field (0-for-6 from 3). That is not a strong showing by any means, and he still got past this number.
  • He went on to score 26 in his second game, going 11-for-18 from the field with four triples.

-> Back Avdija against the Clippers at NorthStar Bets

His usage rate (26.9%) ranks in the top 50 above players like Trae Young, Kawhi Leonard and Chet Holmgren.

The 24-year-old is shaping into a legit star, and the Portland Trail Blazers are treating him as such.

Through two games, the Los Angeles Clippers have the third-worst defensive rating.

Siakam over 11.5 rebounds/assists (-106): Siakam cleared this line on Saturday, even though he played only 25 minutes because of a blowout.

He’s now 2-0 on this wager, averaging 10.5 rebounds and 5.0 assists.

The good news about yesterday’s lopsided score is that Siakam and the Pacers’ starters will be more rested today than they would be for a typical back-to-back.

-> Bet on Pascal Siakam props

There is blowout potential here again with the Timberwolves being 12.5-point favourites at the time of writing.

But I’ve learned to buy in on the good lines without thinking too much about the outcome of the game, and there’s a ton of value here.

Siakam could clear this number with rebounds alone, but he’s been tasked with more playmaking duties with Tyrese Haliburton out for the season.

NBA prop picks made at 1:03 p.m. ET on 10/26/2025.

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Raptors vs. Mavericks prop picks Oct. 26: Bet on Cooper Flagg, Scottie Barnes in epic showdown

Raptors vs. Mavericks props

The Toronto Raptors get their first look at Cooper Flagg and the Dallas Mavericks.

The latest: The No. 1 overall draft pick hasn’t had the best start to his career, but his production and efficiency should continue to get better with every game. For Toronto, take the value on Scottie Barnes’ assists prop.

Check out these Raptors vs. Mavericks picks for the season opener on Oct. 26 in Dallas.

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Raptors vs. Mavericks picks

Best bet: Barnes over 4.5 assists (-134)

This feels like Barnes’ floor as a playmaker.

  • The power forward has averaged 5.8 assists or better for three straight seasons.
  • Barnes averaged 6.0 assists on 9.0 potential assists through the first two games.

So why are we getting such good value?

Well, there seems to be recency bias involved in this line, as Barnes fell under this mark in his recent matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks with three assists.

But one poor performance doesn’t sway me from a number that’s well below Barnes’ 2024-25 assist average (6.0).

-> Bet on Scottie Barnes props at NorthStar Bets

The Mavericks are allowing 25.5 assists per game in the early going, and I think it’s fair to assume Barnes can record a handful of those.

Only Immanuel Quickley has more potential assists through two games.

Barnes has the potential to stuff the statsheet on Sunday, and it starts with his ability to find open teammates.

Dallas is 0-2 in the early goings, struggling to find chemistry. The squad is coming off a 117-111 loss to the Washington Wizards.

Key stat: Barnes averaged 8.5 assists in two meetings with the Mavs last season.

Embed: #120095

-> Wager on Sunday’s loaded eight-game NBA slate

Flagg prop bet

Flagg over 27.5 points/rebounds/assists (-109): Flagg has cleared this mark in one of two NBA games to start his career.

He struggled in his first game, recording 10 points on 4-of-13 shooting to go along with 10 rebounds.

Flagg bounced back nicely in his second contest, scoring 18 points while adding five rebounds and six assists (29 PRA).

That second game is what I expect to be his floor moving forward.

-> Bet on rookie sensation Cooper Flagg!

At 6-foot-9, he can do it all. He averaged 19.2 points, 7.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists in his one College season with Duke.

Flagg will continue to get every opportunity to succeed, as he is averaging 33 minutes of playing time a night so far.

If this game stays close, the rookie has a great chance to get past this number just on volume alone. If he plays well and has a breakout performance of sorts, he would breeze past this modest line.

Raptors vs. Mavericks picks made at 10:16 a.m. ET on 10/26/2025.

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Lakers vs. Kings SGP predictions Oct. 26: Fade Doncic, Reaves in +390 ticket

Lakers vs. ings predictions

The Los Angeles Lakers and Sacramento Kings meet in an early-season matchup with both squads looking to earn a win.

The pregame narrative: The Lakers and Kings each enter this matchup with a 1-1 record. Neither offence is setting the league on fire to open the campaign, which has me eyeing a low-scoring game.

Check out my Lakers vs. Kings SGP predictions for Oct. 26, featuring Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves.

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Lakers vs. Kings predictions

Parlay: Under 235.5 points | Doncic under 33.5 points | Reaves under 23.5 points (+390)

Under 235.5 points (-210): I’m not expecting either team to light up the scoreboard, which is why I’m teasing the total up and taking the under.

The Lakers and Kings met four times last year, and both of their meetings in Sacramento fell well below this total.

-> Bet on NBA futures at NorthStar Bets

Los Angeles and Sacramento averaged a lowly 207.5 points per game in those contests.

The Kings are shaping up to be a strong under team early on. They’re 26th in points per game (110.5), but a strong sixth in points against (112.0).

The Lakers aren’t scoring at a ridiculous pace, either, ranking a middling 16th in points per game through two contests (118.5).

Embed: #120090

NBA SGP legs

Doncic under 33.5 points (-107): I know full well what I’m stepping in front of here.

Doncic is a freight train capable of making this pick look foolish on any given night. The Lakers guard is on fire to start the season.

Doncic has topped this prop in both outings. In fact, he’s cleared 40 points twice already.

-> Fade Luka Doncic to fill the basket against Phoenix

So why am I fading him?

Firstly, he’s a little banged up. The Lakers announced that Doncic is dealing with a left finger sprain.

Secondly, Los Angeles is scheduled to play on Monday. It may be more likely to manage Doncic’s minutes with two games in as many days.

Reaves under 23.5 points (-122): Lastly, I’m adding to my unders fest with a Reaves under.

Like Doncic, the Lakers shooting guard has usurped this total in back-to-back games.

Naturally, this also begs the question: Why am I fading him, too?

The Kings were a tough matchup for Reaves in 2024-25. The shooting guard averaged just 20.8 points per game against Sacramento.

Even though Reaves has cleared this total twice, he barely scraped by each time (25 and 26). This number seems closer to his ceiling than his mean, which is why I’ll happily back the under.

Lakers vs. Kings predictions made at 9:53 a.m. ET 10/26/2025.

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