Category: NBA

Knicks vs. Mavericks SGP predictions Nov. 19: Expect a big performance from Towns in +350 wager

Knicks vs. Mavericks predictions

Two injury-riddled rosters go to battle in the late-night NBA slate on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: The New York Knicks have been awful on the road and will be without their best defender for this contest. Look for the Dallas Mavericks to keep this game close, even though they’re bound to struggle guarding Karl-Anthony Towns.

Check out my Knicks vs. Mavericks SGP predictions for Nov. 19, featuring Towns and Max Christie.

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Knicks vs. Mavericks predictions

Parlay: Mavericks +10.5 | Towns over 23.5 points | Christie 2+ threes (+350)

Mavericks +10.5 (-200): This feels like a trap spot for the Knicks for a few reasons.

  • As of Wednesday afternoon, OG Anunoby has been ruled out and Jalen Brunson is questionable.
  • That doesn’t bode well for the Knicks, who are 0-4 SU and ATS on the road this season.

They’ve benefitted from a lot of home games early on, but that’s about to change with a six-game stretch away from Madison Square Garden.

-> Build your NBA SGP at NorthStar Bets

The Mavericks are off to a slow start (4-11) but have covered this spread in nine of 10 home games.

It’s worth noting that Cooper Flagg is questionable with an illness, so that’ll be worth monitoring as the day rolls on.

But even without Flagg, I think the Mavs can do enough to keep this game competitive.

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NBA SGP legs

Towns over 23.5 points (-121): It looks like Brunson is trending toward playing after reportedly participating in the morning shootaround.

But if he happens to be out or limited in any capacity, this is a smash play. Either way, I love the matchup for Towns.

  • Dallas is struggling to replace Anthony Davis’ interior defence while he’s out. The Mavs allow the second-most points per game to centres (26.36), per Fantasy Pros.
  • Towns technically starts at power forward while Mitchell Robinson takes the reins at the five. However, Robinson plays less than 17 minutes per night, so it’s often Towns playing centre during the majority of possessions.

The combination of PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford should struggle to guard the Knicks’ star big man, especially in space, where he excels.

Towns has averaged 24.7 PPG over his past seven games.

-> Back Towns and Christie on Wednesday night

Christie 2+ threes (-162): Christie has been lights out from distance. He is shooting 45.8% from 3-point range on 5.5 attempts per game.

The guard is coming off his worst game of the season (18 minutes, one point, 0-for-1 shooting), but that was the first time he shot fewer than four 3s in a game this season.

Odds are that it doesn’t happen again and he gets a fair amount of shots up tonight.

He’s 12-3 against this wager overall, so I’ll gladly ride with this pick after an outlier performance.

Plus, if Flagg is out or limited, Christie would see more run, leading to more shot opportunities.

Knicks vs. Mavericks predictions made at 1:12 p.m. ET Nov. 19, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 19: Back Gobert and Washington, fade Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA prop picks Nov. 19

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is among three players featured in Wednesday’s top NBA prop picks.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder are on a heater, but I believe that will work against SGA on a certain prop market tonight.

Find out why in my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 19, featuring predictions on PJ Washington and Rudy Gobert.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 19

Best bet: Gilgeous-Alexander under 31.5 points (-121)

Gilgeous-Alexander has a plus matchup and it’s completely in the realm of possibilities that he drops a 40-piece on the Sacramento Kings. 

But I think it’s more likely that the reigning MVP’s minutes are limited once again as a result of another Thunder blowout. 

Gilgeous-Alexander is having a fantastic season, ranking third in the NBA in scoring (31.9 per game) despite logging fewer than 30 minutes in more than half of his games. That includes each of his last four. 

The 14-1 Thunder haven’t needed to push him hard in many fourth quarters thanks to 10 double-digit victories.

-> Bet on tonight’s 9-game NBA slate

Their opponent is on the opposite end. Sacramento has been getting chewed apart. The Kings’ last six games, all losses, have been ugly: 

  • Nov. 16 @ SA: 123-110
  • Nov. 14 @ MIN: 124-110
  • Nov. 12 vs. ATL: 133-100
  • Nov. 11 vs. DEN: 122-108
  • Nov. 9 vs. MIN: 144-117
  • Nov. 7 Vs. OKC: 132-101

Oklahoma City — the No. 1 team in defensive rating — also beat the Kings in October. Gilgeous-Alexander hit the 30-point mark in both games but fell short of this total each time. 

Key stat: SGA has failed to top 31.5 points in 10 of his 15 games.

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Best NBA picks

Washington over 6.5 rebounds (-110): Washington has three double-digit rebounding games and is regularly topping this number. 

He’s 10-3 vs. this line (excluding an injury-shortened five-minute game last week) and starts for the Dallas Mavericks, who are missing top rebounder Anthony Davis.

-> Bet on Knicks vs. Mavericks at NorthStar Bets!

Washington has cleared this line in four straight and is coming off a career-best rebounding campaign (7.8 boards/game). He’s at 7.5 this season. 

Dallas is a 5.5-point home underdog vs. the New York Knicks, who are without OG Anunoby, while Jalen Brunson is questionable after missing two straight. 

Those two being out would give Dallas a much better chance to keep this close, leading to more minutes and opportunities for Washington.

NBA player prop predictions

Gobert over 11.5 points (-110): The Minnesota Timberwolves’ big man should have a game tonight against the lowly Washington Wizards.

  • Washington has one win this season and enters on an 11-game skid. 
  • The Wizards surrender the most rebounds to opposing centres in the NBA and the fourth-most points, per Betting Pros. 
  • Only three teams allow more points in the paint, which is where Gobert does all his scoring. 
  • The Wizards have the second-lowest rebounding rate in the NBA.

-> See tonight’s NBA prop markets

Gobert (10.7 PPG) isn’t a big scorer but he can contribute in the right matchups. He’s topped this number six times in 14 games.

Washington’s lack of rebounding should help Gobert clean up on the offensive glass, leading to some easy putback opportunities.

Gobert is converting at a near-90% rate in the paint, per NBA.com. That’s the top field goal percentage in the NBA among players taking more than two shots per game in that area.

NBA prop picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET on Nov. 19, 2025.

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Raptors vs. 76ers prop bets Nov. 19: Quickley, Ingram look to stay hot in Philadelphia

Raptors vs. 76ers prop picks

With an 8-1 record in their past nine games, the Toronto Raptors roll into Philadelphia looking to stay hot.

The latest: Toronto’s only loss from Halloween onward came on the road against the 76ers (a 130-120 defeat on Nov. 8). Wednesday’s rematch is a pick’em in Philly with both Joel Embiid and Paul George expected to be out.

Check out these Raptors vs. 76ers prop bets for the game on Nov. 19, featuring Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley and Andre Drummond.

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Raptors vs. 76ers prop bets

Best bet: Ingram over 20.5 points (-118)

Many questioned the Raptors for trading away a first round pick in a package to acquire Ingram last year, given that he was hurt and Toronto didn’t seem like a squad heading to the playoffs anytime soon.

Ingram is healthy now, though, and he’s helped the Raptors make some impressive headway in the up-for-grabs Eastern Conference.

Through 14 games, Ingram is averaging 20.9 points on 48.6% shooting (88.1% free throw percentage).

Keep in mind that his 3-point shooting so far (27.9%) has been the worst of his 10-year career. So there’s room for improvement in the scoring department.

-> Full Raptors vs. Sixers props at NorthStar Bets

Between Ingram, Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickley, the Raptors have four players who can go for 20+ points on any given night. In fact, all four of them scored between 18 and 22 points when the Raptors faced the Sixers less than two weeks ago.

I like this scoring prop for Ingram because his shot volume is quite steady and the results have followed.

  • Ingram has 15+ shot attempts in 11 of 14 games.
  • He has 20+ points in nine of 14 games.
  • Among wings, Ingram ranks in the 97th percentile for long midrange shot attempts (23%), per Cleaning The Glass. The Sixers allow the third-most shot attempts from long midrange in the NBA (10.3%).

Key stat: Philadelphia allows the ninth-most points per game to opposing small forwards (24.18), per Fantasy Pros.

-> Wager on Wednesday’s packed nine-game NBA slate

Additional NBA prop predictions

Quickley over 2.5 threes (-143): As a team, the Raptors don’t take a ton of 3s. But Quickley is the leader of the pack, and he should be encouraged to fire away right now.

  • Toronto ranks 25th in the NBA in attempted 3s per game. Quickley averages a team-high 6.3 attempted 3s.
  • This month, Quickley is 25-for-56 (44.6%) from deep in eight games. That equates to 3.1 makes on 7.0 attempts.
  • The point guard is 5-3 vs. this line, and he had a pair of triples in all three unders.

In Philly a week and a half ago, Quickley went 5-for-9 from deep. That marked his season-high total for both makes and attempts, so hopefully there’s similar volume available to him tonight.

-> Bet on Quickley and Ingram here!

Drummond over 24.5 points/rebounds (-118): Embiid hasn’t played since the last Raptors/Sixers clash, and he’s listed as doubtful for tonight.

Assuming the two-time scoring champ is out again, Drummond should have a clear runway to putting up big numbers.

  • Drummond has started in four straight games with Embiid out and is 3-1 vs. this prop.
  • In that span, Drummond has averaged 14.3 points and 13.5 rebounds.

Coming off the bench against the Raptors on Nov. 8, Drummond had four points and eight rebounds in just 16 minutes. Not bad at all.

He has played 33+ minutes in each of his starts, and with that amount of run, expect the 6-foot-11 centre to fill up the stat sheet.

Raptors vs. 76ers prop bets made at 9:28 a.m. ET on Nov. 19, 2025.

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Raptors vs. 76ers prop bets Nov. 19: Quickley, Ingram look to stay hot in Philadelphia

Raptors vs. 76ers prop picks

With an 8-1 record in their past nine games, the Toronto Raptors roll into Philadelphia looking to stay hot.

The latest: Toronto’s only loss from Halloween onward came on the road against the 76ers (a 130-120 defeat on Nov. 8). Wednesday’s rematch is a pick’em in Philly with both Joel Embiid and Paul George expected to be out.

Check out these Raptors vs. 76ers prop bets for the game on Nov. 19, featuring Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley and Andre Drummond.

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Raptors vs. 76ers prop bets

Best bet: Ingram 20+ points (-134)

Many questioned the Raptors for trading away a first round pick in a package to acquire Ingram last year, given that he was hurt and Toronto didn’t seem like a squad heading to the playoffs anytime soon.

Ingram is healthy now, though, and he’s helped the Raptors make some impressive headway in the up-for-grabs Eastern Conference.

Through 14 games, Ingram is averaging 20.9 points on 48.6% shooting (88.1% free throw percentage).

Keep in mind that his 3-point shooting so far (27.9%) has been the worst of his 10-year career. So there’s room for improvement in the scoring department.

-> Full Raptors vs. Sixers props at NorthStar Bets

Between Ingram, Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickley, the Raptors have four players who can go for 20+ points on any given night. In fact, all four of them scored between 18 and 22 points when the Raptors faced the Sixers less than two weeks ago.

I like this scoring milestone for Ingram because his shot volume is quite steady and the results have followed.

  • Ingram has 15+ shot attempts in 11 of 14 games.
  • He is 9-5 vs. this 20-point milestone.
  • Among wings, Ingram ranks in the 97th percentile for long midrange shot attempts (23%), per Cleaning The Glass. The Sixers allow the third-most shot attempts from long midrange in the NBA (10.3%).

Key stat: Philadelphia allows the ninth-most points per game to opposing small forwards (24.18), per Fantasy Pros.

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-> Wager on Wednesday’s packed nine-game NBA slate

Additional NBA prop predictions

Quickley over 2.5 threes (-117): As a team, the Raptors don’t take a ton of 3s. But Quickley is the leader of the pack, and he should be encouraged to fire away right now.

  • Toronto ranks 25th in the NBA in attempted 3s per game. Quickley averages a team-high 6.3 attempted 3s.
  • This month, Quickley is 25-for-56 (44.6%) from deep in eight games. That equates to 3.1 makes on 7.0 attempts.
  • The point guard is 5-3 vs. this line, and he had a pair of triples in all three unders.

In Philly a week and a half ago, Quickley went 5-for-9 from deep. That marked his season-high total for both makes and attempts, so hopefully there’s similar volume available to him tonight.

-> Bet on Quickley and Ingram here!

Drummond to record a double-double (-137): Embiid hasn’t played since the last Raptors/Sixers clash, and he’s listed as doubtful for tonight.

Assuming the two-time scoring champ is out again, Drummond should have a clear runway to collecting a double-double.

  • Drummond has started in four straight games with Embiid out and is 4-0 vs. this prop.
  • In that span, Drummond has averaged 14.3 points and 13.5 rebounds.

Coming off the bench against the Raptors on Nov. 8, Drummond had four points and eight rebounds in just 16 minutes. Not bad at all.

He has played 33+ minutes in each of his starts, and with that amount of run, a double-double will absolutely be in play for the 6-foot-11 centre.

Raptors vs. 76ers prop bets made at 9:28 a.m. ET on Nov. 19, 2025.

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Jazz vs. Lakers SGP predictions Nov. 18: Back Los Angeles to cover in LeBron’s potential return at +325

Jazz vs. Lakers predictions

All eyes will be on LeBron James when the Los Angeles Lakers host the Utah Jazz on Tuesday night.

The pregame narrative: LeBron is officially questionable at the time of writing, but it appears as though The King will kick off season No. 23 this evening after rehabbing from sciatic nerve discomfort. Los Angeles is a heavy favourite against Utah, which sports a 2-4 ATS record on the road.

Check out my Jazz vs. Lakers SGP predictions for Nov. 18, featuring Lauri Markkanen and Luka Doncic.

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Jazz vs. Lakers predictions

Parlay: Lakers -9.5 | Doncic under 8.5 assists | Markkanen 20+ points (+325)

Lakers -9.5 (-182): I’m happy to back the Lakers at this number with or without LeBron.

Getting one of the GOATs back is a boost, but L.A. has done just fine in his absence. The squad is 10-4 and sports an identical ATS record, tied for the best mark in basketball.

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Utah, meanwhile, has been dreadful on the road. It is 1-5 SU, losing by an average of 15.8 points. Only the Indiana Pacers have a larger average margin of defeat (-19.1) on the road.

The Jazz have failed to cover this number in four of their last five road games, most recently losing to the Timberwolves by 40 in Minnesota.

Los Angeles beat the same Minnesota team twice this year, including once on the road.

Embed: #121160

NBA SGP legs

Doncic under 8.5 assists (-118): Fading Doncic on any market is risky business, especially against a team like Utah. But I think this bet has a great chance of cashing if LeBron plays, and would still be in play if he happens to be sidelined.

  • Doncic has gone under this mark in three of his last four games and five of 10 on the year.
  • This matchup has blowout potential, meaning he could see reduced minutes if Los Angeles runs away with things.
  • Historically, Doncic has been a “shoot first” guy with LeBron in the mix. He’s gone under this line in 21 of 28 games when sharing a court with LeBron.

Last year, the Lakers played the Jazz twice with Doncic and LeBron. Luka was on a slight minutes restriction but had just eight total assists in those games.

-> Fade Doncic and back Markkanen on Tuesday night

Markkanen 20+ points (-345): Markkanen is on another level right now.

  • He’s averaging 30.6 PPG this season.
  • He’s scored 35+ points in three straight games (40+ in back-to-back).
  • He has 20+ points 12 of 13 games and 25+ points in 9 of 13 games.

The Finnish forward had a down year in an injury-riddled 2024-25. But he was an upper-echelon scorer the two seasons before that, and seems to have hit his prime at age 28.

Los Angeles is a solid defensive team, but this feels like a borderline free leg to tack onto the SGP. It also boosts the odds from +180 to +325 thanks to some negative correlation.

Jazz vs. Lakers predictions made at 3:30 p.m. ET 11/01/2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 18: Back De’Aaron Fox, Anfernee Simons and Deni Avdija

NBA prop picks Nov. 18

I’ve got three prop recommendations from Tuesday’s six-game slate, headlined by a play on San Antonio Spurs guard De’Aaron Fox.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Victor Wembanyama is out, meaning Fox will have to carry the offensive load against the Memphis Grizzlies. Elsewhere, Portland Trail Blazers forward Deni Avdija should stay hot despite a tough matchup against the Phoenix Suns.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 18, featuring a pick on Anfernee Simons.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 18

Best bet: Fox over 24.5 points (-130)

This is my “don’t overthink it” play of the day.

Fox is an elite scorer with 30-point upside, going up against one of the worst defences in the league. Oh, and Stephon Castle is also sidelined with Wembanyama.

They have combined to average 43.5 points and 30.3 field-goal attempts per game. Replacing that production is impossible, but Fox can try his best.

-> Wager on tonight’s six-game NBA slate

The second-year Spur has played five games so far and is averaging 22.0 points on solid 51.2% shooting. He’s coming off a season-high 28 points against the Sacramento Kings, which also happened to be the first game Wembanyama missed.

Now, he faces a Grizzlies team allowing the most points (29.51) and threes (4.05) per game to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros.

All signs point to another big night.

Key stat: Fox has taken 20-plus shots in back-to-back games, including eight 3s in both contests.

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Best NBA picks

Avdija over 25.5 points (-110): Avdija currently sits third on the NBA’s Most Improved Player odds board after a torrid start to the season.

  • 2024-25: 16.9 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 3.9 APG, 47.6 FG%
  • 2025-26: 26.0 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 4.9 APG, 48.9 FG%

The big man has been remarkably consistent, scoring at least 19 points in every game while going 8-5 against this line.

-> Bet on Avdija in Suns vs. Trail Blazers

Avdija’s volume is way up from last year, and he’s averaging a hefty 35.6 minutes in November.

The Suns have stifled power forwards all year, allowing the sixth-fewest PPG to the position, but Avdija has done damage in a few other tough matchups.

He scored 27 points against the Orlando Magic and 32 points against the New Orleans Pelicans. They allow the fewest and fourth-fewest PPG, respectively, to opposing PFs.

NBA player prop predictions

Simons 3+ threes (+115): Simons has been very hit-or-miss on his 3-point market this year, but this is a great matchup for him to go nuclear.

The Brooklyn Nets are allowing opponents to shoot 39.2% from deep. That’s the third-worst mark in the NBA.

-> Check out Tuesday’s NBA prop markets

Simons has always been a high-volume 3-point shooter, averaging north of 3.1 makes and 8.5 attempts in his last three seasons with the Trail Blazers.

Those numbers are down slightly with the Celtics (2.7 makes on 6.9 attempts), but he’s still cashing in at a great clip (39.6%).

Simons has cleared this mark in four of his last six games.

NBA prop picks made at 11:25 a.m. ET on Nov. 18, 2025.

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Suns vs. Trail Blazers SGP predictions Nov. 18: Back Phoenix behind star performance from Devin Booker

Suns vs. Trail Blazers SGP

The Phoenix Suns and Portland Trail Blazers joust for position in the Western Conference standings on Tuesday night.

The pregame narrative: The final NBA game of the night features two playoff hopeful teams out west. Phoenix has won seven of its last 10 behind superstar play from Devin Booker, but is a slight underdog for this contest.

Check out my Suns vs. Trail Blazers SGP predictions for Nov. 18, including prop predictions on Booker and Deni Avdija.

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Suns vs. Trail Blazers SGP

Parlay: Booker 35+ points/assists | Avdija over 24.5 points | Suns +5.5 (+310)

Booker 35+ points/assists (-148): Booker has remained loyal to the Suns, and he’s the lone all-star left in what was once a stacked lineup.

Now, he is responsible for a lot of the offence nightly, and he has developed into a true point guard.

  • This season, Booker is averaging 28.4 points and 7.0 assists per game (35.4 PA).
  • He’s scored 30+ seven times with seven or more assists in 10 of 14 games.

-> Wager on Booker vs. Trail Blazers before the 11 p.m. ET tip-off

The ask here is for Booker to have an above-average night, and I think that’s a strong possibility against the Blazers.

Portland has the ninth-worst defensive rating (119.1) and allows the seventh most points to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros.

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NBA SGP legs

Avdija over 24.5 points (-122): Avdija isn’t a household name, but he’s more than deserving of this hefty points total.

The former lottery pick has found his home, and he’s excelling for the Blazers.

  • Avdija is averaging 26.0 points through 13 games.
  • Overall, he’s 8-5 on the over against this line.
  • That includes cashing this wager in six of the past seven contests.

-> Don’t miss out — bet now on tonight’s NBA action!

In those games, Avidija is averaging 28.9 points, raising his scoring floor even higher.

The versatile wing has played 29+ minutes in all 13 games this year. The Blazers are hardly a part of blowouts, and that gives their best player ample opportunity to add up points.

Suns +5.5 (-190): With how these teams have been playing, it felt like a no-brainer to back Phoenix to cover a teased-up spread.

The Suns have won seven of the past nine games, including notable wins over the San Antonio Spurs and Los Angeles Clippers (twice).

-> Bet on the Suns on Monday night

They lost to the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday, but only by two, which was enough to cover this spread.

Meanwhile, the Blazers have lost four of five ahead of Tuesday, with their sole win coming against the 2-12 New Orleans Pelicans.

Portland should struggle to win this game, and I can’t see it covering this alternate spread against a rising Phoenix squad.

Suns vs. Trail Blazers SGP made at 11:15 a.m. ET 11/18/2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 18: Back De’Aaron Fox, Anfernee Simons and Deni Avdija

NBA prop picks Nov. 18

I’ve got three prop recommendations from Tuesday’s six-game slate, headlined by a play on San Antonio Spurs guard De’Aaron Fox.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Victor Wembanyama is out, meaning Fox will have to carry the offensive load against the Memphis Grizzlies. Elsewhere, Portland Trail Blazers forward Deni Avdija should stay hot despite a tough matchup against the Phoenix Suns.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 18, featuring a pick on Anfernee Simons.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 18

Best bet: Fox over 26.5 points (-122)

This is my “don’t overthink it” play of the day.

Fox is an elite scorer with 30-point upside, going up against one of the worst defences in the league. Oh, and Stephon Castle is also sidelined with Wembanyama.

They have combined to average 43.5 points and 30.3 field-goal attempts per game. Replacing that production is impossible, but Fox can try his best.

-> Wager on tonight’s six-game NBA slate

The second-year Spur has played five games so far and is averaging 22.0 points on solid 51.2% shooting. He’s coming off a season-high 28 points against the Sacramento Kings, which also happened to be the first game Wembanyama missed.

Now, he faces a Grizzlies team allowing the most points (29.51) and threes (4.05) per game to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros.

All signs point to another big night.

Key stat: Fox has taken 20-plus shots in back-to-back games, including eight 3s in both contests.

Embed: #121148

Best NBA picks

Avdija over 24.5 points (-122): Avdija currently sits third on the NBA’s Most Improved Player odds board after a torrid start to the season.

  • 2024-25: 16.9 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 3.9 APG, 47.6 FG%
  • 2025-26: 26.0 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 4.9 APG, 48.9 FG%

The big man has been remarkably consistent, scoring at least 19 points in every game while going 8-5 against this line.

-> Bet on Avdija in Suns vs. Trail Blazers

Avdija’s volume is way up from last year, and he’s averaging a hefty 35.6 minutes in November.

The Suns have stifled power forwards all year, allowing the sixth-fewest PPG to the position, but Avdija has done damage in a few other tough matchups.

He scored 27 points against the Orlando Magic and 32 points against the New Orleans Pelicans. They allow the fewest and fourth-fewest PPG, respectively, to opposing PFs.

NBA player prop predictions

Simons 3+ threes (+110): Simons has been very hit-or-miss on his 3-point market this year, but this is a great matchup for him to go nuclear.

The Brooklyn Nets are allowing opponents to shoot 39.2% from deep. That’s the third-worst mark in the NBA.

-> Check out Tuesday’s NBA prop markets

Simons has always been a high-volume 3-point shooter, averaging north of 3.1 makes and 8.5 attempts in his last three seasons with the Trail Blazers.

Those numbers are down slightly with the Celtics (2.7 makes on 6.9 attempts), but he’s still cashing in at a great clip (39.6%).

Simons has cleared this mark in four of his last six games.

NBA prop picks made at 11:25 a.m. ET on Nov. 18, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 17: Mikal Bridges, Anthony Edwards have Grade-A matchups on Monday night

NBA prop bets

Mikal Bridges is the subject of my top NBA prop bet on Monday night, as he looks to lead the shorthanded New York Knicks from 3-point range.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Bridges is off to a great start beyond the arc and should be encouraged to keep firing in Miami. Elsewhere, Derik Queen looks worthy of a fade and Anthony Edwards has a nice opportunity to go off at home.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 17.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 17

Best bet: Bridges over 2.5 threes (-175)

Neither Jalen Brunson nor OG Anunoby will play for the Knicks tonight. That means a lot of shot opportunities should be up for grabs — especially from deep.

  • Brunson and Anunoby rank first and second among Knicks players in attempted 3s, averaging a combined 14.2 attempts per game.
  • Bridges (6.0 3PA) is right behind them, meaning he should be the Knicks’ top 3-point option tonight.

-> Wager on tonight’s eight-game NBA slate

You could argue that Bridges should be taking more 3s no matter what right now, given how well he’s faring from the outside.

The eighth-year wing is shooting 41.7%, which is on track to be the second-best 3PT% of his career.

Without Brunson or Anunoby on the floor, I feel confident that Bridges will attempt more than six 3s tonight. Facing the Miami Heat should be a plus to his volume, too.

The Heat allow the most 3-point attempts in the NBA (45.9/game). Three nights ago, Bridges was 3-for-12 from deep in this exact matchup.

Key stat: Bridges is 7-5 vs. this 3s prop this season, cashing the over in four of his past five.

Best NBA picks

Edwards over 33.5 points/rebounds (-118): The Dallas Mavericks have played two consecutive overtime games and are on the road for a back-to-back tonight in Minnesota. I’m hoping — and expecting — Edwards to take advantage against a gassed team.

Edwards is 1-for-15 from 3-point range in his past two games, but he still cashed this bet both times. He’s a steady producer on the glass, and he knows how to score from anywhere.

-> Bet on Edwards in Mavericks vs. Timberwolves

In eight games with 25+ minutes played this year, Edwards is 6-2 vs. this line. He’s averaging 35.8 points/rebounds in his past five games against Dallas.

This season, the Mavericks have allowed the third-most rebounds per game.

NBA player prop predictions

Queen over 16.5 points/assists (-125): Just 13 games into his NBA career, Queen has already been adorned with the nickname, “Baby Jokic” on Basketball Reference. That’s a ridiculously lofty title to hand him this soon.

Queen is a big man with an uncharacteristically smooth passing touch, sure. But I’m going to need to see him do more than light up the Trail Blazers before using his and Jokic’s names in the same sentence.

-> Check out Monday’s NBA prop markets

Monday’s matchup is as tough as it gets, with Queen and the Pelicans hosting the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder.

  • OKC allows the fewest points and third-fewest assists per game. The team also ranks No. 1 in defensive rating.
  • Against centres, OKC has allowed the third-fewest points and the fewest assists per game, according to Fantasy Pros.

Queen has a regular rotation role now, playing 24+ minutes in six straight games. But he has gone under this points/assists total in four of those six games.

NBA prop picks made at 3:10 p.m. ET on Nov. 17, 2025.

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Bulls vs. Nuggets SGP predictions Nov. 17: Bet on Denver to rout Giddey and Chicago

Bulls vs. Nuggets SGP

The Denver Nuggets are massive home favourites on Monday night against the reeling Chicago Bulls.

The pregame narrative: Chicago lost as a favourite in Utah last night to extend its losing skid to five games. Josh Giddey has been spectacular for an otherwise pedestrian Bulls team, though, and he should remain active at Ball Arena.

Check out my Bulls vs. Nuggets SGP predictions for Nov. 17, including a prop prediction on Denver’s Peyton Watson.

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Bulls vs. Nuggets SGP

Parlay: Nuggets -11.5 | Watson over 8.5 points | Giddey 8+ assists (+320)

Nuggets -11.5 (-159): At home, with a rest advantage, the Nuggets are expected to maul the Bulls. And I think they will.

  • Denver is on a six-game ATS win streak and is 9-3 ATS overall this season.
  • At home, the Nuggets are 6-0 with a +19.0 average margin of victory.

-> Wager on Bulls vs. Nuggets before the 9 p.m. ET tip-off

The Bulls just kicked off their road trip with back-to-back losses as favourites. They’ve now dropped five in a row, allowing north of 120 points in each of those games.

I trimmed three points off the standard spread to give Denver a bit more leeway. But that shouldn’t be necessary for a team with the second-best net rating in the league (+13.0).

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NBA SGP legs

Watson over 8.5 points (-130): This is a gritty pick for a guy who has come off the bench in 10 of 12 games and is averaging 6.5 points. But it’s not a completely random pull on my part.

  • Watson loves to attack the rim, and he should be able to get to his spot routinely tonight.
  • The Bulls allow the highest rate of shots around the rim among all teams (37.5%), per Cleaning the Glass.
  • For Watson’s part, he takes 60.0% of his shots around the rim (91st percentile among small forwards).

-> Don’t miss out — bet now on tonight’s NBA action!

I expect a blowout tonight, and with that, I think there’s a chance the 23-year-old gets more run in mop-up duty.

He scored 12 points in a season-high 34 minutes last time out (Saturday in Minnesota). That was Denver’s ninth win by a double-digit margin this season.

Giddey 8+ assists (-230): The Bulls are sliding, but Giddey isn’t slowing down.

Giddey put up 26 points, 13 rebounds and 13 assists on Sunday for his third triple-double in five games this month.

-> Bet on Josh Giddey on Monday night

On the season, he’s averaging nearly a triple-double through 10 games (21.9 PPG, 9.9 RPG, 9.7 APG). He’s 7-3 vs. this assists milestone on the season.

Coby White made his season debut for the Bulls last night and could cut into Giddey’s assist opportunity. But I still view this milestone as a relatively safe one for the Aussie-born guard.

Giddey cashed this bet in both matchups vs. the Nuggets last year. Also, he’s currently fifth in the NBA in potential assists per game (14.9), which denotes the number of passes that lead directly to a shot.

Bulls vs. Nuggets SGP made at 12:15 p.m. ET 11/17/2025.

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