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Rockets vs. Warriors SGP predictions Nov. 26: Bet on another strong performance form Curry in +340 wager

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors meet in a star-studded matchup on Wednesday night.

The pregame narrative: Kevin Durant will miss this game against his old team, but that hardly zaps the starpower split between these two rosters. Steph Curry and Alperen Sengun are two of those talented stars, and they headline my SGP for tonight.

Check out my Rockets vs. Warriors SGP predictions for Nov. 26, featuring Curry, Sengun and Reed Sheppard.

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Rockets vs. Warriors SGP predictions

Parlay: Curry 25+ points | Sengun over 22.5 points | Sheppard 3+ threes (+340)

Curry 25+ points (-167): Curry is aging like fine wine, putting up 28.8 points per game on 39.9% 3-point shooting.

That’s elite efficiency for a guy who leads the NBA with 12.2 three-point attempts a night.

Plus, he’s on an absolute heater ahead of Wednesday’s contest:

Since returning to the lineup on Nov. 11, Curry is averaging 31.1 points and is 5-2 against this line.

During that time, he had two 40-point performances.

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The volume is also encouraging as he took 20.7 shots and 13.3 threes per game over that stretch.

If he’s going to continue shooting close to 50% from the field and 40% from 3, this first leg should be stress-free.

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NBA SGP legs

Sengun over 22.5 points (-134): The Warriors are an above-average defensive team, but they lack the size down low to contain elite bigs.

In fact, they allow the fifth most points per game to opposing centres (24.49), per Fantasy Pros.

Draymond Green is aging while being undersized, and centres Quentin Post and Trayce Jackson-Davis aren’t yet ready to provide big minutes.

That brings me to Sengun, who is emerging as one of the most talented bigs in the NBA.

He’s scoring 22.4 points per game on a blistering 44.2% from 3.

The other positive is that he’s played 30+ minutes in all but one game this season. This should be another close game, meaning lots of time and opportunity for Sengun.

In the past eight games, he’s 5-3 against this line.

-> Back Curry and Sengun on Wednesday night

Sheppard 3+ threes (-190): Following a disappointing rookie season, Sheppard has improved a lot in Year 2, allowing him to become a staple on a championship contender.

The sophomore plays 24.1 minutes per game and is a sharpshooter. He takes 5.8 threes per night and hits them at a 47.1% clip.

So when the volume’s there, there’s a good chance he’s nailing a handful of 3-pointers.

With Durant sidelined tonight, more looks will open up for Sheppard, and that potential increase in volume has me confident he can knock down a few from beyond the arc.

Rockets vs. Warriors SGP made at 2:17 p.m. on Nov. 26, 2025.

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Pacers vs. Raptors prop picks Nov. 26: Expect Scottie Barnes to fill the stat sheet

The Toronto Raptors aim for a ninth straight win when they play the struggling Indiana Pacers on Wednesday.

The latest: Toronto sits second in the Eastern Conference with a 13-5 record to this point. Indiana is on the opposite end, starting with a 2-15 record after making the NBA Finals last season. The Raptors are 10.5-point favourites to extend their win streak at home.

Check out these Pacers vs. Raptors prop picks for the game on Nov. 26, featuring Jakob Poeltl and Scottie Barnes.

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Pacers vs. Raptors prop picks

Best bet: Poeltl over 12.5 points (-106)

Poeltl isn’t the first, second or even third option for Toronto, but he has shown the ability to clear this point total consistently.

He’s gone under in two straight but shot a combined 4-for-5 in those two games. So, it wasn’t an efficiency issue but rather a lack of volume.

Before that, he scored at least 12 points in six straight games.

The big man shoots an incredible 73.8% from the field, which is a big reason why he’s able to rack up points without many looks.

-> Full Pacers vs. Raptors props at NorthStar Bets

On top of that, he has a great matchup to do damage on Wednesday.

The Pacers allow the sixth most points per game to centres (24.42), per Fantasy Pros.

Poeltl torched them last time out. On Nov. 15, he had 22 points in 25 minutes while missing only one shot.

He missed eight free throws in that contest, so he left a ton of production on the table.

Indiana lacks a true centre, and given the opportunity, Poeltl should smash this total.

Key stat: Poeltl is 5-1 against this wager vs. Indiana since the start of 2024.

-> Wager on Monday’s nine-game NBA slate

Additional NBA prop predictions

Barnes over 7.5 rebounds (-130): Indiana is not a good team on the glass, ranking in the bottom eight in rebounding rate (48.5%). It also gives up the second most rebounds per game (59.1).

That’s where I expect Barnes to shine. He is averaging 7.8 rebounds per game with eight double-doubles this season.

-> Bet on Barnes and Poeltl here!

When the Raptors played the Pacers earlier this month, Barnes scored 14 points and grabbed 11 rebounds.

He ranks second on the Raptors behind Poeltl with 12.1 rebound chances per game. No one else on Toronto averages more than 10.

I expect him to have another strong performance on the glass against a Pacers team that lacks size in the frontcourt.

Pacers vs. Raptors prop picks made at 10:18 a.m. ET on Nov. 26, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 26: Back guards Fox, Booker and Ball go off

There are nine NBA games tonight, preceding Thursday’s league-wide off day for American Thanksgiving. I’ve got three prop bets on three of them.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Devin Booker has kept the Phoenix Suns competitive this year, and he’s got a great matchup against the Sacramento Kings. Elsewhere, look for De’Aaron Fox to keep producing with Victor Wembanyama sidelined.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 26, which include a prediction on LaMelo Ball.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 25

Best bet: Booker over 28.5 points (-130)

This is a big number, but it’s one Booker is more than capable of clearing — especially against Sacramento.

The guard is Phoenix’s clear-cut No. 1 option following the departure of Kevin Durant.

Booker is averaging 26.8 points while taking 18.8 shots a night. That 46.9 FG% isn’t super efficient, but I’m more interested in volume with this matchup.

On top of that, Grayson Allen (quadriceps) is out. He’s third in scoring (18.5/game) and FGA (13.3/game) on Phoenix.

-> Bet on Devin Booker vs. the Kings tonight!

Sacramento has the second-worst mid-range defence in basketball, allowing opponents to shoot 51.1% from that area of the court, according to Cleaning the Glass.

Booker is, and always has been, a mid-range assassin. He takes 54% of his shots from the mid-range, which ranks in the 100th percentile for all guards.

He went to work against the Kings in October, scoring 31 points on 52.6% shooting.

I expect a repeat performance tonight.

Key stat: Sacramento has the fifth-worst defensive rating (119.9) in the NBA.

Best NBA picks

Fox over 24.5 points (-118): No Wembanyama, and no Stephon Castle? No problem.

Fox has led the Spurs to a 3-1 record without Wemby and Castle, averaging 26.5 PPG and going 4-0 against this line.

-> Back De’Aaron Fox to fill the basket!

He should be leaned on again as San Antonio takes on the Portland Trail Blazers.

The Blazers are a 1.5-point home favourite, but have gotten lit up by point guards all season. They are allowing the second-most PPG to that position per Fantasy Pros.

Fox is also shooting a respectable 38.0% from deep, and Portland has a bottom-10 three-point defence (36.9%).

NBA player prop predictions

Ball over 2.5 threes (-154): I don’t usually like playing props at this price, but think it’s well worth it here.

Ball is ice cold from deep, averaging 1.6 threes on 7.8 attempts this month (20.5%). But he’s consistently putting up shots, even with the emergence of Kon Knueppel, which is key for this wager.

Last year, Ball averaged 3.8 threes on a league-high 11.2 attempts per game. I doubt he’ll finish with numbers like that, but it’s even more unlikely he’ll keep playing like this.

-> Bet on Wednesday’s 9-game NBA slate

Tonight’s matchup against the New York Knicks is a good opportunity for Ball to start trending in a positive direction.

The Knicks have a bottom-five perimeter defence (38.4%) and allow the third most 3s per game (15.2).

Ball has cashed this wager in four of his last five games against New York, averaging 4.8 threes on 45.8% shooting.

NBA prop picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 26, 2025.

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Pacers vs. Raptors prop picks Nov. 26: Expect Scottie Barnes to fill the stat sheet

The Toronto Raptors aim for a ninth straight win when they play the struggling Indiana Pacers on Wednesday.

The latest: Toronto sits second in the Eastern Conference with a 13-5 record to this point. Indiana is on the opposite end, starting with a 2-15 record after making the NBA Finals last season. The Raptors are 10.5-point favourites to extend their win streak at home.

Check out these Pacers vs. Raptors prop picks for the game on Nov. 26, featuring Jakob Poeltl and Scottie Barnes.

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Pacers vs. Raptors prop picks

Best bet: Poeltl over 12.5 points (-112)

Poeltl isn’t the first, second or even third option for Toronto, but he has shown the ability to clear this point total consistently.

He’s gone under in two straight but shot a combined 4-for-5 in those two games. So, it wasn’t an efficiency issue but rather a lack of volume.

Before that, he scored at least 12 points in six straight games.

The big man shoots an incredible 73.8% from the field, which is a big reason why he’s able to rack up points without many looks.

-> Full Pacers vs. Raptors props at NorthStar Bets

On top of that, he has a great matchup to do damage on Wednesday.

The Pacers allow the sixth most points per game to centres (24.42), per Fantasy Pros.

Poeltl torched them last time out. On Nov. 15, he had 22 points in 25 minutes while missing only one shot.

He missed eight free throws in that contest, so he left a ton of production on the table.

Indiana lacks a true centre, and given the opportunity, Poeltl should smash this total.

Key stat: Poeltl is 5-1 against this wager vs. Indiana since the start of 2024.

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-> Wager on Monday’s nine-game NBA slate

Additional NBA prop predictions

Barnes double-double (+160): The versatile forward has scored 10+ points in every game but one this season, so that part of this wager doesn’t worry me.

Additionally, Indiana is not a good team on the glass, ranking in the bottom eight in rebounding rate (48.5%). It also gives up the second most rebounds per game (59.1).

That’s where I expect Barnes to shine. He is averaging 7.8 rebounds per game with eight double-doubles this season.

-> Bet on Barnes and Poeltl here!

When the Raptors played the Pacers earlier this month, Barnes scored 14 points and grabbed 11 rebounds.

He ranks second on the Raptors behind Poeltl with 12.1 rebound chances per game. No one else on Toronto averages more than 10.

I expect him to have another strong performance on the glass against a Pacers team that lacks size in the frontcourt.

Pacers vs. Raptors prop picks made at 10:18 a.m. ET on Nov. 26, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 26: Back guards Fox, Booker and Ball go off

There are nine NBA games tonight, preceding Thursday’s league-wide off day for American Thanksgiving. I’ve got three prop bets on three of them.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Devin Booker has kept the Phoenix Suns competitive this year, and he’s got a great matchup against the Sacramento Kings. Elsewhere, look for De’Aaron Fox to keep producing with Victor Wembanyama sidelined.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 26, which include a prediction on LaMelo Ball.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 25

Best bet: Booker over 28.5 points (-112)

This is a big number, but it’s one Booker is more than capable of clearing — especially against Sacramento.

The guard is Phoenix’s clear-cut No. 1 option following the departure of Kevin Durant.

Booker is averaging 26.8 points while taking 18.8 shots a night. That 46.9 FG% isn’t super efficient, but I’m more interested in volume with this matchup.

On top of that, Grayson Allen (quadriceps) is out. He’s third in scoring (18.5/game) and FGA (13.3/game) on Phoenix.

-> Bet on Devin Booker vs. the Kings tonight!

Sacramento has the second-worst mid-range defence in basketball, allowing opponents to shoot 51.1% from that area of the court, according to Cleaning the Glass.

Booker is, and always has been, a mid-range assassin. He takes 54% of his shots from the mid-range, which ranks in the 100th percentile for all guards.

He went to work against the Kings in October, scoring 31 points on 52.6% shooting.

I expect a repeat performance tonight.

Key stat: Sacramento has the fifth-worst defensive rating (119.9) in the NBA.

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Best NBA picks

Fox over 23.5 points (-130): No Wembanyama, and no Stephon Castle? No problem.

Fox has led the Spurs to a 3-1 record without Wemby and Castle, averaging 26.5 PPG and going 4-0 against this line.

-> Back De’Aaron Fox to fill the basket!

He should be leaned on again as San Antonio takes on the Portland Trail Blazers.

The Blazers are a 1.5-point home favourite, but have gotten lit up by point guards all season. They are allowing the second-most PPG to that position per Fantasy Pros.

Fox is also shooting a respectable 38.0% from deep, and Portland has a bottom-10 three-point defence (36.9%).

NBA player prop predictions

Ball over 2.5 threes (-143): I don’t usually like playing props at this price, but think it’s well worth it here.

Ball is ice cold from deep, averaging 1.6 threes on 7.8 attempts this month (20.5%). But he’s consistently putting up shots, even with the emergence of Kon Knueppel, which is key for this wager.

Last year, Ball averaged 3.8 threes on a league-high 11.2 attempts per game. I doubt he’ll finish with numbers like that, but it’s even more unlikely he’ll keep playing like this.

-> Bet on Wednesday’s 9-game NBA slate

Tonight’s matchup against the New York Knicks is a good opportunity for Ball to start trending in a positive direction.

The Knicks have a bottom-five perimeter defence (38.4%) and allow the third most 3s per game (15.2).

Ball has cashed this wager in four of his last five games against New York, averaging 4.8 threes on 45.8% shooting.

NBA prop picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 26, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 25: Bet on LeBron James, Jalen Suggs to excel on Tuesday

LeBron James, an NBA mega star, headlines Tuesday’s NBA prop picks.

Today’s NBA props narrative: LeBron started the year on the sidelines but is finally ramping up for the Lakers. His squad hosts the struggling Los Angeles Clippers at Crypto.com Arena.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 25, which include a prediction on Jalen Suggs.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 25

Best bet: LeBron over 21.5 points (-118)

Year 23 for No. 23 got off to a rocky start, as he missed the Lakers’ first 14 games due to sciatica.

He wasn’t back to full strength right away, but I feel like we have to be getting close.

LeBron debuted on Nov. 18 and played again on Sunday. Here’s how those games went:

Nov. 18 (vs. Jazz): 30 minutes, 4-of-7 shooting, 1-for-4 free throws, 11 points

Nov. 23 (at Jazz): 34 minutes, 8-of-18 shooting, 1-for-2 free throws, 17 points

As you can see, the minutes totals were solid in both games, while the shot volume went way up from one game to the next. If LeBron takes 18 shots again tonight, I love the chances of this bet cashing.

-> Bet on LeBron James vs. the Clippers tonight!

It would also be nice to see the 21-time all-star get to the free throw line a bit more.

That’s not as much a part of his game as it was in his younger days, but he’s still averaging 5.8 attempts and 72.8% shooting from the line since joining the Lakers in 2019-20.

Tonight’s opponents, the Clippers, rank 25th in defensive rating. That makes this a plus matchup, but it’s not really about that.

It’s about a titan of the sport who has averaged more than 20.0 points in each of his first 22 seasons. Once he settles in, I don’t expect his line to stay this low.

Key stat: Last year, including playoffs, LeBron scored 22+ points in 45 of 75 games (60.0%).

Best NBA picks

Suggs over 4.5 assists (-163): Orlando spreads the passing duties around fairly evenly, evidenced by the fact that four players are averaging between 4.0 and 4.6 assists this season.

Suggs (4.6 APG) is on the high end of that quartet, and I like his chances of going at least that high tonight.

-> Back Jalen Suggs in Philadelphia!

Paolo Banchero (4.1 APG) is out, which removes one facilitation contender from the equation. In four games without Banchero this year, Suggs is 3-1 vs. this prop.

Also, the 76ers allow the most assists per game to opposing point guards (9.97), according to Fantasy Pros. So if there was a time for Suggs to shine as a passer, this is it.

NBA prop picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 25, 2025.

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Clippers vs. Lakers SGP predictions Nov. 25: Back LeBron from deep, Zubac on the glass

The Battle of Los Angeles is renewed on Tuesday night, with two franchises heading in drastically different directions.

The pregame narrative: The Lakers (12-4) are humming while the Clippers (5-12) appear to be gearing up for the draft lottery — without owning their first-round pick. Kawhi Leonard is back in the lineup, but his squad is a 6.5-point road dog against LeBron James and Co.

Check out my Clippers vs. Lakers SGP predictions for Nov. 25, featuring LeBron and Ivica Zubac.

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Clippers vs. Lakers predictions

Parlay: Clippers +10.5 | LeBron 2+ threes | Zubac 10+ rebounds (+280)

Clippers +10.5 (-240): The Lakers are performing, especially at home, but I think there’s value on the Clippers on this alternate spread.

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Leonard makes a world of difference in how his team performs. The Clippers are 29-15 with him in the lineup since the start of last season (3-4 this year), covering a +10.5 spread in 86.3% of those contests.

James Harden is also playing elite ball right now, averaging north of 30 points this month while shooting 40.3% from deep.

I think that duo can keep this within reach, especially as JJ Redick navigates the best ways to use LeBron in this lineup.

The veteran forward was an ugly -14 on Sunday when L.A. failed to cover. His defence has really fallen off, and I think the Clippers can take advantage of that.

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NBA SGP legs

LeBron 2+ threes (-129): LeBron is just getting the wheels turning in his 23rd season after missing the first month with sciatic nerve discomfort.

The King has logged 30-plus minutes in both games so far, going 1-1 against this line.

I won’t put much stock into the results, but I am encouraged to see his offensive usage.

LeBron took 18 shots on Sunday (went 0-4 from deep), second only to Luka Doncic, and he should keep firing tonight against the Clippers.

L.A. is a bottom-10 team in defensive rating and has the fourth-worst perimeter defence (38.6%) in the NBA.

LeBron averaged north of two 3s per game in each of his prior seven seasons with the Lakers, and I expect him to get back to that number this year.

-> Back LeBron and Zubac on Tuesday night

Zubac 10+ rebounds (-175): This feels like a good time to back Zubac on the glass.

Deandre Ayton is out, leaving the Lakers’ frontcourt relatively undersized.

Jaxson Hayes is the lone 7-footer in the active lineup, but he plays less than 20 minutes a night. LeBron, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura and new signee Drew Timme all stand between 6-foot-8 and 6-foot-9, but that shouldn’t be an issue for Zubac.

The Croatian centre is averaging the most rebounds in November (12.8) and has cleared this mark in 11 of his last 14 games.

He had double-digit boards in all four games against the Lakers last year.

Clippers vs. Lakers predictions made at 10:30 a.m. on Nov. 25, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 25: Bet on LeBron James, Joel Embiid to hit 20-point milestone

Two NBA mega stars, LeBron James and Joel Embiid, headline Tuesday’s NBA prop picks.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Embiid isn’t playing frequently enough to be viewed as a star this season, but he’s still an effective scorer when he gets on the court. LeBron, meanwhile, started the year on the sidelines but is finally ramping up for the Lakers.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 25, which include a prediction on Jalen Suggs.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 25

Best bet: LeBron over 19.5 points (-123)

Year 23 for No. 23 got off to a rocky start, as he missed the Lakers’ first 14 games due to sciatica.

He wasn’t back to full strength right away, but I feel like we have to be getting close.

LeBron debuted on Nov. 18 and played again on Sunday. Here’s how those games went:

Nov. 18 (vs. Jazz): 30 minutes, 4-of-7 shooting, 1-for-4 free throws, 11 points

Nov. 23 (at Jazz): 34 minutes, 8-of-18 shooting, 1-for-2 free throws, 17 points

As you can see, the minutes totals were solid in both games, while the shot volume went way up from one game to the next. If LeBron takes 18 shots again tonight, I love the chances of this bet cashing.

-> Bet on LeBron James vs. the Clippers tonight!

It would also be nice to see the 21-time all-star get to the free throw line a bit more.

That’s not as much a part of his game as it was in his younger days, but he’s still averaging 5.8 attempts and 72.8% shooting from the line since joining the Lakers in 2019-20.

Tonight’s opponents, the Clippers, rank 25th in defensive rating. That makes this a plus matchup, but it’s not really about that.

It’s about a titan of the sport who has averaged more than 20.0 points in each of his first 22 seasons. Once he settles in, I don’t expect his line to stay this low.

Key stat: Last year, including playoffs, LeBron scored 20+ points in 53 of 75 games (70.7%).

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Best NBA picks

Embiid 20+ points (+117): Embiid, who might as well own property on the NBA injury report, is listed as questionable (knee) for tonight’s Magic/76ers game.

The two-time scoring champ has only played in six of Philadelphia’s 16 games so far, and he’s missed each of the past seven.

-> Bet on Tuesday’s 3-game NBA slate

With that in mind, it’s difficult to know exactly what we’ll see from Embiid. But if he does play, I expect the floor for his production to be pretty high.

Embiid has played 20+ minutes in all six games.

He’s averaging 14.5 field goal attempts and 5.8 free throw attempts so far.

Embiid had a 1-for-9 dud on opening night, but he has 20+ points in all five games since then.

We might never see the walking 30-piece version of Embiid again. But if he’s on the court, I still love his chances for 20 or more.

NBA player prop predictions

Suggs over 5.5 assists (+117): Orlando spreads the passing duties around fairly evenly, evidenced by the fact that four players are averaging between 4.0 and 4.6 assists this season.

Suggs (4.6 APG) is on the high end of that quartet, and I like his chances of going even higher tonight.

-> Back Jalen Suggs at plus money in Philadelphia!

Paolo Banchero (4.1 APG) is out, which removes one facilitation contender from the equation. In four games without Banchero this year, Suggs is 3-1 vs. this prop.

Also, the 76ers allow the most assists per game to opposing point guards (9.97), according to Fantasy Pros. So if there was a time for Suggs to shine as a passer, this is it.

NBA prop picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 25, 2025.

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Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP predictions Nov. 24: Expect Minnesota to cover, Julius Randle to score in bunches

The Minnesota Timberwolves already have two dominant wins over the Sacramento Kings this season, and they’ll try for another one on Monday night.

The pregame narrative: Minnesota has a pair of wins against Sacramento by a combined 41 points this month. In their third meeting in just 16 days, the Timberwolves are 9.5-point road favourites.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP predictions for Nov. 24, featuring Julius Randle and Keegan Murray.

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Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP

Parlay: Timberwolves -9.5 | Randle 20+ points | Murray 2+ threes (+375)

Timberwolves -9.5 (-109): I rarely take a standard spread in a same-game parlay, opting instead for something safer.

But I want no part of the Kings right now, and this is a perfectly attainable margin for Minnesota to win by.

After all, the T-wolves covered this spread in both previous matchups vs. the Kings this month — including a 27-point win in Sacramento on Nov. 9.

-> Build your Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP at NorthStar Bets

Sacramento is coming off an inexplicable win over the Denver Nuggets (sans Aaron Gordon, mind you), but the team had lost eight in a row by 14-plus points before that.

Also, the Kings won’t have their best player, Domantas Sabonis, tonight.

Sabonis posted a double-double in both previous games against Minnesota, which includes a 34-point, 11-rebound effort in their most recent matchup.

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NBA SGP legs

Randle 20+ points (-130): It’s still pretty early, but Randle is off to the best shooting start of his 12-year career.

The 31-year-old has posted a 57.7% effective field goal percentage through 16 games, which is on track to be a career-high rate. He’s averaging 24.7 points, which would be his second-best mark.

Last time out vs. the Kings, Randle shot 9-of-16 from the floor and finished with 26 points.

-> Back Randle to score big vs. the Kings on Monday

He’s 11-5 vs. this scoring milestone this season and has finished with exactly 19 points in four of the unders.

In five games vs. Sacramento since joining the T-wolves, Randle is 4-1 against this milestone while averaging 25.0 PPG.

Murray 2+ threes (-186): Murray debuted two games ago after missing a big chunk of the season with a torn ligament in his thumb. Now he’s healthy and firing away from 3-point land.

In his first two games of the season, Murray has gone 4-for-14 from deep. Not ideal efficiency, but the volume is nice to see.

He averaged 2.3 made 3s on 6.3 attempts through his first three seasons in the NBA.

Malik Monk has pulled back his 3-point shooting this year, and De’Aaron Fox is obviously not around anymore. It’s up to Murray and Zach LaVine to carry the offence from the perimeter.

Last season, Murray cashed this bet in 46 of 76 games (60.5%). That includes both home matchups against the Timberwolves, during which he shot 7-for-17 from deep.

Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP made at 1:22 p.m. ET Nov. 24, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 24: Donovan Clingan, Jamal Murray have compelling matchups

I’m backing Jamal Murray and a pair of bigs on Monday night in the NBA prop market.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Murray hasn’t had a ton of huge scoring outputs this season, but his perimeter shooting has ticked up lately, and he has an exploitable matchup tonight. Elsewhere, Alperen Sengun and Donovan Clingan should take advantage of key absences in their games.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 24.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 24

Best bet: Clingan over 10.5 rebounds (+100)

The Giannis-sized absence in tonight’s Blazers/Bucks game should be particularly notable when Clingan is around the ball.

If both players were healthy, there’d surely be a ton of low-post battles for rebounds between the big men. But with Giannis sitting out due to a groin strain, I expect that battle to be rather one-sided.

Yes, the Bucks have other bigs, led by the 6-foot-11 Myles Turner and the 6-foot-10 Bobby Portis. But neither of those players is known for grabbing a boatload of boards.

Turner and Portis average 6.4 rebounds and 5.8 rebounds, respectively. They’ve played 17 games apiece and have just one 10-rebound performance between the two of them.

-> Bet on Donovan Clingan vs. the Bucks tonight!

Clingan, at 7-foot-2 and 280 pounds, will have the size advantage over everyone tonight. Giannis would’ve had the athleticism advantage, but we don’t have to worry about that.

Just last week, Clingan exploded for 21 rebounds against the Chicago Bulls. He’s averaging 11.4 RPG over his past seven games.

Giannis has missed four games so far, and at least one opposing player has 10+ rebounds in three of those four games. Clingan should be next up.

Key stat: Clingan has a 57.7% success rate on contested rebounds, which ranks ninth out of 379 players (min. five games played), per NBA.com.

Best NBA picks

Sengun over 24.5 points (-106): The Phoenix Suns seem like a good matchup for Kevin Durant, given his affinity for midrange shots. With Durant (personal) out tonight, Sengun seems like the logical player to pick up the slack.

According to Cleaning The Glass, the Suns allow the 10th-most midrange shots and the 12th-highest FG% from the midrange.

Sengun attempts 46% of his shots from the midrange, which ranks in the 96th percentile among centres.

-> Bet on Monday’s 10-game NBA slate

Durant leads the Rockets in shot attempts (17.1/game), and Sengun sits closely behind him (16.6/game). So it makes sense to expect Sengun’s shot volume to climb on Monday.

The Turkish centre had a relatively quiet showing last time out against Nikola Jokic’s Denver Nuggets, but he’d cashed this bet in three straight games before that.

NBA player prop predictions

Murray over 23.5 points (-112): Murray is only 4-11 vs. this points prop this season, which makes this seem like a tough sell. But he’s been oh-so-close a bunch of times.

The Kitchener, Ontario native has finished with 22 or 23 points in six of the 11 unders. With the right matchup, this point total is one he can absolutely exceed.

-> Back Kitchener’s Jamal Murray against Memphis on Monday!

Murray will get such a matchup tonight against the Memphis Grizzlies, who allow the fourth-most points to opposing point guards (28.84), per Fantasy Pros.

The last time Murray played at Memphis, which was November of last season, he shot 5-for-10 from 3-point range en route to scoring 27 points.

The ninth-year vet is heating up from deep again, posting a 40.7 3PT% over his past eight games.

NBA prop picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 24, 2025.

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