Category: MLB

Dodgers vs. Mariners SGP predictions Sept. 26: Bet on Shohei Ohtani at +420

Dodgers vs. Mariners predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers close their regular season with a series against the Seattle Mariners.

The pregame narrative: Both teams have clinched their divisions, but Seattle still has a shot at the top spot in the American League. The Mariners will send out George Kirby to counter Emmet Sheehan for Los Angeles.

See why I like L.A. to win and Shohei Ohtani to do damage in my Dodgers vs. Mariners SGP predictions for Sept. 26.

Dodgers vs. Mariners predictions

Parlay: Dodgers ML | Ohtani over 1.5 total bases | Sheehan over 5.5 Ks (+420)

Dodgers ML (+114): This will be a hard sell against the Mariners, who are on a monumental heater.

Seattle has lost just once in the past 17 games and is now one game behind the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees for the top seed in the AL.

But if there’s any team that’s capable of busting a streak, it’s the Dodgers.

  • They will start Sheehan tonight, and the 25-year-old is shaping into another stud in the rotation for L.A. More on him later.
  • Plus, the offence is still elite, scoring the second-most runs per game (5.1).

On most nights, the Dodgers hold an advantage on offence and with pitching, so that always makes this an intriguing pick at plus money.

Kirby is no slouch, but he’s been a lot less consistent than Sheehan. Seattle’s starter is coming off a great outing (6.0 IP, no runs), but that’s an outlier compared to other recent performances.

Including that start, Kirby has a 5.50 ERA over his last seven games.

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MLB SGP legs

Ohtani over 1.5 total bases (+104): I’m betting this as a solo play as well, but why not add it into the SGP to boost the value?

Ohtani is a strong candidate to clear this mark every game. So when the matchup is right, I don’t hesitate to jump on board.

And Ohtani has a good one here.

  • In 18 career plate appearances vs. Kirby, Ohtani has six hits with only two strikeouts.
  • One of those hits was a double, and another left the park for a home run.
  • The other good news is Kirby hardly hands out free passes (5.6% walk rate), which counters Ohtani’s 97th-percentile walk rate. There’s only been one walk in this matchup.

That all goes before mentioning Ohtani’s power surge. He’s slugging .745 over the past 12 games, going 9-3 against this wager.

Sheehan over 5.5 Ks (-150): Now, let me finally focus on the Dodgers’ advantage on the mound.

Sheehan comes into this game pitching lights out.

  • He has a 2.86 ERA in 72.1 innings this season and is getting better with time.
  • Over his last six starts, he has a 1.93 ERA with an 11.9 K/9.
  • Sheehan has reached double-digit Ks twice and is 6-0 on this wager over that span.

The Mariners’ offence is a wagon right now, but they can still be prone to striking out. They average 8.84 strikeouts per game, which is sixth-most in MLB.

Dodgers vs. Mariners predictions made at 10:35 a.m. ET on 09/26/2025.

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Rays vs. Blue Jays picks and predictions Sept. 26: Fade Guerrero vs. Houser, bet the under on total runs

Blue Jays picks

The Toronto Blue Jays embark on their final regular-season series, with the Tampa Bay Rays in town for a three-game set.

The pregame narrative: Toronto controls its own destiny in the AL East, but only a tiebreaker separates the Jays from the New York Yankees for a first-round bye. Shane Bieber starts on Friday after being pushed back a day.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Rays for Sept. 26, featuring a prop bet on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox

Best bet: Guerrero under 1.5 total bases (-143)

I’m going with unders only in today’s predictions, starting with a slugger in a power outage.

Guerrero was blazing hot to begin September, with 17 hits in his first seven games. Only five of those went for extra bases, though, so he was clearing his bases prop on volume more than anything.

Since then, his bat has really cooled off. Check out his production over the past 15 games:

  • 12-for-56 (.214)
  • .232 SLG
  • 1 extra-base hit

Guerrero doesn’t have an extra-base hit since Sept. 7. And it’s been three full weeks since he hit a home run.

Now he faces Tampa Bay’s Houser, a pitch-to-contact guy who excels at coaxing soft contact and ground balls. Houser has an 82nd-percentile barrel rate and an 80th-percentile ground ball rate, per Baseball Savant.

Guerrero isn’t much of a strikeout candidate against Houser, but if he fails to get any lift-off on the ball, this under will be very much in play.

Key stat: Guerrero is 1-for-11 with a walk, a strikeout and zero extra-base hits vs. Houser.

Jays predictions

Under 8 runs (-112): Toronto’s offence sprang to life a little bit on Thursday in a 6-1 win, but the bats have been awfully quiet in recent games.

  • Over the past three weeks, the Jays have collectively batted .226 with a 77 wRC+ (24th in MLB).
  • This under is 12-5-2 in that span.

Both starters have sub-3.60 ERAs and sub-4.00 FIPs, so there’s competence on both sides.

In their head-to-head matchups this season, Toronto and Tampa Bay have gone under this total in six of 10 games. The average total in their past seven matchups is 6.0 runs.

Blue Jays picks made at 11:30 a.m. ET on 09/26/2025.

Rays vs. Blue Jays picks and predictions Sept. 26: Fade Guerrero vs. Houser, bet the under on total runs

Blue Jays picks

The Toronto Blue Jays embark on their final regular-season series, with the Tampa Bay Rays in town for a three-game set.

The pregame narrative: Toronto controls its own destiny in the AL East, but only a tiebreaker separates the Jays from the New York Yankees for a first-round bye. Shane Bieber starts on Friday after being pushed back a day.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Rays for Sept. 26, featuring prop bets on Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Brandon Lowe and Adrian Houser.

Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox

Best bet: Guerrero under 1.5 total bases (-129)

I’m going with unders only in today’s predictions, starting with a slugger in a power outage.

Guerrero was blazing hot to begin September, with 17 hits in his first seven games. Only five of those went for extra bases, though, so he was clearing his bases prop on volume more than anything.

Since then, his bat has really cooled off. Check out his production over the past 15 games:

  • 12-for-56 (.214)
  • .232 SLG
  • 1 extra-base hit

Guerrero doesn’t have an extra-base hit since Sept. 7. And it’s been three full weeks since he hit a home run.

Now he faces Tampa Bay’s Houser, a pitch-to-contact guy who excels at coaxing soft contact and ground balls. Houser has an 82nd-percentile barrel rate and an 80th-percentile ground ball rate, per Baseball Savant.

Guerrero isn’t much of a strikeout candidate against Houser, but if he fails to get any lift-off on the ball, this under will be very much in play.

Key stat: Guerrero is 1-for-11 with a walk, a strikeout and zero extra-base hits vs. Houser.

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Jays prop predictions

Parlay: Lowe under 1.5 bases, Houser under 3.5 Ks (+138): Both of these props are priced in the -170 to -190 range, which is shorter than I tend to recommend as a standalone. So why not put them together?

  • Lowe has gone under 1.5 total bases in 11 of his past 17 games. He’s batting .217 with a .639 OPS in that span.
  • Lowe has gone 1-for-10 with six strikeouts and a walk vs. Bieber. Also, Bieber has been extremely tough on left-handed batters so far this season, holding them to a .127/.167/.190 slash line.

As for Houser, he’s coming off back-to-back starts in which he tallied just two strikeouts apiece (over 12.0 innings).

A 3.5-strikeout line is very low, but I faded Boston starter Brayan Bello at that number yesterday and cashed.

Toronto has the lowest K rate in the majors (17.7%), after all. And the Jays’ active lineup has a 9.8% K rate against Houser in 82 plate appearances.

Under 8 runs (-107): Toronto’s offence sprang to life a little bit on Thursday in a 6-1 win, but the bats have been awfully quiet in recent games.

  • Over the past three weeks, the Jays have collectively batted .226 with a 77 wRC+ (24th in MLB).
  • This under is 12-5-2 in that span.

Both starters have sub-3.60 ERAs and sub-4.00 FIPs, so there’s competence on both sides.

In their head-to-head matchups this season, Toronto and Tampa Bay have gone under this total in six of 10 games. The average total in their past seven matchups is 6.0 runs.

Blue Jays picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on 09/26/2025.

Best MLB prop bets Sept. 25: Target Lindor, Lorenzen, Rodriguez on Thursday

MLB prop bets

Two star hitters and one starting pitcher contribute to my MLB prop bets for Thursday.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Francisco Lindor is on a bit of a tear right now. He’s batting leadoff for the New York Mets tonight, and they have a good shot to pile up some runs. Elsewhere, look for Julio Rodriguez to have a strong performance against the Colorado Rockies.

Check out how I’m betting on them in the best MLB prop bets for Sept. 25, featuring a pick on Michael Lorenzen.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Lindor to score (-112)

I’m bullish on a few hitters in New York’s lineup. That gives Lindor value to score a run as the leadoff man.

  • Juan Soto is raking right now. He hits second behind Lindor and has a .363 average and 1.250 OPS over his last 24 games.
  • Pete Alonso is an RBI machine. He ranks third in MLB with 123 RBI and has at least one hit in nine of his past 10 games.
  • Lindor benefits the most from Soto and Alonso’s production. Before going hitless yesterday, Lindor was on an 11-game hit streak. He scored 15 times and went 9-2 against this wager.

Shota Imanaga starts for the Chicago Cubs, and he’s been showing cracks recently. He’s allowed three or more earned runs in five straight starts (4.66 ERA).

Also, Imanaga has given up 10 home runs over those starts. The heart of the Mets’ order should see a lot of hittable pitches.

Key stat: Lindor has the fourth-most runs scored in MLB (113).

Best MLB picks

Rodriguez 1+ RBI (+110): With Colorado in town, I wanted to get behind one of Seattle’s bats, and Rodriguez makes a lot of sense.

  • He’s really picked it up in the second half. Since the all-star break, Rodriguez has 18 home runs and 45 RBI. Both of those totals rank inside the top 10.
  • On Wednesday he hit a home run, which is one way to cash this wager without any help.

There should be a lot of action on the bases with Bradley Blalock pitching. The righty has a dreadful 9.16 ERA this year and has allowed five or more runs in five straight starts.

Rodriguez should see opportunities to drive in runs hitting third in the order, and I expect him to take full advantage.

Lorenzen over 15.5 outs (-120): I want to focus on the Los Angeles Angels’ history with Lorenzen.

In total, the current offence is 19-for-75 (.253) with a 25.9% K rate.

Nothing mindblowing, but enough to catch my attention based on this modest line.

When Lorenzen pitched against the Angels earlier in September, he worked 6.0 innings, allowing four hits and two runs.

Overall, he’s started 25 games this season and cleared this line 15 times.

In his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays, Lorenzen went 7.2 innings, giving up three hits and one run.

I believe he can build off that momentum against the Angels, who are significantly worse offensively than the Blue Jays.

MLB prop picks made at 12:55 p.m. ET on 09/25/2025.

Best MLB prop bets Sept. 25: Target Lindor, Lorenzen, Rodriguez on Thursday

MLB prop bets

Two star hitters and one starting pitcher contribute to my MLB prop bets for Thursday.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Francisco Lindor is on a bit of a tear right now. He’s batting leadoff for the New York Mets tonight, and they have a good shot to pile up some runs. Elsewhere, look for Julio Rodriguez to have a strong performance against the Colorado Rockies.

Check out how I’m betting on them in the best MLB prop bets for Sept. 25, featuring a pick on Michael Lorenzen.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Lindor to score (+108)

I’m bullish on a few hitters in New York’s lineup. That gives Lindor value to score a run as the leadoff man.

  • Juan Soto is raking right now. He hits second behind Lindor and has a .363 average and 1.250 OPS over his last 24 games.
  • Pete Alonso is an RBI machine. He ranks third in MLB with 123 RBI and has at least one hit in nine of his past 10 games.
  • Lindor benefits the most from Soto and Alonso’s production. Before going hitless yesterday, Lindor was on an 11-game hit streak. He scored 15 times and went 9-2 against this wager.

Shota Imanaga starts for the Chicago Cubs, and he’s been showing cracks recently. He’s allowed three or more earned runs in five straight starts (4.66 ERA).

Also, Imanaga has given up 10 home runs over those starts. The heart of the Mets’ order should see a lot of hittable pitches.

Key stat: Lindor has the fourth-most runs scored in MLB (113).

Embed: #118363

Best MLB picks

Rodriguez 1+ RBI (+128): With Colorado in town, I wanted to get behind one of Seattle’s bats, and Rodriguez makes a lot of sense.

  • He’s really picked it up in the second half. Since the all-star break, Rodriguez has 18 home runs and 45 RBI. Both of those totals rank inside the top 10.
  • On Wednesday he hit a home run, which is one way to cash this wager without any help.

There should be a lot of action on the bases with Bradley Blalock pitching. The righty has a dreadful 9.16 ERA this year and has allowed five or more runs in five straight starts.

Rodriguez should see opportunities to drive in runs hitting third in the order, and I expect him to take full advantage.

Lorenzen over 15.5 outs (-120): I want to focus on the Los Angeles Angels’ history with Lorenzen.

In total, the current offence is 19-for-75 (.253) with a 25.9% K rate.

Nothing mindblowing, but enough to catch my attention based on this modest line.

When Lorenzen pitched against the Angels earlier in September, he worked 6.0 innings, allowing four hits and two runs.

Overall, he’s started 25 games this season and cleared this line 15 times.

In his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays, Lorenzen went 7.2 innings, giving up three hits and one run.

I believe he can build off that momentum against the Angels, who are significantly worse offensively than the Blue Jays.

MLB prop picks made at 12:55 p.m. ET on 09/25/2025.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays picks and predictions Sept. 25: Fade Bello, buy in on to Guerrero bounce back

Blue Jays picks

The scuffling Toronto Blue Jays look to get back in the win column in Thursday night’s series finale against the Boston Red Sox.

The pregame narrative: Toronto dropped the first two games of this series, and its two-game AL East lead vanished in the process. The Jays will start Louis Varland in a bullpen game in hopes of snapping a 1-6 skid.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Red Sox for the Sept. 25 game at Rogers Centre, featuring prop bets on Brayan Bello, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Masataka Yoshida.

Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox

Best bet: Bello under 3.5 Ks (-106)

My colleague Spencer Closs faded Garrett Crochet’s strikeouts prop yesterday and cashed, so let’s go back to that well with Bello on the mound.

Crochet’s line (6.5) was nearly double what Bello is projected for, but they are different types of pitchers. Crochet leads the AL with an 11.2 K/9, while Bello’s K/9 sits at a paltry 6.7.

  • Bello has been particularly light on strikeouts this month, accruing just 13 Ks over four starts. He’s 2-2 vs. this prop, but both overs landed on exactly four Ks.
  • Toronto has seen plenty of Bello, which should be a boon for the lineup. The Jays have a 20.0 K% against him in 145 plate appearances. For context, the average K rate this year is 22.1%.
  • Bello has a 13th-percentile whiff rate and a 17th-percentile strikeout rate, per Baseball Savant.

Toronto will be a tough matchup for Bello in the strikeout department, and not just because they know the right-hander well.

The Jays have the lowest K rate in the majors (17.7%), the lowest whiff rate (21.5%) and the highest contact rate on out-of-zone pitches.

After Crochet went 8.0 innings last night, the Red Sox have a rested bullpen. They could opt for a quick hook on Bello, which would only serve to lessen his strikeout opportunities.

Key stat: Bello had just one strikeout in his lone start vs. the Blue Jays this season (6.0 IP, eight hits, three runs).

Jays prop predictions

Guerrero over 1.5 total bases (+110): Guerrero is 0-for-6 in this series, but his track record against Bello has me interested in buying a turnaround.

  • Guerrero is 11-for-27 (.407) with two home runs and four doubles vs. Bello.
  • Vladdy is 7-3 against this prop in Bello’s 10 career starts when facing Toronto.

After batting 21-for-41 (.512) in his first 10 games this month, Guerrero is 7-for-41 (.171) in his past 11. It’s time for the pendulum to swing back the other way.

Guerrero still boasts a 100th-percentile xBA (.320) and a 93rd-percentile xSLG (.530).

Yoshida over 1.5 hits/runs/RBI (+105): I was a day early backing Yoshida to notch an RBI in Tuesday’s series opener. He had an RBI double and a solo homer last night.

That continued a torrid stretch for the cleanup hitter, who still has value on both of these prop markets Thursday.

Yoshida is batting .406 over his past eight games, notching six multi-hit performances. He’s 7-1 vs. this prop in that span.

With a sub-.400 SLG on the season, I don’t expect this hot streak to last for long. But while it’s here, I think these are playable prices to back the designated hitter.

Blue Jays picks made at 1:30 p.m. ET on 09/25/2025.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays picks and predictions Sept. 25: Fade Bello, buy in on to Guerrero bounce back

Blue Jays picks

The scuffling Toronto Blue Jays look to get back in the win column in Thursday night’s series finale against the Boston Red Sox.

The pregame narrative: Toronto dropped the first two games of this series, and its two-game AL East lead vanished in the process. The Jays will start Louis Varland in a bullpen game in hopes of snapping a 1-6 skid.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Red Sox for the Sept. 25 game at Rogers Centre, featuring prop bets on Brayan Bello, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Masataka Yoshida.

Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox

Best bet: Bello under 3.5 Ks (-115)

My colleague Spencer Closs faded Garrett Crochet’s strikeouts prop yesterday and cashed, so let’s go back to that well with Bello on the mound.

Crochet’s line (6.5) was nearly double what Bello is projected for, but they are different types of pitchers. Crochet leads the AL with an 11.2 K/9, while Bello’s K/9 sits at a paltry 6.7.

  • Bello has been particularly light on strikeouts this month, accruing just 13 Ks over four starts. He’s 2-2 vs. this prop, but both overs landed on exactly four Ks.
  • Toronto has seen plenty of Bello, which should be a boon for the lineup. The Jays have a 20.0 K% against him in 145 plate appearances. For context, the average K rate this year is 22.1%.
  • Bello has a 13th-percentile whiff rate and a 17th-percentile strikeout rate, per Baseball Savant.

Toronto will be a tough matchup for Bello in the strikeout department, and not just because they know the right-hander well.

The Jays have the lowest K rate in the majors (17.7%), the lowest whiff rate (21.5%) and the highest contact rate on out-of-zone pitches.

After Crochet went 8.0 innings last night, the Red Sox have a rested bullpen. They could opt for a quick hook on Bello, which would only serve to lessen his strikeout opportunities.

Key stat: Bello had just one strikeout in his lone start vs. the Blue Jays this season (6.0 IP, eight hits, three runs).

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Jays prop predictions

Guerrero over 1.5 total bases (+108): Guerrero is 0-for-6 in this series, but his track record against Bello has me interested in buying a turnaround.

  • Guerrero is 11-for-27 (.407) with two home runs and four doubles vs. Bello.
  • Vladdy is 7-3 against this prop in Bello’s 10 career starts when facing Toronto.

After batting 21-for-41 (.512) in his first 10 games this month, Guerrero is 7-for-41 (.171) in his past 11. It’s time for the pendulum to swing back the other way.

Guerrero still boasts a 100th-percentile xBA (.320) and a 93rd-percentile xSLG (.530).

Yoshida over 1.5 bases (+128), over 0.5 RBI (+170): I was a day early backing Yoshida to notch an RBI in Tuesday’s series opener. He had an RBI double and a solo homer last night.

That continued a torrid stretch for the cleanup hitter, who still has value on both of these prop markets Thursday.

Yoshida is batting .406 over his past eight games, notching six multi-hit performances. He’s 7-1 vs. his bases prop and 6-2 vs. this RBI prop in that span.

With a sub-.400 SLG on the season, I don’t expect this hot streak to last for long. But while it’s here, I think these are playable prices to back the designated hitter.

Blue Jays picks made at 11:30 a.m. ET on 09/25/2025.

Blue Jays odds to win AL East division: New York draws even after another Toronto loss

Blue Jays AL East odds

The Toronto Blue Jays are now in a dog fight to win the AL East with four games to play.

The latest: Toronto became the first AL team to lock up a postseason spot on Sunday. But after a pair of losses to the Boston Red Sox this week, combined with a pair of wins by the New York Yankees, the Jays’ divisional lead has vanished.

Check out our Blue Jays AL East odds as of Sept. 25, 2025.

Blue Jays AL East odds

Note: Updated odds that reflect Wednesday’s results are unavailable as of Thursday morning.

Embed: #115644

I’m sure Jays fans would prefer a less stressful end to the season, but this is what it’s all about, right?

Toronto has already well exceeded its preseason win projection and remains in a strong spot to lock up the division despite its recent 1-6 speed bump.

  • The Jays hold head-to-head tiebreakers over both the Yankees and Red Sox.
  • FanGraphs gives Toronto a 54.1% chance of winning the AL East entering play on Sept. 25.
  • With four games to play, Toronto still controls its own destiny for the AL East crown.

Toronto’s final stretch includes one game against both the Boston Red Sox and three against the Tampa Bay Rays, with the former still technically having a chance to win the division (0.1% chance, per FanGraphs).

The Jays are 7-5 against Boston this year and are slated to start Louis Varland in Thursday’s series finale.

New York, meanwhile, has one more game against the dreadful Chicago White Sox, followed by three games against the Baltimore Orioles.

The Yankees recently took three of four from the O’s at Camden Yards (Sept. 18-21), and the White Sox have an AL-worst 58 wins.

Toronto is still in pole position, but its margin of error is gone now.

MLB home run picks Sept. 24: Back Juan Soto, Gunnar Henderson to go deep

MLB home run picks

Top slugger Juan Soto highlights Wednesday’s MLB home run picks.

Today’s MLB HR narrative: Soto isn’t having the season most expected, but he’s still been elite, especially recently, and can hit for power. Before that, I’m making a bold prediction on Gunnar Henderson breaking his home run drought.

Check out the best MLB home run picks and analysis for Sept. 24.

MLB home run picks

Best Bet: Soto to hit a home run (+400)

There is a significant amount of value in backing Soto here for several reasons.

  • Despite batting a below-standard .267 this season, Soto still ranks seventh in MLB with 42 home runs.
  • Plus, he’s seen an uptick in production lately, hitting 10 home runs in his last 23 games.
  • That equates to an incredible 1.248 OPS during that time (.782 SLG).

All of that goes before mentioning the tough skid Chicago Cubs starter Matthew Boyd has been on.

He owns a 5.77 ERA over his past eight starts, allowing seven home runs in the process.

Soto is 1-for-7 in his career off Boyd, but the good news is that one hit left the park for a home run.

Key stat: The New York Mets slugger has a 99th-percentile xSLG (.629), per Baseball Savant.

Best HR predictions

Henderson to hit a home run (+400): Let’s get the ugly out of the way first.

Henderson hasn’t hit a home run in 26 straight games. But there’s solid reason to believe he snaps the skid tonight.

  • The slugging shortstop has seen Tampa Bay Rays starter Shane Baz in a limited fashion, but he’s been successful. He has two hits in three at-bats with a home run.
  • Baz is prone to getting hit hard. His 1.44 HR/9 is the fourth-highest among qualified pitchers.

Henderson has a .351 average over the past 10 games. He hasn’t been hitting for power, but has a good shot to flip the script on Wednesday.

MLB home run picks made at 2:28 p.m. ET on 09/24/2025.

Best MLB prop bets Sept. 24: Back Francisco Lindor, Blake Snell and Carlos Correa

MLB prop bets

Francisco Lindor, Carlos Correa, and Blake Snell headline Wednesday’s MLB prop bets.

Today’s MLB props narrative: The New York Mets and Houston Astros are fighting for their postseason lives, and I expect Lindor and Correa to deliver at the plate for their respective teams. Elsewhere, Snell has solid value to mow down an Arizona Diamondbacks team one game out of a wild-card spot.

Check out how I’m betting on them in the best MLB prop bets for Sept. 24.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Lindor to score (+105)

New York’s precipitous fall has been shocking, but the squad is getting hot at the right time.

The Mets have won five of their last eight, after losing eight straight, and now control their destiny as the NL’s final wild-card team.

Lindor has been at the forefront of their resurgence and played hero last night, going 2-for-4 with a home run and three RBI in a 9-7 victory over the Chicago Cubs.

  • Lindor is slashing .341/.432/.591 during his 11-game hitting streak.
  • In that span, he has scored 14 runs and is 9-2 against this line.

The Mets’ offence has a good chance to stay hot tonight against Chicago’s Matthew Boyd. The southpaw has an ugly 6.54 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over his last six starts.

Lindor has dominated Boyd and will have ample chances to get aboard as the leadoff man on the road.

Key stat: Lindor is 13-for-36 against Boyd with two doubles and a home run.

Best MLB picks

Correa over 1.5 total bases (+115): Houston has lost four straight and is in serious danger of missing the postseason altogether.

Someone will have to step up with Yordan Alvarez and Jermey Pena sidelined, and I think Correa is that man.

The Astros take on Luis Severino and the Athletics in Sacramento, which is a good matchup for several reasons.

  • Severino has a 6.51 ERA and a .297 opponent batting average at home this year.
  • Sutter Health Park has been the second-most offensively-friendly environment this year, according to Baseball Savant’s park factors.
  • Correa is 6-for-19 off Severino with three doubles and a home run.

The veteran shortstop is hitless in his last two outings, but was 3-1 against this line in the four games before that.

Snell over 6.5 strikeouts (+110): This seems like a generous line to back Snell on, who is on a rampage and has a propensity to work deep into ballgames.

The Los Angeles Dodgers southpaw has five quality starts (6.0+ innings pitched, three or fewer earned runs) in his last six appearances.

In that span, he owns a 2.48 ERA and is 3-3 against this line.

Snell’s last two starts were gems, though, as he fanned a combined 23 batters in 13.0 shutout innings.

Arizona is a hard team to retire on strikes, but not for Snell. He has a 28.4% K rate against its lineup in 102 combined plate appearances, and struck out eight Diamondbacks in 5.1 innings on August 29.

MLB prop picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET on 09/24/2025.