Cardinals vs. Dodgers SGP predictions Aug. 4: Back Freddie Freeman, Shohei Ohtani at +370

Cardinals vs. Dodgers predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers look for a third straight series win when they host the St. Louis Cardinals for a three-game set.

The pregame narrative: It will be a duel between veterans on the bump as St. Louis sends Sonny Gray to the mound opposite Tyler Glasnow for Los Angeles. The Cardinals are sliding out of the playoff picture, going 2-6 over their past eight games.

Check out my Cardinals vs. Dodgers predictions, featuring Freddie Freeman and Shohei Ohtani.

Cardinals vs. Dodgers predictions

Parlay: Dodgers F5 -0.5 | Freeman over 1.5 bases | Ohtani over 0.5 hits (+370)

Dodgers F5 -0.5 (-126): I believe the Dodgers hold the pitching advantage in this matchup.

In four starts since returning from the injured list, Glasnow has a 2.45 ERA with 26 Ks in 22.0 innings pitched.

He also has an incredibly impressive (albeit limited) track record against this Cardinals lineup. In 24 plate appearances, this offence is hitless off the righty with six strikeouts and just two walks.

L.A.’s offence has been much more successful against Gray, batting .299 in 134 combined at-bats.

Glasnow should be able to provide five or six innings of solid pitching while the offence builds up a lead off Gray.

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MLB SGP legs

Freeman over 1.5 bases (+133): Freeman is a respectable 5-for-17 (.294) off Gray in his career but I’m more interested in the heater the first baseman is currently on.

Take a look at his stats over his 12-game hit streak:

  • .396 BA
  • .583 SLG
  • 8-4 against this line

The left-handed batter will enjoy a nice platoon advantage on Monday, too. He has a .322/.395/.518 slash line against RHPs this season.

Freeman has 142 total bases in 274 at-bats against righties this season.

He has every reason to stay hot vs. St. Louis tonight.

Ohtani over 0.5 hits (-278): Let’s close things out with a pick on another Dodgers slugger.

Ohtani doesn’t have much of a past against Gray, but he’s still 2-for-7 off the Cards’ starter with a home run.

The reigning NL MVP has a hit in 12 of his last 14 games.

He also has the benefit of facing a righty. His 1.034 OPS against RHPs far outweighs his .882 OPS against LHPs.

Ohtani ranks in the 99th percentile or better for xSLG (.639), average exit velocity (94.5 mph) and hard-hit percentage (58.2%).

Since Gray has a very low 4.0% walk rate, there should be ample opportunities for Ohtani to pull the ball in play and at least grab a base knock.

Cardinals vs. Dodgers predictions made at 12:52 p.m. ET on 08/04/2025.

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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.