The Calgary Flames welcome the Washington Capitals in town on Tuesday night.
The pregame narrative: The Flames try to stay in the Western Conference playoff hunt, going up against one of the league’s best teams. I’m fading Blake Coleman and Connor McMichael while backing Alex Ovechkin.
Check out my Capitals vs. Flames props for Jan. 28.
Capitals vs. Flames prop picks
Go to full NHL betting markets.
Best bet: McMichael under 1.5 shots (+110)
I’m going back to the well with this pick, and at plus-money, it seems like a steal.
This bet hit last Tuesday against the Edmonton Oilers when McMichael recorded one shot on goal.
With all of the Capitals’ offensive success this season, they only average 27.3 shots per game (23rd in the NHL).
McMichael is having a breakout year, already setting a new career high in points (36) just over halfway through the campaign.
The Ajax native plays alongside Ovechkin, diminishing his shooting opportunities, a trade-off I’m sure he’s more than willing to accept.
Key stat: This bet has cashed in seven of the last eight games.
Quick picks
Ovechkin over 0.5 points (-165): I’m willing to take Ovechkin’s point line at this price, considering it probably won’t last.
The Great 8’s shooting numbers are down this season. However, he still has 22 goals in 33 games with a shooting percentage well above his career average (18.5%).
The Capitals offence as a whole has been lights out this year.
- 3rd in goals/game: 3.49
- T10th in power play: 22.6%
- 1st in shooting percentage: 12.8%
- 3rd in high-danger goals/60: 1.66, according to Natural Stat Trick.
The three-time Hart winner has eight points in his last six games versus the Flames.
Calgary’s penalty kill is fourth-worst in the league (71.2%), making this pick all the more enticing.
Coleman under 0.5 points (-141): Logan Thompson is the confirmed starting goalie for Washington tonight. That’s not ideal for anyone on the Flames roster.
Thompson hasn’t allowed more than two goals in a game in five straight outings, and he’s improved his record on the year to 22-2-3. He has played a large role in the Capitals’ Presidents Trophy run.
Coleman has 26 points in 48 games this season, playing on Calgary’s second line and second power-play unit.
He hasn’t fared well against the Caps in his career, just seven points in 17 games.
Picks made at 12:20 p.m. ET on 01/28/2025.
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