Alexander Bublik has a chance to exercise some demons against Daniil Medvedev in the Halle Open final.
Today’s Halle Open narrative: Bublik is staring down a matchup that has not treated him well. Medvedev is searching for his first Halle Open title and his first tournament win in quite some time. Fans and bettors should be treated to an excellent matchup in Germany.
Check out our Bublik vs. Medvedev odds and my best bet for the June 22 men’s final.
Bublik vs. Medvedev odds
Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip.
| Bublik vs. Medvedev markets | Betting odds |
| Bublik to win | +125 |
| Medvedev to win | -167 |
| Over 24.5 games | -112 |
| Under 24.5 games | -112 |
Best men’s final tennis pick
Best Bet: Bublik to win (+125)
Now seems like the right time for Bublik to earn his first-ever win over Medvedev.
This matchup has historically been a house of horrors for the Kazakhstani star. Bublik has lost all seven matches against Medvedev and hasn’t been particularly competitive.
He’s won just two sets against Medvedev, while the latter has taken 14.
So why is now the time for Bublik to pull off the upset?
Firstly, he’s playing some excellent tennis. He won at Turin in May and has won eight of his last nine matches, with his lone loss coming to Jannik Sinner at the French Open.
Secondly, Medvedev has taken a step back in 2025. His .657 winning percentage is his worst mark in a single year since 2017 (.500).
Medvedev was not in fine form before this tournament started. He had lost three of his last four matches before arriving in Halle.
Plus, Medvedev hasn’t won a tournament since 2023.
Thirdly, this matchup has extra meaning for Bublev. A win for him will earn him a seeded entry to Wimbledon, which is certainly a huge benefit.
Bublik is known for being a streaky player, and right now he’s trending up. I’m looking to jump on at this plus-money price.
Key stat: Bublik ranks 20th in grass-court serve rating over the last 52 weeks, while Medvedev sits 32 per ATPtour.com.
Halle Open predictions made at 4:18 p.m. on 06/21/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.