Wielding a two-game series lead, the Los Angeles Dodgers return home for Game 3 of the NLCS against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The pregame narrative: Milwaukee squandered its home-field advantage, scoring just two runs in a pair of losses to open the series. Tyler Glasnow gets the start for L.A. after a pair of solid outings vs. the Brewers in the regular season.
Check out my Brewers vs. Dodgers predictions for NLCS Game 3, featuring prop bets on Glasnow and Christian Yelich.
Brewers vs. Dodgers predictions
Parlay: Yelich under 0.5 hits | Brewers under 3.5 runs | Glasnow over 5.5 Ks (+350)
Yelich under 0.5 hits (+133): I logged this pick in Game 1 and it cashed. It cashed in Game 2 as well.
Yelich has gone four straight games without a hit and is now 5-for-26 (.192) in the playoffs. He has walked or struck out in nine of his 30 plate appearances this postseason.
Walks and strikeouts are great for this pick because they mean Yelich isn’t putting the ball in play.
Given that he has a 20th-percentile strikeout rate and a 71st-percentile walk rate, per Baseball Savant, it wouldn’t be surprising to see more of the same tonight.
On the flip side, Glasnow collects a lot of strikeouts and walks on the mound (87th-percentile K rate, seventh-percentile walk rate). That’s what we’re looking for here.
Oh, and Yelich is just 1-for-14 with seven Ks in his career vs. Glasnow.
MLB SGP legs
Brewers under 3.5 runs (-152): Of all the playoff teams this year, the Brewers were second-last in the regular season in terms of home runs and ISO.
This is a lineup that thrives on putting the ball in play — but not exactly crushing the ball.
Well, the contact-first approach isn’t working right now, as Milwaukee has gone under this run total in five straight games.
- In that five-game span, the Brewers have a .142/.218/.270 slash line (36 wRC+) collectively.
- Now they’ll face Glasnow, who has held the active lineup to a .141 BA and a .282 SLG in 79 plate appearances.
In Glasnow’s two starts vs. Milwaukee this season, the Brewers scored just five total runs. They went under this total in both games.
Glasnow over 5.5 strikeouts (-157): As mentioned, Glasnow has had plenty of success against Yelich and the Brewers’ lineup as a whole.
It’s not just run suppression; the lanky right-hander has racked up his fair share of Ks, too.
- Glasnow has 26 strikeouts in 79 plate appearances against Milwaukee’s hitters, which equates to a 32.9% K rate. For context, the MLB average K rate this year is 22.2%.
- Glasnow is 1-1 vs. this prop when facing the Brewers this season, fanning 11 hitters over 11.0 innings.
In his 2025 postseason debut, Glasnow carved up a talented Phillies lineup over 6.0 scoreless innings, allowing just two hits while striking out eight.
Glasnow’s nastiest work in the regular season came at Dodger Stadium. At home, he posted a 2.77 ERA and an 11.7 K/9.
Brewers vs. Dodgers predictions as of 9:46 a.m. on 10/15/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.