The Toronto Blue Jays own MLB’s best record and look for a series win against the Detroit Tigers on Saturday.
The pregame narrative: Toronto took the first two games of this series, continuing its rampage on offence with 17 runs so far. The matchup doesn’t get any tougher than today’s, though, with Tarik Skubal on the mound for Detroit.
Check out my Blue Jays vs. Tigers predictions, featuring Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Kevin Gausman.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers predictions
Parlay: Guerrero over 0.5 hits | Gausman over 5.5 Ks | Skubal under 7.5 Ks (+340)
Guerrero over 0.5 hits (-167): I know Skubal will be throwing to Guerrero for at least a handful of innings, but this value is too good to pass up.
- Guerrero is raking right now, grabbing a hit in 10 of his last 20 plate appearances, dating back to the series with the New York Yankees.
- He has at least a hit in seven of eight games since the all-star break.
Plus, he’s elite at getting to left-handed pitching. He has a .337/.435/.534 slash line against lefties this season.
And he’s seen Skubal well in a limited sample size. In four plate appearances against the Tigers’ ace, Guerrero has two hits and a walk.
Finally, Detroit has the sixth-worst bullpen ERA in the AL (4.08), so Guerrero will still have a good shot to get to a reliever if Skubal shoves.
MLB SGP legs
Gausman over 5.5 Ks (-120): Gausman is starting to heat up, and it’s coming at the right time.
In his last start vs. the Yankees, he pitched 7.0 innings, allowing just one run while striking out eight.
Over his past five appearances, he has a 2.35 ERA with 28 Ks in 30.2 IP.
The Tigers also don’t hit Gausman very well. The lineup has a .229 average in 96 at-bats with a 28.7% K rate.
If the Blue Jays veteran righty can work into the later innings, there will be plenty of opportunity for this leg to cash.
The Tigers strike out the fifth most in the majors.
Skubal under 7.5 Ks (-195): My colleague, Avery Perri, wrote about Skubal under 6.5 Ks in his Blue Jays vs. Tigers prop picks. I’ll tease it up to add it into this SGP.
There’s no denying that Skubal is a strikeout machine, with an MLB-leading 11.6 K/9.
But the Blue Jays are arguably the best offence in baseball and are especially hot coming into this game. Since the break, Toronto is scoring 6.4 runs per game.
On top of that, the Jays strike out the fewest times per game in the majors while owning the best OBP (.333).
They won’t kill you with power, but with constant rallies, limiting the ceiling of opposing pitchers.
In Toronto’s last 25 games, 24 opposing starters have fallen short of this mark.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers predictions made at 10:15 a.m. ET on 07/26/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.