The surging Toronto Blue Jays turn to Jose Berrios as they continue their four-game set against the Detroit Tigers on Friday night.
The pregame narrative: Toronto is coming off an 11-4 series-opening victory over Detroit, and I’m expecting Berrios and Addison Barger to power the AL East leaders to another win tonight.
Check out my Blue Jays vs. Tigers same-game parlay predictions for the July 25 game at Comerica Park.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers predictions
Parlay: Blue Jays to win | Berrios over 4.5 strikeouts | Barger over 1.5 total bases (+540)
Toronto moneyline (-107): I like all three legs as singles, and you could certainly play them that way with no odds shorter than Toronto moneyline at -107.
Let’s start there.
The Blue Jays steamrolled into the all-star break, taking over first place in the AL East, and they’ve come out of it just as hot.
- Toronto is 6-1 since the break, sweeping the Giants, taking two of three from the Yankees, and winning its series opener vs. the Tigers.
- The Blue Jays are hitting .309 in those seven games. Post-ASG, they’re No. 1 in wRC+ and fifth in ERA (3.14).
These results aren’t sustainable, but tonight isn’t the game I’m betting on things to turn sideways.
A win tonight guarantees Toronto at least a split against the AL Central-leading Tigers, and this is the game to get with Detroit’s top arms, Tarik Skubal and Jack Flaherty, lined up for the weekend.
On Friday, the Blue Jays see Keider Montero, a second-year pro who serves up bombs and lacks swing and miss.
It’s a terrible combo against the Blue Jays, who are the most difficult team in baseball to strike out and lead in contact rate.
Expect Toronto to consistently put balls in play against Montero, which often leads to good outcomes.
Berrios has been inconsistent but provides Toronto with a starting pitching advantage against a slumping Tigers squad.
- Toronto is 8-2 in Berrios’ last 10 starts.
- Detroit is last in the majors in wRC+ over the last two weeks.
- The Tigers have a 6.03 bullpen ERA in July (fifth-worst in MLB).
MLB SGP legs
Berrios over 4.5 Ks (+100): This looks like a great price, even though Berrios has been slightly below average punching batters out this season.
Detroit has a lot of swing and miss in its game and Berrios still possesses some K upside, striking out eight-plus batters five times this year.
But we don’t even need that upside tonight. An average outing cashes this bet.
- Berrios has recorded 5+ strikeouts in 11 of his 21 starts.
- Even last season, when he produced a career-low K rate, he cleared this line in 20 of 32 starts.
- The Tigers have the fifth-highest K rate in MLB over the last 30 days. Only two teams this season have struck out more vs. righties.
Barger over 1.5 total bases (+128): Let’s tie this off with a juicy plus-money play.
Barger has been sensational in July and smashes right-handed pitching.
Montero, a righty, has struggled vs. lefty hitters, making Barger a clear target of mine.
- Barger in July: .328/.357/.642 (.999 OPS).
- Barger vs. RHPs: .548 SLG, 13 of his 14 homers.
- LHHs vs. Montero: .292/.384/.558
Barger has topped this line in 10 of his 15 starts this month.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers predictions made at 11:58 a.m. ET on 07/25/2025.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.