The Toronto Blue Jays kicked off their three-game set at Coors Field with an emphatic win over the Colorado Rockies and they should stay hot tonight.
The pregame narrative: Toronto won last night’s series opener 15-1 to remain 3.0 games up on the Boston Red Sox in the AL East. Behind Jose Berrios on Tuesday, Toronto is a large betting favourite at Colorado’s launching pad.
Check out my Blue Jays vs. Rockies same-game parlay predictions for Aug. 5, featuring SGP legs on Berrios, Daulton Varsho and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Blue Jays vs. Rockies predictions
Parlay: Blue Jays -1.5 | Guerrero over 1.5 bases | Varsho over 1.5 bases | Berrios over 3.5 Ks (+460)
Toronto -1.5 (-162): The Blue Jays are a -250 choice to win tonight’s game over the MLB-worst Rockies.
Toronto has 36 more wins than Colorado and, to no surprise, has a fairly large pitching advantage.
Berrios has his faults and will be pitching in an unkind environment but he generally keeps the Blue Jays in games.
The Jays are 10-2 in his last 12 starts and the offence should thrive again tonight against righty Anthony Molina and the Rockies’ porous bullpen (MLB-worst 7.56 ERA in the second half).
Molina has a career 6.85 ERA over two MLB seasons (40 appearances), has been a well-below-average strikeout arm and spent the last month in the minors.
MLB SGP legs
Berrios over 3.5 Ks (-200): We’re looking at a +285 SGP without this Berrios leg.
I thought about loading up on more offence but this play gives us a solid price spike. Colorado has been swinging it well and Berrios is coming off a disastrous month (5.83 ERA over six starts), so there’s more risk than usual here on a 3.5 K line.
That said, there’s also plenty of comfort:
- Despite the rough July, Berrios cleared this in half of his starts. That brought his season record to 16-7 vs. this line.
- The Rockies have MLB’s highest K rate and also rank No. 1 vs. right-handed pitching.
- Their 81 wRC+ vs. righties is the worst mark in baseball.
Varsho over 1.5 total bases (-120): It’s hard to find good value at Coors but this certainly fits the bill.
Varsho has big pop, blasting nine homers to accompany his robust .330 ISO in 27 games. For context, only three qualified hitters, including Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani, have a higher ISO this season.
He’ll have the platoon advantage for however long Molina is out there and will then get to feast on Colorado’s bullpen.
This is among the best single plays tonight, as far as I’m concerned.
Guerrero over 1.5 total bases (-152): I’m expecting the Blue Jays to produce plenty of offence again and getting Guerrero at this price isn’t terrible considering the conditions.
Vladdy has hit the under in three straight games but has been mashing in the second half. He’s hitting .343 and slugging .586.
He’s tied with Bo Bichette for a top-15 second-half mark in wRC+ (187).
Guerrero walks plenty, which hurts him some on this market, but he also doesn’t strike out. The Toronto slugger has fanned just three times in his last 10 games.
The all-star has elite batted ball metrics and should put the ball in play.
Blue Jays vs. Rockies predictions made at 9:45 a.m. ET on 08/05/2025
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.