The Toronto Blue Jays enter Wednesday’s series finale against the Baltimore Orioles on their longest losing streak since early May.
The pregame narrative: Toronto has cooled down, dropping four straight and is at risk of getting swept by the last-place Orioles. With Jose Berrios on the mound, I expect the Jays to end the skid in today’s matinee at Camden Yards.
Check out my Blue Jays vs. Orioles same-game parlay predictions for July 30, featuring Gunnar Henderson and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles predictions
Parlay: Blue Jays ML | Guerrero over 1.5 bases | Henderson over 1.5 bases (+525)
Toronto moneyline (-108): Today’s starting pitching matchup is Berrios vs. Dean Kremer.
That’s about a wash as far as I’m concerned, meaning we’re getting a first-place team — the best in the American League — at an excellent price.
Baltimore has taken it to the Blue Jays this series, but these types of swings are common in a 162-game season. Just like Toronto isn’t as good as the team that won 19 of 23 games, it isn’t as bad as the club that’s been outscored 30-10 this series.
Berrios generally gives the Jays a shot, and then some.
- The Jays are 14-8 over Berrios’ 22 starts.
- In his last 11 outings, they’ve reeled off a 9-2 mark.
- Berrios has a 3.43 ERA over that stretch, a bit lower than his season-long mark (3.83).
Berrios has been hit around this month but he’s also allowed one or zero runs in five of 10 starts since June.
He’s capable of a big outing, and Toronto should have all its high-leverage relievers available today. Also, George Springer (head) could be back in the lineup.
Kremer has delivered similar results but Toronto has the better bullpen and lineup. As a pick’em play, Toronto moneyline is an overwhelmingly clear choice for me.
MLB SGP legs
Guerrero over 1.5 total bases (-127): The all-star first baseman was quiet in yesterday’s doubleheader but has been on a second-half tear.
He’s hitting .400 with an 1.152 OPS and is barely striking out. The power has been there (three homers, four doubles), and he has multi-hit games in more than half his post-ASG contests.
Guerrero has seen Kremer a decent amount and punished him, swatting five homers and 11 hits (.903 SLG) in 33 career plate appearances.
Henderson over 1.5 total bases (-112): The 24-year-old Orioles star has been horrific vs. left-handed pitching but has mashed righties and thumped at home.
This is a good spot for him against Berrios, who isn’t a huge strikeout arm.
- Henderson vs. RHP: .315 BA, .543 SLG, 10 of his 12 homers.
- Henderson at home: .312 BA, .534 SLG, eight homers.
Baltimore’s shortstop has heated up following a cold start to the season. He’s hitting .308 with an .864 OPS over the last two months.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles predictions made at 9 a.m. ET on 07/30/2025.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.