After landing on the wrong side of last night’s 18-inning battle, the Toronto Blue Jays will look to level the World Series on Tuesday in Los Angeles.
The pregame narrative: The Dodgers won a game that lasted six hours and 39 minutes to take a 2-1 series lead. Shohei Ohtani will be back in two-way mode for L.A. tonight after a superb showing at the plate in Game 3.
Check out my Blue Jays vs. Dodgers picks for Game 4 of the World Series, featuring a prop prediction on Ohtani as a pitcher.
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Blue Jays vs. Dodgers picks
Best bet: Over 8.5 runs (-108)
In Game 3 on Monday, there was a stretch of 10-plus innings without any runs. That might seem like a reason to back the under tonight, but I view it differently.
Both teams maxed out their bullpens, as all 17 relievers made an appearance in the marathon matchup.
That means some arms will be unavailable tonight, but more importantly, it means the hitters have had a recent look at everyone they might face.
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The situational aspect isn’t the only reason I like the over, mind you. This is a bet on two of the very best offences in the majors.
- In the regular season, Toronto led the majors in batting average (.265) and on-base percentage (.333) while posting a league-low strikeout rate. The Jays have the third-highest scoring average (5.03 runs/game) across the regular season and playoffs.
- The Dodgers finished second in the regular season in SLG (.441) and wRC+ (113). Also, they’re second in scoring (5.06 runs/game) across the regular season and playoffs.
Ohtani is a great pitcher — one of several donning Dodger Blue — but I don’t expect an all-world effort on the mound tonight.
In 75 combined plate appearances, Toronto’s lineup is batting .284 with a .478 SLG vs. Ohtani.
George Springer, who exited Game 3 with an injury and is considered day-to-day, has the best numbers against Ohtani. But even if he’s unavailable, there are others who can step up.
Overs are cashing at a 57.1% rate for Toronto this year, per Team Rankings, which leads the majors.
Key stat: This over is 4-2 in Blue Jays/Dodgers matchups this season, with an average total of 9.5 runs.
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Best World Series prop bet
Ohtani under 17.5 outs (+115): The Dodgers rolled out all nine of their relievers last night. So it’s fair to assume they want Ohtani to work fairly deep into Tuesday’s game.
And he might, given that he’s cleared this outs total in each of his past three starts (including two in the playoffs).
I like the plus-money fade here, though, because Ohtani was more a part of the Game 3 marathon than any of the relievers who might follow him tonight. He reached base in all nine of his plate appearances, going 4-for-4 with five walks.
At one point, he even needed a break in the action due to some minor cramping on the basepaths.
No one is going to feel 100% coming out of an 18-inning game. But only one guy is being asked to pitch several innings after being part of that.
The Jays have a potent lineup that could chase Ohtani a bit early anyway, and I would be surprised if the Dodgers pushed him hard on the mound — especially since he’s also their most important hitter.
Eight of the past nine starters to face Toronto went under this number.
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers picks made at 9:23 a.m. ET on 10/28/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.