The Toronto Blue Jays aim to extend their winning ways with another victory over the Minnesota Twins.
The pregame narrative: Toronto’s series-opening win against Minnesota marked its eighth win in nine games. One of the reasons for the team’s success has been the play of Alejandro Kirk, who is surging ahead of this contest.
Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Twins for June 7, with a bet on Kirk and opposing starter Chris Paddack.
Blue Jays picks vs. Twins
Best Bet: Kirk over 0.5 RBI (+188)
Toronto’s bats are on an absolute tear, and Kirk is in the middle of it all.
The catcher is batting clean-up for the Blue Jays, and he’s been living up to the job title.
Kirk has six RBI in his last six games, but he hasn’t been delivering with power. His ability to make contact is the reason why he’s been cashing in runs.
The veteran leads all Blue Jays hitters in average (.385) and on-base percentage (.458) across the last 15 days.
Because Kirk isn’t mashing this ball out of the park, he’s reliant on the players in front of him to reach base. Luckily for him, almost everybody is delivering at the plate for Toronto.
Bo Bichette, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Addison Barger hit before him, and here are each of their OBPs over the last 15 days:
| Player | OBP over the last 15 days |
| Bichette | .276 |
| Guerrero | .377 |
| Barger | .333 |
The guys hitting in front of Kirk are largely doing their part to put him in advantageous spots for this prop.
There’s no real reason to fade him or this lineup on Saturday.
Key stat: Kirk has an RBI in five of his last six games.
Quick pick
Paddack over 3.5 strikeouts (-141): There’s a bit of juice to pay on this wager, but I’m willing to do so for a couple of reasons.
Firstly, Paddack is beating this number at a pretty frequent rate. He has four-plus strikeouts in six of his last 10 showings.
Additionally, he is coming off his best punchout performance of the year. Paddack racked up 10 Ks in 8.0 innings against the Seattle Mariners.
Toronto does have the lowest strikeout rate in MLB, averaging just 6.86 per game. There is, however, a significant level of unfamiliarity between the Blue Jays’ bats and Paddack.
Andres Gimenez is the only hitter who has seen Paddack, and he only has three at-bats against the righty.
The lack of reps against Paddack could definitely work in his favour.
Blue Jays picks made at 10:28 a.m. ET on 06/07/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.