The Toronto Blue Jays go for their third consecutive win and a series win over the Seattle Mariners on Saturday.
The pregame narrative: Toronto’s bats are beginning to heat up. The team has scored 18 runs across its last three contests. A pitching duel between Bowden Francis and Logan Evans should invite offensive production from both teams.
I’m backing Jorge Polanco and Rowdy Tellez in my Blue Jays picks vs. the Mariners on May 10.
Blue Jays picks vs. Mariners
Best Bet: Polanco to record 1+ RBI (+180)
Polanco isn’t in the ideal spot in Seattle’s lineup to drive in runs, but that hasn’t stopped him from racking up RBI.
The middle infield hits second for the Mariners and is absolutely crushing it this season.
Polanco is batting .340 with a .680 SLG on the campaign. The advanced numbers, per Baseball Savant, paint an equally impressive picture:
- 100th percentile expected batting average (.353)
- 98th percentile expected SLG (.635)
- 90th percentile barrel rate (16.1)
- 95th percentile squared up rate (35.4)
These elite metrics are leading to extremely impressive results at the plate. Polanco is tied for 11th among all players in RBI (28).
J.P. Crawford is batting in front of Polanco, and he should be able to get on against Francis. Crawford is hitting .303 with a .404 on-base percentage against righties.
Bet on Polanco to deliver at juicy plus-money odds.
Key stat: Polanco has a RBI in three of his last five games and seven of his last 12.
Quick pick
Tellez to record 1+ hit (-118): These odds are certainly palatable when all that’s needed of Tellez is a hit.
The left-handed hitter isn’t having a banner year by any means. Tellez is batting an uninspiring .203 on the campaign.
He has been better as of late, however, hitting .318 across seven games in May.
Tellez should be able to reach base with a hit at least once against Francis. The Toronto righty enters Saturday’s game with a rough 5.66 ERA and an even more troubling 6.79 FIP.
Opposing batters are hitting to the tune of .282 against Francis this year.
Francis’ Baseball Savant page does a good job of summing up how dreadful he has been in 2025. He has a third percentile expected ERA (6.92) and expected batting average (.319).
Tellez took Francis deep in his lone at-bat against the righty. The sample size is small, but encouraging, for the ex-Blue Jay.
Blue Jays picks vs. Mariners made at 2:31 p.m. ET on 05/10/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.