The Toronto Blue Jays look to avoid another series loss against the Kansas City Royals.
The pregame narrative: After last night’s 20-1 blowout loss, Shane Bieber is tasked with leading a bounce-back effort for Toronto. The Royals counter with rookie left-handed pitcher Noah Cameron.
Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Royals for the Sept. 20 game at Kauffman Stadium, featuring prop predictions on Bieber and George Springer.
Blue Jays picks vs. Royals
Best bet: Blue Jays F5 +0.5 (-143)
Things have been rocky for the Jays, but there’s a nice opportunity to rebound with Bieber on the mound.
- He shoved in his last start, giving up four hits and one run while striking out five over six innings.
- The Jays provide good run support for Bieber. This wager is 4-1 in his five starts with Toronto.
Cameron starts for the Royals, and his base ERA (2.98) is very good, but his advanced stats show some good ball luck.
- 58th-percentile xERA (3.98)
- 52nd-percentile xBA (.247)
Plus, his 4.71 ERA over his last five starts indicates some regression down the stretch.
Toronto is in a tiny slump right now offensively, but the AL East leaders are very capable of a bounce-back performance.
Key stat: Since the all-star break, the Blue Jays have the second-best batting average (.280), slugging (.465) and WRC+ (125) in MLB.
Jays prop predictions
Springer over 1.5 total bases (-110): To start Friday’s chaotic game, Springer hit a leadoff homerun.
And despite the recent lack of offence, Springer’s been consistently one of the best hitters in baseball.
- In the second half, the slugger leads MLB with a whopping 204 WRC+.
- During that time, he’s cleared this line 23 times.
In those 41 games, Springer has only gone hitless nine times. He has a sky-high floor on offence right now, and I want to back a prop completely in his control.
Bieber over 17.5 outs (-148): If you can stomach the price, I think there’s strong value on this prop.
Bieber’s pitched into the sixth inning in all five starts this season and is 3-2 against this line.
This line indicates an average performance, but I think he can shine against the Royals.
They did score 20 runs yesterday, but seven were attributed to a poor start from Max Scherzer and Tyler Heineman, a catcher, allowed 10 runs in relief.
I want to focus on the matchup, and Bieber has dominated the Royals in his career. Their offence is a combined 17-for-76 (.223) against the righty.
The Blue Jays have needed a lot from their bullpen in recent weeks, so John Schneider should give Bieber a long leash for tonight’s contest.
Blue Jays picks made at 9:05 a.m. ET on 09/20/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.