Bills vs. Jets Week 6 MNF best bets and odds: Pick Buffalo to cover in AFC East showdown

Bills vs. Jets best bets

The Buffalo Bills and New York Jets meet in an early, yet important, AFC East showdown on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: New York reeks of desperation, and I believe we’re only scratching the surface of the team’s dysfunction. I’ll back a Buffalo team that’s looking to rebound after consecutive losses. I’m also fading a struggling Aaron Rodgers in primetime.

Check out my Bills vs. Jets best bets for the Week 6 Monday Night Football matchup.

Bills vs. Jets best bets

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Best Bet: Bills -2.5 (-110)

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A lot is going on in New York that doesn’t pass the sniff test.

The Jets relieved head coach Robert Saleh of his duties after the team’s 2-3 start. Saleh, heralded as a great defensive mind, had his team ceding the fewest yards per play (4.3) this season.

Offensive coordinator and close friend of Rodgers, Nathaniel Hackett, wasn’t sent packing although he was stripped of play-calling duties.

Defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich has been promoted to interim head coach, but does anybody really believe he’s calling the shots?

It appears that Rodgers has owner Woody Johnson’s ear and is, at the very least, an influential voice in the team’s decision-making process.

Sometimes a new head coach can rejuvenate a team, but the Jets have major offensive issues that still haven’t been addressed.

Rodgers has been one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL this season. He’s 30th among all eligible QBs in yards per pass (6.0) and is coming off a game where he threw three interceptions.

The rushing attack has struggled all season long, too. New York ranks 30th in yards per rush (3.6).

Buffalo has lost back-to-back games, but those were against the Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans. Those opponents are certainly a cut above the Jets.

Key stat: Buffalo has a higher offensive DVOA (eight vs. 23) and defensive DVOA (six vs. 12) than New York.

Quick pick

Rodgers longest completion – under 33.5 yards (-104): Rodgers doesn’t seem to have much of a deep ball these days.

The Jets QB hasn’t completed a pass of 30-plus yards since Week 1, meaning he’s failed to top this mark in each of his last four games.

It’s also looking like Rodgers could’ve used a few extra reps this offseason as he hasn’t showcased much chemistry with wide receiver Garrett Wilson. The veteran passer severely overthrew his top option in a crucial moment last week.

Rodgers’ days of rolling out, extending plays and chucking it deep seem to be long gone. I’ll gladly go under this number.

Picks made at 2:34 p.m. ET 10/12/2024.

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Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.