The Philadelphia Eagles host the Chicago Bears for a matinee on Black Friday.
The pregame narrative: Chicago has won eight of its last 10 games and leads the NFC North heading into this matchup. But the Bears have had a comfortable schedule, and now they’ll test their mettle as 7-point road underdogs against the reigning Super Bowl champions.
Check out my Bears vs. Eagles picks for Nov. 28, featuring a prop bet on Saquon Barkley.
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Bears vs. Eagles picks
Best Bet: Chicago under 17.5 points (-114)
Are the Bears legit? Time will tell, but I’m not exactly sold on their resume.
Chicago has a -3 point differential despite its 8-3 record, with just one win against a team currently over .500. That came against the Pittsburgh Steelers last week, a team with many more questions than answers.
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I think Caleb Williams will have a really tough time moving the ball agianst Philadelphia’s defence.
- The Eagles are allowing the eighth-fewest points per game (20.5) and have held opponents to a measly 13.3 PPG following their Week 9 bye.
- That includes limiting both the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions to under 10 points.
- Philly ranks fourth in defensive EPA per play in that span and eighth on the season, per RBSDM.com.
NFLweather.com also projects a chance of rain and 14 mph winds, which could hamper both offences’ ability to move the ball effectively through the air.
Both teams rank inside the top 10 in run play percentage, so poor passing conditions shouldn’t bother either coaching staff. Plenty of running should theoretically mean more time chewed off the clock and fewer possessions.
Key stat: Philadelphia has held its last three home opponents to 16.6 PPG.
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Top NFL prop prediction
Barkley over 2.5 receptions (-132): Barkley has had a tough time running between the tackles this year, but he’s still an elite playmaker in space.
Case in point: He only managed 22 yards on 10 carries against the Dallas Cowboys last week while turning seven catches into 52 yards.
Barkley should get his fair share of carries, but I expect him to be active as a pass-catcher again.
On the season, he is 7-3 against this line.
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Chicago’s defence ranks 22nd in EPA per play and just gave up six catches for 30 yards to Pittsburgh Steelers RB Kenneth Gainwell. The week before, Aaron Jones also cleared this line.
Bears vs. Eagles picks made at 1:14 p.m. on Nov. 27, 2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.