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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner ATP Finals odds and best bet: Back the underdog Spaniard

It’s an epic end to the ATP season with Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner meeting for the sixth time this year.

The pregame narrative: Tennis’ top rivalry renews for the final time of 2025 in the ATP Finals. Alcaraz and Sinner cruised by their respective semifinal opponents and into Sunday’s contest. The winner of this matchup claims upwards of $5 million in prize money.

Check out my Alcaraz vs. Sinner ATP Finals best bet for Sunday, Nov. 16.

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ATP Finals odds

Alcaraz vs. Sinner best bet

Best Bet: Alcaraz to win (+145)

Any chance I get to back Alcaraz at plus-money odds, I’ll gladly take it.

The same applies to Sinner, but it is the Spaniard who comes with an appealing price in this contest.

Both have looked sensational at the ATP Finals, although Sinner has been slightly sharper. The Italian has won each match in straight sets, while Alcaraz did drop a set to Fritz in the group stage.

-> Bet on Alcaraz vs. Sinner at Northstar Bets today!

But if you’re looking for a reason to back Alcaraz, look no further than the head-to-head history.

The Spaniard has largely dominated this rivalry.

Alcaraz owns a commanding 11-5 record over Sinner.

The results have been even more tilted in Alcaraz’s favour lately. He has won seven of the last eight matchups.

Half of those contests occurred on the hard courts, and Alcaraz won all four of those.

Sinner’s lone win over Alcaraz came in this year’s Wimbledon final, where the former downed the latter in four sets.

The Italian crowd at Inalpi Arena will undoubtedly have Sinner’s back, but a hostile environment hasn’t stopped Alcaraz before.

He beat Sinner in straight sets at this year’s Italian Open.

Anything can happen in a match between the best tennis players in the world. I’ll happily back the one who enters as a noticeable underdog.

Key stat: Alcaraz is 7-2 all-time on the hard courts against Sinner.

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Alcaraz vs. Sinner best bet made at 8:11 a.m. on 11/16/2025.

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Lions vs. Eagles SNF Week 11 SGP predictions: Bet on Detroit, Jahmyr Gibbs in +475 ticket

The Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles collide in a heavyweight matchup between the NFC’s elite.

The pregame narrative: It doesn’t feel like the Lions and Eagles have played their best football just yet. A strong effort, however, will be needed to win this clash of NFC titans. With less than half a season to go, which team will start building momentum for the playoffs?

Check out my +475 same-game parlay Lions vs. Eagles predictions for Nov. 15, featuring Jahmyr Gibbs

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Lions vs. Eagles predictions

SGP: Lions ML | Under 52.5 points | Gibbs over 22.5 receiving yards (+475)

Lions ML (+128): While neither team is playing their best football, Detroit certainly seems to be closer.

The Lions saw immediate results in Week 10 with Dan Campbell taking over playcalling duties. They scored 44 points, albeit against a weak Washington Commanders defence.

But similar results should be expected from this team. Detroit, after all, did lead the NFL in points per game last season (33.1) and has many of the same playmakers returning.

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The Eagles haven’t been able to find that same offensive success.

Philadelphia is 12th in points per game (24.2) and is coming off a 10-point showing against the Green Bay Packers.

Its defence is also worth poking some holes in, as the unit has allowed 20-plus points in six of its last seven outings.

I expect Detroit to get a fair number of points, and I’m not sure Philadelphia can keep pace.

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Sunday Night Football SGP picks

Under 52.5 points (-235): This is mainly a play against Philadelphia’s offence.

The Eagles have scored fewer than 20 points in three of their last six games. Both teams will have to score for this over to come through, and I’m skeptical about a back-and-forth shootout.

Additionally, I don’t expect the Lions to have a record-setting day on offence. Philly is ceding the 10th-fewest points per game (21.3), and playing outdoors has never been Jared Goff’s specialty.

Outdoors: 259.0 yards per game, 1.5 touchdowns per game, 0.7 interceptions per game

Indoors: 262 yards per game, 1.9 touchdowns per game, 0.6 interceptions per game

I expect this to be a game where points are harder to come by, which makes the under my play.

Gibbs over 22.5 receiving yards (-115): Lastly, I’m taking the over on this total.

Gibbs has cleared this mark in five of nine games, including a 30-yard performance last week against the Commanders.

Philadelphia’s defence doesn’t give opponents much, but teams looking to avoid the pressure have had success dumping it off to running backs.

The Eagles are allowing the 10th-most receiving yards per game to opposing rushers (35.4).

Lions vs. Eagles predictions made at 2:15 p.m. ET 11/15/2025.

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Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks prop picks Nov. 15: Bet on Toronto’s Robertson to deliver

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Chicago Blackhawks square off in an Original Six showdown on Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: These two teams enter tonight’s game heading in opposite directions. Toronto has dropped four straight contests, while Chicago has won three of its last four. Which players will play a key role in this matchup?

Check out my Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks prop picks for the game on Nov. 15.

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Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks prop picks

Best Bet: Andre Burakovsky to score a point (-108)

Burakovsky is back after missing some time with an illness, and that’s great news for prop bettors.

Burakovsky has been an excellent wager on this market all season long. The Chicago forward is third on his team with 14 points in 15 games.

He’s delivering while enjoying his expanded role in the Chicago offence.

Burakovsky is playing on the first line and top power-play unit, putting him at the forefront of Chicago’s offensive attack.

-> Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks at NorthStar Bets

More specifically, he’s attached to Connor Bedard’s hip.

The budding superstar is enjoying an excellent start to the campaign. Bedard has 10 goals and 26 points through the first 17 games of the campaign.

Playing alongside somebody as talented as Bedard is always a boost to your chances of notching a point.

Additionally, the matchup is right for Burakovsky to deliver.

Toronto is struggling mightily to keep the puck out of its net. The Maple Leafs are tied for ceding the most goals per game in the league (3.83).

Bet on a stellar performance from Burakovsky.

Key stat: Burakovsky has 10 points in his last seven games.

Best NHL prop picks

Nick Robertson to score 1+ points (+110): It used to be difficult for Robertson to earn opportunities in Toronto’s stacked offence.

Not anymore.

Mitch Marner is gone, and Auston Matthews is out with an injury. The Maple Leafs are desperate for any signs of offence, and Robertson is one of the few forwards delivering.

The shifty forward has eight points in his last eight games, tying for fourth among all Maple Leafs players during this stretch.

-> Wager on Robertson to contribute for the Maple Leafs

Robertson is averaging 15:37 in ice time during this stretch, which is significantly higher than his usage from the first nine games (12:34).

Backing Robertson seems like a wise idea with his deployment on the rise.

Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks prop picks made at 1:08 p.m. ET 11/15/2025.

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Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks prop picks Nov. 15: Bet on Toronto’s Robertson to deliver

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Chicago Blackhawks square off in an Original Six showdown on Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: These two teams enter tonight’s game heading in opposite directions. Toronto has dropped four straight contests, while Chicago has won three of its last four. Which players will play a key role in this matchup?

Check out my Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks prop picks for the game on Nov. 15.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the Maple Leafs

Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks prop picks

Best Bet: Andre Burakovsky to score a point (-106)

Burakovsky is back after missing some time with an illness, and that’s great news for prop bettors.

Burakovsky has been an excellent wager on this market all season long. The Chicago forward is third on his team with 14 points in 15 games.

He’s delivering while enjoying his expanded role in the Chicago offence.

Burakovsky is playing on the first line and top power-play unit, putting him at the forefront of Chicago’s offensive attack.

-> Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks at NorthStar Bets

More specifically, he’s attached to Connor Bedard’s hip.

The budding superstar is enjoying an excellent start to the campaign. Bedard has 10 goals and 26 points through the first 17 games of the campaign.

Playing alongside somebody as talented as Bedard is always a boost to your chances of notching a point.

Additionally, the matchup is right for Burakovsky to deliver.

Toronto is struggling mightily to keep the puck out of its net. The Maple Leafs are tied for ceding the most goals per game in the league (3.83).

Bet on a stellar performance from Burakovsky.

Key stat: Burakovsky has 10 points in his last seven games.

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Best NHL prop picks

Nick Robertson to score 1+ points (+120): It used to be difficult for Robertson to earn opportunities in Toronto’s stacked offence.

Not anymore.

Mitch Marner is gone, and Auston Matthews is out with an injury. The Maple Leafs are desperate for any signs of offence, and Robertson is one of the few forwards delivering.

The shifty forward has eight points in his last eight games, tying for fourth among all Maple Leafs players during this stretch.

-> Wager on Robertson to contribute for the Maple Leafs

Robertson is averaging 15:37 in ice time during this stretch, which is significantly higher than his usage from the first nine games (12:34).

Backing Robertson seems like a wise idea with his deployment on the rise.

Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks prop picks made at 1:08 p.m. ET 11/15/2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 15: Bet on Golden Knights’ Dorofeyev and Hertl, Kings’ Fiala to score

Three intriguing plus-money plays headline my NHL anytime goal picks for Nov. 15.

The pregame narrative: The Vegas Golden Knights and Los Angeles Kings have provided average offensive results this season. Both have plus matchups, however, and a trio of key offensive players figure to tickle twine on Saturday night.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 15, featuring Pavel Dorofeyev, Tomas Hertl and Kevin Fiala.

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NHL goal picks Nov. 15

Best Bet: Dorofeyev to score (+155)

Some players are playmakers, others are goal scorers.

Dorofeyev is a goal scorer.

The Vegas forward is almost exclusively delivering goals for his team. The winger has 10 goals and just one assist through 16 games.

The only player in the league with one assist who has more goals than Dorofeyev is Keifer Sherwood (12 goals).

It’s unsurprising to see Dorofeyev score at this rate. He’s constantly in the offensive mix for Vegas.

-> Wager on Dorofeyev at NorthStar Bets

Dorofeyev is second on the Golden Knights in scoring chances this year (52).

His Golden Knights face a St. Louis Blues squad that can’t keep the puck out of its own net.

The Blues have the worst save percentage in the NHL (.860).

St. Louis is tied for surrendering the most goals per game (3.83).

Bet on Dorofeyev to be buzzing offensively for Vegas.

Key stat: Dorofeyev has four goals in six career games against the Blues.

NHL predictions

Hertl to score (+162): The Blues are a great team to pick on right now, hence why I’m doubling down with Vegas.

St. Louis has allowed four-plus goals in three of its last five games. Porous goaltending efforts have been a constant for the team this year, and there are no signs of improvement.

-> Bet on Hertl and the Golden Knights tonight!

Hertl enters as Vegas’ hottest goal scorer. The forward has scored in back-to-back games and has an impressive 17 shots in his last three outings.

Additionally, Hertl leads the Golden Knights in several key categories:

Expected goals (8.65)
Scoring chances (59)
High-danger chances (42)

Hertl is a great pick at this line as a driving force of the squad’s offence.

Fiala to score (+145): Fiala is a great pick to score for similar reasons.

The Kings square off with the Ottawa Senators. No, Ottawa hasn’t been as bad as St. Louis, but it’s close:

Ottawa is allowing the third-most goals per game (3.56).

The Senators have the second-worst save percentage in the league (.862).

Fiala has one of the hottest sticks in the league ahead of this contest. He has a goal in each of his last three games and four of his last five.

-> Bet on Fiala and the Kings at Northstar Bets!

The winger leads his team in scoring chances (58) and should bury one against a struggling Sens squad.

NHL goal picks made at 11:59 a.m. ET on 11/15/2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 15: Bet on Golden Knights’ Dorofeyev and Hertl, Kings’ Fiala to score

Three intriguing plus-money plays headline my NHL anytime goal picks for Nov. 15.

The pregame narrative: The Vegas Golden Knights and Los Angeles Kings have provided average offensive results this season. Both have plus matchups, however, and a trio of key offensive players figure to tickle twine on Saturday night.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 15, featuring Pavel Dorofeyev, Tomas Hertl and Kevin Fiala.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NHL

NHL goal picks Nov. 15

Best Bet: Dorofeyev to score (+138)

Some players are playmakers, others are goal scorers.

Dorofeyev is a goal scorer.

The Vegas forward is almost exclusively delivering goals for his team. The winger has 10 goals and just one assist through 16 games.

The only player in the league with one assist who has more goals than Dorofeyev is Keifer Sherwood (12 goals).

It’s unsurprising to see Dorofeyev score at this rate. He’s constantly in the offensive mix for Vegas.

-> Wager on Dorofeyev at NorthStar Bets

Dorofeyev is second on the Golden Knights in scoring chances this year (52).

His Golden Knights face a St. Louis Blues squad that can’t keep the puck out of its own net.

The Blues have the worst save percentage in the NHL (.860).

St. Louis is tied for surrendering the most goals per game (3.83).

Bet on Dorofeyev to be buzzing offensively for Vegas.

Key stat: Dorofeyev has four goals in six career games against the Blues.

Embed: #121015

NHL predictions

Hertl to score (+205): The Blues are a great team to pick on right now, hence why I’m doubling down with Vegas.

St. Louis has allowed four-plus goals in three of its last five games. Porous goaltending efforts have been a constant for the team this year, and there are no signs of improvement.

-> Bet on Hertl and the Golden Knights tonight!

Hertl enters as Vegas’ hottest goal scorer. The forward has scored in back-to-back games and has an impressive 17 shots in his last three outings.

Additionally, Hertl leads the Golden Knights in several key categories:

Expected goals (8.65)
Scoring chances (59)
High-danger chances (42)

Hertl is a great pick at this line as a driving force of the squad’s offence.

Fiala to score (+185): Fiala is a great pick to score for similar reasons.

The Kings square off with the Ottawa Senators. No, Ottawa hasn’t been as bad as St. Louis, but it’s close:

Ottawa is allowing the third-most goals per game (3.56).

The Senators have the second-worst save percentage in the league (.862).

Fiala has one of the hottest sticks in the league ahead of this contest. He has a goal in each of his last three games and four of his last five.

-> Bet on Fiala and the Kings at Northstar Bets!

The winger leads his team in scoring chances (58) and should bury one against a struggling Sens squad.

NHL goal picks made at 11:59 a.m. ET on 11/15/2025.

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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime ATP Finals odds and best bet: Fade the Canadian in tough matchup

Felix Auger-Aliassime battles the No. 1 player in the world, Carlos Alcaraz, at the ATP Finals semis.

The pregame narrative: Alcaraz and Auger-Aliassime both enter this match playing excellent tennis. The former is a perfect 3-0 in tournament play, while the latter has won back-to-back matches after dropping his first. The winner of this contest earns a spot in the ATP Finals final.

Check out my Alcaraz vs. Aliassime ATP Finals best bet below.

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ATP Finals odds

Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime best bet

Best Bet: Auger-Aliassime under 9.5 games won (-118)

There was a time when Auger-Aliassime dominated this matchup.

In a stretch from September 2021 to October 2022, Auger-Aliassime won all three meetings between the tennis stars. He didn’t just scrape by Alcaraz, either; he won convincingly:

6-3, 3-1, ret. at the US Open (2021)
6-7, 6-4, 6-2 at the 2022 Davis Cup
6-3, 6-2 at the 2022 Swiss Indoors Basel

Though this impressive run was just a few years ago, it may as well be a lifetime considering recent results.

-> Bet on Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime at Northstar Bets today!

This matchup has been all Alcaraz since 2023. The two have met four times across this time, and the Spaniard has won each battle.

Two of their outings were on clay, and the other two were on the hardcourts. Naturally, I put more stock in the hardcourt wins when capping this match, considering that it is the surface for the ATP Finals.

Those two contests weren’t very close, with Alcaraz largely blowing by Auger-Aliassime:

6-4, 6-4 win at the 2023 Indian Wells Open
6-2, 6-3 win at the 2024 Indian Wells Open

Both of these players are extraordinary servers, but Auger-Aliassime’s inability to convert breaks in the return game gives him a small margin for error.

Alcaraz’s serve is in elite form, and his return skills are otherworldly. It will be very difficult for Auger-Aliassime to cover this number if Alcaraz can earn a couple of breaks.

Key stat: Alcaraz has 11 aces to just two double faults across his last two matches.

Sinner vs. Auger-Aliassime best bet made at 9:51 a.m. on 11/15/2025.

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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime ATP Finals odds and best bet: Fade the Canadian in tough matchup

Felix Auger-Aliassime battles the No. 1 player in the world, Carlos Alcaraz, at the ATP Finals semis.

The pregame narrative: Alcaraz and Auger-Aliassime both enter this match playing excellent tennis. The former is a perfect 3-0 in tournament play, while the latter has won back-to-back matches after dropping his first. The winner of this contest earns a spot in the ATP Finals final.

Check out my Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime ATP Finals best bet below.

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ATP Finals odds

Embed: #121009

Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime best bet

Best Bet: Auger-Aliassime under 9.5 games won (+102)

There was a time when Auger-Aliassime dominated this matchup.

In a stretch from September 2021 to October 2022, Auger-Aliassime won all three meetings between the tennis stars. He didn’t just scrape by Alcaraz, either; he won convincingly:

6-3, 3-1, ret. at the US Open (2021)
6-7, 6-4, 6-2 at the 2022 Davis Cup
6-3, 6-2 at the 2022 Swiss Indoors Basel

Though this impressive run was just a few years ago, it may as well be a lifetime considering recent results.

-> Bet on Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime at Northstar Bets today!

This matchup has been all Alcaraz since 2023. The two have met four times across this time, and the Spaniard has won each battle.

Two of their outings were on clay, and the other two were on the hardcourts. Naturally, I put more stock in the hardcourt wins when capping this match, considering that it is the surface for the ATP Finals.

Those two contests weren’t very close, with Alcaraz largely blowing by Auger-Aliassime:

6-4, 6-4 win at the 2023 Indian Wells Open
6-2, 6-3 win at the 2024 Indian Wells Open

Both of these players are extraordinary servers, but Auger-Aliassime’s inability to convert breaks in the return game gives him a small margin for error.

Alcaraz’s serve is in elite form, and his return skills are otherworldly. It will be very difficult for Auger-Aliassime to cover this number if Alcaraz can earn a couple of breaks.

Key stat: Alcaraz has 11 aces to just two double faults across his last two matches.

Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime best bet made at 9:51 a.m. on 11/15/2025.

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ATP Finals 2025 tennis predictions Nov. 9: Best bets for Alcaraz vs. de Minaur, Zverev vs. Shelton

Four of tennis’ biggest stars are in action at the ATP Finals on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: Carlos Alcaraz has dominated Alex de Minaur, but there’s value in backing the underdog. Elsewhere, I’m betting on Alexander Zverev to roll against Ben Shelton.

Check out my top ATP Finals tennis predictions for Nov. 9 below.

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ATP Finals tennis predictions Nov. 9

Best Bet: Zverev -1.5 sets (+160)

A matchup between Zverev and Shelton should be electric, but I see the former dominating the latter.

Recent form plays a big part in making this pick. Zverev is coming off an excellent month of October, while Shelton is not.

The German tennis superstar advanced to the final in Vienna and the semifinals in Paris, crashing out with losses to Jannik Sinner at both.

-> Bet on Zverev vs. Shelton here!

Zverev earned some big wins in the process. He toppled Lorenzo Musetti and Daniil Medvedev last month.

Shelton didn’t have a great October. He went an underwhelming 3-3, with two of his three defeats coming to lower-ranked opponents.

Shelton has proven to be a streaky player in 2025. The American star earned 18 of his 40 wins this year in July and August alone.

I’ll gladly back Zverev to earn a convincing win at this price.

Key stat: Zverev is 4-0 lifetime against Shelton, beating him in straight sets on the hardcourt earlier this year in Cincinnati (6-2, 6-2).

Alcaraz vs. de Minaur best bet

de Minaur +1.5 sets (-120): This is not a matchup that has historically favoured de Minaur. He has lost all four head-to-head matches to Alcaraz.

So why am I backing the Aussie to keep it close?

This is a classic example of rest vs. rust, and I’ll back the player who’s playing some solid tennis ahead of this contest.

-> Bet on Alcaraz vs. de Minaur here

de Minaur played in 11 matches during October, going a solid 8-3 during that stretch with victories over top-50 players like Karen Khachanov, Gabriel Diallo and Nuno Borges.

Alcaraz, meanwhile, hasn’t played much tennis as he works through an ankle injury. Alcaraz only played three matches last month, losing two of them.

de Minaur may not win this match, but I expect him to push Alcaraz.

ATP Finals tennis predictions made at 3:20 p.m. on 11/8/2025.

ATP Finals 2025 tennis predictions Nov. 9: Best bets for Alcaraz vs. de Minaur, Zverev vs. Shelton

Four of tennis’ biggest stars are in action at the ATP Finals on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: Carlos Alcaraz has dominated Alex de Minaur, but there’s value in backing the underdog. Elsewhere, I’m betting on Alexander Zverev to roll against Ben Shelton.

Check out my top ATP Finals tennis predictions for Nov. 9 below.

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ATP Finals tennis predictions Nov. 9

Best Bet: Zverev -1.5 sets (+175)

A matchup between Zverev and Shelton should be electric, but I see the former dominating the latter.

Recent form plays a big part in making this pick. Zverev is coming off an excellent month of October, while Shelton is not.

The German tennis superstar advanced to the final in Vienna and the semifinals in Paris, crashing out with losses to Jannik Sinner at both.

-> Bet on Zverev vs. Shelton here

Zverev earned some big wins in the process. He toppled Lorenzo Musetti and Daniil Medvedev last month.

Shelton didn’t have a great October. He went an underwhelming 3-3, with two of his three defeats coming to lower-ranked opponents.

Shelton has proven to be a streaky player in 2025. The American star earned 18 of his 40 wins this year in July and August alone.

I’ll gladly back Zverev to earn a convincing win at this price.

Key stat: Zverev is 4-0 lifetime against Shelton, beating him in straight sets on the hardcourt earlier this year in Cincinnati (6-2, 6-2).

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Alcaraz vs. de Minaur best bet

de Minaur +1.5 sets (-107): This is not a matchup that has historically favoured de Minaur. He has lost all four head-to-head matches to Alcaraz.

So why am I backing the Aussie to keep it close?

This is a classic example of rest vs. rust, and I’ll back the player who’s playing some solid tennis ahead of this contest.

-> Bet on Alcaraz vs. de Minaur here

de Minaur played in 11 matches during October, going a solid 8-3 during that stretch with victories over top-50 players like Karen Khachanov, Gabriel Diallo and Nuno Borges.

Alcaraz, meanwhile, hasn’t played much tennis as he works through an ankle injury. Alcaraz only played three matches last month, losing two of them.

de Minaur may not win this match, but I expect him to push Alcaraz.

ATP Finals tennis predictions made at 3:20 p.m. on 11/8/2025.