Steven Psihogios

The New York Jets are desperate for a win against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: No team wreaks of desperation more than New York. I expect the Jets to win in a pivotal game against Pittsburgh. Additionally, the over on a teased-down total seems like the play. Thirdly, I’m betting on Allen Lazard to top a very manageable yardage total.

Check out my Jets vs. Steelers same-game parlay predictions for Week 7 below.

Jets vs. Steelers same-game parlay predictions

Full NFL Week 7 betting markets: Click here

Parlay: Jets moneyline + Over 34.5 points + Lazard over 27.5 receiving yards (+335)

Jets moneyline (-125): New York needs a win in the worst way.

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This team isn’t built for next season or the season after; this squad is built for now. The playoffs are slipping away from a 2-4 team with a 40-year-old quarterback.

But the Jets’ offence receives a major boost this week with the addition of Davante Adams. The superstar wide receiver reunites with Aaron Rodgers and the two have a lengthy history of success dating back to their time with the Green Bay Packers.

The main reason for my confidence in the Jets’ however, will be their ability to get to Pittsburgh quarterback Russell Wilson.

Wilson will play after missing the first six weeks with a calf injury. The ex-Seattle Seahawks QB doesn’t evade pressure the same way he used to, which will be problematic against New York’s stud interior defensive linemen Quinnen Williams and Javon Kinlaw.

Other parlay picks

Over 34.5 points (-210): I’m not expecting this game to be a barn burner, but this is a low bar to clear.

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The standard game total is hovering around 39 points, which tells you plenty about these teams. The strength for both squads lies in their defences.

Strong defensive play, however, could lead to some advantageous field position and more points than expected.

There are plenty of big-time playmakers in this game, with Adams and Garrett Wilson for the Jets and George Pickens for the Steelers.

The over on this total has hit in three consecutive Steelers games and four of New York’s six contests this season.

Lazard over 27.5 receiving yards (-118): Lazard’s involvement in New York’s offence will likely take a significant dip with Adams in town. He’ll now serve as the team’s WR3 behind Adams and Wilson, taking him off the field in two wide receiver sets.

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But I don’t think we’ll see Adams operate as an every-down receiver right away. For starters, he’s coming back from a hamstring injury that has sidelined him for three weeks.

Secondly, he’s adjusting to a new offence. Although Adams is likely very familiar with the type of offence Rodgers likes to run, there are likely nuances that will require a little more time than three practices to pick up.

Lazard has topped this total in five of six games, and he’s very capable of doing so again, even if his usage is trending down.

Picks made at 1:29 p.m. on 10/19/24.

The Buffalo Bills and New York Jets meet in an early, yet important, AFC East showdown on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: New York reeks of desperation, and I believe we’re only scratching the surface of the team’s dysfunction. I’ll back a Buffalo team that’s looking to rebound after consecutive losses. I’m also fading a struggling Aaron Rodgers in primetime.

Check out my Bills vs. Jets best bets for the Week 6 Monday Night Football matchup.

Bills vs. Jets best bets

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Go to full NFL betting markets

Best Bet: Bills -2.5 (-110)

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A lot is going on in New York that doesn’t pass the sniff test.

The Jets relieved head coach Robert Saleh of his duties after the team’s 2-3 start. Saleh, heralded as a great defensive mind, had his team ceding the fewest yards per play (4.3) this season.

Offensive coordinator and close friend of Rodgers, Nathaniel Hackett, wasn’t sent packing although he was stripped of play-calling duties.

Defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich has been promoted to interim head coach, but does anybody really believe he’s calling the shots?

It appears that Rodgers has owner Woody Johnson’s ear and is, at the very least, an influential voice in the team’s decision-making process.

Sometimes a new head coach can rejuvenate a team, but the Jets have major offensive issues that still haven’t been addressed.

Rodgers has been one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL this season. He’s 30th among all eligible QBs in yards per pass (6.0) and is coming off a game where he threw three interceptions.

The rushing attack has struggled all season long, too. New York ranks 30th in yards per rush (3.6).

Buffalo has lost back-to-back games, but those were against the Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans. Those opponents are certainly a cut above the Jets.

Key stat: Buffalo has a higher offensive DVOA (eight vs. 23) and defensive DVOA (six vs. 12) than New York.

Quick pick

Rodgers longest completion – under 33.5 yards (-104): Rodgers doesn’t seem to have much of a deep ball these days.

The Jets QB hasn’t completed a pass of 30-plus yards since Week 1, meaning he’s failed to top this mark in each of his last four games.

It’s also looking like Rodgers could’ve used a few extra reps this offseason as he hasn’t showcased much chemistry with wide receiver Garrett Wilson. The veteran passer severely overthrew his top option in a crucial moment last week.

Rodgers’ days of rolling out, extending plays and chucking it deep seem to be long gone. I’ll gladly go under this number.

Picks made at 2:34 p.m. ET 10/12/2024.

The New York Giants host the Cincinnati Bengals in a pivotal matchup for both squads on Sunday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: The absence of a star LSU wide receiver is why I like Darius Slayton to have a game. I will, however, back superstar LSU wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase to clear his yardage prop. Daniel Jones has no ties to LSU, but I will pick him to top his rushing yards prop.

Check out my Bengals vs. Giants prop picks for Sunday Night Football on Oct. 13.

Bengals vs. Giants prop picks

Full Sunday Night Football betting markets: Click Here

Best Bet: Slayton over 48.5 receiving yards (-115)

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There are several reasons to be bullish about Slayton’s yardage prop for Sunday Night Football.

For starters, Malik Nabers’ concussion will keep him out another week. The stud rookie wideout was dominating New York’s receiver room, totalling 52 targets through the first four weeks of the season.

That’s a massive amount of volume left for someone to fill.

Early returns point towards Slayton being that guy. The six-year pro has spent his entire career with the Giants, developing chemistry with Jones. Slayton hauled in eight of 11 targets in Week 5 against the Seattle Seahawks, totalling 122 yards and a touchdown.

The two should be able to connect against a Bengals defence that has been dreadful in 2024. Cincinnati is ceding the ninth-most yards per pass attempt (6.9) in the NFL.

Slayton has topped this total in back-to-back games and I like his chances of doing so again.

Key stat: The Bengals have allowed six wide receivers to record 50-plus receiving yards in the last two weeks.

Quick picks

Chase over 76.5 receiving yards (-113): Sometimes you just have to jump on the bandwagon.

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I was on Chase’s yardage prop in last week’s game against the Baltimore Ravens and he didn’t disappoint. Chase totalled 193 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 10 receptions in Week 5.

The superstar talent has topped this mark in three consecutive weeks and I see no reason why he won’t make it four. New York’s defence has struggled at home, allowing the third-most yards per pass attempt (8.1) in their building.

Above all else, however, this is a play on arguably the best receiver in the game who’s in peak form.

Jones over 34.5 rushing yards (-118): Jones looked a little timid in his return from a torn ACL but he wasn’t shy about rushing in Week 5.

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The Giants QB turned 11 carries into 38 yards against the Seahawks. I expect a similar performance on Sunday against a Bengals defence that can’t contain quarterbacks.

Cincinnati is ceding the second-most rushing yards per game to the position (32.8), according to Yahoo Fantasy. Two of the last three QBs to face the Bengals have topped this total (Lamar Jackson and Jayden Daniels).

Jones isn’t on the same level as those two, but I expect him to take off when the opportunity presents himself and beat this mark.

Picks made at 12:34 p.m. ET 10/12/2024.