Steven Psihogios

I’m expecting plenty of offence with the Dallas Cowboys visiting the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: San Francisco is running out of receivers. George Kittle topping his receiving prop is my best bet if the tight end is able to go. CeeDee Lamb is a good pick to deliver a monster showing with Dallas needing a win. Thirdly, I’m taking the over on Rico Dowdle’s rushing yards prop.

Check out my Cowboys vs. 49ers prop picks for Sunday Night Football on Oct. 27.

Cowboys vs. 49ers prop picks

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Best Bet: Kittle over 56.5 receiving yards (-114)

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There aren’t many receivers left for San Francisco.

Brandon Aiyuk is out for the year, and Jauan Jennings is missing his second straight game. Both Deebo Samuel and Kittle are questionable to play, but if either suits up, they’re in store for a monster performance.

This line would be well within reach for Kittle even if San Francisco wasn’t short receivers. The tight end has topped this mark in four of six games including each of his last three.

Kittle is receiving a steady stream of targets these days. He has six or more in three consecutive contests and should continue to see heavy volume with key names battling injuries.

Teams have been able to throw on Dallas this season, too. The Cowboys are tied for allowing the fourth-most yards per pass (7.5) in the league.

Bet on Kittle to see a heavy workload with injuries plaguing San Francisco’s receiver core.

Key stat: Kittle is averaging 62.5 receiving yards per game.

Quick picks

Lamb over 76.5 receiving yards (-113): This has to be a breakout game for Lamb.

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The Cowboys wide receiver has topped this line in three of six games but has yet to usurp 100 receiving yards.

Dallas is coming off a bye after getting shellacked, 47-9, by the Detroit Lions two weeks ago. A win is paramount for a 3-3 team with playoff aspirations like the Cowboys.

The bye week likely allowed Dallas to reset and scheme ways to get the ball into its best playmaker’s hands.

With The Cowboys’ season feeling like it hangs in the balance, expect Lamb to deliver a special performance.

Dowdle over 44.5 rushing yards (+108): Dallas head coach Mike McCarthy stated the obvious after the team’s embarrassing loss to Detroit. Dowdle needs to get the ball more.

The Cowboys running back is having a pretty effective season running the ball, averaging 4.2 yards per rush. The only problem, however, is that Dallas isn’t dialling up many running plays for the speedy back.

Dowdle has finished with eight or fewer rushes in four of six games. He’s coming off a season-low five carries against the Lions.

I anticipate Dallas getting the ball in Dowdle’s hands and him having a strong performance.

Dowdle topped this mark in both games where he received more than eight carries.

San Francisco hasn’t been dominant at stopping the run, surrendering 4.4 yards per carry.

Picks made at 3:47 p.m. ET 10/26/2024.

The Buffalo Bills hit the road to battle the Seattle Seahawks in what should be an exciting matchup.

The pregame narrative: Seattle is coming off a big win over the Atlanta Falcons but a certain injury tilts the scales in Buffalo’s favour. I’m backing the Bills to cover while taking the under and fading Geno Smith in Sunday’s contest.

Check out my Bills vs. Seahawks same-game parlay predictions for Week 8.

Bills vs. Seahawks same-game parlay predictions

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Parlay: Bills -2.5 + Under 49.5 points + Smith under 239.5 passing yards (+310)

Bills -2.5 (-129): It’s fair to poke holes in Seattle’s 4-3 record.

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The Seahawks raced out to a 3-0 start but that requires some context. Their wins came over the Denver Broncos, New England Patriots, and Tua Tagovailoa-less Miami Dolphins. They proceeded to lose the next three contests before routing the Atlanta Falcons on the road in Week 7.

I’m skeptical of their chances against a true heavyweight in Buffalo.

The Bills’ offence received a major boost with Amari Cooper, and the early returns are strong. Cooper caught four of five targets for 66 yards and a touchdown in his debut.

His presence also freed up space for Keon Coleman. The rookie turned four receptions into 125 receiving yards with less attention directed his way.

Seattle’s defence is allowing the 10th-most yards per pass (7.3) across the last three weeks. I expect Buffalo to have success through the air and win by three-plus points.

Other parlay picks

Under 49.5 points (-180): Weather is going to have a major impact on this game.

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Definite rain is in the forecast, according to NFLWeather.com, and that’ll likely muddle both teams’ passing attacks to some extent.

Seattle’s passing offence will struggle the most. Not only will it be battling the elements, but it’ll also likely be without its top wide receiver.

DK Metcalf is doubtful to play and that’s a major loss. Metcalf is sixth among all NFL receivers in percentage share of the team’s air yards (41.08%), according to NFL Next Gen Stats.

The under on this total has hit in five of Buffalo’s last six games and five of Seattle’s seven games this season.

Smith under 239.5 passing yards (-114): Metcalf’s absence and poor conditions make this a tough spot for Smith.

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The Seahawks quarterback has some stark home-road splits. Smith has thrown four touchdowns and five interceptions in four games at Lumen Field compared to four touchdowns and one interception in three games on the road.

Two of Seattle’s road games (Detroit and Atlanta) have been played indoors.

Buffalo is only ceding 209.1 passing yards per game, and I doubt Smith torches the unit for an above-average day while fighting the conditions.

Picks made at 2:30 p.m. on 10/26/24.

A trio of pivotal NFC matchups headline NFL Week 8.

The latest: The Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers both need a win and battle it out on Sunday Night Football. Elsewhere, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Atlanta Falcons in a crucial NFC South showdown while Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels go head-to-head.

Check out the latest NFL Week 8 odds below.

NFL Week 8 odds

Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns

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Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans

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Green Bay Packers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

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Tennessee Titans vs. Detroit Lions

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Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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New York Jets vs. New England Patriots

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Arizona Cardinals vs. Miami Dolphins

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Cincinnati Bengals

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Buffalo Bills vs. Seattle Seahawks

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Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders

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Kanas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders

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Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers

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New York Giants vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

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Visit all of NorthStar Bets’ NFL markets. Click on game odds below to bet now.

Betting insights

• The last time we saw the Cowboys in action, they lost embarrassingly to the Lions. How will Dallas respond after a 47-9 loss? That’s to be determined. The 49ers have won three consecutive games against the Cowboys but are coming off a tough loss of their own to the Chiefs. Brandon Aiyuk is also out of the year, which adds to a laundry list of injuries in SF.

• A Williams vs. Daniels showdown will be must-see TV when the Bears visit the Commanders. Bettors who wagered on either QB to win Offensive Rookie of the Year will be glued to the screen, as that game will likely have major implications on the market.
  
• Tua Tagovailoa should be back under centre this week, which changes everything for the Dolphins. Miami is 1-3 with Tua sidelined and averaging just 10.0 PPG. The Cardinals have lost three of their last four games all by 7+ points.

• Atlanta already has one win over Tampa Bay this year and a second would do wonders for its chances of winning the NFC South. The Buccaneers will be operating on short rest, too, after playing the Ravens on Monday Night Football.
  
• The Steelers are 5-2 and scored a season-high 37 points last time out with Russell Wilson under centre. Now, they host a Giants team averaging the second-fewest points per game (14.7) on Monday Night Football.

The Los Angeles Chargers aim to stay hot against the Arizona Cardinals on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Arizona finds itself as a home underdog in primetime and I’m looking to tease it up. The under on an alternate total seems like the right play with Los Angeles running the clock on most games. Thirdly, I will take the over on Trey McBride’s receiving yards total.

Check out my Chargers vs. Cardinals same-game parlay predictions for Week 7 below.

Chargers vs. Cardinals same-game parlay predictions

Full NFL Week 7 betting markets: Click here

Parlay: Cardinals +3.5 + Under 49.5 points + McBride over 49.5 receiving yards (+325)

Cardinals +3.5 (-162): I’m confident Arizona can keep this game within a field goal.

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The Cardinals have been very good following a loss this season. They’re 2-1 in that scenario, scoring impressive wins over the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers.

Los Angeles’ offence doesn’t score many points, which is why I’m not comfortable laying more than a field goal with it. The Chargers rank 26th in points per game (18.2), noticeably less than the 17th-ranked Cards (22.2).

Arizona is very much alive in a slow-starting NFC West. I expect it to throw a hard punch at home after back-to-back weeks on the road and make this a competitive contest.

Other parlay picks

Under 49.5 points (-230): Teasing the total up to this number in a Chargers game feels like the right move.

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All Los Angeles wants to do is run the football. It ranks third in run-play percentage in the NFL this season (52.40%).

That’s a big reason why Chargers games typically don’t feature much offence. The under on this total has comfortably hit in all five of the team’s contests, with an average total of 31.4 points.

Cardinals games tend to be more wide-open thanks to their underwhelming defence and league-average offence, but even they’ve gone under this mark in three of their last four outings.

McBride over 49.5 receiving yards (-127): Marvin Harrison Jr.’s start hasn’t lived up to expectations, and it wouldn’t shock me if McBride gains more attention from Kyler Murray.

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Harrison checked out of last week’s game with a concussion. He will be suiting up for this contest, but expect Murray to stick with his most reliable receiving option.

McBride became the focal point of the passing attack with Harrison out. He caught all eight of his targets for a season-high 96 yards.

The versatile tight end also played a large role in Week 5’s win over the 49ers, snagging six of nine targets for 53 yards.

McBride has cleared 50 receiving yards in three of five games this season.

Picks made at 12:25 p.m. on 10/20/24.

The Baltimore Ravens visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a matchup that has major shootout potential.

The pregame narrative: I expect a high-scoring, back-and-fourth battle between the Ravens and Buccaneers. Tampa Bay should do enough to keep this contest close while the over on a teased-down total should come through. Thirdly, I’m taking the over on Baker Mayfield’s passing yards prop.

Check out my Ravens vs. Buccaneers same-game parlay predictions for Week 7 below.

Ravens vs. Buccaneers same-game parlay predictions

Full NFL Week 7 betting markets: Click here

Parlay: Buccaneers +3.5 + Over 44.5 points + Mayfield over 255.5 passing yards (+300)

Buccaneers +3.5 (-109): Baltimore’s suspect defence is my biggest reason for this wager.

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The Ravens have not been good defensively. They’re allowing the 10th-most points per game (24.8) in the NFL. The unit is also ceding the 11th-most yards per play (5.6), letting opposing offences march down the field at will.

That’s bad news against a dynamic Tampa Bay offence. The Buccaneers are second in the NFL in points per game (29.7) and tied for fifth in yards per play (6.1).

Tampa Bay is flawed defensively, too, but it has been very good at covering this number. The Bucs have done so in four of six games with one of those losses coming in overtime.

Baltimore, meanwhile, has failed to cover this number in four of six contests.

Other parlay picks

Over 44.5 points (-205): This game has all the makings of an over.

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These are two of the NFL’s very best offences. The Bucs, as mentioned above, are second in points per game and the Ravens are fourth (29.5). The latter also moves the ball extremely well, leading the league in yards per play (6.9).

The Ravens aren’t the only squad struggling on the defensive side of the ball. The Buccaneers are 19th in points against per game (23.5) and are ceding the seventh-most yards per game (365.7).

Tampa Bay has gone over this total in four of six games. Baltimore, meanwhile, has cleared this mark in all six games this season.

Mayfield over 255.5 passing yards (-115): Thirdly, Mayfield should be slinging the ball all over the yard in this contest.

The Buccaneers quarterback is averaging 248.2 passing yards per game this season, but there’s reason to believe he’ll finish with an above-average yardage total.

For starters, he has topped 300 passing yards in two of his last three games.

Secondly, teams have been passing all over the Ravens this season. They’re surrendering the second-most passing yards per game (275.7) in the NFL.

With Tampa Bay entering this contest as an underdog, the Bucs should remain in passing situations throughout the game. That should set Mayfield up for plenty of volume and an impressive output.

Picks made at 10:37 a.m. on 10/20/24.

Expect plenty of offence when the Baltimore Ravens meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: These two defences struggle to stop the pass, so naturally, I’m looking for pass-catchers to go over their receiving yards props. Mark Andrews and Zay Flowers are both good picks to usurp their totals in primetime.

Check out my Ravens vs. Buccaneers prop picks for Monday Night Football on Oct. 21.

Ravens vs. Buccaneers prop picks

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Best Bet: Andrews over 27.5 receiving yards (-114)

Andrews seems to be settling back into being his reliable, effective self in Baltimore’s offence.

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It was fair to worry about the veteran tight end through the early portion of the season. He failed to register a single catch in two of the Ravens’ first four games of the season, finishing with fewer than 15 receiving yards in three of those contests.

But as the Ravens find themselves playing in high-scoring games, Lamar Jackson has looked the way of the trusted veteran.

Andrews has 121 receiving yards in his last two contests and stares down a juicy matchup in Week 7.

The Buccaneers are among the worst teams in the league at covering tight ends. They’re ceding the third-most receiving yards per game (51.5) to the position, according to Yahoo Fantasy.

Bet on Andrews to stay hot and top a very manageable number in Week 7.

Key stat: Tampa Bay is allowing the fourth-most passing yards per game in the NFL this season (252.3).

Quick pick

Flowers over 61.5 receiving yards (-113): Andrews won’t be the only Ravens receiver racking up the yards on Monday Night Football.

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Flowers should be very busy in a very concentrated Baltimore passing attack. The second-year wide receiver is the only player on the team averaging more than 50 receiving yards per game (66.8).

The matchup is juicy, too, as the Bucs are ceding the eighth-most receiving yards per game (163.8) to wide receivers.

Tampa Bay has struggled against opposing top pass catches recently. Here’s how No. 1 wide receivers have done in recent outings.

Flowers is blowing past this line in recent outings, totalling 243 receiving yards in his last two contests.