Steven Psihogios

Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.

Texans vs. Cowboys Week 11 same-game parlay predictions: Bet on Houston to rout Dallas on Monday Night Football in +300 ticket

Texans vs. Cowboys predictions

The Houston Texans and Dallas Cowboys meet in the Battle of Texas on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Houston can send a message to its cross-state rival and I’m betting it does. I’m teasing the Texans up as favourites on this ticket. Additionally, I’m taking the under on a teased-up total and on Cooper Rush’s passing yards prop.

Check out my Texans vs. Cowboys same-game parlay predictions for Monday Night Football on Nov. 18.

Texans vs. Cowboys predictions

Go to full NFL betting markets

Parlay: Texans -9.5 + Rush under 199.5 passing yards + Under 45.5 points (+300)

Texans -9.5 (+114): It’s not often that I’m confident enough to tease a favourite up against the spread.

But the cheese has gone bad in Dallas. Dak Prescott is out, CeeDee Lamb is banged up, Micah Parsons is calling out the coach, and Jerry Jones is beefing with almost everybody on his payroll.

The Cowboys have lost four consecutive games — including two by 25-plus points — and are playing for a coach that everybody expects to be gone at the end of the season.

This wager is by no means an endorsement of a Houston squad that has underperformed expectations. But I do like the Texans to win this game by double digits and prove that they’re the class of Texas.

Go to full Texans vs. Cowboys betting markets.

Other parlay picks

Rush under 199.5 passing yards (-205): Rush’s first start of the season didn’t offer much optimism.

The Dallas quarterback completed 13-of-23 attempts for a measly 45 yards in last week’s loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. That’s less than two yards per attempt.

It won’t get much easier for the passer, either. After battling a Philadelphia team that allows the fewest yards per pass attempt (5.5), he faces a Houston defence tied for second (5.7).

There’s always the possibility that Rush gets pulled from this game, too. Dallas did turn to Trey Lance late in last week’s game.

Under 45.5 points (-186): It’s hard to get a total up over this mark if one team is doing all the scoring.

I’m not expecting Dallas to contribute much to this total. The squad only scored six points against Philadelphia in Week 10.

The Cowboys’ offence is also staring down a very difficult matchup. Houston is surrendering the fourth-fewest yards per play (4.9).

The Texans’ offence hasn’t been as electric as it was a year ago. They’re an underwhelming 17th in points per game (22.4).

Part of the reason for their low totals is their pace of play. Houston is 23rd in plays per second (29.8) this season.

The Texans have the highest under percentage (80%) in the NFL.

Picks made at 1:35 p.m. ET 11/17/2024.

NFL Week 12 odds and betting lines: Niners face Packers on Sunday Night Football, Chargers host Ravens on MNF

NFL Week 12 odds

Week 12’s NFL slate features plenty of matchups with significant playoff implications.

The latest: The San Francisco 49ers are hoping they can earn a hard-fought road win against the Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football. The Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers link up on Monday Night Football in a contest filled with intriguing storylines.

Check out the latest NFL Week 12 odds below.

NFL Week 12 odds

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants

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Detroit Lions vs. Indianapolis Colts

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Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans

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New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins

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Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Carolina Panthers

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Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders

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Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks

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San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Los Angeles Chargers

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Visit all of NorthStar Bets’ NFL markets. Click on game odds below to bet now.

Betting Insights

  • The Vikings haven’t been as sharp recently, but they still own an impressive record ahead of Week 12’s tilt with the Bears. Chicago’s season has been spiralling recently, but it still has five divisional games on its schedule.
  • A week after playing the Buffalo Bills, Kansas City hits the road to battle Carolina. The Panthers enjoyed a bye week in Week 11 after topping the Giants in Germany.
  • The 49ers and Packers are fighting for ground in their respective divisions and will renew their rivalry on Sunday Night Football. San Francisco has dominated the rivalry recently, winning four of the last six meetings (including three playoff victories).
  • The Harbaugh Bowl renews for the first time since Super Bowl XLVII. John famously got the best of Jim in that contest, but both are spearheading AFC squads firmly in the playoff picture this season. It’s no Super Bowl, but there’ll be plenty on the line in this MNF matchup.

NHL prop picks Nov. 17: Bet on Capitals’ Wilson to score a point

NHL prop picks

Two Washington Capitals find their way onto today’s NHL prop picks.

The pregame narrative: Washington has been excellent offensively this season. Two players — Tom Wilson and John Carlson — have my attention today.

Find my NHL prop picks for Nov. 17 below.

NHL prop picks

Best Bet: Wilson to score 1+ points (+100)

I’ll be the first to admit that I thought Washington’s best days were behind it.

But I, like many other hockey prognosticators, have been sadly mistaken. The Capitals are proving that they can still pack an offensive punch.

They lead the NHL in goals per game (4.19) and have scored 16 goals in their last three contests.

This steady stream of offence requires a full team effort and Wilson has been chipping in.

The Caps winger has four points in his last four games and has produced 13 shots in that stretch.

There’s certainly shootout potential between Washington and its opponent, the Vegas Golden Knights. Vegas is second in the league in goals per game (4.12), which suggests both teams should fill the net in this contest.

Wilson skates on Washington’s second line and top power play unit. If this one turns into an offensive affair, he’ll be in prime position to find the score sheet.

Key stat: Wilson has 13 points in 16 games this season.

Quick picks

Carlson to score 1+ points (+100): There’s good value on Washington’s top scorers to perform in what should be a high-scoring game.

Carlson is sixth on the Caps with 12 points in 16 games. He’s a proven horse, pacing the team in time on ice (24:58 per game) this season.

That heavy usage, which includes time on Washington’s top power play, should put him in some offensively friendly situations.

Carlson has three points in his last three games and should remain hot in this contest.

NHL picks made at 11:18 a.m. on 11/17/2024.

NHL prop picks Nov. 17: Bet on Rangers’ Lafreniere to score a point

NHL prop picks

Two Washington Capitals and one New York Rangers star find their way onto today’s NHL prop picks.

The pregame narrative: Washington has been excellent offensively this season. Two players — Tom Wilson and John Carlson — have my attention today. Elsewhere, I’m backing talented Rangers forward Alexis Lafreniere to find the score sheet.

Find my NHL prop picks for Nov. 17 below.

NHL prop picks

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Best Bet: Wilson to score 1+ points (+100)

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I’ll be the first to admit that I thought Washington’s best days were behind it.

But I, like many other hockey prognosticators, have been sadly mistaken. The Capitals are proving that they can still pack an offensive punch.

They lead the NHL in goals per game (4.19) and have scored 16 goals in their last three contests.

Go to full Capitals vs. Golden Knights betting markets.

This steady stream of offence requires a full team effort and Wilson has been chipping in.

The Caps winger has four points in his last four games and has produced 13 shots in that stretch.

There’s certainly shootout potential between Washington and its opponent, the Vegas Golden Knights. Vegas is second in the league in goals per game (4.12), which suggests both teams should fill the net in this contest.

Wilson skates on Washington’s second line and top power play unit. If this one turns into an offensive affair, he’ll be in prime position to find the score sheet.

Key stat: Wilson has 13 points in 16 games this season.

Quick picks

Carlson to score 1+ points (+100): There’s good value on Washington’s top scorers to perform in what should be a high-scoring game.

Carlson is sixth on the Caps with 12 points in 16 games. He’s a proven horse, pacing the team in time on ice (24:58 per game) this season.

That heavy usage, which includes time on Washington’s top power play, should put him in some offensively friendly situations.

Carlson has three points in his last three games and should remain hot in this contest.

Lafreniere to score 1+ points (-127): Everybody chips in offensively for New York, but Lafreniere has been a key contributor.

The winger is tied for second on the squad with 13 points in 15 outings and is in an offensive groove ahead of this contest. He has a point in three consecutive games.

One drawback for Lafreniere is that he’s currently skating on New York’s second power play. What’s working in his favour, however, is that he plays alongside Artemi Panarin on the team’s second line.

Panarin is having a fantastic season, ranking 13th in the league in points (23).

A major plus for New York’s offensive prospects is that this is the Seattle Kraken’s second game in as many days. Seattle started Joey Daccord on Saturday, which means Philipp Grubauer likely starts on Sunday.

Grubauer owns a rough 3.27 goals-against average and .877 save percentage this season.

NHL picks made at 11:18 a.m. on 11/17/2024.

NBA parlay picks Nov. 17: Bet on Grizzlies to beat Nuggets in +320 ticket

NBA parlay picks

Two favourites and an underdog find their way onto Sunday’s NBA parlay picks ticket.

The pregame narrative: The Brooklyn Nets have been an ATS darling this season, and I’m backing them plus a dozen points against the cross-town rival New York Knicks. I’m backing the Memphis Grizzlies to beat the Denver Nuggets and the Detroit Pistons to cover against the Washington Wizards.

Check out the full NBA parlay picks for Nov. 17.

NBA parlay picks

Parlay: Nets +12.5 + Grizzlies moneyline + Pistons -2.5 (+320)

Nets +12.5 (-188): Good teams win. Great teams cover. By definition, the Nets are a great team.

Brooklyn’s 5-8 straight-up record isn’t turning heads. But its 10-3 ATS mark is the best in the NBA.

The Nets have been on a covering spree recently. They’ve covered the number in five of their last six games, including four times as an underdog during this stretch.

Brooklyn has been very good at covering as an underdog all year long. It’s 8-2 in that scenario this season.

New York, meanwhile, is a mediocre 6-6 to open the campaign and just 5-7 against the spread. The Knicks are competent offensively and defensively, but they’re not elite in either regard:

  • 115.7 points per game (10th)
  • 112.2 points against per game (12th)

I’m skeptical in New York’s ability to blow out the Nets, and therefore, expect a close contest.

The Nets have covered this spread in 10 of 13 games this season.

Other picks

Grizzlies moneyline (-130): Denver continues to be a great team to fade at home and a total fade on the road.

The Nuggets are a strong 5-2 at Ball Arena but just 2-2 away from it. They’ve dropped back-to-back games as a visitor.

The challenge is tough on Sunday as they visit the Grizzlies. Memphis returns home after three consecutive games on the road. It’s won each of its last three contests at FedExForum and is 4-2 overall at home.

It wouldn’t be shocking to see the Grizzlies convincingly win this game, either. They boast the fifth-best margin of victory (7.2) in the NBA.

Pistons -2.5 (-175): Thirdly, I’m backing Detroit to win this contest against the struggling Wizards.

This is more of a fade of Washington than anything else. The team has the second-worst ATS record in the league (3-8) and the worst margin of victory in the league (-13.1).

In simpler terms, the Wizards are liable to be blown out any given night.

Detroit hasn’t been a bad team to back this season, either. It’s a strong 8-5-1 against the spread overall and 4-2-1 on the road.

Offence could be a major problem for the Wizards. They’re 21st in points for (110.8) and taking on a Pistons squad that cedes the eighth-fewest points per game (110.6).

Picks made at 9:53 a.m. on 11/17/2024.

NBA parlay picks Nov. 17: Bet on Grizzlies to beat Nuggets in +347 ticket

NBA parlay picks

Two favourites and an underdog find their way onto Sunday’s NBA parlay picks ticket.

The pregame narrative: The Brooklyn Nets have been an ATS darling this season, and I’m backing them plus a dozen points against the cross-town rival New York Knicks. I’m backing the Memphis Grizzlies to beat the Denver Nuggets and the Detroit Pistons to cover against the Washington Wizards.

Check out the full NBA parlay picks for Nov. 17.

NBA parlay picks

Go to full NBA betting markets

Parlay: Nets +12.5 + Grizzlies moneyline + Pistons -2.5 (+347)

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Nets +12.5 (-175): Good teams win. Great teams cover. By definition, the Nets are a great team.

Brooklyn’s 5-8 straight-up record isn’t turning heads. But its 10-3 ATS mark is the best in the NBA.

The Nets have been on a covering spree recently. They’ve covered the number in five of their last six games, including four times as an underdog during this stretch.

Brooklyn has been very good at covering as an underdog all year long. It’s 8-2 in that scenario this season.

New York, meanwhile, is a mediocre 6-6 to open the campaign and just 5-7 against the spread. The Knicks are competent offensively and defensively, but they’re not elite in either regard:

  • 115.7 points per game (10th)
  • 112.2 points against per game (12th)

I’m skeptical in New York’s ability to blow out the Nets, and therefore, expect a close contest.

The Nets have covered this spread in 10 of 13 games this season.

Other picks

Grizzlies moneyline (-130): Denver continues to be a great team to fade at home and a total fade on the road.

The Nuggets are a strong 5-2 at Ball Arena but just 2-2 away from it. They’ve dropped back-to-back games as a visitor.

The challenge is tough on Sunday as they visit the Grizzlies. Memphis returns home after three consecutive games on the road. It’s won each of its last three contests at FedExForum and is 4-2 overall at home.

It wouldn’t be shocking to see the Grizzlies convincingly win this game, either. They boast the fifth-best margin of victory (7.2) in the NBA.

Pistons -2.5 (-167): Thirdly, I’m backing Detroit to win this contest against the struggling Wizards.

This is more of a fade of Washington than anything else. The team has the second-worst ATS record in the league (3-8) and the worst margin of victory in the league (-13.1).

In simpler terms, the Wizards are liable to be blown out any given night.

Detroit hasn’t been a bad team to back this season, either. It’s a strong 8-5-1 against the spread overall and 4-2-1 on the road.

Offence could be a major problem for the Wizards. They’re 21st in points for (110.8) and taking on a Pistons squad that cedes the eighth-fewest points per game (110.6).

Picks made at 9:53 a.m. on 11/17/2024.

Chiefs vs. Bills Week 11 prop picks: Bet on Buffalo’s Dawson Knox to deliver

Chiefs vs. Bills prop picks

The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills meet in the must-see matchup of Week 11.

The pregame narrative: Buffalo is down some key pass-catchers with Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid out. Their absences should lead to a big day from Dawson Know. Additionally, I’m taking the over on Kareem Hunt’s receiving yards prop.

Check out my Chiefs vs. Bills prop picks for Week 11 below.

Chiefs vs. Bills prop picks

Go to full NFL betting markets

Best Bet: Knox over 29.5 receiving yards (-106)

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Injuries should pave the way for Knox to have a strong receiving day.

Coleman and Kincaid’s absences, especially the latter’s, will give the tight end increased opportunities. Knox logged a season-high 70% snap share with Kincaid banged up last week and finished with two catches for 40 yards.

There are a couple of indicators that point to his involvement increasing further in Week 11.

The first is Kansas City’s steadfast ability to clamp down on opposing wide receivers. The Chiefs are surrendering the second-fewest receiving yards per game to the position (111.7), according to Yahoo Fantasy.

Go to full Chiefs vs. Bills betting markets.

The second is Kansas City’s inability to cover tight ends. The Chiefs are ceding the most receiving yards per game to tight ends (77.6).

This kind of defence should lead Josh Allen to funnel targets toward the middle of the field. Knox should be busy and beat this modest total.

Key stat: Knox has topped this total in two of his last three games, totalling 95 receiving yards in those contests.

Quick pick

Hunt over 15.5 receiving yards (-112): This is a mouthwatering matchup for Hunt.

He battles a Buffalo defence that has struggled to limit opposing running backs through the air. The Bills allow the most receiving yards per game to the position (54.5).

A running back has topped this receiving total in two of Buffalo’s last three games.

It helps that Hunt is coming off his best game as a receiver since joining Kansas City. He hauled in seven of his 10 targets for 65 yards in Week 10’s contest against the Denver Broncos.

Similar usage isn’t out of the realm of possibility in this game. Buffalo is surrendering the most receptions per game to RBs (6.6).

Picks made at 3:29 p.m. ET 11/16/2024.

NHL prop picks Nov. 16: Bet on Blue Jackets’ Fantilli to deliver against Canadiens

NHL prop picks

A trio of under-the-radar players get the nod for my NHL prop picks on Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: William Eklund is enjoying a quality campaign for the San Jose Sharks and should capitalize in a plus matchup. Jason Zucker and Adam Fantilli have been decent contributors for their respective squads, and I like both to notch a point tonight.

Find my NHL prop picks for Nov. 16 below.

NHL prop picks

Best Bet: Eklund to score 1+ points (+105)

There aren’t many nights on the NHL schedule where San Jose is a team that prop bettors should look at.

But tonight just happens to be one of those occasions.

The Sharks take on the struggling Pittsburgh Penguins. Pittsburgh’s Stanley Cup window appears firmly closed as the team can’t get out of its own way. The Pens are one of the worst defensive and goaltending teams in the league.

They own the sixth-worst expected goals against per 60 (3.33), according to Natural Stat Trick. Combine that with the league’s sixth-worst save percentage (.880), and you get a squad ceding the second-most goals per game (3.95).

That should help San Jose’s struggling offence — with Eklund operating at the centre of it all.

The young winger plays on the team’s first line and top power play. His offensive-friendly usage is a big reason why he’s tied for second on the squad in points.

Bet on him finding the score sheet in a plus matchup.

Key stat: Eklund has three points in his last two games.

Other prop picks

Fantilli to score 1+ points (-108): Fantilli’s sophomore campaign hasn’t been as impressive as Eklund’s.

The Columbus Blue Jackets winger only has eight points this season. He did register an assist in his most recent outing, however, and has a juicy matchup on deck.

Columbus visits the Montreal Canadiens and there’s no better opponent for offence. Montreal ranks eighth in shots against per game (30.5) and first in goals against (4.06).

The Habs have ceded 37 goals across their last eight games. That’s excellent news for Fantilli, who skates on Columbus’ second line and top power play.

Zucker to score 1+ points (+120): Zucker has been a solid addition for the Buffalo Sabres.

The veteran winger has 11 points in 17 games this season. He’s logging hearty minutes as a middle-six forward and a member of Buffalo’s top power play.

Tonight’s matchup is enticing, with the Sabres battling the Philadelphia Flyers. Philadelphia’s goaltending is among the worst in the league, evidenced by its 30th-ranked save percentage (.875).

Zucker has seven points in his last 10 games and is a nice pick to register a point on Saturday.

NHL picks made at 2:35 p.m. on 11/16/2024.

NHL prop picks Nov. 16: Bet on Blue Jackets’ Fantilli to deliver against Canadiens

NHL prop picks

A trio of under-the-radar players get the nod for my NHL prop picks on Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: William Eklund is enjoying a quality campaign for the San Jose Sharks and should capitalize in a plus matchup. Jason Zucker and Adam Fantilli have been decent contributors for their respective squads, and I like both to notch a point tonight.

Find my NHL prop picks for Nov. 16 below.

NHL prop picks

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Best Bet: Eklund to score 1+ points (+107)

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There aren’t many nights on the NHL schedule where San Jose is a team that prop bettors should look at.

But tonight just happens to be one of those occasions.

The Sharks take on the struggling Pittsburgh Penguins. Pittsburgh’s Stanley Cup window appears firmly closed as the team can’t get out of its own way. The Pens are one of the worst defensive and goaltending teams in the league.

Go to Sharks vs. Penguins betting markets.

They own the sixth-worst expected goals against per 60 (3.33), according to Natural Stat Trick. Combine that with the league’s sixth-worst save percentage (.880), and you get a squad ceding the second-most goals per game (3.95).

That should help San Jose’s struggling offence — with Eklund operating at the centre of it all.

The young winger plays on the team’s first line and top power play. His offensive-friendly usage is a big reason why he’s tied for second on the squad in points.

Bet on him finding the score sheet in a plus matchup.

Key stat: Eklund has three points in his last two games.

Other prop picks

Fantilli to score 1+ points (-117): Fantilli’s sophomore campaign hasn’t been as impressive as Eklund’s.

The Columbus Blue Jackets winger only has eight points this season. He did register an assist in his most recent outing, however, and has a juicy matchup on deck.

Columbus visits the Montreal Canadiens and there’s no better opponent for offence. Montreal ranks eighth in shots against per game (30.5) and first in goals against (4.06).

The Habs have ceded 37 goals across their last eight games. That’s excellent news for Fantilli, who skates on Columbus’ second line and top power play.

Zucker to score 1+ points (+118): Zucker has been a solid addition for the Buffalo Sabres.

The veteran winger has 11 points in 17 games this season. He’s logging hearty minutes as a middle-six forward and a member of Buffalo’s top power play.

Tonight’s matchup is enticing, with the Sabres battling the Philadelphia Flyers. Philadelphia’s goaltending is among the worst in the league, evidenced by its 30th-ranked save percentage (.875).

Zucker has seven points in his last 10 games and is a nice pick to register a point on Saturday.

NHL picks made at 2:35 p.m. on 11/16/2024.

Maple Leafs props vs. Oilers Nov. 16: Bet on a multi-point night from McDavid

Maple Leafs props

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Edmonton Oilers square off in a star-studded Saturday night showdown.

The pregame narrative: Auston Matthews is out of the lineup, but there is still plenty of elite talent in this contest. Connor McDavid, who’s back and firing on all cylinders for Edmonton, should produce a multi-point performance. I’m fading two Maple Leafs, Morgan Rielly and Matthew Knies, on their shot props.

Check out our Maple Leafs props vs. Oilers for the game on Nov. 16.

Maple Leafs props vs. Oilers

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Best Bet: McDavid to score 2+ points (+100)

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I’m jumping on the McDavid bandwagon as the NHL’s premier player visits his home province on Saturday night.

McDavid has been his usual, otherworldly self since returning from injury. After scoring zero points in his first contest back, McDavid has compiled nine points in his last three games while registering two-plus points in each contest.

His return has galvanized the Oilers’ offence, which has notched 14 goals across its last three contests.

Edmonton is also ceding a fair amount of goals, which could lead to a high-scoring game. The Oilers have surrendered three-plus goals in four of their last five outings.

Toronto’s defence and goaltending haven’t been sharp this week. The team allowed six combined goals against the Ottawa Senators and Washington Capitals.

Bet on a solid night from McDavid as he aims to stay hot.

Key stat: McDavid has scored two-plus points in five of his last eight contests.

Quick picks

Rielly under 1.5 shots on goal (+130): Rielly isn’t putting much rubber on goal this season and is a nice plus-money pick to go below this total.

Rielly is averaging fewer than two shots per game with 35 shots across 18 contests. It’s worth mentioning that he’s coming off his best shooting performance of the season (five shots vs. WSH), but that type of effort has been infrequent.

Rielly has fallen short of this total in five of his last eight games.

Edmonton doesn’t give up many shots, either. It’s ceding the third-fewest shots per game this year (25.5).

Knies under 1.5 shots on goal (+115): Knies is another player who should struggle to generate shots in a difficult matchup.

Like Rielly, the young Maple Leafs forward has 35 shots in 18 games.

His recent results point toward the under cashing, too. Knies has gone under this mark in three of his last four games with just three total shots during that stretch.

Knies is 11th among all Leafs forwards in shots per 60 (6.39), according to Natural Stat Trick.

Picks made at 12:30 p.m. ET on 11/16/24.