Steven Psihogios

The Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers collide in a battle of AFC heavyweights on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Los Angeles is dominating on both sides of the ball, which is more than I can say for Baltimore. I’m backing the Chargers to win as home underdogs behind a strong game from Justin Herbert. Additionally, I’m taking the over with two capable of offences doing battle.

Check out my Ravens vs. Chargers same-game parlay predictions for Week 12 below.

Ravens vs. Chargers same-game parlay predictions

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Parlay: Chargers moneyline + Herbert over 255.5 passing yards + Over 43.5 points (+340)

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Chargers moneyline (+130): Jim and John Harbaugh square off for the first time since Super Bowl 47.

John bested Jim in that contest but I expect the latter to beat the former this time around.

Los Angeles is playing excellently on both sides of the field. The Chargers rank seventh in yards per play across their last three games (6.2) and are tied for seventh in opponent yards per play (5.0) in the same stretch.

Baltimore’s offence is fantastic, as it ranks second in points per game (30.4) and first in yards per play (7.0). Defensively, however, this team has been a disaster. The Ravens are 24th in points against per game (24.6) and 19th in opponent yards per play (5.5).

Their defence could take a significant hit, too, with the potential absence of Roquan Smith. Smith didn’t practice at all this week and is listed as questionable for Monday Night Football.

Bet on L.A. to come up with the timely stop and win this game as a home underdog in primetime.

Other parlay picks

Herbert over 255.5 passing yards (-113): The Chargers have undergone a philosophical shift since their Week 5 bye.

They started the year as a team that wanted to run the ball often under the hard-nosed Jim Harbaugh. Herbert’s ankle injury only furthered his willingness to take the ball out of his quarterback’s hands.

With Herbert’s health improving and Harbaugh gaining more trust in his rockstar QB, the team has relied heavily on his arm to win ball games.

And Herbert hasn’t disappointed.

Here’s a look at his pre-and-post-bye splits from this season:

Herbert is averaging more than what this line asks of him across his last six games as his volume and efficiency increase significantly.

He should have a field day against a Ravens defence that hasn’t been able to stop anybody through the air. They’re surrendering the most passing yards per game (304.5) to opposing QBs, according to Yahoo Fantasy.

This is the game for prop bettors to get behind Herbert.

Over 43.5 points (-278): Lastly, I’m taking the over on this teased-down total.

A shift from a run-first offence to a pass-first offence has resulted in higher point totals from Los Angeles. It has scored 26-plus points in four consecutive contests.

That trend should continue against a Baltimore defence that struggles to contain opposing offences. It’s allowed 24.2 points per game across its last six outings.

The Ravens’ all-offence, no-defence approach has been very conducive to overs hitting. They’ve gone over their game total in nine of 11 games.

I expect them to blow through this number in the climate-controlled SoFi Stadium.

Picks made at 12:48 p.m. on 11/24/24.

The Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles clash at SoFi Stadium in what should be an entertaining Sunday Night Football matchup.

The pregame narrative: Philadelphia is vying for first in the NFC and needs to keep pace with the Detroit Lions. I’m betting on the Eagles to cover an alternate spread in primetime. Additionally, I like A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert to step up with DeVonta Smith sidelined.

Check out my Eagles vs. Rams same-game parlay predictions for Week 12 below.

Eagles vs. Rams same-game parlay predictions

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Parlay: Eagles -2.5 + Brown over 90.5 receiving yards + Goedert over 52.5 receiving yards (+550)

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Eagles -2.5 (-124): Philadelphia hasn’t put it all together this year, yet the team enters Week 12 action with an impressive 8-2 record.

Saquon Barkley deserves plenty of praise for the team’s ability to squeeze out wins. The superstar running back is second in the NFL with 1,137 rushing yards but first among all RBs in all-purpose yards with 1,347.

The Eagles’ defence has sneakily been elite this year.

They’re ceding the second-fewest yards per play (4.7) and the lowest across their last three games (3.7). The squad also ranks sixth in opponent points per game (17.9).

The Rams, meanwhile, are 22nd in points allowed (23.9) and have allowed 20-plus points in each of their last four.

Other parlay picks

Brown over 90.5 receiving yards (-114): Don’t expect a new face to step up in Smith’s absence.

Philadelphia doesn’t have much depth at the position. Brown and Smith are the only wide receivers on the team averaging more than 11 yards per game. And no, that’s not a typo.

That means Jalen Hurts will likely lock onto his top target even more than he normally does.

Injuries have limited Brown’s overall outputs but he’s been very effective when healthy.

The hulking wideout is averaging 88.2 receiving yards per game and has three 100-plus receiving yard outings in 2024.

Go to full Eagles vs. Rams betting markets.

Los Angeles presents a plus matchup for Brown, too. The Rams are surrendering the third-most yards per pass attempt (7.5) in the NFL.

That plays right into Brown’s big-play ability. Brown paces the NFL in yards per team pass attempt (3.68), according to PlayerProfiler.

Goedert over 51.5 receiving yards (-114): With no other wide receivers in line to step up, this sets up as a nice spot for Goedert.

The tight end figures to be Hurts’ second option in the passing game. He’s coming off a very efficient performance in Week 11 where he caught all five of his targets for 61 yards against the Washington Commanders.

Goedert has been returning to form as a steady option for Hurts in this offence. He has cleared this line in three of his last five performances.

The Rams have struggled to limit opposing tight ends this season and are surrendering the fifth-most yards per game to the position (62.3), according to Yahoo Fantasy.

Picks made at 11:43 a.m. on 11/24/24.

The Harbaugh Bowl takes centre stage on Monday Night Football as the Baltimore Ravens battle the Los Angeles Chargers.

The pregame narrative: It’s the first time Jim and John Harbaugh have squared off since Super Bowl XLVII. Baltimore enters this contest following a tough loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. A date with Los Angeles doesn’t offer much reprieve as the Chargers are playing excellent football. I’m betting on Justin Herbert to lead L.A. to a crucial AFC victory in prime time.

Check out my Ravens vs. Chargers best bets for Monday Night Football on Nov. 25.

Ravens vs. Chargers best bets

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Best Bet: Herbert over 259.5 passing yards (-107)

This has really been a tale of two seasons for Los Angeles.

The Chargers started the year off as a run-first football team. A combination of John Harbaugh’s desire to pound the rock and Justin Herbert’s ankle injury held the quarterback under 200 yards in all four games before the team’s bye.

But the week off gave Herbert’s ankle time to heal and Harbaugh some time to realize what he really has under centre with No. 10.

Herbert is showing that he’s on the shortlist of great NFL QBs. Here are his season splits before and after the bye:

Herbert is averaging more than what this line entails over his last six games and there’s good reason to believe he’ll have another above-average performance.

He battles a Baltimore defence that has been dreadful at stopping the pass. The Ravens rank 26th in opponent yards per pass attempt (7.2) and are surrendering the most passing yards per game to opposing QBs (304.5), according to Yahoo Fantasy.

Bet on a signature performance from Herbert as he looks to keep his Chargers in contention for an AFC West title.

Key stat: Herbert has thrown for 260-plus yards in four of his last five games.

Quick pick

Chargers moneyline (+130): I’ll happily take the plus-money odds with the home team in this contest.

L.A. is playing excellently on both sides of the ball. The team is tied for fifth in points per game (29.3) over its last three games while ceding the sixth-fewest points (18.0) in the same stretch.

Baltimore’s offence is magnificent, ranking second in the NFL in points per game (30.4), but its defence is downright brutal. The Ravens are 24th in points against per game (24.6).

I expect these squads to go shot for shot, which means one of these defences will have to step up with a timely stop at some point.

The Ravens haven’t proven they can get one in crucial moments and the unit could be without Roquan Smith, who hasn’t practiced all week. That tips the scales in favour of the Chargers.

Picks made at 3:37 p.m. ET 11/23/2024.

The Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles Rams square off in a contest with playoff implications on Sunday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: DeVonta Smith is out for the Eagles. That directs my attention toward a pair of Philadelphia pass-catchers in this contest. A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert will likely have increased roles with the star wide receiver sidelined.

Check out my Eagles vs. Rams prop picks for Sunday Night Football on Nov. 24.

Eagles vs. Rams prop picks

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Best Bet: Brown over 91.5 receiving yards (-114)

Injuries have limited Brown’s season-long totals but he’s been very effective when healthy.

Brown has topped 80 receiving yards in five of seven games this season, cresting the 100-yard mark in three of those contests.

Smith’s absence is the main reason why I’m interested in this wager, though, as Jalen Hurts will likely be forced to lock in on his top target even more than usual.

Go to full Eagles vs. Rams betting markets.

The Eagles don’t have another player capable of stepping up the way Brown can. No other wide receiver on the roster outside of Brown and Smith has more than 110 receiving yards this year.

Brown faces a very beatable Rams secondary in this matchup. They’re allowing the third-most yards per pass (7.5) in the NFL this season.

Los Angeles also doesn’t have anybody who’ll shadow Brown, so bettors don’t have to worry about a difficult one-on-one matchup.

The biggest threat to this wager is the Rams putting two defenders on Brown. While that is certainly a possibility, I doubt he’ll see double coverage the entire night and I like Brown to be the go-to guy as the Eagles continue to vie for first place in the NFC.

Key stat: Brown is sixth among all NFL receivers in yards per reception.

Quick pick

Goedert over 49.5 receiving yards (-109): Goedert is the other player I expect to step up and have a big game.

The tight end is third among all Eagles pass catchers in receiving yards (387). Like Brown, he’ll be asked to help lessen the blow of Smith’s injury absence.

Goedert has dealt with injuries this season as well, but he’s coming off a really strong performance. The Philadelphia star hauled in all five of his targets for 61 yards against the Washington Commanders.

The matchup is working in Goedert’s favour, too. The Rams are surrendering the fifth-most yards per game to tight ends (62.3) this season.

Picks made at 2:56 p.m. ET 11/23/2024.