Steven Psihogios

A trio of the NFL’s top playmakers highlight my NFL Week 17 prop bets.

The pregame narrative: The Arizona Cardinals and Cincinnati Bengals go toe-to-toe in a game that has shootout written all over it. Trey McBride and Ja’Marr Chase should shine with plenty of offence likely on the way.

Check out my top NFL Week 17 prop bets, featuring a bet on Bijan Robinson.

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NFL Week 17 prop bets

Best Bet: McBride over 77.5 receiving yards (-112)

McBride is primed for a monster performance on Sunday afternoon.

The Cardinals’ tight end has been the NFL’s best receiving tight end by a wide margin:

• First in receiving yards (1,098, 244 yards ahead of second).

• First in receptions (109, 28 ahead of second).

• First in 100-plus receiving yard performances (three)

Simply put, the guy has been in a league of his own among his peers.

Arizona’s top pass catcher is staring down the juiciest of matchups in Week 17.

The Cardinals battle a Bengals squad that can’t stop tight ends.

Cincinnati is allowing the most receptions (105), receiving yards (1,362) and receiving touchdowns (15) to the position.

Expect the Bengals’ defence to be searching for answers all day on Sunday.

Key stat: McBride has topped this total in five of his last seven games.

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Best NFL picks

Chase over 86.5 receiving yards (-113): Here’s another guy who should absolutely dominate in this game.

This matchup is equally mouthwatering for Chase. Not only are the Cardinals unable to stop the pass, but they don’t have the bodies to do it.

Here’s a list of Arizona’s secondary injuries:

• Sean Murphy-Bunting (out)
• Budda Baker (out)
• Kei’Trel Clark (out)
• Will Johnson (questionable)
• Jalen Thompson (questionable)

That list doesn’t even include Garrett Williams, Starling Thomas V, and Joey Blount, who are all on IR.

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All this means that Chase should absolutely explode.

The Bengals’ wide receiver hasn’t quite taken off with Burrow back, but he has topped this total in three of his last four outings.

Robinson over 74.5 rushing yards (-114): A date with the Los Angeles Rams might present an opportunity to fade Robinson.

But here’s why bettors should back the Atlanta running back.

Firstly, Robinson is among the NFL’s elite at his position. He’s fifth in rushing yards (1,250) while averaging an impressive 5.0 yards per carry.

Secondly, this is a mark he beats routinely. Robinson has cleared this mark in four consecutive games and six of his last seven contests.

Lastly, Los Angeles’ run defence is emerging as a weak point. The Seattle Seahawks rushed for 6.8 yards per carry against the Rams in Week 16, and they’re ceding 4.9 yards per carry across their last three contests.

NFL prop bets made at 7:46 p.m. ET on Dec. 27, 2025.

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The Chicago Bears and San Francisco 49ers meet in a highly anticipated prime-time showdown.

The pregame narrative: Both Chicago and San Francisco are postseason-bound, and both still have a shot at the No. 1 seed in the NFC. The offences are buzzing entering this contest, meaning there should be a good amount of fireworks on Sunday Night Football.

Check out my Bears vs. 49ers SGP predictions for Dec. 28, featuring Jauan Jennings.

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Bears vs. 49ers SGP

SGP: 49ers ML | Jennings to score a TD | Over 38.5 points (+325)

49ers ML (-175): I like the 49ers for one reason in this game:

Offence.

Take nothing away from Chicago, a team that ranks 10th in points per game this season (25.8). That’s just one spot behind San Francisco (26.1 PPG).

But the Niners have been nearly unstoppable with Brock Purdy under centre. San Francisco has scored 34.4 points per game in five contests since the QB’s return from injury, topping 35 points in three of those outings.

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For comparison, Chicago has only topped 35 points once this season.

Additionally, the Bears are an unproven bunch on the road. Chicago’s road victories this year have come against some of the league’s worst teams:

• Las Vegas Raiders
• Washington Commanders
• Cincinnati Bengals
• Minnesota Vikings
• Philadelphia Eagles

Outside of the victory against the Eagles, the Bears have only managed away victories over teams with losing records.

Don’t expect Chicago to keep up in a game that has shootout written all over it.

Sunday Night Football SGP picks

Jennings to score a TD (+138): This is a great price to back Jennings at.

The wide receiver is Purdy’s go-to option in the red zone. Since the QB’s return, here’s how Jennings ranks in several key stats among 49ers pass-catchers:

• 1st in targets inside the 20 (nine)

• 1st in targets inside the 10 (five)

• 1st in targets inside the five (four)

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Naturally, Jennings is scoring a lot of touchdowns. He has a score in six of his last seven games, totalling seven during this stretch.

The matchup is right, too, as the Bears are surrendering the third-most touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this year (19).

Over 38.5 points (-770): I wouldn’t recommend betting this as a straight, but it helps bring our SGP to odds longer than 3-to-1.

This is a mark these two teams should have no problem clearing:

• Chicago has topped this total in 11 of 15 games.

• San Francisco has cleared this number in 10 of 15 games.

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The 49ers, specifically, have become an elite overs team lately. A combination of offensive success and defensive injuries is why it has scored and allowed 20-plus points in five of its last seven games.

Expect both teams to score their fair share of points.

Bears vs. 49ers predictions made at 3:12 p.m. ET on Dec. 27, 2025.

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The Philadelphia Eagles and Buffalo Bills collide in a heavyweight clash on Sunday afternoon.

The pregame narrative: Philadelphia and Buffalo are Super Bowl contenders, but neither has really looked the part this season. Both squads can earn a statement win before the last week of the season.

Check out my Eagles vs. Bills SGP predictions, featuring James Cook.

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Eagles vs. Bills predictions

SGP: Bills ML | Cook to score a TD | Over 40.5 points (+310)

Bills ML (-124): I’m not buying that the Eagles are back.

Sure, Philadelphia has won consecutive games since an embarrassing loss to the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday Night Football. Those wins, however, require significant context:

• The Eagles shut out the lowly Las Vegas Raiders, 31-0, who were playing with backup QB Kenny Pickett under centre.

• Buffalo’s most recent win, a 29-18 victory over the Washington Commanders, came against the QB duo of Marcus Mariota and Josh Johnson.

It’s worth noting, too, that the Commanders led at halftime of the Week 16 contest (10-7).

Buffalo wasn’t at its best in a narrow win over the Cleveland Browns last week, but it did overcome a 21-0 deficit against the New England Patriots just a week before.

The Bills still have an outside shot at winning the division, too, which should ensure they bring a competitive effort to this contest.

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Other SGP picks

Cook to score a TD (-105): Josh Allen suffered a foot injury in Week 16, and that’s certainly worth highlighting here.

The Bills quarterback finished with just 17 rushing yards against the Browns, his lowest total since Week 8.

Allen was limited at practice at points during the week, and my guess is Buffalo will limit his rushing opportunities.

That could mean more looks to Cook at the goal line.

Cook is heating up at the right time for Buffalo, too, as the running back has five touchdowns across his last two games.

What makes Cook an exciting pick in this market is his ability to break one from anywhere on the field. He’s tied for second in the NFL with four rushes of 40-plus yards this year.

Over 40.5 points (-180): Lastly, I expect this game to usurp a manageable point total.

Both teams are capable of scoring. The Bills are third in points per game (28.9), while the Eagles are tied for 16th (23.3).

• Buffalo has cashed this total in eight of its last nine games.

• Philadelphia has topped this number in three of its last five outings.

Buffalo’s combination of elite offence and beatable defence makes it one of the best overs squads in the league. The Bills have scored and allowed 20-plus points in over half their games this season (eight).

Eagles vs. Bills predictions made at 2:04 p.m. on Dec. 27, 2025.

The Baltimore Ravens and Green Bay Packers meet under the lights of Lambeau Field on Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: Baltimore lost Lamar Jackson and a crucial contest against the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football. Now, the Ravens need a win without their star quarterback on the road to keep their season alive.

Check out my Ravens vs. Packers picks for Dec. 27, featuring a prop bet on Tyler Huntley.

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Ravens vs. Packers picks

Best Bet: Ravens +3.5 (-120)

It’s difficult to ignore injuries in this game.

Jackson’s absence looms large for Baltimore, but Green Bay’s injury woes far outweigh those of its opponent.

-> Bet on the Ravens on Saturday night

Quarterback Jordan Love was ruled out. And here’s the list of players who are questionable for the Packers:

• Malik Willis
• Christian Watson
• Savion Williams
• Aaron Banks
• Sean Rhyan
• Zach Tom
• Evan Williams

Willis is expected to start, but he’s battling through a shoulder injury and has three offensive linemen listed on the injury report.

Additionally, Josh Jacobs has been fighting through a knee injury for most of this season. Although he is not on the injury report, he did play just 38.9% of the offensive snaps in Week 16 due to being benched.

His knee injury is sapping his efficiency, making it difficult to see how the Packers move the ball enough to cover this number.

Baltimore’s rushing attack should be able to move the ball if John Harbaugh decides to play Derrick Henry. After standing on the sidelines at crucial moments of last week’s loss, expect Henry to see the ball plenty on Saturday.

Huntley’s legs are good enough to be a factor, too, and a strong rushing attack should be good enough to keep it close in a game where points will be at a premium.

Key stat: The Packers allowed the Bears to rush for 5.8 yards per carry in Week 16.

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Ravens vs. Packers prop prediction

Huntley over 24.5 rushing yards (-113): The Ravens won’t be moving the ball through the air.

Huntley completed 9-of-10 passes for a measly 65 yards in Sunday’s loss to New England. He only rushed twice for seven yards, but I expect the latter to swing up on Saturday.

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In Huntley’s two relief appearances earlier this year, he totalled 92 rushing yards and topped this total in both games.

There is a slight chance of rain in the forecast for tonight, too, which should lead to an even more run-heavy approach from the Ravens.

Ravens vs. Packers picks made at 9:41 a.m. ET Dec. 27, 2025.

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