Steven Psihogios

Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Carlos Alcaraz Monte-Carlo Masters final best bet and odds: Pick Alcaraz to end Musetti’s surprising run

Musetti vs. Alcaraz best bet

It’s a true David vs. Goliath matchup between Lorenzo Musetti and Carlos Alcaraz in the Monte-Carlos Masters final.

The pregame narrative: Musetti has slayed some of tennis’ top talents en route to his first Masters 1000 final. The most talented competitor lies ahead with the Spanish sensation Alcaraz waiting. I’m betting on the favourite to win comfortably in Sunday’s showdown.

Check out my Musetti vs. Alcaraz Monte-Carlo Masters best bet and the odds for April 13.

Musetti vs. Alacaraz best bet

Go to full Musetti vs. Alcaraz betting markets.

Betting marketsOdds
Musetti to win+300
Alcaraz to win-400
Musetti +4.5 games-115
Alcaraz -4.5 games-110
Alcaraz to win in straight sets-134
Musetti to win in straight sets+650
Over 20.5 total games-124
Under 20.5 total games-104

Tennis odds as of 2:40 p.m. ET on 04/12/2025.

Best Bet: Alcaraz -1.5 sets (-134)

Musetti’s run to the Monte-Carlo Masters final deserves plenty of recognition.

He has knocked off a pair of top-10 competitors to reach his maiden Masters 1000 final.

  • 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 victory over Stefanos Tsitsipas
  • 1-6, 6-4, 7-6 victory over Alex de Minaur

Not only did Musetti beat two of the sport’s best players, but he beat them after getting thoroughly overmatched in the first set of each contest.

The Tsitsipas win is especially impressive considering the history that goes into their head-to-head. Tsitsipas was a perfect 5-0 against Muesetti before the latter shocked the former in comeback fashion.

So if Musetti has overcome so much already, why am I betting on him to fall short in the final?

Firstly, Alcaraz is on a different level than anybody Musetti has disposed of on his run.

Alcaraz is an overwhelming 145-35 lifetime on clay, including a 46-7 record across the last three years.

His return game on the surface is elite, as he boasts the second-highest serve rating (179.7) on clay per ATPTour.com. His return skills are especially important on clay as the ball moves much slower, which helps Alcaraz as someone who possesses elite speed.

Musetti is a solid clay court player in his own right (125-66 career record), but I expect the Italian to fall short against Alcaraz.

Key stat: Alcaraz is 4-1 lifetime against Musetti, winning each of their last two matches in straight sets.

Picks made at 3:19 p.m. ET on 04/12/2025.

Maple Leafs props vs. Canadiens April 12: Bet on Matthews, Slafkovsky to have big nights

Maple Leafs prop picks

The Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs lock horns for the final time this season on Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: Hockey’s most historic rivalry renews one last time this season. I expect both team’s top stars to play with pride in a game that carries weight for both sides. I’m betting on Juraj Slafkovsky and Lane Hutson to shine for Montreal, and Auston Matthews to show out for Toronto.

Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Canadiens for April 12.

Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Canadiens

Best Bet: Slafkovsky to score 1+ points (-108)

The buzz around Montreal these days centres around the arrival of recent first-round pick Ivan Demidov, and rightfully so.

The 2024 fifth overall selection is a tantalizing prospect who could help make the Canadiens a true sleeper in the NHL playoffs.

Bettors should turn their focus to Slafkovsky for Saturday’s game, however, and for good reason.

The 2022 first overall pick is putting together another solid offensive campaign. After scoring 50 points last year, he enters tonight’s game with 49.

His usage is highly encouraging for bettors as he’s receiving prime opportunities inside Montreal’s lineup.

Slafkovsky is skating alongside Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield on the first line, and is a featured member of the top power-play unit.

The Maple Leafs allowed three goals in each of their games earlier this week, and Montreal has scored three-plus goals in five of its last seven games. Expect the Habs to score enough to make Slafkovsky a strong wager.

Key stat: Slafkovsky has recorded a point in nine of his last 16 games.

Quick picks

Hutson to score 1 point (-125): Quinn Hughes was the last defenceman to lead all NHL rookies in points when he scored 53 points in 68 games during the COVID-19-shortened 2019-20 season.

Hutson can join Hughes with a strong finish to the 2024-25 campaign. The Canadiens’ rearguard already ranks first among all freshmen with 64 points in 79 games this season.

The young defenceman enters this contest in fine form, totalling 11 points in his last 10 contests.

His spot as a power-play quarterback is what makes this wager especially intriguing. Hutson has done a terrific job facilitating the puck on the man advantage as his 25 power-play points also sit first among all rookies.

Matthews over 3.5 shots (-143): The betting markets seem to have finally adjusted to Matthews’ reduced shot volume.

Matthews’ 11.4 shots per 60 this season are the second lowest of his entire career. Toronto’s top sniper hasn’t looked like the lethal shooter we saw score 69 goals a season ago.

But his prop no longer sits at 4.5, it’s at 3.5 with a palatable number to the over.

Although his shot totals are down, Matthews has cleared this line in four of his last seven contests.

Additionally, one of Matthews’ best shooting performances of the season came against the Canadiens. Matthews had six shots on goal in Toronto’s season-opening contest against Montreal.

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens prop picks made at 12:53 p.m. ET 04/12/2025.

Maple Leafs props vs. Canadiens April 12: Bet on Matthews, Slafkovsky to have big nights

Maple Leafs prop picks

The Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs lock horns for the final time this season on Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: Hockey’s most historic rivalry renews one last time this season. I expect both team’s top stars to play with pride in a game that carries weight for both sides. I’m betting on Juraj Slafkovsky and Lane Hutson to shine for Montreal, and Auston Matthews to show out for Toronto.

Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Canadiens for April 12.

Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Canadiens

Best Bet: Slafkovsky to score 1+ points (-103)

The buzz around Montreal these days centres around the arrival of recent first-round pick Ivan Demidov, and rightfully so.

The 2024 fifth overall selection is a tantalizing prospect who could help make the Canadiens a true sleeper in the NHL playoffs.

Bettors should turn their focus to Slafkovsky for Saturday’s game, however, and for good reason.

The 2022 first overall pick is putting together another solid offensive campaign. After scoring 50 points last year, he enters tonight’s game with 49.

His usage is highly encouraging for bettors as he’s receiving prime opportunities inside Montreal’s lineup.

Slafkovsky is skating alongside Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield on the first line, and is a featured member of the top power-play unit.

The Maple Leafs allowed three goals in each of their games earlier this week, and Montreal has scored three-plus goals in five of its last seven games. Expect the Habs to score enough to make Slafkovsky a strong wager.

Key stat: Slafkovsky has recorded a point in nine of his last 16 games.

Quick picks

Hutson to score 1 point (-125): Quinn Hughes was the last defenceman to lead all NHL rookies in points when he scored 53 points in 68 games during the COVID-19-shortened 2019-20 season.

Hutson can join Hughes with a strong finish to the 2024-25 campaign. The Canadiens’ rearguard already ranks first among all freshmen with 64 points in 79 games this season.

The young defenceman enters this contest in fine form, totalling 11 points in his last 10 contests.

His spot as a power-play quarterback is what makes this wager especially intriguing. Hutson has done a terrific job facilitating the puck on the man advantage as his 25 power-play points also sit first among all rookies.

Matthews over 3.5 shots (-130): The betting markets seem to have finally adjusted to Matthews’ reduced shot volume.

Matthews’ 11.4 shots per 60 this season are the second lowest of his entire career. Toronto’s top sniper hasn’t looked like the lethal shooter we saw score 69 goals a season ago.

But his prop no longer sits at 4.5, it’s at 3.5 with a palatable number to the over.

Although his shot totals are down, Matthews has cleared this line in four of his last seven contests.

Additionally, one of Matthews’ best shooting performances of the season came against the Canadiens. Matthews had six shots on goal in Toronto’s season-opening contest against Montreal.

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens prop picks made at 12:53 p.m. ET 04/12/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles prop picks April 12: Bet on Springer to stay hot with plus-money pick

Blue Jays picks

The Toronto Blue Jays open their latest series against the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday.

The pregame narrative: Rain washed out Friday’s contest between these two squads, and I’m expecting a thunderous performance from George Springer. Conversely, Bowden Francis is a solid fade candidate against a loaded Baltimore lineup capable of popping off.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. Orioles for April 12.

Blue Jays picks vs. Orioles

Best Bet: Springer over 1.5 total bases (+150)

Embed: #112419

Springer is bringing it in every single way at the plate and bettors need to take notice.

The Blue Jays star is hitting for contact and power in 2025, batting .429 with a .690 SLG

Springer leads all Toronto hitters in total bases with 29, as six of his 18 hits this year have gone for extra bases.

His Baseball Savant page looks like an inferno as he’s producing in the 90-plus percentiles in:

  • Average exit velocity (93rd)
  • Barrel percentage (91st)
  • Squared-up percentage (94th)
  • Chase percentage (91st)

The Toronto outfielder battles a pitcher he saw earlier this year in Tomoyuki Sugano. Springer went 1-for-2 against Sugano in their previous meeting and recorded three total bases in that contest.

Sugano’s numbers are unspectacular across the board. He is coming off a one-run performance, but his FIP jumped from 3.98 to 4.59 after the contest.

Having seen Sugano’s stuff already should work in Springer’s favour. I expect him to deliver and cash this prop yet again.

Key stat: Springer has recorded two-plus bases in eight of his last 11 games.

Quick pick

Francis under 17.5 outs (+108): Francis’ numbers have been solid at surface level.

The Toronto starter enters this contest with a solid 3.18 ERA after holding each of his first two opponents to two runs. A deeper dive, however, shows that Francis has benefited from good fortune in the early going.

Francis owns a concerning 5.10 FIP and has had moments where he has struggled with command.

  • He allowed two home runs to the Washington Nationals in his season debut.
  • Francis put eight baserunners on across 5.1 innings pitched against the New York Mets.

Francis is lucky that the latter didn’t come back to bite him, however, as he was able to get New York to ground out into a pair of double plays.

The Orioles have been very mediocre to start the 2025 campaign, but a lineup featuring Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman, Cedric Mullins, Tyler O’Neill and Ryan Mountcastle is liable to go off at any given time.

Francis only lasted five innings in his lone start against the Orioles in 2024.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles picks made at 11:01 a.m. ET on 04/11/2025.

Champions League quarterfinal schedule and playoff odds: Arsenal, Real Madrid meet in high-stakes matchup

Champions League schedule

The Champions League quarterfinal schedule is set, and soccer fans are in for some excellent viewing.

The pregame narrative: Arsenal vs. Real Madrid is a final-worthy matchup, making this battle of titans a true treat. Bayern Munich, FC Barcelona, and Paris Saint-Germain all also compete for a spot in the semis, and each enters the quarters as a sizeable favourite

Check out the latest Champions League schedule for April 8-9.

Champions League schedule: Quarterfinal

Go to full Champions League betting markets

Arsenal vs. Real Madrid

Embed: #112166

Inter Milan vs. Bayern Munich

Embed: #112167

Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa

Embed: #112168

Borussia Dortmund vs. FC Barcelona

Embed: #112169

Betting insights

  • Arsenal met very little resistance in its effort to qualify for the quarters. A 7-1 victory over PSV Eindhoven in the first leg left little doubt — and that was without Bukayo Saka, who is back in the lineup. Real Madrid, meanwhile, needed penalties to slip past Atletico Madrid. Kylian Mbappe leads all players in the competition with 25 shots on target.
  • Bayern Munich was flawless in the Round of 16, blanking Leverkusen 5-0 on aggregate. Inter Milan, meanwhile, bested Feyenoord 4-1 thanks to a pair of goals from Marcus Thuram. Bayern’s Joshua Kimmich has been incredible as a playmaker, leading the Champions League with six assists.
  • Paris Saint-Germain is battle-tested after escaping a stiff test from a talented Liverpool by the narrowest of margins. Les Parisiens enter the quarters as favourites against Aston Villa, who cruised past Club Brugge. Marquinhos leads the Champions League in balls recovered (91).
  • FC Barcelona survived a red-card scare in the first leg of its matchup against Benfica, earning a 1-0 win. Barca won 3-1 in the second leg to avoid further drama. Borussia Dortmund used two second-half goals in the second leg of its aggregate with Lille to advance. Raphina leads the Champions League in goals (11).

Blue Jays vs. Mets prop picks April 5: Fade Bassitt, bet on Alonso to strike

Blue Jays props

An ex-New York Mets pitcher gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays in Saturday’s showdown.

The pregame narrative: Chris Bassitt starts for Toronto and is coming off an impressive season debut. I am, however, fading the Blue Jays’ starter. Pete Alonso is seeing the ball well and is an excellent choice to bring in a run at juicy plus-money odds.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. Mets for April 5.

Blue Jays picks vs. Mets

Best bet: Bassitt under 5.5 strikeouts (-125)

Bassitt was excellent in his season debut.

The Blue Jays starter twirled an absolute gem against the Baltimore Orioles:

  • 6.0 innings pitched
  • 1 earned run
  • 2 walks
  • 7 strikeouts

The seven strikeouts are concerning for those looking to fade Bassitt, but there’s reason to believe that a repeat performance isn’t very likely.

Firstly, the veteran has a lengthy track record that suggests he’s not an elite punchout artist. Bassitt’s career average of 5.13 strikeouts per game sits below this mark, as did his Ks per game mark from last year (5.4).

Bassitt didn’t generate great swing-and-miss stuff in 2024, either, per Baseball Savant:

  • 10th percentile chase rate
  • 18th percentile whiff rate
  • 44th percentile K rate

The matchup makes it especially difficult to envision Bassitt having an above-average performance. The Mets have the third-lowest strikeout percentage (18.6%).

They were especially proficient at avoiding Ks in Friday’s series opener against the Blue Jays, recording just one in the contest.

Don’t expect Bassitt to replicate his strikeout total from his season debut.

Key stat: The Mets are averaging the third-fewest strikeouts per game (6.71).

Prop predictions

Alonso over 0.5 RBI (+160): Alonso has been excellent to begin the 2025 campaign.

Check out how the Mets slugger has performed across several key stats:

  • .292 average
  • .433 on-base percentage
  • .750 SLG
  • 2 doubles
  • 3 home runs
  • 10 RBI

All 10 of Alonso’s RBI have come in his last four games, showing that he’s in elite form entering this contest.

Alonso’s at-bat dominance is a big reason for this pick, but so is the guy who’s hitting in front of him. The newly acquired Juan Soto is batting just ahead of Alonso, and his .387 on-base percentage enhances the Polar Bear’s chances of driving in a run.

The first baseman is 0-for-5 against Bassitt in his career, but I’m taking that as a sign that he is due for a big outing against his former teammate.

Alonso has racked up 17 total bases in his last four games.

Blue Jays vs. Mets picks made at 12:44 p.m. ET on 04/05/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Mets prop picks April 5: Fade Bassitt, bet on Alonso to strike

Blue Jays props

An ex-New York Mets pitcher gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays in Saturday’s showdown.

The pregame narrative: Chris Bassitt starts for Toronto and is coming off an impressive season debut. I am, however, fading the Blue Jays’ starter. Pete Alonso is seeing the ball well and is an excellent choice to bring in a run at juicy plus-money odds.

Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. Mets for April 5.

Blue Jays picks vs. Mets

Best bet: Bassitt under 5.5 strikeouts (-120)

Embed: #112160

Bassitt was excellent in his season debut.

The Blue Jays starter twirled an absolute gem against the Baltimore Orioles:

  • 6.0 innings pitched
  • 1 earned run
  • 2 walks
  • 7 strikeouts

The seven strikeouts are concerning for those looking to fade Bassitt, but there’s reason to believe that a repeat performance isn’t very likely.

Firstly, the veteran has a lengthy track record that suggests he’s not an elite punchout artist. Bassitt’s career average of 5.13 strikeouts per game sits below this mark, as did his Ks per game mark from last year (5.4).

Bassitt didn’t generate great swing-and-miss stuff in 2024, either, per Baseball Savant:

  • 10th percentile chase rate
  • 18th percentile whiff rate
  • 44th percentile K rate

The matchup makes it especially difficult to envision Bassitt having an above-average performance. The Mets have the third-lowest strikeout percentage (18.6%).

They were especially proficient at avoiding Ks in Friday’s series opener against the Blue Jays, recording just one in the contest.

Don’t expect Bassitt to replicate his strikeout total from his season debut.

Key stat: The Mets are averaging the third-fewest strikeouts per game (6.71).

Prop predictions

Alonso over 0.5 RBI (+165): Alonso has been excellent to begin the 2025 campaign.

Check out how the Mets slugger has performed across several key stats:

  • .292 average
  • .433 on-base percentage
  • .750 SLG
  • 2 doubles
  • 3 home runs
  • 10 RBI

All 10 of Alonso’s RBI have come in his last four games, showing that he’s in elite form entering this contest.

Alonso’s at-bat dominance is a big reason for this pick, but so is the guy who’s hitting in front of him. The newly acquired Juan Soto is batting just ahead of Alonso, and his .387 on-base percentage enhances the Polar Bear’s chances of driving in a run.

The first baseman is 0-for-5 against Bassitt in his career, but I’m taking that as a sign that he is due for a big outing against his former teammate.

Alonso has racked up 17 total bases in his last four games.

Blue Jays vs. Mets picks made at 12:44 p.m. ET on 04/05/2025.

Maple Leafs prop pick vs. Blue Jackets April 5: Bet Toronto’s Mitch Marner to produce on power play

Maple Leafs prop picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Columbus Blue Jackets square off on Saturday in a game that carries weight for both squads.

The pregame narrative: Wins matter for Toronto as it aims to stay first in the Atlantic Division. Top players should shine in a meaningful matchup, making Mitch Marner a solid choice to score a power-play point.

Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Blue Jackets for April 5.

Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Blue Jackets

Best Bet: Marner to score a power-play point (+195)

This isn’t a market I typically indulge in but I do like the setup for Saturday night.

Marner is on an absolute tear and coming off arguably his most impactful performance of the season. The Maple Leafs winger produced two points — a goal and a gorgeous assist — in a 3-2 victory over the Florida Panthers.

That was a thing of beauty.

But Marner’s standout performance against the Panthers isn’t an isolated incident. He has three goals and 10 points across his last nine games, including five power-play points during this stretch.

Columbus’ struggling penalty kill is why I’m targeting this prop in particular.

The Blue Jackets rank 24th on the PK this season (75.5%).

Toronto’s power play, meanwhile, is firing on all cylinders. The Maple Leafs sit second on the man advantage across the last month, clicking at a 39.4% success rate.

Key stat: Marner leads the Maple Leafs with 32 power-play points this season.

Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets prop pick made at 10:13 a.m. ET 04/05/2025.

Maple Leafs props vs. Blue Jackets April 5: Bet on Toronto’s Mitch Marner to produce on power play

Maple Leafs prop picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Columbus Blue Jackets square off on Saturday in a game that carries weight for both squads.

The pregame narrative: Wins matter for Toronto as it aims to stay first in the Atlantic Division. Columbus needs to keep pace in the playoff race. Top players should shine in a meaningful matchup, making Mitch Marner a solid choice to score a power-play point and Zach Werenski a nice pick to top his shot prop.

Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Blue Jackets for April 5.

Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Blue Jackets

Best Bet: Marner to score a power-play point (+185)

Embed: #112147

This isn’t a market I typically indulge in but I do like the setup for Saturday night.

Marner is on an absolute tear and coming off arguably his most impactful performance of the season. The Maple Leafs winger produced two points — a goal and a gorgeous assist — in a 3-2 victory over the Florida Panthers.

That was a thing of beauty.

But Marner’s standout performance against the Panthers isn’t an isolated incident. He has three goals and 10 points across his last nine games, including five power-play points during this stretch.

Columbus’ struggling penalty kill is why I’m targeting this prop in particular.

The Blue Jackets rank 24th on the PK this season (75.5%).

Toronto’s power play, meanwhile, is firing on all cylinders. The Maple Leafs sit second on the man advantage across the last month, clicking at a 39.4% success rate.

Key stat: Marner leads the Maple Leafs with 32 power-play points this season.

Quick pick

Werenski over 3.5 shots (+140): This is a big line for most defencemen.

But Weresnki isn’t playing like most defencemen. The Columbus superstar has been incredible this campaign.

Here’s how he ranks in several key stats among all blueliners:

  • T-2nd in assists (54)
  • Second in points (74)
  • First in shots (269)

The latter is certainly the most important for this prop.

And he’s in fine form ahead of Saturday’s showdown. Werenski has topped this mark in four consecutive games and seven of his last eight.

What makes this an even more intriguing wager is the matchup. Toronto has done a poor job of limiting opposing shot totals.

The Maple Leafs are surrendering the eighth-most shots per game (29.4). They’re heading in the wrong direction, too, ceding the fifth-most shots per contest over the last month (30.1).

Werenski topped this total in each of his two appearances against Toronto this season (11 total shots). Expect him to be the Blue Jackets’ driving offensive force as they try to squeak into a wild-card spot.

Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets prop picks made at 10:13 a.m. ET 04/05/2025.

Rockets vs. Suns SGP predictions March 30: Bet on Sengun to shine, Houston to win in +360 SGP

Rockets vs. Suns predictions

The Houston Rockets aim to stay hot against the middling Phoenix Suns in a Sunday night showdown.

The pregame narrative: Houston is firing on all cylinders and I’m betting it earns a victory over the underachieving Phoenix Suns. A teased-down total catches my attention as does the over on Alperen Sengun‘s points prop.

Check out my Rockets vs. Suns SGP predictions for March 30.

Rockets vs. Suns predictions

Parlay: Rockets ML | Over 216.5 points | Sengun over 20.5 points (+360)

Embed: #111908

Rockets ML (-129): Phoenix has had plenty of time to prove it can get it done with this group.

Those expecting the team to play with some urgency down the stretch have been disappointed. The squad is a mediocre 5-5 across its last 10 outings and enters Sunday’s contest off back-to-back losses.

If the Suns do get into the play-in tournament, it’ll have more to do with the Sacramento Kings’ poor play than anything else.

Houston, meanwhile, is hitting its stride at the perfect time. The Rockets have won 11 of their last 12 games, including a 111-104 victory over the Suns on March 12.

I expect defence to decide this contest and it’s the Rockets who I trust to come up with a crucial stop. Houston ranks fourth in defensive rating (109.8) while Phoenix places 26th (116.9).

NBA SGP legs

Over 216.5 points (-195): Houston’s recent uptick in scoring is why I’m targeting the over.

The Rockets have been an offensive juggernaut during this hot streak. They’re averaging 119 points per game during this heater, over five points more than their season-long average (113.7).

The over on this total has cashed in eight of Houston’s last 12 contests.

The Suns, meanwhile, are tailormade to cash this over. They’re a respectable 13th in points per game (114.4) but 22nd in points against per outing (116.0).

Phoenix has gone over this total in 10 of its last 13 games.

Sengun over 20.5 points (+100): Lastly, I’m looking for Sengun to shine in a mouthwatering matchup.

The big man is coming off one of his best offensive performances of the season. He scored 33 points against the Utah Jazz, his second-best output of the 2024-25 campaign.

Sengun fell short of clearing this total in the most recent contest between these squads on March 12, landing on 20 points exactly.

He’s cleared this total in nine of his last 18 games, and there’s added reason to believe he’ll top this total on Sunday.

Phoenix is allowing the third-most points per game to centres (24.9), according to Fantasy Pros.

Rockets vs. Suns predictions made at 2:22 p.m. ET 03/30/2025.