Steven Psihogios

Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.

MLB odds, schedule and matchups July 7: Betting notes and lines for Monday’s 10-game slate

MLB betting odds

It’s a travel day for some, but 20 MLB teams take the field on Monday night.

Today’s MLB narrative: The Toronto Blue Jays are MLB’s hottest team, and they face the AL’s worst in the Chicago White Sox. The Detroit Tigers hold a comfy lead in the AL Central and welcome the Tampa Bay Rays. Elsewhere, the Cleveland Guardians try to snap their losing streak.

Check out the latest MLB odds for July 7 below.

MLB odds and betting insights

  • Toronto enters Monday’s action riding an eight-game winning streak, sweeping the New York Yankees and Los Angeles Angels. José Berríos gets the ball for Toronto opposite Sean Burke, and the former has been fantastic. He has a 2.76 ERA and 3.16 FIP in his last seven starts.
  • Detroit holds a double-digit lead over the rest of the AL Central and is coming off a three-game sweep of the Cleveland Guardians. Shane Baz takes the mound for Tampa Bay, and the Rays are 7-1 in his last eight starts as he sports a 3.33 ERA during this stretch.
  • The Guardians have fallen right out of contention as they continue to slide. Cleveland has lost 10 consecutive games and now faces a surging Houston Astros squad that just topped the Los Angeles Dodgers over the weekend.
  • An excellent pitching matchup goes down at American Family Field tonight. The Milwaukee Brewers send Freddy Peralta (2.91 ERA) out opposite the Los Angeles Dodgers’ Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2.51). Milwaukee is coming off a series win over the Miami Marlins, while L.A. lost to Houston.

Today’s MLB schedule

Tampa Bay Rays (-132) vs. Detroit Tigers (+112)
Start time: 6:40 p.m ET

Miami Marlins (+120) vs. Cincinnati Reds (-141)
Start time: 7:10 p.m ET

Colorado Rockies (+195) vs. Boston Red Sox (-235)
Start time: 7:10 p.m ET

Los Angeles Dodgers (-148) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (+123)
Start time: 7:40 p.m ET

Pittsburgh Pirates (+132) vs. Kansas City Royals (-155)
Start time: 7:40 p.m ET

Toronto Blue Jays (-190) vs. Chicago White Sox (+160)
Start time: 7:40 p.m ET

Cleveland Guardians (+132) vs. Houston Astros (-155)
Start time: 8:10 p.m ET

Texas Rangers (-150) vs. Los Angeles Angels (+125)
Start time: 9:38 p.m ET

Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) vs. San Diego Padres (-129)
Start time: 9:40 p.m ET

Philadelphia Phillies (-141) vs. San Francisco Giants (+120)
Start time: 9:45 p.m ET

MLB odds as of 8:45 a.m. ET on 07/07/2025.

Wimbledon round of 16 picks and predictions July 7: Best bets on Sinner, Djokovic, and Cobolli

Wimbledon predictions

Talents like Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic are featured in my round of 16 Wimbledon predictions.

The pregame narrative: Sinner is crushing the competition, and veteran Grigor Dimitrov is up next. Novak Djokovic is cruising at Wimbledon, which doesn’t bode well for Alex De Minaur. Lastly, Flavio Cobolli is a nice pick to beat Marin Cilic.

Check out my top Wimbledon predictions for July 7.

Wimbledon predictions: July 7

Best Bet: Cobolli to win (-120)

Cobolli still doesn’t appear to be getting his due respect.

The Italian earned an upset win over Jakub Mensik in the third round at The Championships as he continues to stack stellar results together.

He has now won 12 of his last 15 matches, including a title at the Hamburg Open.

It’s hard to knock Cobolli’s losses, either, as two of those three have come to Alexander Zverev.

Cilic is a bit of a grass specialist, going 97-35 on the surface in his career and 9-1 in 2025. His record this year does include seven matches at the Challenger level, though, which is worth mentioning.

Cilic boasts a dominant serve that has been troubling opponents for years. Cobolli has demonstrated a strong all-around game in recent matches and has a serve that plays well on grass. He has 24 aces to eight double faults at Wimbledon.

The two have never faced off on grass, but Cobolli does hold a distinct 2-0 series lead over the Croatian.

Best Bet: Sinner vs. Dimitrov

Sinner -7.5 games (-118): This has nothing to do with Dimitrov, who is playing some excellent tennis ahead of this contest.

The Bulgarian has only lost one set at The Championships so far, but will be facing a top-50 competitor for the first time at this tournament.

And he’s not facing just any top-50 player; he’s battling Sinner, who is in fine form at Wimbledon.

Check out Sinner’s results to this point in the tournament:

  • vs. Luca Nardi (6-4, 6-3, 6-0)
  • vs. Aleksandar Vukic (6-1, 6-1, 6-3)
  • vs. Pedro Martinez (6-1, 6-3, 6-1)

Sinner has won all three of his matches by 11 games or more.

These two competitors have never squared off on grass, but Sinner has dominated the head-to-head history. The Italian boasts a 4-1 record, winning each of the last four meetings.

Ultimately, Sinner’s elite return skills should be able to convert breaks and cash this wager. The former is third in percentage of serve games won (29.1%) while the latter is 29th (21.7%).

Best Bet: Djokovic vs. De Minaur

Djokovic -2.5 sets (+130): I will continue betting on Djokovic to cruise on grass until he runs into Carlos Alcaraz or Sinner.

The Serbian has advanced to the final at the last six Wimbledons he has participated in and boasts an otherworldly 98-11 record on the surface.

De Minaur has played very well at The Championships, dropping only one set so far. The level of competition he has squared off against, however, leaves plenty to be desired, as he hasn’t faced anybody inside the ATP’s top-70 players.

Djokovic, meanwhile, has already dismantled two top-50 competitors and has covered this spread in each of his last two victories.

Ultimately, bettors can trust Djokovic to come through in the clutch moments of this match. He ranks 10th in under-pressure rating across the last 52 weeks, while De Minaur places 28th.

Wimbledon predictions made at 3:42 p.m. on 07/06/2025.

Wimbledon round of 16 picks and predictions July 7: Best bets on Sinner, Djokovic, and Cobolli

Wimbledon predictions

Talents like Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic are featured in my round of 16 Wimbledon predictions.

The pregame narrative: Sinner is crushing the competition, and veteran Grigor Dimitrov is up next. Novak Djokovic is cruising at Wimbledon, which doesn’t bode well for Alex De Minaur. Lastly, Flavio Cobolli is a nice pick to beat Marin Cilic.

Check out my top Wimbledon predictions for July 7.

Wimbledon predictions: July 7

Best Bet: Cobolli to win (-110)

Cobolli still doesn’t appear to be getting his due respect.

The Italian earned an upset win over Jakub Mensik in the third round at The Championships as he continues to stack stellar results together.

He has now won 12 of his last 15 matches, including a title at the Hamburg Open.

It’s hard to knock Cobolli’s losses, either, as two of those three have come to Alexander Zverev.

Cilic is a bit of a grass specialist, going 97-35 on the surface in his career and 9-1 in 2025. His record this year does include seven matches at the Challenger level, though, which is worth mentioning.

Cilic boasts a dominant serve that has been troubling opponents for years. Cobolli has demonstrated a strong all-around game in recent matches and has a serve that plays well on grass. He has 24 aces to eight double faults at Wimbledon.

The two have never faced off on grass, but Cobolli does hold a distinct 2-0 series lead over the Croatian.

Best Bet: Sinner vs. Dimitrov

Sinner -7.5 games (-115): This has nothing to do with Dimitrov, who is playing some excellent tennis ahead of this contest.

The Bulgarian has only lost one set at The Championships so far, but will be facing a top-50 competitor for the first time at this tournament.

And he’s not facing just any top-50 player; he’s battling Sinner, who is in fine form at Wimbledon.

Check out Sinner’s results to this point in the tournament:

  • vs. Luca Nardi (6-4, 6-3, 6-0)
  • vs. Aleksandar Vukic (6-1, 6-1, 6-3)
  • vs. Pedro Martinez (6-1, 6-3, 6-1)

Sinner has won all three of his matches by 11 games or more.

These two competitors have never squared off on grass, but Sinner has dominated the head-to-head history. The Italian boasts a 4-1 record, winning each of the last four meetings.

Ultimately, Sinner’s elite return skills should be able to convert breaks and cash this wager. The former is third in percentage of serve games won (29.1%) while the latter is 29th (21.7%).

Best Bet: Djokovic vs. De Minaur

Djokovic -2.5 sets (+138): I will continue betting on Djokovic to cruise on grass until he runs into Carlos Alcaraz or Sinner.

The Serbian has advanced to the final at the last six Wimbledons he has participated in and boasts an otherworldly 98-11 record on the surface.

De Minaur has played very well at The Championships, dropping only one set so far. The level of competition he has squared off against, however, leaves plenty to be desired, as he hasn’t faced anybody inside the ATP’s top-70 players.

Djokovic, meanwhile, has already dismantled two top-50 competitors and has covered this spread in each of his last two victories.

Ultimately, bettors can trust Djokovic to come through in the clutch moments of this match. He ranks 10th in under-pressure rating across the last 52 weeks, while De Minaur places 28th.

Wimbledon predictions made at 3:42 p.m. on 07/06/2025.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Sunday Night Baseball prop bets: Pick Dansby Swanson, Pete Crow-Armstrong to steal the show

Cardinals vs. Cubs prop bets

The St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs play out the rubber match of their Fourth of July weekend series on Sunday Night Baseball.

The pregame narrative: Chicago dominated St. Louis in the series opener, but the latter returned the favour on Saturday. Erick Fedde takes the bump for the Cards while Matthew Boyd starts for the Cubs, giving Chicago a notable pitching advantage.

Check out my Cardinals vs. Cubs prop bets, featuring Dansby Swanson and Pete Crow-Armstrong.

Cardinals vs. Cubs prop bets

Best Bet: Swanson over 1.5 total bases (+150)

Several factors are pointing to a big performance from Swanson on Sunday.

The first is his recent production. Swanson is absolutely mashing baseballs ahead of this contest.

Here are Swanson’s numbers across his last 10 games:

  • .366 batting average
  • .537 SLG
  • .946 OPS
  • 4 extra-base hits

He’s crushing it hitting out of the five hole, and is staring down a juicy matchup against Fedde.

Swanson has done very well in a fairly large sample size of at-bats versus Fedde, going 10-for-26 against the Cardinals’ righty.

The two recently squared off on June 25, and Swanson swatted a double off Fedde in the contest.

Fedde is struggling ahead of this contest, too. He’s allowed 18 hits and 14 runs across his last two starts.

Expect another strong performance from Swanson to close out this series.

Key stat: Swanson has topped this line in six of his last 10 games, totalling 22 bases during that stretch.

Best MLB picks

Fedde under 3.5 strikeouts (+100): Fading Fedde on this market makes a lot of sense.

The Cardinals’ starter doesn’t generate a whole lot of swing-and-miss. Fedde combines a fifth-percentile whiff rate with a second-percentile walk rate, according to Baseball Savant.

Naturally, his strikeout numbers tend to run quite low. Fedde’s averaging 3.4 strikeouts per game this season and has fallen under this mark in nine of his starts.

His chances of an above-average day look even dimmer when looking at Chicago’s extremely low strikeout rate. The Cubs generate the seventh-fewest strikeouts per game (7.80).

Fedde only totalled two punchouts in his lone appearance against Chicago this year.

Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 stolen bases (+200): Crow-Armstrong hasn’t swiped a bag in this series yet, but Sunday seems like the right opportunity.

Part of the reason why he hasn’t stolen a base yet is that he hasn’t spent much time on base. Crow-Armstrong has four hits this weekend, but two went for homers.

If he’s able to reach base against Fedde, there’s a good chance he’ll have the green light to run. Fedde has allowed 30 stolen bases over the last two seasons, which is the second most of all starting pitchers today.

In fact, the Cubs swiped three bags off Fedde on June 25.

Crow-Armstrong is one of the most dangerous baserunners in baseball, ranking third in stolen bases this season with 26.

Cardinals vs. Cubs prop bets made at 11:18 a.m. ET on 07/06/2025.

Rangers vs. Padres Sunday Night Baseball prop bets: Pick Luis Arraez to stay hot at +170

Rangers vs. Padres prop bets

The Texas Rangers and San Diego Padres put an end to an exciting series on Sunday Night Baseball.

The pregame narrative: San Diego topped Texas in the series opener, but the Rangers struck back with a 7-4 win on Saturday. A struggling pitcher gets the ball for the Rangers in this contest, and that has me backing one of the Padres’ top hitters.

Check out my Rangers vs. Padres prop bets, featuring Jack Leiter and Luis Arraez.

Rangers vs. Padres prop bets

Best Bet: Leiter under 15.5 outs (-108)

Leiter isn’t a pitcher worth backing on Sunday’s slate of games.

The Rangers’ righty has several factors working against him in this matchup. Firstly, he is pitching poorly ahead of this game.

Here are his numbers from his last four starts:

  • 6.41 ERA
  • 5.33 FIP
  • 25 hits allowed

He is giving up a fair amount of contact, including nine extra-base knocks during this run.

His home-road splits also suggest that being a visitor on Sunday makes him an even bigger fade candidate.

Check out how he has managed in seven games at home and away this year:

  • He has a 4.55 away ERA vs. a 4.08 home ERA.
  • Leiter has issued 20 walks as a visitor compared to 12 at home.
  • He owns a 1.421 road WHIP and a 1.210 home WHIP.

Those numbers are relevant entering tonight’s contest, as Petco Park holds the same park factor rating as Globe Life Field (98), according to StatCast.

Additionally, Leiter’s stuff doesn’t earn him many strikeouts, and command can be an issue:

  • 29th percentile strikeout rate.
  • 18th percentile walk rate.

I expect him to rack up a high pitch count early in this game. San Diego generates the fewest strikeouts per game (6.15) and the third-most walks per contest (3.80) at home this season.

Key stat: Leiter has gone under this total in three of his last five starts.

Best MLB picks

Arraez over 0.5 RBI (+170): I can certainly get behind backing Arraez at this price.

Few bats ever have been as consistent as his. Arraez’s .319 career batting average illustrates just how strong this guy is at making contact.

He was struggling earlier in the season, but his recent run suggests he’s rounding back into form. Over the last two weeks, Arraez is batting an eye-popping .347.

His spot in the lineup is why I’m targeting his RBI prop. Arraez bats fourth against right-handed pitchers, putting him behind key hitters like Fernando Tatis (.349 OBP), Jackson Merrill (.342) and Manny Machado (.355).

If those three can generate some offence at the top of the lineup, that puts Arraez in a fantastic position to clean up.

Arraez has two RBI in his last four games.

Rangers vs. Padres prop bets made at 12:43 p.m. ET on 07/06/2025.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Sunday Night Baseball prop bets: Pick Dansby Swanson, Pete Crow-Armstrong to steal the show

Cardinals vs. Cubs prop bets

The St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs play out the rubber match of their Fourth of July weekend series on Sunday Night Baseball.

The pregame narrative: Chicago dominated St. Louis in the series opener, but the latter returned the favour on Saturday. Erick Fedde takes the bump for the Cards while Matthew Boyd starts for the Cubs, giving Chicago a notable pitching advantage.

Check out my Cardinals vs. Cubs prop bets, featuring Dansby Swanson and Pete Crow-Armstrong.

Cardinals vs. Cubs prop bets

Best Bet: Swanson over 1.5 total bases (+145)

Several factors are pointing to a big performance from Swanson on Sunday.

The first is his recent production. Swanson is absolutely mashing baseballs ahead of this contest.

Here are Swanson’s numbers across his last 10 games:

  • .366 batting average
  • .537 SLG
  • .946 OPS
  • 4 extra-base hits

He’s crushing it hitting out of the five hole, and is staring down a juicy matchup against Fedde.

Swanson has done very well in a fairly large sample size of at-bats versus Fedde, going 10-for-26 against the Cardinals’ righty.

The two recently squared off on June 25, and Swanson swatted a double off Fedde in the contest.

Fedde is struggling ahead of this contest, too. He’s allowed 18 hits and 14 runs across his last two starts.

Expect another strong performance from Swanson to close out this series.

Key stat: Swanson has topped this line in six of his last 10 games, totalling 22 bases during that stretch.

Best MLB picks

Fedde under 3.5 strikeouts (+110): Fading Fedde on this market makes a lot of sense.

The Cardinals’ starter doesn’t generate a whole lot of swing-and-miss. Fedde combines a fifth-percentile whiff rate with a second-percentile walk rate, according to Baseball Savant.

Naturally, his strikeout numbers tend to run quite low. Fedde’s averaging 3.4 strikeouts per game this season and has fallen under this mark in nine of his starts.

His chances of an above-average day look even dimmer when looking at Chicago’s extremely low strikeout rate. The Cubs generate the seventh-fewest strikeouts per game (7.80).

Fedde only totalled two punchouts in his lone appearance against Chicago this year.

Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 stolen bases (+280): Crow-Armstrong hasn’t swiped a bag in this series yet, but Sunday seems like the right opportunity.

Part of the reason why he hasn’t stolen a base yet is that he hasn’t spent much time on base. Crow-Armstrong has four hits this weekend, but two went for homers.

If he’s able to reach base against Fedde, there’s a good chance he’ll have the green light to run. Fedde has allowed 30 stolen bases over the last two seasons, which is the second most of all starting pitchers today.

In fact, the Cubs swiped three bags off Fedde on June 25.

Crow-Armstrong is one of the most dangerous baserunners in baseball, ranking third in stolen bases this season with 26.

Cardinals vs. Cubs prop bets made at 11:18 a.m. ET on 07/06/2025.

Astros vs. Dodgers SGP predictions July 4: Bet on Houston, Cam Smith in +360 parlay

Astros vs. Dodgers predictions

The two teams that have defined the last decade of MLB, the Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers, collide on Friday night.

The pregame narrative: Both Houston and Los Angeles are in fine form ahead of this contest, making this a must-see matchup. Tonight’s pitching duel isn’t elite, meaning there should be plenty of offence.

Check out my Astros vs. Dodgers predictions, including a prop pick for Cam Smith.

Astros vs. Dodgers predictions

Parlay: Astros +2.5 | Over 8.5 runs | Smith over 1.5 total bases (+360)

Astros +2.5 (-225): This feels like a very comfy margin to back Houston by in this contest.

Very rarely do the Astros lose by three-plus runs. They’ve covered this number in nine of their last 10 games, winning eight of those contests outright.

Houston will also benefit from facing one of Los Angeles’s back-of-the-rotation arms in Ben Casparius. Casparius enters tonight’s game with a 3.97 ERA and is coming off one of his worst starts of the season.

The righty allowed eight hits and six runs across four innings of work against the Kansas City Royals.

His numbers have really tapered off over his last five starts:

  • 7.13 ERA
  • 5.02 FIP
  • 24 hits in 17.2 innings pitched

I expect the Astros to score plenty and cover this lofty spread.

MLB SGP legs

Over 8.5 runs (-162): Casparius isn’t the only pitcher who enters tonight’s game with a dubious resume.

I expect Lance McCullers Jr. to struggle against a loaded Dodgers lineup.

McCullers’ 6.61 ERA and 5.63 FIP are mightily concerning marks. Equally worrisome are his first percentile chase rates and hard-hit percentages per Baseball Savant.

The over on this total has cashed in five of McCullers’ eight starts this season.

Conversely, the Dodgers have gone over this mark in 19 of Casparius’ 25 appearances.

Overs are always in play for Los Angeles as it boasts the third-best over percentage in the majors (55.8%).

Smith over 1.5 total bases (+143): Lastly, I’m looking for Houston’s hottest hitter to keep slugging.

Smith has been an absolute machine over his last seven games:

  • .500 batting average
  • .821 SLG
  • 1.370 OPS
  • 23 total bases

The Astros’ right fielder is averaging 3.3 bases per game during this stretch, putting him well within range of clearing this total.

Smith has recorded two-plus hits in six of his last seven games. I really like his chances of cashing against a struggling pitcher in Casparius.

Astros vs. Dodgers predictions made at 2:46 p.m. ET on 07/04/2025.

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Wimbledon third-round picks and predictions July 5: Bet on Jannik Sinner to win big

Wimbledon predictions

Jannik Sinner headlines Saturday’s Wimbledon action from the All England Club.

The pregame narrative: Sinner aims to inch one step closer to his first finals appearance at Wimbledon in his third-round match versus Pedro Martinez. Elsewhere, Flavio Cobolli battles Jakub Mensik, and Grigor Dimitrov takes on Sebastian Ofner.

Check out my top Wimbledon predictions for July 5.

Wimbledon predictions: July 5

Best Bet: Cobolli to win (+130)

Cobolli is a decently sized underdog in this matchup, but there is value backing him to win over Jakub Mensik.

Firstly, Cobolli has been stacking some very impressive results together ahead of this tournament. He won eight of his last 11 matches before arriving at the All England Club, including a tournament win at Bad Homburg.

Two of his three losses during this stretch were to world No. 3 Alexander Zverev, and that’s certainly nothing Cobolli should be ashamed of.

Mensik wasn’t nearly as impressive, dropping four of his seven matches over the same period.

Secondly, he enters this matchup with the same record as Mensik on grass courts this year (4-2), proving that there is very little separating these two.

Lastly, Cobolli holds a noticeable serve advantage, which is notable on grass courts that favour stronger servers. The Italian ranks 65th in serve rating on grass over the last 52 weeks, while Mensik is 83rd.

Key stat: Cobolli is tied with Novak Djokovic for 28th among all ATP competitors in percentage of second serves won (55.9%).

Embed: #115515

Full tennis betting markets

Wimbledon best bet: Dimitrov vs. Ofner

Dimitrov -2.5 sets (+175): It’s a little surprising to see that this is the first meeting between two tennis veterans.

Dimitrov, 34, and Ofner, 29, are not new to the All England Club. The former, however, is the only one who has had repeated success at this tournament.

Dimitrov has advanced to the fourth round in each of his last two runs at Wimbledon. His best finish at the tournament was a semifinal appearance in 2014.

Ofner earned a third-round appearance at Wimbledon in 2017, but hadn’t won a match at the tournament until this year.

The Bulgarian tennis star also owns a strong record on grass over the last three years. He’s 13-4 on the surface compared to Ofner’s 12-8 mark over the same stretch.

Dimitrov is also an elite server on grass, while Ofner isn’t. He ranks ninth in serve rating, while Ofner is 89th.

Dimitrov has only lost one set across two matches at Wimbledon. I expect him to cruise against the lowest-ranked player he’s faced yet (Ofner is world No. 165).

Best Bet: Sinner vs. Martinez

Sinner -10.5 games (-120): This is a large line for anybody to cover, but Sinner is making it look easy.

The Italian superstar has won twice by this margin already at the tournament. Sinner beat Luca Nardi by 11 games in the first round and Aleksandar Vukic by 13 games in the second round.

Martinez has only lost one set at Wimbledon through two matches, but playing Sinner is very different than battling Mariano Navone or George Loffhagen.

The Spanish tennis star is not having a great campaign. He’s a poor 13-20 overall, and his career record on grass is equally unimpressive.

Martinez is 6-12 on grass in his career.

Wimbledon predictions made at 12:35 p.m. on 07/04/2025.

Wimbledon third-round picks and predictions July 5: Bet on Jannik Sinner to win big

Wimbledon predictions

Jannik Sinner headlines Saturday’s Wimbledon action from the All England Club.

The pregame narrative: Sinner aims to inch one step closer to his first finals appearance at Wimbledon in his third-round match versus Pedro Martinez. Elsewhere, Flavio Cobolli battles Jakub Mensik, and Grigor Dimitrov takes on Sebastian Ofner.

Check out my top Wimbledon predictions for July 5.

Wimbledon predictions: July 5

Best Bet: Cobolli to win (+143)

Cobolli is a decently sized underdog in this matchup, but there is value backing him to win over Jakub Mensik.

Firstly, Cobolli has been stacking some very impressive results together ahead of this tournament. He won eight of his last 11 matches before arriving at the All England Club, including a tournament win at Bad Homgburg.

Two of his three losses during this stretch were to world No. 3 Alexander Zverev, and that’s certainly nothing Cobolli should be ashamed of.

Mensik wasn’t nearly as impressive, dropping four of his seven matches over the same period.

Secondly, he enters this matchup with the same record as Mensik on grass courts this year (4-2), proving that there is very little separating these two.

Lastly, Cobolli holds a noticeable serve advantage, which is notable on grass courts that favour stronger servers. The Italian ranks 65th in serve rating on grass over the last 52 weeks, while Mensik is 83rd.

Key stat: Cobolli is tied with Novak Djokovic for 28th among all ATP competitors in percentage of second serves won (55.9%).

Embed: #115515

Full tennis betting markets

Wimbledon best bet: Dimitrov vs. Ofner

Dimitrov -2.5 sets (+200): It’s a little surprising to see that this is the first meeting between two tennis veterans.

Dimitrov, 34, and Ofner, 29, are not new to the All England Club. The former, however, is the only one who has had repeated success at this tournament.

Dimitrov has advanced to the fourth round in each of his last two runs at Wimbledon. His best finish at the tournament was a semifinal appearance in 2014.

Ofner earned a third-round appearance at Wimbledon in 2017, but hadn’t won a match at the tournament until this year.

The Bulgarian tennis star also owns a strong record on grass over the last three years. He’s 13-4 on the surface compared to Ofner’s 12-8 mark over the same stretch.

Dimitrov is also an elite server on grass, while Ofner isn’t. He ranks ninth in serve rating, while Ofner is 89th.

Dimitrov has only lost one set across two matches at Wimbledon. I expect him to cruise against the lowest-ranked player he’s faced yet (Ofner is world No. 165).

Best Bet: Sinner vs. Martinez

Sinner -10.5 games (-118): This is a large line for anybody to cover, but Sinner is making it look easy.

The Italian superstar has won twice by this margin already at the tournament. Sinner beat Luca Nardi by 11 games in the first round and Aleksandar Vukic by 13 games in the second round.

Martinez has only lost one set at Wimbledon through two matches, but playing Sinner is very different than battling Mariano Navone or George Loffhagen.

The Spanish tennis star is not having a great campaign. He’s a poor 13-20 overall, and his career record on grass is equally unimpressive.

Martinez is 6-12 on grass in his career.

Wimbledon predictions made at 12:35 p.m. on 07/04/2025.

Angels vs. Blue Jays prop picks July 4: Bet on red-hot George Springer

Blue Jays picks

The Toronto Blue Jays are surging ahead of their weekend series with the Los Angeles Angels.

The pregame narrative: Toronto leads the AL East after a four-game sweep of the New York Yankees. The team’s top performer during the series, George Springer, is on an absolute tear and is in a nice spot to continue his dominant ways at the plate.

Check out my Angels vs. Blue Jays picks for July 4, featuring Springer and Eric Lauer.

Angels vs. Blue Jays picks

Best Bet: Springer over 1.5 total bases (+105)

Springer is on one right now, and I’m looking to jump on anyway I can.

For those unaware of just how well he is hitting the ball these days, check out his numbers across his last 10 games:

  • .514 batting average
  • .943 SLG
  • 1.528 OPS
  • 33 total bases

Springer is averaging 3.3 total bases per game over this stretch, thanks to his 18 hits and five home runs.

He’s facing Angels starter Kyle Hendricks, and he certainly isn’t pitching well enough to shake me off Springer.

Hendricks enters tonight’s game with an underwhelming 4.66 ERA and 4.88 FIP. He also has a first-percentile fastball velo (86.3), per Baseball Savant, that should present some very hittable pitches to Springer.

The Blue Jays slugger’s combination of above-average bat speed (68th percentile) and elite power (96th percentile xSLG) should help him deliver on this plus-money prop.

Key stat: Springer has two-plus hits in seven of his last 11 outings.

Blue Jays picks made at 10:19 a.m. ET on 07/04/2025.