Some late-night MLB action is a good place to look for some MLB SGP opportunities on Saturday.
The pregame narrative: A pitching advantage makes the Los Angeles Angels an intriguing pick to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks. The over is my lean on a night where both teams should be able to score a fair amount. Lastly, I’m banking on a strong performance from a surging Mike Trout.
Check out my Diamondbacks vs. Angels predictions, featuring Trout.
Diamondbacks vs. Angels predictions
Parlay: Angels ML | Over 7.5 runs | Trout over 1.5 total bases (+350)
Angels moneyline (-115): I need more than a couple of strong starts to buy back in on Zac Gallen.
The former MLB All-Star boasts a sterling 0.69 ERA and 1.62 FIP across his last two outings, but those numbers paint a very different picture than his season-long stats.
Gallen has been downright brutal. He owns a 5.15 ERA and 4.76 FIP, and one look at his Baseball Savant page suggests these results are warranted:
- 18th-percentile xERA (4.74)
- 33rd-percentile xBA (.259)
- 7th-percentile hard-hit rate (48.0%)
He is surrendering both contact and power, which is not a combination you like to see from your starter.
Conversely, Angels starter Yusei Kikuchi has been solid this season. He pairs a 3.02 ERA with a 3.86 FIP, and L.A. has won two of his last three outings.
The Angels’ offence is also heating up ahead of this contest. They’ve scored 21 runs across their last three games, including six in yesterday’s series-opening victory.
MLB SGP legs
Over 7.5 runs (-186): While Los Angeles’ offence is beginning to heat up, Arizona’s has been hot all year long.
Scoring is not an issue for the Diamondbacks. They’re averaging the fourth-most runs per game in the majors (5.08).
Chase Field’s hitter-friendly confines aren’t the sole reason for their production, either. Arizona has been able to score runs in bunches on the road. It ranks sixth in away scoring (5.02 runs/game).
The Diamondbacks’ combo of strong offence and poor pitching has led to plenty of overs. They’re seventh in MLB in overs percentage (54.4%).
Conversely, the Angels have also been a very strong overs bet. They rank eighth in overs percentage (53.9%).
L.A. has topped this total in five consecutive games. Arizona has done so in nine of its last 11.
Trout over 1.5 total bases (-103): Trout finds himself cashing this prop the old-fashioned way.
The superstar outfielder is showing off elite power ahead of this contest. He has four extra-base hits — including three home runs — across his last six outings.
In last night’s matchup against Arizona, he cashed this wager with a double that carried an exit velocity of 113 miles per hour.
Trout isn’t overly familiar with Gallen, but he has gone 1-for-3 off the righty with his lone hit being a homer.
Diamondbacks vs. Angels predictions made at 2:40 p.m. on 07/12/2025.