The San Francisco Giants look to get off the mat against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday.
The pregame narrative: Los Angeles has won the first two games of this series, and today’s pitching duel feels like a mismatch. So why am I backing San Francisco behind Kai-Wei Teng over L.A. and Tyler Glasnow?
Check out my Giants vs. Dodgers SGP predictions for Sept. 20, featuring a prop bet for Casey Schmitt.
Giants vs. Dodgers predictions
Parlay: Giants +2.5 | Under 10.5 runs | Schmitt to record 1+ hits (+280)
Giants +2.5 (-177): San Francisco can keep it close against Los Angeles today.
Teng gets the ball for the Giants, and on the surface, he’s been brutal this season. He enters this contest with a 6.41 ERA, and his team has lost five of his seven outings.
The advanced numbers, however, paint a much more appealing picture.
- 3.30 FIP
- 3.49 xERA
- .217 aBA
Teng has been much better than his ERA suggests.
Glasnow has been excellent for L.A., combining a 3.06 ERA with a 3.89 FIP. Despite his success this season, this still isn’t a number he’s covering regularly.
The Dodgers have won by three-plus runs in just three of Glasnow’s 11 starts since returning in July from a shoulder injury.
More SGP picks
Under 10.5 runs (-225): I’m expecting both pitchers to deal on Saturday.
Teng has been much better than advertised, and he’s been especially strong away from Oracle Park. Opponents are only hitting .263 against Teng on the road, compared to .292 at home.
Additionally, the Dodgers have never faced Teng before. The unfamiliarity should work in the pitcher’s favour.
Glasnow just squared off against the Giants on September 14 and completely stifled their bats. The righty ceded just three hits and one run across 6.2 innings of work in the contest.
The under on this total has cashed in 10 of Glasnow’s last 11 starts.
Schmitt to record 1+ hits (-129): Lastly, I’m betting on a knock from Schmitt.
The Giants’ infielder isn’t doing anything impactful ahead of this contest (.220 AVG in September) and is actually hitless in his last six games.
But there is one big reason why I’m banking on him delivering today.
Schmitt is much better against right-handed pitchers than he is against lefties.
He’s batting a respectable .258 against righties compared to an abysmal .194 against southpaws.
The league average batting average this season is .246. I’ll take somebody at these odds who’s hitting slightly above that versus righties.
Giants vs. Dodgers predictions made at 11:19 a.m. ET on 09/20/2025.
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