Steven Psihogios

The Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys go toe-to-toe in a Sunday Night Football matchup oozing with intrigue.

The pregame narrative: Fairly or not, Green Bay and Dallas will be compared to each other for the foreseeable future after the Micah Parsons deal. The elite edge rusher makes his return to Dallas with his ex-team reeling after a lopsided loss to the Chicago Bears.

Check out our top Packers vs. Cowboys SNF TD picks, featuring wagers on Javonte Williams and Tucker Kraft.

Packers vs. Cowboys TD picks: Week 4

Best Bet: Williams to score a TD (+140)

Dallas is a significant underdog in this game, but it does have a path to success in this contest.

The Cowboys need to run the football.

It’s what allowed the Cleveland Browns to score enough points and win in Week 4. The Browns averaged 5.1 yards per rush in their 13-10 upset win over Green Bay.

Dallas will have to do the same.

And the Cowboys have a running back capable of doing so. Williams has been very effective through three weeks.

The Dallas RB is 11th in yards per rush (5.3) and is eighth in rushing yards per game (75.7).

I expect the Cowboys to lean heavily on Williams in this one, given their shorthanded passing attack. Ceedee Lamb is out with an ankle injury, and Dak Prescott is 21st with an unimpressive 6.3 yards per throw.

Expect Williams to be the focal point of Dallas’ offence and bet on him to reach paydirt.

Key stat: Williams has converted both his rushing attempts inside the five into touchdowns this season.

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 Sunday Night Football TD picks

Kraft to score a TD (+190): No team has allowed more receiving yards per game to wide receivers than Dallas (220.3).

So why am I targeting a tight end?

There are a couple of reasons. Firstly, Dallas is getting stronger at cornerback. DaRon Bland is expected to return after missing the last two weeks with a foot injury.

That will make passing the ball noticeably tougher for a Green Bay offence that is dealing with key injuries at wideout.

Jayden Reed and Christian Watson are still sidelined for this contest.

Less appealing receiver options should make Jordan Love look more at his tight end.

Kraft is already one of Love’s go-to options in the red zone. He’s tied with Romeo Doubs for the team lead in targets inside the 20 (three).

Packers vs. Cowboys TD picks made at 10:27 a.m. ET on 09/28/2025.

A pair of marquee matchups headline the NFL Week 4 slate.

The latest: Revenge is the theme for the upcoming NFL action. Micah Parsons makes his return to Big D as the Green Bay Packers visit the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. Earlier in the day, the Baltimore Ravens battle one of their biggest rivals, the Kansas City Chiefs.

Check out the latest NFL Week 4 schedule below.

NFL Week 4 schedule notes

• The Buffalo Bills were the first team to move to 3-0 after defeating the Miami Dolphins on Thursday Night Football, 31-21. Buffalo enters Week 4 again as a big favourite at home against the New Orleans Saints.

• The Dolphins fell to 0-3, but they did show some fight in their loss. Moral victories won’t do Miami any favours, however, as QB Tua Tagovailoa and head coach Mike McDaniel are on the hot seat. The team will aim for its first win of the year against the New York Jets on Monday Night Football.

• The Chiefs avoided a disastrous start by beating the New York Giants, 22-9, on Sunday Night Football. The offence still doesn’t look right, however, which is troublesome ahead of a date with the high-scoring Ravens.

• There’s only one battle of undefeateds in Week 4: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Philadelphia Eagles. The former has narrowly won each of its first three games, owning a +6 point differential. The latter, meanwhile, hasn’t looked quite as dominant as it was a year ago.

• All eyes will be on this week’s SNF matchup between the Packers and Cowboys. Both teams are coming off losses to previously winless opponents. Dallas finds itself in a more desperate spot, staring down an underwhelming 1-3 start with a loss.

NFL Week 4 matchups: Thursday night and Sunday morning

Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals

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Minnesota Vikings vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (in Dublin, Ireland)

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Sunday’s 1 p.m. slate

New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills

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Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans

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Cleveland Browns vs. Detroit Lions

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Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Carolina Panthers vs. New England Patriots

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Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Giants

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Sunday’s 4 p.m. slate

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Francisco 49ers

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Indianapolis Colts vs. Los Angeles Rams

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Chicago Bears vs. Los Angeles Raiders

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs

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Sunday & Monday Night Football matchups

Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys

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New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos

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The Kansas City Chiefs and New York Giants search for their first win of the season on Sunday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Kansas City and New York are both staring down the barrel of a 0-3 start. As both teams aim to avoid it at all costs, expect stellar performances from star players on either side. 

Check out our top Chiefs vs. Giants SNF TD picks, including wagers on Isiah Pacheco and Malik Nabers. 

Chiefs vs. Giants TD picks: Week 3

Best Bet: Pacheco to score a TD (+180)

Kansas City’s run game has struggled to generate much in the early going. 

The only player having any success is Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs QB leads the team with 123 yards and two scores on 13 carries.

Nobody else has topped 50 yards or has a TD.

Pacheco, especially, has struggled to produce. He’s turned 15 carries into a measly 47 yards while adding three catches for just 10 yards.

But Kansas City doesn’t have many options at running back, and it seems committed to making it work with Pacheco.

The thundering running back saw increased action from Week 1 to Week 2:

• 50.8% snap share in Week 1
• 58.3% snap share in Week 2

A similar workload should yield better results against New York.

The Giants can’t stop the run. They’re allowing the second-most yards per carry (5.9) and the most rushing yards per game (177.5).

Most importantly for this wager, however, New York is allowing the third-most red zone touchdowns per game (3.0).

The Chiefs should be able to march down the field, and that means Pacheco should be able to cap off a drive for his team.

Key stat: Pacheco is tied for the lead among Chiefs RBs with two red zone carries.

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Sunday Night Football TD picks

Nabers to score a TD (+117): If Russell Wilson has shown anything this season, it’s that he’s going to lock in on Nabers.

The star wide receiver has been a target magnet. He has 25 targets through two games and has turned them into 14 catches for 167 yards and two touchdowns.

Wilson has shown that he’ll home in on Nabers in the red zone. Nabers is:

• T-4th in targets inside the 20 (four)

• T-3rd in targets inside the 10 (three)

• T-2nd in targets inside the five (two)

Kansas City hasn’t done a great job of stopping the pass in the early going. The Chiefs are tied for the sixth-most yards per pass allowed thus far (7.1).

Chiefs vs. Giants TD picks made at 10:27 a.m. ET on 09/21/2025.

The Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens close out Week 3 in style with a highly anticipated Monday Night Football matchup.

The pregame narrative: After losing in Week 1, both Detroit and Baltimore bounced back with dominant wins in Week 2. With these being two of the best offences in the NFL, fans and bettors alike can expect plenty of action in primetime.

Check out my Lions vs. Ravens picks for the Monday Night Football matchup on Sept. 22, featuring Rashod Bateman.

Lions vs. Ravens picks

Best Bet: Lions +5 (-110)

Baltimore seems to be getting a little too much respect based on this line.

Both squads entered this year as legitimate Super Bowl contenders. Detroit was thoroughly outmatched in Week 1 by the Green Bay Packers, while Baltimore squandered a game away to the Buffalo Bills.

Each won by 20-plus points in Week 2, but this number suggests that the Ravens are a cut above the Lions.

I’m not so sure about that.

Offensively, Detroit’s lineup is littered with more playmakers. While nobody is going to argue that Jared Goff is better than Lamar Jackson, there’s no question that the former has better options around him

Defensively, the Lions appear to be more average than elite. Baltimore has been heralded as a great defensive team for years, but I’m unsure that’s the case this year.

The Ravens allowed 41 points to the Bills in Week 1. Although it did hold the Cleveland Browns to 17 points in Week 2, it’s hard to gauge a defence off a performance against the Browns.

Baltimore hasn’t shown that it has an elite pass rush, totalling only three sacks through two games. The key to beating the Lions (as seen by Green Bay in Week 1) is getting to Goff.

The Ravens don’t have the edge rushers up front to do that, which is why I’ll gladly side with Detroit catching a mittful of points.

Key stat: Detroit led the NFL in road points per game last season (30.8).

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Other Monday Night Football picks

Over 53.5 points (-108): This is the highest point total in Week 3, and with good reason.

Baltimore leads the NFL in points per game ahead of this contest (40.5), while Detroit isn’t far behind in third (32.5).

Each side recorded 40-plus points in Week 2, and I haven’t seen anything from these defences that makes me believe a lockdown performance is on the way.

The Ravens and Lions are tied for allowing the ninth-most yards per play (5.5).

Additionally, the over on this number has cashed in three of their combined four games this season.

Bateman under 38.5 receiving yards (-112): Now, why would I take an under in a game that should be full of offence?

Usage, that’s why.

Bateman’s weekly snap counts show a discouraging trend:

• Week 1: 37 offensive snaps (72.5% of plays)

• Week 2: 33 offensive snaps (58.9%)

His decrease in snaps isn’t the only concerning part, either.

Bateman hasn’t been productive when on the field. He’s turned eight targets into four catches for 25 yards, a measly 3.1 yards per target.

Even more worrisome is the emergence of DeAndre Hopkins.

Hopkins is making the most of his opportunities. He’s turned his four targets into four catches, 99 yards, and two touchdowns despite only playing 28 offensive snaps (26.2%) through two weeks.

Offensive coordinator Todd Monken stated that Hopkins’ role will continue to grow as the season progresses. His increased usage will likely come at Bateman’s expense, which is why I’m looking to fade him in Week 3.

Lions vs. Ravens picks made at 2:09 p.m. ET 09/19/2025.