Contributing Writer

Buccaneers vs. Rams SNF Week 12 SGP predictions: Back Stafford, Tucker in +500 wager

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Los Angeles Rams headline NFL Sunday in Week 12.

The pregame narrative: The Rams look like legit Super Bowl contenders, leading the NFC West with an 8-2 record. On the other side, the Buccaneers lead a disappointing NFC South and can widen their lead with a win on the road.

Check out my +500 same-game parlay Buccaneers vs. Rams predictions for Nov. 23, featuring Matthew Stafford and Sean Tucker.

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Buccaneers vs. Rams predictions

SGP: Stafford 250+ passing yards | Tucker 50+ rushing yards | Rams -3.5 (+500)

Stafford 250+ passing yards (-143): The Rams quarterback is having an MVP-calibre campaign with 2,557 passing yards, 27 touchdowns and just two interceptions.

He leads the Rams into a contest with the Buccaneers, who struggle to defend the air.

Tampa Bay allows the sixth-most passing yards in the NFL (241.6/game)

In Week 11, Josh Allen only needed 19 completions to gain 317 passing yards en route to the Buffalo Bills scoring 44 points.

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Stafford is a pure pocket passer and should throw more than Allen, who’s one of the most mobile QBs in the league.

Stafford averages 255.7 yards per game on 22.3 completions. Everything points to him having an above-average performance against the Bucs.

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Sunday Night Football SGP picks

Tucker 50+ rushing yards (-120): Tucker went undrafted in 2023 but has been a staple as the RB3 on Tampa Bay’s roster for the past two years.

He’s always been effective with his touches, owning a 4.9 yards-per-carry average in his career.

With Bucky Irving still making his way back from injury, Tucker was partly unleashed in a split backfield with Rachaad White.

And with every passing week, he looks like the better running back, which has led to more rushes.

That was most apparent in Week 11, when Tucker recorded 106 yards on 19 carries. After a performance like that, he should be in for another big workload.

The Rams are good but not great against the run (100.7 yards/game), so there’s a viable opportunity for Tucker to have a good week.

He’s cleared this line in back-to-back games.

Rams -3.5 (-190): The defence should be the difference in this matchup.

As mentioned before, the Buccaneers have a below-average defence.

10th most yards against/game (361.6)
12th-most points against/game (25.0)

Los Angeles counters with the second-best scoring defence in the NFL, holding opponents to 17.2 points per game.

Both quarterbacks can sling, and both offences can produce fireworks, but there’s a clear advantage on the defensive side for the 8-2 Rams.

L.A. is 7-3 ATS on the season and has a +16.8 average point differential during its active five-game win streak.

Buccaneers vs. Rams predictions made at 2:15 p.m. ET Nov. 15, 2025.

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Kings vs. Nuggets SGP predictions Nov. 22: Take overs for Nikola Jokic, Keegan Murray in +390 same-game parlay

The Denver Nuggets return home after beating the Houston Rockets in a thriller on Friday.

The pregame narrative: They’ll play the banged-up Sacramento Kings on Saturday, and Denver is favoured to win by double-digit points. I’ll back the home side to cover a teased-down spread behind a big performance from Nikola Jokic on the glass.

Check out my Kings vs. Nuggets SGP predictions for Nov. 22, featuring Jokic and Keegan Murray.

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Kings vs. Nuggets predictions

Parlay: Jokic 12+ rebounds | Murray over 10.5 points | Nuggets -8.5 (+390)

Jokic 12+ rebounds (-150): Jokic should feast against the Kings without Domantas Sabonis.

Sacramento has struggled to contain centres this season, allowing the fifth-most rebounds to the position (16.21), per Fantasy Pros.

When the Nuggets played the Kings on Nov. 11, Jokic finished with 15 rebounds.

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Sacramento doesn’t have much depth at centre. Drew Eubanks and Precious Achiuwa are the bigs that the Kings have used to fill Sabonis’ role.

Jokic should dominate those two, leading to another monster rebounding performance.

He is averaging 13.0 rebounds and is 11-4 against this line.

NBA SGP legs

Murray over 10.5 points (-130): Murray made his season debut last game, playing a healthy 33 minutes.

He scored 11 points on 5-of-13 shooting while hitting just one 3-pointer on six attempts.

So it looks like that’s going to be close to his floor as a scorer moving forward.

The Kings need all the help they can get, which gives me confidence they’ll continue to give Murray a lot of looks.

If he takes a handful of 3s and double-digit shots again, he won’t need to be super effective to surpass this modest total.

-> Back Nikola Jokic and Keegan Murray on Saturday

Like I mentioned before, the Kings are severely lacking frontcourt depth. Without Sabonis, Murray is the best big man they have, and it looks like there are no restrictions on his minutes.

Nuggets -8.5 (-177): The Nuggets earned a hard-fought win over the Rockets in the NBA Cup on Friday, but the rest disadvantage isn’t enough to deter me from taking them to win.

Sacramento has lost eight straight, while failing to cover this spread a single time during the drought.

Meanwhile, the Nuggets are 12-3 and 9-1 in their last 10 games.

They are a special team that is well-conditioned. They are 2-0 with zero days’ rest this season, winning each game by 7+ points.

At home, I’m confident the Nuggets can outperform the struggling Kings, even with no rest.

Kings vs. Nuggets SGP made at 11:32 a.m. ET Nov. 22, 2025.

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NHL parlay picks and predictions Nov. 22: Take Dallas to win, over in Anaheim vs. Vegas

Saturday’s NHL slate is jammed packed and I’ve put together a +338 parlay for the action.

The pregame narrative: This wager includes backing the Dallas Stars on the road against the last-place Calgary Flames. Also, expect a lot of scoring when the Vegas Golden Knights visit the Anaheim Ducks.

Check out the full +338 NHL parlay for Nov. 22, featuring a pick on the Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville Predators game.

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NHL parlay picks

Parlay: Stars ML | Ducks/Golden Knights over 5.5 goals | Avalanche ML (+300)

Stars moneyline (-148): The Stars are on fire right now, so I don’t mind adding them at this price against the Flames.

Calgary has the fewest points in the entire NHL (15), along with a 3-4-2 home record.

Dallas, on the other hand, has won four of the last five with a +14 goal differential in that span.

Jason Robertson is scorching hot with nine goals in his last five games. He’s just one piece of a deep roster that looks like an early Stanley Cup contender.

I don’t want to overthink this one. The Stars hold the advantages in every aspect and have a better lineup top-to-bottom.

It looks like another wasted season for the Flames. Dallas should keep rolling right through Calgary.

-> Bet on Dallas to win in Calgary

Other picks

Ducks/Golden Knights over 5.5 goals (-154): The Ducks have shocked the masses, sitting first in the Pacific Division with a 13-7-1 record.

They’re scoring the third-most goals per game (3.57), fuelled by a young offence breaking out.

One knock against them is their defence. Anaheim allows 3.14 goals per game on 30.1 shots. Both of those rank below average.

I expect the Ducks to score a few at home, and Vegas’ offence is good enough to capitalize on a shaky defence.

These two met earlier in November in a game that Anaheim won 4-3 on the road.

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Avalanche moneyline (-223): Just above the Flames in the NHL’s basemen are the Predators, who have 16 points.

Nashville has lost six of seven ahead of Saturday’s contest, which is bad news with Colorado in town.

The Avs are 14-5-1, and they haven’t lost a game by more than one goal for the entire first quarter of the season.

On top of that, they are on a seven-game winning streak and are 9-0-1 in their last 10.

This team is stacked from front to back. Taking anything other than the Avalanche to win here wouldn’t sit right.

Colorado’s +34 goal differential is more than double the second-best goal differential in the NHL (Carolina Hurricanes, +16).

NHL parlay made at 11:24 a.m. on Nov. 22, 2025.

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Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens prop picks Nov. 22: Bet on Morgan Rielly to find score sheet

I have my sights set on two defencemen in the Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens game on Saturday.

The pregame narrative: The newest chapter of this historic rivalry is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams struggling to keep goals out right now. Because of that, I believe there’s value in backing blue-liners Morgan Rielly and Noah Dobson.

Check out my Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens prop picks for the game on Nov. 22 in Montreal.

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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens prop picks

Best Bet: Rielly to score 1+ points (-118)

The Leafs are going through it right now, but Rielly has been a consistent bright spot in the early going of a bounce-back season.

He has 16 points in 20 games, playing north of 22 minutes per game.

The injuries to defenceman Chris Tanev and Brandon Carlo have forced Rielly into the top defensive pairing with Oliver Ekman-Larsson.

He also remains an integral part of the top power play.

-> Bet on Rielly against the Canadiens

So the chances should be there, and the Canadiens’ goaltending has been woeful.

The Habs rank 12th in shots allowed but give up the fourth-most goals per game (3.60).

Sam Montembeault is expected to start for Montreal and he has a 3.72 GAA to go along with a .852 SV%.

Key stat: Rielly has cashed this wager in eight of the past 10 games.

Best NHL prop picks

Dobson to score 1+ points (+100): On the other side, Toronto has even bigger defensive problems.

Joseph Woll is back, but it doesn’t matter who’s in net when the team in front of him allows 31.1 shots per game. That’s led to the third-most goals against (3.67/game).

Toronto has allowed three or more goals in eight of the past nine games, so there’s good reason to find a way to fade the defence.

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And I think Dobson is a strong candidate to do damage.

The first year Hab has 13 points this season, including nine over his past 12 games.

Dobson has always been a point-producing defenceman. In 2023-24, he had 70 points with the New York Islanders.

He almost certainly won’t reach those heights this season, but he’s still an offensive threat.

Dobson ranks fourth on the Canadiens with 35 shots and has a good opportunity to get back on the score sheet tonight.

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET Nov. 22, 2025.

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NHL parlay picks and predictions Nov. 22: Take Dallas to win, over in Anaheim vs. Vegas

Saturday’s NHL slate is jammed packed and I’ve put together a +338 parlay for the action.

The pregame narrative: This wager includes backing the Dallas Stars on the road against the last-place Calgary Flames. Also, expect a lot of scoring when the Vegas Golden Knights visit the Anaheim Ducks.

Check out the full +338 NHL parlay for Nov. 22, featuring a pick on the Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville Predators game.

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NHL parlay picks

Parlay: Stars ML | Ducks/Golden Knights over 6 goals | Avalanche ML (+338)

Stars moneyline (-155): The Stars are on fire right now, so I don’t mind adding them at this price against the Flames.

Calgary has the fewest points in the entire NHL (15), along with a 3-4-2 home record.

Dallas, on the other hand, has won four of the last five with a +14 goal differential in that span.

Jason Robertson is scorching hot with nine goals in his last five games. He’s just one piece of a deep roster that looks like an early Stanley Cup contender.

I don’t want to overthink this one. The Stars hold the advantages in every aspect and have a better lineup top-to-bottom.

It looks like another wasted season for the Flames. Dallas should keep rolling right through Calgary.

Embed: #121469

-> Bet on Dallas to win in Calgary

Other picks

Ducks/Golden Knights over 6 goals (-122): The Ducks have shocked the masses, sitting first in the Pacific Division with a 13-7-1 record.

They’re scoring the third-most goals per game (3.57), fuelled by a young offence breaking out.

One knock against them is their defence. Anaheim allows 3.14 goals per game on 30.1 shots. Both of those rank below average.

I expect the Ducks to score a few at home, and Vegas’ offence is good enough to capitalize on a shaky defence.

These two met earlier in November in a game that Anaheim won 4-3 on the road.

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Avalanche moneyline (-220): Just above the Flames in the NHL’s basemen are the Predators, who have 16 points.

Nashville has lost six of seven ahead of Saturday’s contest, which is bad news with Colorado in town.

The Avs are 14-5-1, and they haven’t lost a game by more than one goal for the entire first quarter of the season.

On top of that, they are on a seven-game winning streak and are 9-0-1 in their last 10.

This team is stacked from front to back. Taking anything other than the Avalanche to win here wouldn’t sit right.

Colorado’s +34 goal differential is more than double the second-best goal differential in the NHL (Carolina Hurricanes, +16).

NHL parlay made at 11:24 a.m. on Nov. 22, 2025.

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Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens prop picks Nov. 22: Bet on Morgan Rielly to find score sheet

I have my sights set on two defencemen in the Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens game on Saturday.

The pregame narrative: The newest chapter of this historic rivalry is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams struggling to keep goals out right now. Because of that, I believe there’s value in backing blue-liners Morgan Rielly and Noah Dobson.

Check out my Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens prop picks for the game on Nov. 22 in Montreal.

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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens prop picks

Best Bet: Rielly to score 1+ points (-110)

The Leafs are going through it right now, but Rielly has been a consistent bright spot in the early going of a bounce-back season.

He has 16 points in 20 games, playing north of 22 minutes per game.

The injuries to defenceman Chris Tanev and Brandon Carlo have forced Rielly into the top defensive pairing with Oliver Ekman-Larsson.

He also remains an integral part of the top power play.

-> Bet on Rielly against the Canadiens

So the chances should be there, and the Canadiens’ goaltending has been woeful.

The Habs rank 12th in shots allowed but give up the fourth-most goals per game (3.60).

Sam Montembeault is expected to start for Montreal and he has a 3.72 GAA to go along with a .852 SV%.

Key stat: Rielly has cashed this wager in eight of the past 10 games.

Embed: #121464

Best NHL prop picks

Dobson to score 1+ points (+108): On the other side, Toronto has even bigger defensive problems.

Joseph Woll is back, but it doesn’t matter who’s in net when the team in front of him allows 31.1 shots per game. That’s led to the third-most goals against (3.67/game).

Toronto has allowed three or more goals in eight of the past nine games, so there’s good reason to find a way to fade the defence.

-> Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens at NorthStar Bets

And I think Dobson is a strong candidate to do damage.

The first year Hab has 13 points this season, including nine over his past 12 games.

Dobson has always been a point-producing defenceman. In 2023-24, he had 70 points with the New York Islanders.

He almost certainly won’t reach those heights this season, but he’s still an offensive threat.

Dobson ranks fourth on the Canadiens with 35 shots and has a good opportunity to get back on the score sheet tonight.

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET Nov. 22, 2025.

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Top European soccer picks and predictions: Expect Atletico Madrid to win, Arsenal to keep clean sheet

After a week off for World Cup qualifiers, the top European soccer leagues return to action with a loaded slate.

The pre-weekend narrative: The Premier League action is headlined by Arsenal and Tottenham playing in the first North London derby of the season. In Spain, Atletico Madrid has a good shot to keep its streak alive against Getafe.

Check out this weekend’s best European soccer picks and predictions for games on Nov. 23, featuring a best bet on Inter vs. AC Milan.

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Soccer picks: Nov. 23

Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid (Nov. 23, 3 p.m. ET)

Best bet: Atletico Madrid to win (-130)

Atletico Madrid is in top form right now after winning four straight La Liga matches.

The club is part of the top four, which is a level above the rest of the league.

Its opponent on Sunday, Getafe, is eighth in La Liga but has performed poorly against the top teams.

3-0 loss at Valencia
3-0 loss at Barcelona
1-0 loss vs. Real Madrid

Atletico is the only top-four team that hasn’t played Getafe this season, but I expect a similar result.

-> Bet on Atletico Madrid to win

Getafe has the fewest expected goals for this season (8.6), according to Fotmob. That explains why the side struggled to create offence in the matches against other top-tier opponents.

Atletico ranks third in Spain with four clean sheets and should hold strong against Getafe on Sunday.

Key stat: Madrid has only conceded one goal during its four-match win streak.

EPL prediction

Matchup: Arsenal vs. Tottenham (Nov. 23, 11:30 a.m. ET)

Both teams to score — No (-137): This is a pick mainly based on Arsenal’s elite defence.

The Gunners are atop the EPL table with 26 points in 11 games. They’ve only conceded five goals with seven clean sheets.

Arsenal has been even better at home, where Sunday’s fixture takes place.

Across all competitions, the side has conceded just one goal in eight games at Emirates Stadium. The one goal came against offensive powerhouse Manchester City.

On the other side, Tottenham has been solid in the back, too. The Hotspurs allow the fourth-fewest goals per game (0.9).

This has the makings of a possession-heavy game in which offence is hard to come by.

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Serie A best bet

Matchup: Inter vs. AC Milan (Nov. 23, 2:45 p.m. ET)

Inter to win (-108): Inter has some notable advantages in this matchup.

The side is red-hot. Not including friendlies, Inter has won 11 of its past 12 matches.

Inter excels at home. The Serie A leaders haven’t lost at home since late August.

AC Milan is losing its stride. Milan has drawn three of its past four matches, all against opponents outside of the league’s top 10.

Inter has shown once again to be in a league of its own. The side has the best goal differential in Italy (+14), and no one else is close.

I’ll happily bet on the home side to get it done at a playable price.

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Soccer picks made at 2 p.m. on Nov. 19, 2025.

Knicks vs. Mavericks SGP predictions Nov. 19: Expect a big performance from Towns in +350 wager

Two injury-riddled rosters go to battle in the late-night NBA slate on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: The New York Knicks have been awful on the road and will be without their best defender for this contest. Look for the Dallas Mavericks to keep this game close, even though they’re bound to struggle guarding Karl-Anthony Towns.

Check out my Knicks vs. Mavericks SGP predictions for Nov. 19, featuring Towns and Max Christie.

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Knicks vs. Mavericks predictions

Parlay: Mavericks +10.5 | Towns over 23.5 points | Christie 2+ threes (+350)

Mavericks +10.5 (-200): This feels like a trap spot for the Knicks for a few reasons.

As of Wednesday afternoon, OG Anunoby has been ruled out and Jalen Brunson is questionable.

That doesn’t bode well for the Knicks, who are 0-4 SU and ATS on the road this season.

They’ve benefitted from a lot of home games early on, but that’s about to change with a six-game stretch away from Madison Square Garden.

-> Build your NBA SGP at NorthStar Bets

The Mavericks are off to a slow start (4-11) but have covered this spread in nine of 10 home games.

It’s worth noting that Cooper Flagg is questionable with an illness, so that’ll be worth monitoring as the day rolls on.

But even without Flagg, I think the Mavs can do enough to keep this game competitive.

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NBA SGP legs

Towns over 23.5 points (-121): It looks like Brunson is trending toward playing after reportedly participating in the morning shootaround.

But if he happens to be out or limited in any capacity, this is a smash play. Either way, I love the matchup for Towns.

Dallas is struggling to replace Anthony Davis’ interior defence while he’s out. The Mavs allow the second-most points per game to centres (26.36), per Fantasy Pros.

Towns technically starts at power forward while Mitchell Robinson takes the reins at the five. However, Robinson plays less than 17 minutes per night, so it’s often Towns playing centre during the majority of possessions.

The combination of PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford should struggle to guard the Knicks’ star big man, especially in space, where he excels.

Towns has averaged 24.7 PPG over his past seven games.

-> Back Towns and Christie on Wednesday night

Christie 2+ threes (-162): Christie has been lights out from distance. He is shooting 45.8% from 3-point range on 5.5 attempts per game.

The guard is coming off his worst game of the season (18 minutes, one point, 0-for-1 shooting), but that was the first time he shot fewer than four 3s in a game this season.

Odds are that it doesn’t happen again and he gets a fair amount of shots up tonight.

He’s 12-3 against this wager overall, so I’ll gladly ride with this pick after an outlier performance.

Plus, if Flagg is out or limited, Christie would see more run, leading to more shot opportunities.

Knicks vs. Mavericks predictions made at 1:12 p.m. ET Nov. 19, 2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 19: Back Leo Carlsson, Seth Jarvis to score on Wednesday

Two underrated scorers are featured in Wednesday’s NHL goal picks.

The pregame narrative: Seth Jarvis is having a strong season for the Carolina Hurricanes, who are first in the Metropolitan. They play the Minnesota Wild tonight. In the final game on Wednesday, take the value on budding superstar Leo Carlsson.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 19.

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NHL goal picks Nov. 19

Best Bet: Jarvis to score (+140)

After scoring 30+ goals in back-to-back seasons, Jarvis is set to reach new career-highs.

He has 10 goals in 19 games so far, putting him on pace for 43. That kind of season would make him one of the top goal scorers in the NHL.

Jarvis hasn’t scored in four games either, but this is a great spot to get back on track.

The Wild allow the ninth-most shots per game (29.3) and have the fourth-worst penalty kill (71.7%).

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That could spell trouble against the Hurricanes, who average 33.6 shots and 3.63 goals. Both of those marks rank in the top three.

And Jarvis leads the way. His 10 goals and 60 shots are the most of any Carolina player.

Key stat: Jarvis has six goals in 10 road games this season.

NHL predictions

Carlsson to score (+160): The Anaheim Ducks have shocked the NHL with one of the best offences in the NHL.

They are tied for second for goals per game (3.63) while taking the fourth-most shots per night (30.0).

A lot of that success is due to Carlsson’s rise to stardom.

-> Bet on Carlsson and the Ducks tonight!

Take a look at the 20-year-old’s stats and where they rank in the NHL:

11 goals (tied for 14th)
26 points (8th)

Despite all of that, he has the third-shortest odds on the Ducks to score.

Another aspect of this pick is my intent to fade the Boston Bruins’ defence.

Boston allows the ninth-most goals per game (3.29) and will be without top defenceman Charlie McAvoy for the foreseeable future.

NHL goal picks made at 9:41 a.m. ET on Nov. 19, 2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 19: Back Leo Carlsson, Seth Jarvis to score on Wednesday

Two underrated scorers are featured in Wednesday’s NHL goal picks.

The pregame narrative: Seth Jarvis is having a strong season for the Carolina Hurricanes, who are first in the Metropolitan. They play the Minnesota Wild tonight. In the final game on Wednesday, take the value on budding superstar Leo Carlsson.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 19.

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NHL goal picks Nov. 19

Best Bet: Jarvis to score (+160)

After scoring 30+ goals in back-to-back seasons, Jarvis is set to reach new career-highs.

He has 10 goals in 19 games so far, putting him on pace for 43. That kind of season would make him one of the top goal scorers in the NHL.

Jarvis hasn’t scored in four games either, but this is a great spot to get back on track.

The Wild allow the ninth-most shots per game (29.3) and have the fourth-worst penalty kill (71.7%).

-> Wager on Jarvis at NorthStar Bets

That could spell trouble against the Hurricanes, who average 33.6 shots and 3.63 goals. Both of those marks rank in the top three.

And Jarvis leads the way. His 10 goals and 60 shots are the most of any Carolina player.

Key stat: Jarvis has six goals in 10 road games this season.

Embed: #121220

NHL predictions

Carlsson to score (+170): The Anaheim Ducks have shocked the NHL with one of the best offences in the NHL.

They are tied for second for goals per game (3.63) while taking the fourth-most shots per night (30.0).

A lot of that success is due to Carlsson’s rise to stardom.

-> Bet on Carlsson and the Ducks tonight!

Take a look at the 20-year-old’s stats and where they rank in the NHL:

11 goals (tied for 14th)
26 points (8th)

Despite all of that, he has the third-shortest odds on the Ducks to score.

Another aspect of this pick is my intent to fade the Boston Bruins’ defence.

Boston allows the ninth-most goals per game (3.29) and will be without top defenceman Charlie McAvoy for the foreseeable future.

NHL goal picks made at 9:41 a.m. ET on Nov. 19, 2025.

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