Contributing Writer

Heat vs. Mavericks same-game parlay predictions Feb. 13: Bet on Bam Adebayo and Kel’el Ware at +360

The Miami Heat visit an injury-riddled Dallas Mavericks side on Thursday.

The pregame narrative: Even though the Mavs are dealing with a lot of bad injury luck, I’m confident they can keep it close with the Heat. Despite that, I’m backing two Miami players — Bam Adebayo and Kel’el Ware — in the prop markets to round out this SGP.

Check out my Heat vs. Mavericks same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 13.

Heat vs. Mavericks predictions

Parlay: Mavericks +6.5 | Adebayo 17+ points | Ware 9+ rebounds (+360)

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Mavericks +6.5 (-240): Dallas will miss Anthony Davis and other key pieces but it gets Miami at a very tough spot in its schedule.

The Heat played a road game against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday and lost 115-101 but the contest was close enough that Miami’s starters played a normal workload.

This will mark the team’s sixth game on the road in February so fatigue is sure to be a factor.

Dallas played on Wednesday, as well, and beat the new-look Golden State Warriors behind 42 points from Kyrie Irving.

The Mavericks didn’t have to travel last night and play their fourth straight at home. Keeping pace with the Heat shouldn’t be too tall a task.

SGP legs

Adebayo 17+ points (-159): Following the Jimmy Butler saga in Miami, Adebayo’s been torching NBA defences.

He’s averaging 23.1 points in eight games since Jan. 27.

He’s shooting 54.5% from the field and playing 36.9 minutes per night.

He cashed this wager in all eight games.

In the Heat’s most recent road back-to-back (Feb. 5), Adebayo played 33 minutes against the Philadelphia 76ers and scored 18 points.

I’m not worried about his minutes and the Mavericks are missing several big men which should allow Adebayo to feast around the basket.

Ware 9+ rebounds (-134): Can anyone reading this play centre for the Mavericks tonight?

Dallas is missing five different big men/rebounding threats:

Anthony Davis
Dwight Powell
Daniel Gafford
Dereck Lively II
P.J. Washington

On Wednesday, the Mavericks started Kessler Edwards at centre, a 6-foot-8 forward who averages 10.1 minutes per night.

He was asked to play 32 minutes and was serviceable, grabbing six rebounds and recording three steals and two blocks but he’s not an NBA starting centre.

Ware has been impressive in his rookie season for the Heat and has been slated as the starter for the last 11 games.

In those contests, he hauled down nine-plus rebounds seven times.

The Mavericks don’t have a quality centre who could take advantage and I believe Ware will be dominant in this matchup.

Picks made at 10:15 a.m. ET 02/13/2025.

EPL Matchday 25 picks and predictions: Bet the over in Tottenham vs. Manchester United

The Premier League is back in action this weekend and I have two picks for you.

The pregame narrative: The final game on Sunday is between two underperforming English giants and I’m taking the over at plus money in the Tottenham vs. Manchester United match. Below, I also share a pick on Nottingham Forest.

Check out the best EPL Matchday 25 picks.

EPL Matchday 25 picks

Go to full Premier League betting markets.

Best Bet: Tottenham/Manchester United over 3.5 goals (+110)

These two sides last met on Dec. 19 and it was a game to show to the soccer haters.

Tottenham stole a win, 4-3, in a non-league fixture, but it was Man U pouring on the pressure. The side had 20 shot attempts and 2.56 xG, per FotMob.

Tottenham bagged four goals on a measly 0.67 xG which is impressive, but I expect more chances this go around.

The first meeting between these two clubs finished 3-0 to the side on Man U but I am confident Spurs can score at least a goal on Sunday.

Tottenham has the sixth-most xG (40.4) and scores the third-most goals per match (2.0).

Manchester United can get in high-danger spots, too. The Red Devils have 34.2 xG this season. It’s worth taking a shot at another offensive explosion at this juicy price.

Key stat: Tottenham allows 1.5 goals against per match.

Quick pick

Nottingham Forest over 1.5 goals (+200): Nottingham Forest has been a huge surprise this season.

It currently sits third on the Premier League table with a 14-5-5 record. The side’s relied on strong defence over offence this season but recent results can’t be ignored.

In its last EPL match, Forest steamrolled Brighton 7-0. The game before was a 5-0 defeat but the Tricky Trees scored in six of the eight league fixtures before that.

The side also managed to score against Liverpool in a 1-1 draw on Jan. 14.

Playing a tough Fulham side on the road is a tall task but I think these odds are worth the risk.

Picks made at 2:22 p.m. on 02/12/25.

Sweden vs. Canada 4 Nations Face-Off prop picks: Back Reinhart and Nylander to get on the score sheet

I’ve got two goalscorer props to share for Wednesday’s opening game between Sweden and Canada.

The latest: The 4 Nations Face-Off will pin four of the sport’s top nations together in a tournament that has hockey fans excited. In the first game, I’m backing Sam Reinhart to score for Canada and William Nylander to score for Sweden. I’m taking Filip Forsberg to score a point, too.

Check out the latest Sweden vs. Canada 4 Nations Face-Off props for Feb. 12.

Sweden vs. Canada props

Best Bet: Reinhart anytime goalscorer (+160)

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According to Daily Faceoff, Reinhart will play wing on the first line with Connor McDavid and Mitch Marner while joining the first power-play unit.

That first line is extremely good but how about the PP that includes McDavid, Sidney Crosby, Nathan McKinnon and Cale Makar?

Reinhart may seem like the name that doesn’t fit but he serves a purpose with the man advantage. He leads all Canadians with 31 goals in the NHL and nine of those came on the PP.

He’ll play with some of hockey’s best passers on both his regular line and power play and he has a strong chance to lead the tournament in goals.

Key stat: Since the start of last season, Reinhart ranks second in the NHL with 88 goals scored during that time, sitting one back of Auston Matthews (89).

Quick picks

Nylander anytime goalscorer (+235): Nylander will have a large role in the Swedes’ offence.

He’ll play on the second line and seemingly quarterback the first PP unit as he’s slotted to play on the blueline with Victor Hedman.

The Leafs’ star is currently second in the NHL with 33 goals in 55 games. He’s picking up the slack left behind by Matthews who’s missed a chunk of the season.

If anything, that shows us how productive Nylander can be when given more opportunity. John Tavares was also out for some time with an injury.

He won’t have Marner to pass him the puck but linemate Mika Zibanejad had 50-plus assists in two of the last three seasons.

Zibanejad is falling short of that pace this season (26 assists in 55 games) but he’s on a tear for the New York Rangers right now.

He has six assists in his last five games while Nylander’s potted nine goals in his last 10 games. This could be a match made in heaven on the second line for Sweden.

Forsberg to score 1+ points (+102): This pick is based on pure talent.

Forsberg has 53 points in 52 NHL games this season and he’s been on a heater.

Since Jan. 14, he has 34 points in 24 games and is coming off a 94-point season.

With Canada starting Jordan Binnington in goal (.897 SV%, 2.89 GAA), I expect the Swedes to score a couple of goals.

4 Nations Face-Off picks made at 1:09 p.m. ET on 02/11/2025.

EPL Matchday 25 picks and predictions: Bet the over in Tottenham vs. Manchester United

The Premier League is back in action this weekend and I have two picks for you.

The pregame narrative: The final game on Sunday is between two underperforming English giants and I’m taking the over at plus money in the Tottenham vs. Manchester United match. Below, I also share a pick on Nottingham Forest.

Check out the best EPL Matchday 25 picks.

EPL Matchday 25 picks

Go to full Premier League betting markets.

Embed: #109400

Best Bet: Tottenham/Manchester United over 3.5 goals (+105)

These two sides last met on Dec. 19 and it was a game to show to the soccer haters.

Tottenham stole a win, 4-3, in a non-league fixture, but it was Man U pouring on the pressure. The side had 20 shot attempts and 2.56 xG, per FotMob.

Tottenham bagged four goals on a measly 0.67 xG which is impressive, but I expect more chances this go around.

The first meeting between these two clubs finished 3-0 to the side on Man U but I am confident Spurs can score at least a goal on Sunday.

Tottenham has the sixth-most xG (40.4) and scores the third-most goals per match (2.0).

Manchester United can get in high-danger spots, too. The Red Devils have 34.2 xG this season. It’s worth taking a shot at another offensive explosion at this juicy price.

Key stat: Tottenham allows 1.5 goals against per match.

Quick pick

Nottingham Forest over 1.5 goals (+205): Nottingham Forest has been a huge surprise this season.

It currently sits third on the Premier League table with a 14-5-5 record. The side’s relied on strong defence over offence this season but recent results can’t be ignored.

In its last EPL match, Forest steamrolled Brighton 7-0. The game before was a 5-0 defeat but the Tricky Trees scored in six of the eight league fixtures before that.

The side also managed to score against Liverpool in a 1-1 draw on Jan. 14.

Playing a tough Fulham side on the road is a tall task but I think these odds are worth the risk.

Picks made at 2:22 p.m. on 02/12/25.

Finland vs. USA 4 Nations Face-Off prop picks: Matthews and Tkachuk in prime spot to score

I’m backing two Americans to score in the USA’s opening game against Finland.

The latest: Team USA has a stacked offence paired with a strong defence and elite goaltending. I predict a big win for the U.S. and I’m taking both Auston Matthews and Matthew Tkachuk to pot goals.

Check out the latest Finland vs. USA 4 Nations Face-Off props for Feb. 13.

Finland vs. USA props

Best Bet: Matthews anytime goalscorer (+123)

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Matthews isn’t on the same historic scoring pace he was last season, but he’s still an elite goalscorer.

He has 20 goals in 40 games which over 82 games would be a 41-goal pace. That seems low for Matthews but most players could only dream of scoring 40 in a season.

And I think this is the best matchup at the tournament. Finland has a good offence but with the recent injury to Miro Heiskenen, the defence is a step behind.

While other nations roster elite blueliners, Finland’s unit will be led by Esa Lindell and Niko Mikkola.

They are good defensive defencemen, but there’s some skill missing on the backend.

Matthews will centre the second line and play on a power play that includes the likes of Jack Hughes, Jack Eichel and Adam Fox, some of hockey’s best passers.

Key stat: Since the start of last season, Matthews ranks first in the NHL with 89 goals.

Quick pick

Tkachuk anytime goalscorer (+245): The fifth and final piece of that PP unit is Tkachuk.

He’s sure to play the role of a net-front presence and with those pieces I mentioned before, the big-bodied forward could be in line for an easy tap-in or rebound opportunity on Wednesday.

Tkachuk’ll play on the first line, as well, with Eichel and Kyle Connor. Both of whom are tied for sixth in the NHL with 69 points this season.

There isn’t much to go off with these best-on-best international tournaments happening so irregularly so I’m tending to go off what the lines are.

And Tkachuk plays in a prime spot to do some damage and he has some fantastic value on his goalscorer prop.

4 Nations Face-Off picks made at 1:09 p.m. ET on 02/11/2025.

Cavaliers vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions Feb. 12: Bet on Cleveland and Mobley at +390

The Toronto Raptors travel home for a meeting with the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The pregame narrative: It will be the Raptors’ second game in as many nights and I’m fading them once again. This +390 SGP also includes prop picks on Evan Mobley and Ochai Agbaji.

Check out my Cavaliers vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 12.

Cavaliers vs. Raptors predictions

Parlay: Cavaliers -10.5 | Mobley 18+ points | Agbaji 4+ rebounds (+350)

Cavaliers -10.5 (-200): I faded Toronto on Tuesday against the Philadelphia 76ers and it blew up in my face, ruining my parlay.

But I won’t let that deter me from doing it again against a much superior Cleveland side.

The Cavaliers are 43-10 overall and 18-6 on the road.

Cleveland covered this spread in one of two meetings with Toronto this season. However, the most recent 132-126 win on Jan. 9 was against a rare healthy Raptors roster.

That shouldn’t be the case on Wednesday as Brandon Ingram, Jakob Poeltl and RJ Barrett all missed yesterday’s contest with injuries.

Even though there’s no injury report for Toronto at the time of writing, Michael Grange recently reported that Ingram was about a month away, while Poeltl (hip) and Barrett (concussion) have missed the last handful of games.

The Cavaliers are the much better team on more rest. No need to overthink this one.

SGP legs

Mobley 19+ points (-118): The 23-year-old power forward is showing off his offensive development this season.

Mobley has always been a good defender but his scoring has seen huge improvement. For the No. 1 seeded Cavs, he is averaging 18.7 points on 56.9% from the field and 38.1% from deep.

That’s incredible efficiency from all spots on the floor.

Plus, he’s simply on fire right now. He’s scored 27-plus points in three straight games and he’s cleared this mark in four of his last five.

In two games against the Raptors this season, Mobley has scored 20-plus in both contests, averaging 23.0 points.

It’s hard to say for sure with no injury report but I’m assuming Poeltl will be out again. If that’s the case, Mobley should feast but he’s capable of clearing this modest total with Poeltl in the lineup, too.

Over the last 15 days, the Raptors have allowed the fifth most points to opposing PFs (25.1), per Fantasy Pros.

Agbaji 4+ rebounds (-159): With all the injuries, Agbaji has found himself in a starting role once again.

And he’s been productive with the opportunity. He’s grabbed four-plus rebounds in three straight games as a starter.

Toronto has relied on Agbaji to start often this season with injuries continuously being a concern.

In 37 starts, he’s averaging 3.9 rebounds in 30.1 minutes of action.

Picks made at 11:20 a.m. ET 02/12/2025

Cavaliers vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions Feb. 12: Bet on Cleveland and Mobley at +390

The Toronto Raptors travel home for a meeting with the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The pregame narrative: It will be the Raptors’ second game in as many nights and I’m fading them once again. This +390 SGP also includes prop picks on Evan Mobley and Ochai Agbaji.

Check out my Cavaliers vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 12.

Cavaliers vs. Raptors predictions

Parlay: Cavaliers -10.5 | Mobley 18+ points | Agbaji 4+ rebounds (+390)

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Cavaliers -10.5 (-215): I faded Toronto on Tuesday against the Philadelphia 76ers and it blew up in my face, ruining my parlay.

But I won’t let that deter me from doing it again against a much superior Cleveland side.

The Cavaliers are 43-10 overall and 18-6 on the road.

Cleveland covered this spread in one of two meetings with Toronto this season. However, the most recent 132-126 win on Jan. 9 was against a rare healthy Raptors roster.

That shouldn’t be the case on Wednesday as Brandon Ingram, Jakob Poeltl and RJ Barrett all missed yesterday’s contest with injuries.

Even though there’s no injury report for Toronto at the time of writing, Michael Grange recently reported that Ingram was about a month away, while Poeltl (hip) and Barrett (concussion) have missed the last handful of games.

The Cavaliers are the much better team on more rest. No need to overthink this one.

SGP legs

Mobley 18+ points (-120): The 23-year-old power forward is showing off his offensive development this season.