Spencer Closs

Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.

Hornets vs. Lakers same-game parlay predictions Feb. 19: Bet on Doncic and Ball at +325

Hornets vs. Lakers predictions

The Charlotte Hornets and Los Angeles Lakers headline the first night of NBA action following the all-star break.

The pregame narrative: I’m bullish on the Lakers for the rest of the season and I’m taking them to cover an alternate spread in their first game back. I also have picks on Luka Doncic and LaMelo Ball in this +325 SGP.

Check out my Hornets vs. Lakers same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 19.

Hornets vs. Lakers predictions

Parlay: Lakers -9.5 | Doncic 3+ threes | Ball over 10.5 rebounds/assists (+325)

Embed: #109740

Lakers -9.5 (-220): I don’t know if it’s the hype surrounding the Lakers’ trade for Doncic or their recent play, but I’m buying in.

  • Since Jan. 21, L.A. is 10-2 with a +12.3 average point differential.
  • The Lakers covered this spread in 6/10 of those wins.

Fans haven’t seen the full potential of the Doncic and LeBron James duo yet, either.

Doncic played just 23 minutes in each of his first two games with the Lakers. The all-star break gave the Slovenian superstar extra time to settle into his new home while getting back to peak fitness.

The Hornets are 2-11 in their last 13 and 13-39 overall. I feel good buying some extra points in favour of the Lakers.

SGP legs

Doncic 3+ threes (-195): Even in Doncic’s lacklustre 16-point performance against the Utah Jazz, he was able to drain three triples.

That exemplifies his sky-high floor as one of the NBA’s highest-volume shooters.

Even in a year filled with injuries, Doncic averages 3.3 threes on 9.5 attempts per game. In 46 minutes through two starts with the Lakers, he has attempted 15 threes.

The hope here is Doncic has a slight uptick in minutes as his conditioning improves. But he’s capable of clearing this line even with a reduced workload.

Ball over 10.5 rebounds/assists (-143): To start, Ball averages 12.3 rebounds/assists, which is obviously above the number I’m looking for Wednesday.

Ball has dealt with an ankle injury that forced him out in the first quarter in two of his last three starts. But he’s had the entire all-star break to tend to the issue.

If Ball is good to go on Wednesday, I expect big minutes. If he’s ruled out, this leg will be void and there’s no harm.

In the past eight games where he’s played more than 20 minutes, he is averaging 14.4 RA and has cleared this mark seven times.

On Jan. 27, Ball played just nine minutes against the Lakers. He went 4-1 against this line in five previous meetings with L.A.

Picks made at 2:18 p.m. ET on 02/18/2025.

Champions League playoff picks and predictions Feb. 19: Expect goals in Real Madrid vs. Manchester City

Champions League playoff picks

The final four remaining spots in the Champions League Round of 16 will be decided on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Juventus has had an underwhelming season by its standard, but the club is heating up and I predict a strong defensive showing on the road. Because of that, I’m taking the under in this matchup. I also like the over when Real Madrid faces Manchester City.

Check out the best Champions League predictions for the Round of 16 playoffs.

Champions League predictions

Go to full Champions League betting markets.

Best Bet: PSV/Juventus under 2.5 goals (+115)

Juventus finished 20th in the UCL league stage and currently sits fourth in Serie A, but things are turning around as the games become more important.

In the first leg of the playoff round, Juventus beat PSV, 2-1. In that game, the Italian club recorded eight shots on goal compared to the Dutch side’s two.

I Bianconeri followed that performance with a 1-0 win on the weekend in Serie A over second-place Inter Milan.

Juventus has now won four straight games in February across all competitions, and I think that momentum is important leading into this second leg.

Since the Italian giant is -286 to qualify, I’ll make the prediction that Thiago Motta’s side plays a shutdown defensive game on the road.

The first game went over this total but Juventus had a majority of the offence. There’s no need to push to score here as a 0-0 or 1-1 draw does the trick.

Key stat: Juventus is tied for ninth in clean sheets (three).

Quick pick

Real Madrid/Manchester City over 3.5 goals (-125): I’m not sure who’s going to qualify here but I’m expecting more than a few goals.

Real Madrid took the first leg, 3-2, with some late-match heroics from Jude Bellingham. Now, Man City will be pressing to score on the road.

And I’m not counting the English side out.

  • Man City has seven of 11 matches since the calendar flipped to 2025.
  • 10 of those contests had four or more total goals.

Real Madrid can score, too. Among UCL clubs, it ranks third in goals per match (2.6), while Manchester City ranks seventh (2.2).

Erling Haaland and Kylian Mbappe are two of the top strikers in the world, and that’s just the beginning of the offensive talent these teams have to offer.

I don’t think I’m crazy to think another explosive contest is in the works with a spot in the UCL Round of 16 on the line.

Picks made at 12:54 p.m. on 02/18/25.

Champions League playoff picks and predictions Feb. 19: Expect goals in Real Madrid vs. Manchester City

Champions League playoff picks

The final four remaining spots in the Champions League Round of 16 will be decided on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Juventus has had an underwhelming season by its standard, but the club is heating up and I predict a strong defensive showing on the road. Because of that, I’m taking the under in this matchup. I also like the over when Real Madrid faces Manchester City.

Check out the best Champions League predictions for the Round of 16 playoffs.

Champions League predictions

Go to full Champions League betting markets.

Best Bet: PSV/Juventus under 2.5 goals (+117)

Embed: #109726

Juventus finished 20th in the UCL league stage and currently sits fourth in Serie A, but things are turning around as the games become more important.

In the first leg of the playoff round, Juventus beat PSV, 2-1. In that game, the Italian club recorded eight shots on goal compared to the Dutch side’s two.

I Bianconeri followed that performance with a 1-0 win on the weekend in Serie A over second-place Inter Milan.

Juventus has now won four straight games in February across all competitions, and I think that momentum is important leading into this second leg.

Since the Italian giant is -286 to qualify, I’ll make the prediction that Thiago Motta’s side plays a shutdown defensive game on the road.

The first game went over this total but Juventus had a majority of the offence. There’s no need to push to score here as a 0-0 or 1-1 draw does the trick.

Key stat: Juventus is tied for ninth in clean sheets (three).

Quick pick

Real Madrid/Manchester City over 3.5 goals (-121): I’m not sure who’s going to qualify here but I’m expecting more than a few goals.

Real Madrid took the first leg, 3-2, with some late-match heroics from Jude Bellingham. Now, Man City will be pressing to score on the road.

And I’m not counting the English side out.

  • Man City has seven of 11 matches since the calendar flipped to 2025.
  • 10 of those contests had four or more total goals.

Real Madrid can score, too. Among UCL clubs, it ranks third in goals per match (2.6), while Manchester City ranks seventh (2.2).

Erling Haaland and Kylian Mbappe are two of the top strikers in the world, and that’s just the beginning of the offensive talent these teams have to offer.

I don’t think I’m crazy to think another explosive contest is in the works with a spot in the UCL Round of 16 on the line.

Picks made at 12:20 p.m. on 02/18/25.

UFC Fight Night 251 picks and predictions: Bet on Youssef Zalal to dominate co-main event bout

UFC Fight Night 251 predictions

Jared Cannonier and Gregory “Robocop” Rodrigues headline another UFC fight card at the performance centre in Las Vegas.

The pre-fight narrative: The two middleweight contenders will duel for position in the division standings. But I’m looking elsewhere for my picks and backing Ketlen Souza on the undercard before taking the value on Youssef Zalal to finish his fight with Calvin Kattar.

Check out my UFC Fight Night 251 predictions for the Feb. 15 card in Las Vegas.

UFC Fight Night 251 predictions

Click link to add selection to betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

UFC 251 predictionsOdds
Souza to win-112
Zalal to win by finish+260

UFC picks made at 1:50 p.m. ET on 02/14/25.

Go to full UFC betting markets.

Best Bet: Souza to win (-112)

Let’s start this by analyzing Souza’s opponent, Angela Hill.

Hill is 17-14-0 and a long-time veteran of the UFC strawweight division but she’s now 40 years old and things haven’t gone her way since late 2021.

In that time, she has gone 4-5 and struggled with the fighters ready for the next step. I believe Souza fits that description.

She lost her UFC debut in 2023 by first-round kneebar. But that was a sign of inexperience and she’s shown improvements since.

The 29-year-old is coming off the biggest win of her career, defeating Yazmin Jauregui by first-round knockout.

Jauregui entered with an 11-1 record and the Mexican prospect was a -500 favourite, according to Tapology.

In the previous bout, Souza dominated Marnic Mann for three rounds, outstriking her 80-31. She’s in her prime and has power in her punches. A rare trait for the women’s lightest weight class.

Hill is a savvy vet but I can’t see her being able to deal with the strength and pressure coming back her way.

Key stat: Souza lands 5.1 significant strikes per minute with 66% accuracy, per UFC Stats. That would rank higher than any strawweight with five-plus fights.

UFC quick pick

Zalal to win by finish (+220): This is Zalal’s second stint in the UFC which is hard to believe considering the Moroccan is 28 years old.

He lost three straight bouts between 2020-21 before drawing another in 2022 leading to his release from the promotion shortly after. His next three years looked like this:

  • Zalal won three regional MMA fights and then signed back to the UFC.
  • After signing with UFC, he won another three fights.
  • Since his UFC release, he’s finished all six of his bouts.

It was quite the two and a half years for the featherweight and I believe Zalal, who has a clear grappling advantage, is primed for a push at the title.

His opponent, Kattar is a strong boxer but his takedown defence is non-existent and he’s a fish out of water on the mat.

Kattar is 1-3 in his last four but his most recent bout against Aljamain Sterling was the most telling. Sterling landed 8-of-13 takedowns in his first fight up a weight class and cruised to a decision victory.

Zalal is much more of a finisher but possesses the same grappling pedigree.

Since resigning with the promotion, he’s landed 4-of-6 takedowns and has three submission victories. He finished all those fights before the end of the second round.

UFC Fight Night 251 picks and predictions: Bet on Youssef Zalal to dominate co-main event bout

UFC Fight Night 251 predictions

Jared Cannonier and Gregory “Robocop” Rodrigues headline another UFC fight card at the performance centre in Las Vegas.

The pre-fight narrative: The two middleweight contenders will duel for position in the division standings. But I’m looking elsewhere for my picks and backing Ketlen Souza on the undercard before taking the value on Youssef Zalal to finish his fight with Calvin Kattar.

Check out my UFC Fight Night 251 predictions for the Feb. 15 card in Las Vegas.

UFC Fight Night 251 predictions

Click link to add selection to betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

UFC 251 predictionsOddsBet now ⬇️
Souza to win-112Add to betslip
Zalal to win by finish+260Add to betslip

UFC picks made at 1:50 p.m. ET on 02/14/25.

Go to full UFC betting markets.

Best Bet: Souza to win (-112)

Let’s start this by analyzing Souza’s opponent, Angela Hill.

Hill is 17-14-0 and a long-time veteran of the UFC strawweight division but she’s now 40 years old and things haven’t gone her way since late 2021.

In that time, she has gone 4-5 and struggled with the fighters ready for the next step. I believe Souza fits that description.

She lost her UFC debut in 2023 by first-round kneebar. But that was a sign of inexperience and she’s shown improvements since.

The 29-year-old is coming off the biggest win of her career, defeating Yazmin Jauregui by first-round knockout.

Jauregui entered with an 11-1 record and the Mexican prospect was a -500 favourite, according to Tapology.

In the previous bout, Souza dominated Marnic Mann for three rounds, outstriking her 80-31. She’s in her prime and has power in her punches. A rare trait for the women’s lightest weight class.

Hill is a savvy vet but I can’t see her being able to deal with the strength and pressure coming back her way.

Key stat: Souza lands 5.1 significant strikes per minute with 66% accuracy, per UFC Stats. That would rank higher than any strawweight with five-plus fights.

UFC quick pick

Zalal to win by finish (+260): This is Zalal’s second stint in the UFC which is hard to believe considering the Moroccan is 28 years old.

He lost three straight bouts between 2020-21 before drawing another in 2022 leading to his release from the promotion shortly after. His next three years looked like this:

  • Zalal won three regional MMA fights and then signed back to the UFC.
  • After signing with UFC, he won another three fights.
  • Since his UFC release, he’s finished all six of his bouts.

It was quite the two and a half years for the featherweight and I believe Zalal, who has a clear grappling advantage, is primed for a push at the title.

His opponent, Kattar is a strong boxer but his takedown defence is non-existent and he’s a fish out of water on the mat.

Kattar is 1-3 in his last four but his most recent bout against Aljamain Sterling was the most telling. Sterling landed 8-of-13 takedowns in his first fight up a weight class and cruised to a decision victory.

Zalal is much more of a finisher but possesses the same grappling pedigree.

Since resigning with the promotion, he’s landed 4-of-6 takedowns and has three submission victories. He finished all those fights before the end of the second round.

Canada vs. USA 4 Nations Face-Off prop picks: Bet on Marner and Tkachuk to find the score sheet

Canada vs. USA props

The matchup fans have been waiting for goes down on Saturday night as the Canada vs. USA rivalry is reborn on the biggest stage.

The latest: This game will be an exhilarating showcase of hockey talent. I’m not sure who’s going to win, but I’ll back a forward from each side to find the score sheet.

Check out the latest Canada vs. USA 4 Nations Face-Off props for Feb. 15.

Canada vs. USA props

Best Bet: Marner anytime goalscorer (+290)

Embed: #109528

Marner was the overtime hero in the game against Sweden as he was set up by Sidney Crosby entering the zone and the rest was history.

https://twitter.com/NHL/status/1889890443694866881

He was on the ice a ton, trailing only Connor McDavid in ice time amongst Canadian forwards.

Marner plays on the first line with McDavid and sees ice with Crosby so the potential is sky-high.

McDavid had just one assist on Wednesday, however, a breakout game offensively would surely involve lots of Marner.

It appears Canada will rely on Marners’ crafty skillset much like the Toronto Maple Leafs do on a nightly basis.

Key stat: Marner is tied for fourth in the NHL with 71 points this season.

Quick picks

Matthew Tkachuk anytime goalscorer (+295): Out of all the talent in USA’s offence, it was the Tkachuk brothers that made the biggest mark on the first game.

Brady and Matthew combined for four goals (two each) and 13 of the Americans’ 32 shots.

In my USA vs. Finland prop picks, I backed Matthew over Brady because of his involvement on the power play and I’ll do so again even though there appears to be no wrong choice.

Matthew scored both of the Americans’ PP goals and plays with the first unit which consists of names like Jack Eichel and Auston Matthews.

The Florida Panther paced all of his teammates though, recording a whopping eight shots.

It feels like his (and his brother’s) physicality is exactly what is needed alongside these talented forwards and Matthew should continue to benefit from loads of opportunity.

4 Nations Face-Off picks made at 9:55 a.m. ET on 02/14/2025.

NBA slam dunk contest 2025 odds and predictions: McClung favoured, Castle has value at all-star event

NBA slam dunk contest

The NBA slam dunk contest takes place on Saturday so let’s break down the odds.

The narrative: Mac McClung looks for a three-peat while three debutants look to steal the crown. I personally like the value on rookie Stephon Castle doing well.

Check out our NBA slam dunk contest odds for the all-star event on Feb. 15.

NBA slam dunk contest odds

Click on linked odds below to bet now. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

PlayerOdds
Mac McClung-225
Andre Jackson Jr.+500
Matas Buzelis+700
Stephon Castle+700

NBA odds as of 10:32 a.m. ET on 02/14/25.

Go to full NBA all-star weekend betting markets.

There is good reason for McClung being the odds-on favourite.

  • He won the last two dunk contests.
  • He’s only played one game on an NBA roster (Orlando Magic) this season but has made a name for himself as a staple in this contest.
  • The other three contestants are newcomers.

Buzelis, Jackson and Castle are high fliers, however, so I think fans could be in for the best contest in years.

No one has ever won three in a row since the dunk contest’s inception in 1986 so the pressure will be on for McClung to etch his name in the history books.

He would also join Nate Robinson and become the second player ever to win three dunk contests.

A rookie with value

Best bet: Castle to win (+700)

Out of everyone in this, I’m the most excited for the rookie out of San Antonio.

Castle’s thrown down several monstrous dunks in his first NBA season. Check this jam and how he looks like he’s effortlessly floating to the rim.

https://twitter.com/NBA/status/1871980819369394357

According to NBA.com’s dunk score metric, this ranks as the 26th-best dunk of the season with a score of 92.0.

This metric uses player-tracking data to find an objective measurement of every dunk. Power, jump, style and defensive contest make up the categories used in these calculations.

Castle’s 52 in-game dunks rank 52nd in the NBA above players like Myles Turner (40), Scottie Barnes (38), Jaylen Brown (35) and Aaron Gordon (33).

This rook clearly loves to dunk and at 6-foot-6, he’s got the size of a rim rocker while maintaining the agility of a point guard.

Finland vs. Sweden 4 Nations Face-Off prop picks: Bet on teammates Nylander and Kempe to score

Finland vs. Sweden props

Finland and Sweden battle to get in the win column at the 4 Nations Face-Off and I have picks and William Nylander and Adrian Kempe.

The latest: Finland is coming off a 6-1 loss while Sweden pushed Canada to overtime and ultimately lost 4-3. I’m more inspired by the Swedes’ effort so I’ll take a shot on two of its players to score.

Check out the latest Finland vs. Sweden 4 Nations Face-Off props for Feb. 15.

Finland vs. Sweden props

Best Bet: Nylander anytime goalscorer (+180)

Embed: #109515

It wasn’t a great game for Nylander against Canada. He was held off the score sheet with two shots on goal and was a -1.

The good news is that he led all Swedish forwards with 20:30 of ice time.

Canada, USA and Sweden all fall into an elite tier, in my opinion, while Finland falls short. The Finns kept it close but in the end, couldn’t hang with the Americans, allowing four goals in the third period.

They gave up four power plays to USA, too, and paid for it by allowing goals on two of them.

Nylander plays a ton, is on the first power-play unit and has the softest matchup of the tournament.

Key stat: The Toronto Maple Leafs’ winger ranks second in the NHL this season with 33 goals.

Quick picks

Kempe anytime goalscorer (+200): On most nights, Kempe will take more shots than his teammates which is a great floor for a goalscorer prop.

He is the second-ranked Swedish player for shots per game (3.1) in the NHL, ranking only behind Filip Forsberg (3.6).

In the game against Canada, he led Sweden with five shots which is quite high considering his team only had 26.

He managed to score, too, which is always encouraging.

If the Swedes can pour it on Finland like the Americans did (six goals on 32 shots), then there’s a good chance Kempe finds himself in strong scoring positions.

4 Nations Face-Off picks made at 9:55 a.m. ET on 02/14/2025.

NBA slam dunk contest 2025 odds and predictions: McClung favoured, Castle has value at all-star event

NBA slam dunk contest

The NBA slam dunk contest takes place on Saturday so let’s break down the odds.

The narrative: Mac McClung looks for a three-peat while three debutants look to steal the crown. I personally like the value on rookie Stephon Castle doing well.

Check out our NBA slam dunk contest odds for the all-star event on Feb. 15.

NBA slam dunk contest odds

Click on linked odds below to bet now. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

PlayerOdds
Mac McClung-167
Matas Buzelis+450
Andre Jackson Jr.+450
Stephon Castle+650

NBA odds as of 1:32 p.m. ET on 02/13/25.

Go to full NBA all-star weekend betting markets.

There is good reason for McClung being the odds-on favourite.

  • He won the last two dunk contests.
  • He’s only played one game on an NBA roster (Orlando Magic) this season but has made a name for himself as a staple in this contest.
  • The other three contestants are newcomers.

Buzelis, Jackson and Castle are high fliers, however, so I think fans could be in for the best contest in years.

No one has ever won three in a row since the dunk contest’s inception in 1986 so the pressure will be on for McClung to etch his name in the history books.

He would also join Nate Robinson and become the second player ever to win three dunk contests.

A rookie with value

Best bet: Castle to reach the final (+140)

Out of everyone in this, I’m the most excited for the rookie out of San Antonio.

Castle’s thrown down several monstrous dunks in his first NBA season. Check this jam and how he looks like he’s effortlessly floating to the rim.

https://twitter.com/NBA/status/1871980819369394357

According to NBA.com’s dunk score metric, this ranks as the 26th-best dunk of the season with a score of 92.0.

This metric uses player-tracking data to find an objective measurement of every dunk. Power, jump, style and defensive contest make up the categories used in these calculations.

Castle’s 52 in-game dunks rank 52nd in the NBA above players like Myles Turner (40), Scottie Barnes (38), Jaylen Brown (35) and Aaron Gordon (33).

This rook clearly loves to dunk and at 6-foot-6, he’s got the size of a rim rocker while maintaining the agility of a point guard.

And this bet doesn’t require a fade on McClung. Castle can simply make it to the final but don’t be surprised if he wins.

Clippers vs. Jazz same-game parlay predictions Feb. 13: Back teammates Harden and Powell at +300

Clippers vs. Jazz predictions

The final game before the all-star break will be played between the Los Angeles Clippers and Utah Jazz.

The pregame narrative: With both teams on back-to-backs, I’m hesitant to pick a side. Because of that, I’ll mix player props on James Harden, Norman Powell and Isaiah Collier to make up a +300 SGP.

Check out my Clippers vs. Jazz same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 13.

Clippers vs. Jazz predictions

Parlay: Harden 10+ assists | Powell 23+ points | Collier 8+ assists (+300)

Embed: #109467

Harden 10+ assists (-122): Kawhi Leonard will sit out for rest on Thursday, meaning Harden should have higher usage than usual.

And he’s already been quite productive with double-digit assists in nine of the past 12 games.

The Jazz also flat-out suck on defence. They have the third-worst defensive rating (120.4) in the NBA and allow the second most assists (10.2) to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros.

In his first meeting with Utah this season, Harden dished out 11 dimes. In the next meeting, he only recorded six but lit up the stat sheet with 41 points.

Most recently, on Feb. 8, Harden sliced up the Jazz’s defence for 17 assists.

If the nostalgic scoring touch isn’t there, expect another high assists total from Harden at the end of the night.

SGP legs

Powell 23+ points (-162): I expect Powell to be the main beneficiary of Harden’s elite playmaking.

The former Toronto Raptor is on a shortlist of contenders for the Most Improved Award and it’s easy to understand why.

  • He’s scoring 24.0 points per game.
  • While shooting 49.6% from the field and 42.9% from 3.

That PPG average is up just over 10 points from last season (13.9).

In three games against the Jazz this year, Powell is 2-1 against this line while averaging 24.6 points.

Collier 8+ assists (-215): Betting this line for a rookie may seem risky but he’s been trustworthy in this spot.

Collier is now a starter for the Jazz and he leads all rookies in assists per game (5.8). For context, the next closest is Bub Carrington (4.0).

He’s surpassed this mark in six straight including a nine-assist performance against the Clippers less than a week ago.

In 20 starts, Collier is averaging 8.6 assists a night and 3.3 turnovers. Over the full season, that would have him ranked tied for fifth in APG with Harden.

The 20-year-old is turning heads and flourishing into a legit NBA starter in his first season with the Jazz.

Picks made at 12:15 p.m. ET 02/13/2025.

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