Contributing Writer

Best NBA prop bets March 29: Picks on guards Derrick White and Tyrese Haliburton

The NBA shows seven games on the schedule for Saturday and I have three prop bets for the action.

The pregame narrative: Derrick White is playing big minutes regularly for the Boston Celtics, giving him good value on his props vs. the San Antonio Spurs tonight. Elsewhere, I have picks on Tyrese Haliburton and Keegan Murray.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 29.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: White over 23.5 points/rebounds/assists (-115)

Embed: #111870

The biggest concern here is a blowout but White seems to be the guy who logs a lot of playing time, no matter the score.

He’s played 30-plus minutes in 15 of the last 16 games, averaging 34.7 per night. During that time, White averaged 27.7 points/rebounds/assists.

So, the blowout factor certainly seems to be weighing into White’s line, but I don’t see a reason to worry. If anything, I see it as a reason to jump in on a discount.

Earlier this season, White played 39 minutes in a win against the Spurs, recording 35 PRA.

Key stat: He’s cleared this modest total in all four games against San Antonio since being traded to the Celtics a few years ago.

Best NBA picks

Haliburton over 9.5 assists (-129): In the Indiana Pacers’ last game against the Washington Wizards, Haliburton had 29 points and six assists. He only played 24 minutes in a 51-point blowout win.

Before that, the point guard had double-digit assists in 12 straight games. That’s a nice floor to work with.

The Pacers are also playing well, going 8-2 over their last 10 games. They should be able to keep this contest close enough to keep the starters in for their normal workloads.

If that’s the case, Haliburton will not have it as easy as he did vs. the Wizards so expect him to get back to his strength, which is passing the ball.

Murray over 12.5 points (-106): How about a pick for the early game?

Murray, much like Haliburton, has a tough matchup, but this number is too low for me to pass on.

If we look at the past 16 games, Murray has been very reliable as a scorer:

14.8 PPG
12-4 against this line

The Orlando Magic are very good defensively, allowing the fewest points per game in the NBA (106.0).

But Murray recently had 28 points against the Thunder, arguably the best defensive team in the league, so I’m not worried about the matchup.

NBA prop picks made at 8:40 a.m. ET on 03/29/2025.

Hornets vs. Raptors SGP predictions March 28: Quickley, Williams featured in +350 parlay

The Toronto Raptors welcome the Charlotte Hornets for a late-season tank off.

The pregame narrative: The Raptors are a bad team, but they seem to be a tier above the bottom dwellers, so I’ll back the home team on the moneyline. This +350 SGP is rounded out with picks on Immanuel Quickley and Mark Williams.

Check out my Hornets vs. Raptors SGP predictions for March 28.

Hornets vs. Raptors predictions

Parlay: Raptors ML | Quickley over 17.5 points| Williams over 9.5 rebounds (+350)

Embed: #111855

Raptors ML (-200): The Raptors fit a certain trend and that’s losing against good teams and beating the bad ones.

Charlotte is definitely in the ‘bad’ category. The team is 18-54 and remains without LaMelo Ball. When Ball doesn’t play, the Hornets are a pitiful 2-23.

That alone should be enough to sell the Raptors, but I’ll break down their recent results, too.

They are 8-5 over the past 13 games.

That includes a 6-1 record vs. teams below Toronto in the standings.

The Raptors are also a pretty respectable 16-21 at home. I expect them to get the job done tonight.

NBA SGP legs

Quickley over 17.5 points (-150): Much like last season, Quickley has come alive in the second half.

Toronto’s point guard has played 16 times since Feb. 9:

20.0 PPG
30.3 MPG
11-5 vs. this line
15+ PPG 15 times

That’s a solid floor to work with against a weak defensive team.

And the Hornets are exactly that. They have the seventh-worst defensive rating in the NBA (117.2) and have given up 124.7 PPG over the last three contests.

Williams over 9.5 rebounds (-200): The seven-footer has been a beast on the glass down the final stretch of the season.

He has double-digit rebounds in 10 of his last 13 games, averaging 11.3 during that time.

Jakob Poeltl will be starting for the Raptors, but he hasn’t played over 27 minutes in 10 straight games. He’s the only big man on the team who has a shot at containing Williams.

Toronto has allowed the third most rebounds to centres over the past 15 games (15.92), per Fantasy Pros.

Hornets vs. Raptors predictions made at 1:33 p.m. ET 03/28/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 28: Take overs on Powell, Towns and Booker

I have three prop bets for Friday’s NBA action.

The pregame narrative: Norman Powell is back to logging big minutes for the Los Angeles Clippers, and I believe he can clear a modest point total. Elsewhere, I have picks on Karl-Anthony Towns and Devin Booker.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 28.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Powell over 17.5 points (-112)

Powell missed almost a month with an injury and has been revamping his workload in the six games since returning.

The good news is, he’s played 30-plus minutes in back-to-back contests for the first time since the middle of February.

In the second of those games, Powell scored 19 points, his most since returning. That was against the New York Knicks, who pose a much bigger threat than the tanking Brooklyn Nets.

Before he got injured, Powell had cleared this line in 18 straight outings. If he plays a full workload again, this is a very achievable number.

The Nets have lost five in a row and have a below-average defensive rating (116.8).

Key stat: In Powell’s first meeting with the Nets this season, he scored 18 points on 7-of-10 shooting. He only played 22 minutes in a 59-point blowout win.

Best NBA picks

Towns over 26.5 points (-118): The Knicks continue to be without Jalen Brunson, which opens up extra shooting volume for other top offensive options.

And there’s no one better to turn to than Towns in this matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks:

The big man has played two games against the Bucks with the Knicks. He scored 30-plus points both times.

Towns shot over 60% from the field in those games and dominated on the glass with 29 total rebounds.

The boards aren’t important for this wager but it shows how confident Towns feels in the paint against the Bucks.

He’s playing good basketball right now, too, averaging 29.4 points over the past five games.

Booker 8+ assists (-112): Booker has flourished in his role as the primary ball-handler and playmaker for the Phoenix Suns.

He has 10+ assists in five of the past seven games.

He averaged 9.9 assists per game during that time.

This is certainly an uptick from his season-long 7.1 APG average, but this isn’t limited to the last several games either.

In 19 games since the all-star break, Booker has averaged 8.3 assists and is 12-7 against this line.

NBA prop picks made at 12:21 p.m. ET on 03/28/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 28: Take overs on Powell, Towns and Booker

I have three prop bets for Friday’s NBA action.

The pregame narrative: Norman Powell is back to logging big minutes for the Los Angeles Clippers, and I believe he can clear a modest point total. Elsewhere, I have picks on Karl-Anthony Towns and Devin Booker.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 28.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Powell over 17.5 points (-108)

Embed: #111842

Powell missed almost a month with an injury and has been revamping his workload in the six games since returning.

The good news is, he’s played 30-plus minutes in back-to-back contests for the first time since the middle of February.

In the second of those games, Powell scored 19 points, his most since returning. That was against the New York Knicks, who pose a much bigger threat than the tanking Brooklyn Nets.

Before he got injured, Powell had cleared this line in 18 straight outings. If he plays a full workload again, this is a very achievable number.

The Nets have lost five in a row and have a below-average defensive rating (116.8).

Key stat: In Powell’s first meeting with the Nets this season, he scored 18 points on 7-of-10 shooting. He only played 22 minutes in a 59-point blowout win.

Best NBA picks

Towns over 26.5 points (-120): The Knicks continue to be without Jalen Brunson, which opens up extra shooting volume for other top offensive options.

And there’s no one better to turn to than Towns in this matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks:

The big man has played two games against the Bucks with the Knicks. He scored 30-plus points both times.

Towns shot over 60% from the field in those games and dominated on the glass with 29 total rebounds.

The boards aren’t important for this wager but it shows how confident Towns feels in the paint against the Bucks.

He’s playing good basketball right now, too, averaging 29.4 points over the past five games.

Booker 8+ assists (+117): Booker has flourished in his role as the primary ball-handler and playmaker for the Phoenix Suns.

He has 10+ assists in five of the past seven games.

He averaged 9.9 assists per game during that time.

This is certainly an uptick from his season-long 7.1 APG average, but this isn’t limited to the last several games either.

In 19 games since the all-star break, Booker has averaged 8.3 assists and is 12-7 against this line.

NBA prop picks made at 10:21 a.m. ET on 03/28/2025.

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Orioles vs. Blue Jays prop picks March 28: Back Gimenez to stay productive, Bichette to bounce back

The Toronto Blue Jays look to even the series after being shelled 12-2 by the Baltimore Orioles on Opening Day.

The pregame narrative: Toronto’s top hitters have a favourable pitching matchup for the second contest of the four-game set. Tail Bo Bichette and newcomer Andres Gimenez in the prop markets on Friday.

Check out my Orioles vs. Blue Jays prop picks for March 28.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays prop picks

Best bet: Bichette over 1.5 total bases (-106)

The quicker everyone forgets about yesterday’s game, the better.

Toronto gave up 12 runs and went hitless on offence for the first few innings of the game. Zach Eflin pitched above expectations, but it’s a long season and today’s a new day.

I can’t help but feel bullish about the Jays’ top hitters. That starts with Bichette, who hit leadoff on Wednesday.

Charlie Morton takes the bump for Baltimore and Toronto’s shortstop has good head-to-head stats against the righty.

16 plate appearances
5 hits (.313 batting average)
3 extra-base hits

Morton wasn’t great last year, owning a 4.19 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. He enters this season at 41 years old, so I expect more regression.

Bichette went hitless on Opening Day, but ranked in the top 10 in MLB for hits for three straight seasons before his injury-riddled 2024.

The good news is, he’s seemingly healthy after a fantastic spring training.

Key stat: Bichette played 18 games in spring training, batting .373 with four home runs and 36 total bases.

Prop prediction

Gimenez 1+ RBI (+185): Now let’s focus on one of Toronto’s top offseason acquisitions.

Gimenez made his first start as a Blue Jay, hitting in the cleanup behind Bichette, Anthony Santander and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

That’s a good spot to be for any hitter to be productive. Gimenez took advantage yesterday, blasting a home run in the fourth inning that cashed Guerrero.

Gimenez is entering his fifth season in the majors and has three seasons of 60-plus RBI under his belt already.

It isn’t crazy to think the best is yet to come for the 26-year-old.

When considering where he hits and who he hits behind, this price feels like a huge bargain.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays prop picks made at 11:01 a.m. ET on 03/28/2025.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays prop picks March 28: Back Gimenez to stay productive, Bichette to bounce back

The Toronto Blue Jays look to even the series after being shelled 12-2 by the Baltimore Orioles on Opening Day.

The pregame narrative: Toronto’s top hitters have a favourable pitching matchup for the second contest of the four-game set. Tail Bo Bichette and newcomer Andres Gimenez in the prop markets on Friday.

Check out my Orioles vs. Blue Jays prop picks for March 28.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays prop picks

Best bet: Bichette over 1.5 total bases (+105)

Embed: #111839

The quicker everyone forgets about yesterday’s game, the better.

Toronto gave up 12 runs and went hitless on offence for the first few innings of the game. Zach Eflin pitched above expectations, but it’s a long season and today’s a new day.

I can’t help but feel bullish about the Jays’ top hitters. That starts with Bichette, who hit leadoff on Wednesday.

Charlie Morton takes the bump for Baltimore and Toronto’s shortstop has good head-to-head stats against the righty.

16 plate appearances
5 hits (.313 batting average)
3 extra-base hits

Morton wasn’t great last year, owning a 4.19 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. He enters this season at 41 years old, so I expect more regression.

Bichette went hitless on Opening Day, but ranked in the top 10 in MLB for hits for three straight seasons before his injury-riddled 2024.

The good news is, he’s seemingly healthy after a fantastic spring training.

Key stat: Bichette played 18 games in spring training, batting .373 with four home runs and 36 total bases.

Prop prediction

Gimenez 1+ RBI (+200): Now let’s focus on one of Toronto’s top offseason acquisitions.

Gimenez made his first start as a Blue Jay, hitting in the cleanup behind Bichette, Anthony Santander and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

That’s a good spot to be for any hitter to be productive. Gimenez took advantage yesterday, blasting a home run in the fourth inning that cashed Guerrero.

Gimenez is entering his fifth season in the majors and has three seasons of 60-plus RBI under his belt already.

It isn’t crazy to think the best is yet to come for the 26-year-old.

When considering where he hits and who he hits behind, this price feels like a huge bargain.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays prop picks made at 8:28 a.m. ET on 03/28/2025.

Maple Leafs props vs. Sharks March 27: Back Nylander to score, Matthews to be productive

The Toronto Maple Leafs head to the West Coast to play the San Jose Sharks.

The pregame narrative: William Nylander continues to add to his team-high tally in goals and I’m taking him to score on Thursday. I also like the value on Auston Matthews having a multipoint night.

Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Sharks for March 27.

Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Sharks

Best Bet: Nylander to score (+125)

The NHL’s second-leading goal scorer has a great chance to get on the board here.

San Jose allows the most goals per game (3.64) and confirmed starter Alexandar Georgiev has stopped the second fewest goals above expected this season (-15.9) out of 96 ranked goalies, per Money Puck.

Nylander sits second in the league with 40 goals and has six goals in 12 games in March. He’s coming off a two-goal, four-point performance against the Philadelphia Flyers.

The Swedish winger continues to be heavily involved in the Leafs’ offence, playing on the second line with John Tavares and the first power play that also includes Matthews and Mitch Marner.

San Jose kills penalties at a measly 74.8% rate, so any man advantage for the Leafs will be dangerous on Thursday.

Key stat: Nylander has seven points in his last three games against the Sharks.

Quick pick

Matthews to record 2+ points (+135): I’m predicting the captain to make his mark on this game.

Since the start of February, Matthews has …

Played 20 games
Scored 26 points
Recorded 6 multipoint games

I’d usually back Matthews to score, but he’s been more of a playmaker this season, currently having 10 more assists (37) than goals (27). Both would do the trick for this wager.

And as I mentioned before, there isn’t a better matchup in the league than the Sharks. On top of the defensive stats I previously stated, San Jose has allowed four or more goals in six of 10 games this month.

Any team can have an explosive night against the Sharks, and I expect the Leafs’ firepower to take over and that starts with Matthews.

Maple Leafs vs. Sharks prop picks made at 3:33 p.m. ET 03/27/2025.

Maple Leafs props vs. Sharks March 27: Back Nylander to score, Matthews to be productive

The Toronto Maple Leafs head to the West Coast to play the San Jose Sharks.

The pregame narrative: William Nylander continues to add to his team-high tally in goals and I’m taking him to score on Thursday. I also like the value on Auston Matthews having a multipoint night.

Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Sharks for March 27.

Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Sharks

Best Bet: Nylander to score (+120)

Embed: #111829

The NHL’s second-leading goal scorer has a great chance to get on the board here.

San Jose allows the most goals per game (3.64) and confirmed starter Alexandar Georgiev has stopped the second fewest goals above expected this season (-15.9) out of 96 ranked goalies, per Money Puck.

Nylander sits second in the league with 40 goals and has six goals in 12 games in March. He’s coming off a two-goal, four-point performance against the Philadelphia Flyers.

The Swedish winger continues to be heavily involved in the Leafs’ offence, playing on the second line with John Tavares and the first power play that also includes Matthews and Mitch Marner.

San Jose kills penalties at a measly 74.8% rate, so any man advantage for the Leafs will be dangerous on Thursday.

Key stat: Nylander has seven points in his last three games against the Sharks.

Quick pick

Matthews to record 2+ points (+143): I’m predicting the captain to make his mark on this game.

Since the start of February, Matthews has …

Played 20 games
Scored 26 points
Recorded 6 multipoint games

I’d usually back Matthews to score, but he’s been more of a playmaker this season, currently having 10 more assists (37) than goals (27). Both would do the trick for this wager.

And as I mentioned before, there isn’t a better matchup in the league than the Sharks. On top of the defensive stats I previously stated, San Jose has allowed four or more goals in six of 10 games this month.

Any team can have an explosive night against the Sharks, and I expect the Leafs’ firepower to take over and that starts with Matthews.

Maple Leafs vs. Sharks prop picks made at 1:58 p.m. ET 03/27/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 27: Back Hailburton, Banchero and Vassell

I’ve picked out three prop bets from Thursday’s eight-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Tyrese Haliburton has a prime opportunity to continue his strong play against the Washington Wizards tonight. I’ll also tail Paolo Banchero and Devin Vassell during their respective hot streaks.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 27.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Haliburton over 14.5 rebounds/assists (+100)

The Indiana Pacers’ point guard is back to the stat-stuffing version of himself.

Take a look at his averages over the past 12 games:

12.6 assists (10+ in every game)
3.4 rebounds
9-3 against this line

The passing numbers are well above his season averages, and I don’t expect him to slow down during the final stretch of the season.

On Thursday, he plays the Wizards, and they provide an excellent matchup for point guards. According to Fantasy Pros, Washington gives up the second-most points/assists/rebounds to the position (41.58).

Key stat: In two games vs. Washington this season, Haliburton averaged 20.5 points, 8.0 assists and 3.0 rebounds (33.5 PRA).

Best NBA picks

Banchero over 29.5 points (-106): This is quite a hefty line but Banchero could smash it with the way he’s been playing.

Over the past 13 games, he is averaging:

31.0 points
51.1% shooting

During that time, he’s 9-4 against this line with three different 40-plus point performances.

He comes into Wednesday off the back of four-straight games of 30 or more points and should continue feasting against the Dallas Mavericks’ defence.

The Mavs concede the fifth-most points per game to opposing power forwards (23.88).

Vassell over 18.5 points (-125): With season-ending injuries to De’Aaron Fox and Victor Wembanyama, someone had to step up and fill in the scoring role for the San Antonio Spurs.

That brings me to Vassell, who’s been torching NBA defences.

Since March 4, the dynamic guard has averaged 20.2 points per game on incredible efficiency (49.2% from the field, 44.7% from 3).

The biggest worry here is a blowout with the Cleveland Cavaliers being 15-point favourites at the time of writing.

However, Vassell played 30-plus minutes in 13 of the last 14 games, so I expect him to get his fair share of playing time regardless of the result.

NBA prop picks made at 1:04 p.m. ET on 03/27/2025.

Best NBA prop bets March 27: Back Hailburton, Banchero and Vassell

I’ve picked out three prop bets from Thursday’s eight-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Tyrese Haliburton has a prime opportunity to continue his strong play against the Washington Wizards tonight. I’ll also tail Paolo Banchero and Devin Vassell during their respective hot streaks.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 27.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Haliburton over 32.5 points/rebounds/assists (-112)

Embed: #111796

The Indiana Pacers’ point guard is back to the stat-stuffing version of himself.

Take a look at his averages over the past 12 games:

21.1 points
12.6 assists (10+ in every game)
3.4 rebounds
9-3 against this line

The scoring and passing numbers are well above his season averages, and I don’t expect him to slow down during the final stretch of the season.

On Thursday, he plays the Wizards, and they provide an excellent matchup for point guards. According to Fantasy Pros, Washington gives up the second-most points/assists/rebounds to the position (41.58).

Key stat: In two games vs. Washington this season, Haliburton averaged 20.5 points, 8.0 assists and 3.0 rebounds (33.5 PRA).

Best NBA picks

Banchero over 28.5 points (-110): This is quite a hefty line but Banchero could smash it with the way he’s been playing.

Over the past 13 games, he is averaging:

31.0 points
51.1% shooting

During that time, he’s 9-4 against this line with three different 40-plus point performances.

He comes into Wednesday off the back of four-straight games of 30 or more points and should continue feasting against the Dallas Mavericks’ defence.

The Mavs concede the fifth-most points per game to opposing power forwards (23.88).

Vassell over 17.5 points (-125): With season-ending injuries to De’Aaron Fox and Victor Wembanyama, someone had to step up and fill in the scoring role for the San Antonio Spurs.

That brings me to Vassell, who’s been torching NBA defences.

Since March 4, the dynamic guard has averaged 20.2 points per game on incredible efficiency (49.2% from the field, 44.7% from 3).

The biggest worry here is a blowout with the Cleveland Cavaliers being 15-point favourites at the time of writing.

However, Vassell played 30-plus minutes in 13 of the last 14 games, so I expect him to get his fair share of playing time regardless of the result.

NBA prop picks made at 9:53 a.m. ET on 03/27/2025.

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