Contributing Writer

Best NBA prop bets April 6: Picks on Devin Booker, Evan Mobley and Myles Turner

A pick on Devin Booker headlines Sunday’s batch of NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: The shooting guard is poised for a big night in the absence of his superstar teammate. Evan Mobley and Myles Turner are my other top prop targets for today’s slate.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 6.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Booker over 29.5 points (-118)

Booker, unsurprisingly, has produced more without Kevin Durant in the lineup this season.

With Durant: 25.1 PPG
Without Durant: 27.9 PPG

That’s almost a three-point uptick. He’ll be without his star teammate on Sunday against the New York Knicks.

New York is a strong opponent, but not because of its defence. The Knicks rank near the middle of the pack with a 115.3 defensive rating.

The Phoenix Suns have been without Durant for the past two games. Booker took a total of 51 shot attempts in those matchups.

He scored 39 and 37 points, easily clearing today’s total both times.

Key stat: Booker has averaged 36.8 points in his last four games without KD.

Best NBA picks

Mobley over 17.5 points (-125): This is a great matchup for one of this season’s breakout scorers.

2024: 15.7 PPG
2025: 18.6 PPG

Mobley faces the Sacramento Kings, who struggle to contain power forwards. The Kings allow the second-most points to the position (24.53), per Fantasy Pros.

In a meeting with the Kings in March, Mobley had 31 points on 13-of-18 shooting.

He looks primed for a big performance against Sacramento, who lacks a formidable interior defender.

Turner over 23.5 points/rebounds (-108): This game has a very high projected total (241 points), so the offensive potential is high for any player.

Not only that, but a high-event game should create more rebounding opportunities as well.

That brings me to Turner, who’s been taking on a larger offensive role lately.

Since the all-star break, the 6-foot-11 centre is averaging 16.6 points and 6.7 rebounds while shooting 49.8% from the field (40.7% from 3-point range).

If this game finishes anywhere near its projected total, Turner should see enough volume in terms of scoring and rebounding to be within range of this prop.

NBA prop picks made at 3:04 p.m. ET on 04/06/2025.

Best NBA prop bets April 6: Picks on Devin Booker, Evan Mobley and Myles Turner

A pick on Devin Booker headlines Sunday’s batch of NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: The shooting guard is poised for a big night in the absence of his superstar teammate. Evan Mobley and Myles Turner are my other top prop targets for today’s slate.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for April 6.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Booker over 27.5 points (-117)

Embed: #112185

Booker, unsurprisingly, has produced more without Kevin Durant in the lineup this season.

With Durant: 25.1 PPG
Without Durant: 27.9 PPG

That’s almost a three-point uptick. He’ll be without his star teammate on Sunday against the New York Knicks.

New York is a strong opponent, but not because of its defence. The Knicks rank near the middle of the pack with a 115.3 defensive rating.

The Phoenix Suns have been without Durant for the past two games. Booker took a total of 51 shot attempts in those matchups.

He scored 39 and 37 points, easily clearing today’s total both times.

Key stat: Booker has averaged 36.8 points in his last four games without KD.

Best NBA picks

Mobley over 18.5 points (-110): This is a great matchup for one of this season’s breakout scorers.

2024: 15.7 PPG
2025: 18.6 PPG

Mobley faces the Sacramento Kings, who struggle to contain power forwards. The Kings allow the second-most points to the position (24.53), per Fantasy Pros.

In a meeting with the Kings in March, Mobley had 31 points on 13-of-18 shooting.

He looks primed for a big performance against Sacramento, who lacks a formidable interior defender.

Turner over 23.5 points/rebounds (-114): This game has a very high projected total (241 points), so the offensive potential is high for any player.

Not only that, but a high-event game should create more rebounding opportunities as well.

That brings me to Turner, who’s been taking on a larger offensive role lately.

Since the all-star break, the 6-foot-11 centre is averaging 16.6 points and 6.7 rebounds while shooting 49.8% from the field (40.7% from 3-point range).

If this game finishes anywhere near its projected total, Turner should see enough volume in terms of scoring and rebounding to be within range of this prop.

NBA prop picks made at 1:04 p.m. ET on 04/06/2025.

Lakers vs. Thunder SGP predictions April 6: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should shine on Sunday

The star power will be out when the Los Angeles Lakers visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: The Lakers aren’t the best road team, but I feel they can cover an alternate spread with a healthy lineup. This SGP also includes picks on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Rui Hachimura.

Check out my Lakers vs. Thunder SGP predictions for April 6.

Lakers vs. Thunder predictions

Parlay: Lakers +12.5 | Gilgeous-Alexander over 30.5 points | Hachimura over 1.5 threes (+340)

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Lakers +12.5 (-205): Since acquiring Luka Doncic before the trade deadline, the Lakers are 10-1 against this spread on the road.

I think that’s more important than their overall road record (17-20).

Doncic and LeBron James are enough to keep a team in any game, and the uptick in production from Austin Reaves adds another elite scorer to the mix.

L.A. has also spent a lot time dealing with different injuries across the rotation. James and Hachimura have both missed action recently but should be in the rotation on Sunday.

Of course, James has to have his nightly game-time decision label, but he’s reported as probable to play through his groin injury once again.

Fading the Thunder is a dangerous game to play. I don’t see this as a fade, however, as this simply requires the Lakers to be competitive.

NBA SGP legs

Gilgeous-Alexander over 30.5 points (-124): The MVP frontrunner had an off night against the Houston Rockets, scoring 22 points on 10-of-22 shooting.

As crazy as it sounds, yes, that was an off night.

Gilgeous-Alexander is having a special scoring season. He’s averaging a league-high 32.6 points on incredible efficiencies (51.9 FG%, 37.1 3PT%).

The Canadian’s doing this while leading the team with the best record in the NBA.

And believe it or not, he’s taken his play to another level in the second half of the season. Take a look at his averages since the all-star break:

33.1 PPG
51.0 FG%
40.2 3PT%
90.6 FT%
14-7 against this line

SGA had 36 points against the Lakers in their only meeting this season.

Hachimura over 1.5 threes (-148): Hachimura is a perfect fit alongside Doncic in the starting rotation.

He’s an elite catch-and-shoot guy, canning 41.4% of his triples this season.

Hachimura missed most of March with an injury and is building his way back to a full workload. Recent 3-point results have been encouraging, though.

March 26 vs. Pacers: 4-of-4
March 29 vs. Grizzlies: 3-of-5
March 31 vs. Rockets: 1-of-6
April 3 vs. Warriors: 3-of-6

His playing time is on the rise, which should lead to more 3-point attempts.

And when he’s sniping them at an above-40.0% clip, a couple of makes shouldn’t be too much to ask for.

Lakers vs. Thunder predictions made at 11:01 a.m. ET 04/06/2025.

Rockets vs. Warriors SGP predictions April 6: Take over for Curry in +340 wager

Two red-hot Western Conference teams meet on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: I’m staying away from picking a side with how the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors are both playing right now. I do have a +340 SGP to share, though, with picks on Steph Curry, Amen Thompson and Alperen Sengun.

Check out my Rockets vs. Warriors SGP predictions for April 6.

Rockets vs. Warriors predictions

Parlay: Thompson 8+ rebounds | Sengun under 19.5 points | Curry 20+ points (+340)

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Thompson 8+ rebounds (-134): Back in December, Thompson was inserted into the starting lineup. He’s held his spot in the rotation due to his elite defence and athleticism.

With that comes the ability to rack up rebounds.

In the last 39 games, Thompson has averaged 9.3 rebounds and cleared this line 28 times.

Those are some big-man numbers for the 6-foot-7 forward. As a starter, he’s playing 36.3 minutes per game. That gives him ample opportunity to grab boards on a nightly basis.

In a Feb. 13 matchup against the Warriors, Thompson grabbed nine rebounds in 30 minutes.

NBA SGP legs

Sengun under 19.5 points (-117): Sengun is coming off a 31-point outburst against the Oklahoma City Thunder, but that type of performance hasn’t been commonplace.

Including that game, he’s still gone under this mark in six of the past eight.

Sengun’s season-long scoring average is just below this number (19.2 PPG), plus this is a tough assignment.

The Warriors have the seventh-best defensive rating (112.9) and are allowing 109.9 points per game since March 1 (sixth in the NBA).

In his last game against Golden State, Sengun scored just 10 points. The Rockets were held to 98 as a team.

Curry 20+ points (-295): This is by far my most confident pick, and the odds back it up.

But it brings the price from +205 to +340, so why not tack it on?

It always feels safe backing Curry to score, and he’s playing at an elevated level down the stretch. Take a look at his monstrous last three games:

36 points vs. Nuggets
37 points vs. Lakers
52 points vs. Grizzlies

This isn’t some sort of stat padding against bad teams. All of those squads are well above .500 and sit comfortably inside the postseason picture in the loaded West.

Houston is great on the defensive end, but that didn’t stop Curry in his most recent outing against the Rockets with his new-look Warriors.

In their February meeting, the superstar guard had 27 points on a below-average shooting performance (7-for-17).

Curry has scored 20-plus points in 22 of his past 26 games.

Rockets vs. Warriors predictions made at 9:25 a.m. ET 04/06/2025.

Premier League predictions Matchday 31: Take Liverpool to win, Marmoush to stay hot for Manchester City

The Premier League wastes no time and rolls straight into Matchday 31 this weekend.

The pregame narrative: Liverpool has seen some disappointing results in other competitions recently but is still dominating league competition. I’ll back the Reds to win over Fulham while taking a shot on Omar Marmoush to score for Manchester City.

Check out the best Premier League predictions for Matchday 31.

Premier League predictions

Go to full Premier League betting markets.

Best Bet: Liverpool to win (-118)

In the span of a week, Liverpool was eliminated from the EFL Cup and the Champions League.

All that’s left is the Premiership and I believe a statement win is in the works for the leaders this weekend.

Liverpool has won 10 of its 15 road games.

Fulham has lost two of its last three home games.

The Reds are undefeated in the league since Sept. 14, winning 19 of those 26 matches (73.1%) straight up.

There is no beating Liverpool right now. A draw is in the cards, but the Reds have won four straight league matches. I’ll ride their momentum into a match with a struggling Fulham side.

Key stat: Liverpool ranks first in goals for (2.3), while allowing the second-fewest goals against (0.9), per Fotmob.

Quick pick

Marmoush to score (+120): Erling Haaland is going to be sidelined for the foreseeable future. That leaves a big hole for Marmoush to fill in Manchester City’s offence.

He did a great job, however, against Leicester City on the weekend. Marmoush started the match and recorded nine shots (three on target), leading to a goal.

In fact, the Egyptian scored in his previous three matches, even though he only started two of them.

Marmoush has five EPL goals in eight appearances this season (seven starts) but has been stashed behind Haaland.

With his superstar teammate out of the picture for the time being, it’s the forward’s time to shine.

Manchester United concedes 1.4 goals per match, which is a below-average scoring defence.

Premier League predictions made at 9:35 a.m. on 04/04/25.

Premier League predictions Matchday 31: Take Liverpool to win, Marmoush to stay hot for Manchester City

The Premier League wastes no time and rolls straight into Matchday 31 this weekend.

The pregame narrative: Liverpool has seen some disappointing results in other competitions recently but is still dominating league competition. I’ll back the Reds to win over Fulham while taking a shot on Omar Marmoush to score for Manchester City.

Check out the best Premier League predictions for Matchday 31.

Premier League predictions

Go to full Premier League betting markets.

Best Bet: Liverpool to win (-113)

In the span of a week, Liverpool was eliminated from the EFL Cup and the Champions League.

All that’s left is the Premiership and I believe a statement win is in the works for the leaders this weekend.

Liverpool has won 10 of its 15 road games.

Fulham has lost two of its last three home games.

The Reds are undefeated in the league since Sept. 14, winning 19 of those 26 matches (73.1%) straight up.

There is no beating Liverpool right now. A draw is in the cards, but the Reds have won four straight league matches. I’ll ride their momentum into a match with a struggling Fulham side.

Key stat: Liverpool ranks first in goals for (2.3), while allowing the second-fewest goals against (0.9), per Fotmob.

Quick pick

Marmoush to score (+143): Erling Haaland is going to be sidelined for the foreseeable future. That leaves a big hole for Marmoush to fill in Manchester City’s offence.

He did a great job, however, against Leicester City on the weekend. Marmoush started the match and recorded nine shots (three on target), leading to a goal.

In fact, the Egyptian scored in his previous three matches, even though he only started two of them.

Marmoush has five EPL goals in eight appearances this season (seven starts) but has been stashed behind Haaland.

With his superstar teammate out of the picture for the time being, it’s the forward’s time to shine.

Manchester United concedes 1.4 goals per match, which is a below-average scoring defence.

Premier League predictions made at 3:20 p.m. on 04/03/25.

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees prop picks April 3: Ride with Ketel Marte during hot start

The Arizona Diamondbacks aim to sweep the New York Yankees on the road.

The pregame narrative: It would be a huge series result for the D-Backs and I like overs for two of Arizona’s players for tonight. Check out my top prop picks on Ketel Marte and Merrill Kelly.

Check out my Diamondbacks vs. Yankees prop picks for April 3.

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees prop picks

Editor’s note: Marte is not in tonight’s lineup. This pick was made before Arizona announced its lineup.

Best bet: Marte 1+ run (-121)

Embed: #112110

Marte was quietly one of the best hitters in baseball in 2024:

.292 batting average
36 home runs
95 RBI

That momentum has carried into the new season, where he has a matching .292 BA and has scored in five of six games.

Marte hits out of the leadoff spot for one of the top offences, leading to 94 runs in 2023 and 93 last season. That ranked top 20 in MLB.

In 14 at-bats against Yankees starter Carlos Carrasco, Marte has reached base six times and has a .333 BA.

It’s also worth noting that Carrasco is 38 years old, coming off a 5.64 ERA season, and is off to a rough start for the Yankees.

In his first appearance, he pitched two innings, giving up three earned runs out of the bullpen. The Milwaukee Brewers scored nine runs that game.

The righty will start tonight, giving the D-Backs lineup a good chance to do damage against a shaky arm.

Key stat: Marte ranked in the 97th percentile for batting run value (35) in 2024, per Baseball Savant.

Prop prediction

Kelly over 4.5 Ks (-115): Arizona’s starter missed a large chunk of last season with a shoulder injury, but he closed the year tallying five or more Ks in three of his final four starts.

Despite dealing with the issues, Kelly still had a respectable 30.5% whiff rate (70th percentile).

Now, take a look at his advanced metrics two seasons ago when he was healthy:

27.0% whiff rate (58th percentile)
25.9% K rate (69th percentile)
32.9% chase rate (88th percentile)
9.47 K/9

Everything points to Kelly being an above-average strikeout pitcher when healthy.

He went under this total in his first start, but that gives bettors another chance to jump in at good value.

Kelly has allowed 16 hits in 89 career at-bats (.180 BA) against this Yankees offence, with 24 Ks. If the righty can pitch another five-plus innings, he should get past this modest total.

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees predictions made at 11:06 a.m. ET on 04/03/2025.

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Warriors vs. Lakers SGP predictions April 3: Back Doncic to shoot lights out in +380 wager

The Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers showcase a potential first-round playoff matchup on Thursday.

The pregame narrative: The Lakers are one of the NBA’s top home teams, so I will take them to win tonight. This +380 SGP also includes overs for Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves.

Check out my Warriors vs. Lakers SGP predictions for April 3.

Warriors vs. Lakers predictions

Parlay: Lakers ML | Reaves over 19.5 points | Doncic 3+ threes (+380)

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Lakers ML (-120): Backing the Lakers at home has become a personal favourite pick of mine, and for good reason.

They have the NBA’s third-best home record (29-9).

They are 11-3 at home since acquiring Doncic.

The Warriors are a tough side to fade right now. They are 19-4 with Jimmy Butler but are playing a sixth-straight game on the road. They are currently 3-2 on this trip.

If there’s anywhere Golden State is vulnerable, it’s on the road. It is 21-17 away from home this season.

Plus, the trio of Doncic, Reaves and LeBron James is at full force right now. I’m predicting them to lead L.A. to another win.

NBA SGP legs

Reaves over 19.5 points (-112): I know Reaves fell well under this mark against the Houston Rockets last time out, but this line is simply too low.

He finished with 13 points, shooting 5-of-11 from the field. But the Rockets own the third best defensive rating and roster some elite wing defenders like Amen Thompson and Dillon Brooks.

Those 11 attempts were his lowest in a game since Feb. 28, so I expect a major uptick in volume tonight.

Here’s what he averaged in March:

23.3 points
16.4 field-goal attempts
48.0% from the floor

Including that down performance against Houston, Reaves has cleared this total in eight of his last 10 games.

Even with his superstar teammates healthy, Reaves has proven to be reliable against this line.

Doncic 3+ threes (-210): Remember when Doncic struggled in a Lakers uniform? Those days are long gone.

Doncic flipped a switch at the end of February and reminded everyone that he’s among the best scorers in the NBA.

Over the past 16 games, Doncic averaged 30.1 points and shot 40.1% from deep.

He’s attempting 10.4 and making 4.2 threes per game during that time.

When he’s at his best, which he is right now, Doncic demands a ton of shot volume and around half of those attempts come from beyond the arc.

He failed to cash this wager in the last two games but was 13-1 in the 14 games before. That makes this an easy addition to the parlay.

Warriors vs. Lakers predictions made at 9:25 a.m. ET 04/03/2025.

Braves vs. Dodgers SGP Predictions April 2: Blake Snell primed for bounce-back performance

The Los Angeles Dodgers look to remain undefeated against the winless Atlanta Braves.

The pregame narrative: And I believe they will do just that using some key advantages. Take the Dodgers on the run line, paired with prop picks on Blake Snell and Marcell Ozuna in this +400 SGP.

Check out my Braves vs. Dodgers SGP predictions for April 2.

Braves vs. Dodgers predictions

Parlay: Dodgers -1.5 | Snell over 6.5 Ks | Ozuna over 0.5 hits (+400)

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Dodgers -1.5 (-118): There’s no reason to think the Dodgers will take their first loss on Wednesday.

Los Angeles carries the significant pitching advantage, rolling out Snell against Bryce Elder for Atlanta. Elder, a right-hander got knocked around last season, posting a 6.52 ERA over 49.2 innings.

And the Dodgers lineup has got on him in the past. Freddie Freeman, Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts and Teoscar Hernandez are a combined 8-for-20 (.400) off of Elder in their careers.

The Braves have scored the second-fewest runs per game (1.6) with the second-worst team batting average (.144). I doubt they turn things around tonight.

MLB SGP legs

Snell over 6.5 Ks (-134): Snell underwhelmed in his season debut with the Dodgers.

He was solid, allowing two runs over five innings while striking out two. But the lefty had otherworldly standards heading into the season off the back of a tremendous 2024:

3.19 ERA
12.5 K/9
7+ Ks in nine of his final 11 starts

According to Baseball Savant, Snell ranked in the 98th percentile for both whiff rate (37.7%) and K rate (34.7%).

That all goes before mentioning his wealth of success against this Braves’ offence.

Atlanta’s hitters are batting .171 against Snell, with way more combined strikeouts (19) than hits (seven).

Ozuna 0.5 hits (-134): The one player who’s has decent career stats against Snell is Ozuna.

They’ve only met eight times, but the slugger has two hits and two walks. Both knocks went for extra bases, with one being a home run.

We don’t need the power or walks here, but Ozuna seemingly sees the ball well out of Snell’s hand.

This final leg isn’t asking for much while adding a ton of value to the parlay. It takes the final price from +135 to +400.

Braves vs. Dodgers predictions made at 3:06 p.m. ET on 04/02/2025.

Pistons vs. Thunder SGP predictions April 2: Bet on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at +290

The shorthanded Detroit Pistons face the NBA’s toughest challenge in the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is well on his way to his first MVP trophy. He headlines this +290 SGP that also includes Jalen Duren and Dennis Schroder.

Check out my Pistons vs. Thunder SGP predictions for April 2.

Pistons vs. Thunder predictions

Parlay: Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points | Duren over 12.5 points | Schroder 6+ assists (+290)

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Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points (-180): This is a very high number for all but a select few, led by Gilgeous-Alexander.

He paces the NBA with 32.8 points per game, almost three full points more than what is required here.

The MVP frontrunner has been even better since the all-star break. He’s averaged 33.7 points in 19 games on an extremely efficient 52.0% from the floor. He’s 14-5 against this line during that time.

The Pistons are an average matchup for point guards and hold the NBA’s seventh-best ATS record (40-32-3).

They should be able to stay competitive for long enough in this matchup for SGA to hit his 30-point nightly quota.

NBA SGP legs

Duren over 12.5 points (-122): Since Cade Cunningham has been out for Detroit, head coach J.B. Bickerstaff has drawn up more offence for Duren.

He has topped this point total in all four games without his point guard.

Duren’s scoring success extends back much further than that, though. Take a look at his averages from the past 35 games:

14.1 points
70.2 FG%
26-9 against this line

Duren had just eight points against OKC on March 15. He took a measly six shots in that matchup and I can’t help but feel like the big man will see a pretty significant uptick in volume this time around.

He’s averaging 10.0 shot attempts over the past four games without Cunningham active.

Schroder 6+ assists (-210): The biggest contributor in Cunningham’s absence, though, is the backup point guard.

He only played 30-plus minutes in one game as a Piston with his star teammate in the lineup. That was in an 18-game sample size.

Without Cunningham, Schroder has been significantly more involved. Here are his averages from the past four games:

32.5 minutes
8.0 assists
14.8 potential assists

Schroder had six or more assists in three of those contests.

Pistons vs. Thunder predictions made at 1:15 p.m. ET 04/02/2025.