Contributing Writer

Heat vs. Mavericks SGP picks Dec. 3: Bet on Flagg, Adebayo in +360 play

The Miami Heat and Dallas Mavericks close out a nine-game NBA slate on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: The Mavericks are on a two-game win streak and now have a healthy Anthony Davis to complement rookie sensation Cooper Flagg. Despite that, Dallas is a sizeable underdog in tonight’s matchup.

Check out my Heat vs. Mavericks SGP picks for Dec. 3, featuring Flagg, Bam Adebayo and Max Christie

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Heat vs. Mavericks SGP picks

Parlay: Flagg over 16.5 points | Adebayo 10+ rebounds | Christie 2+ threes (+360)

Flagg over 16.5 points (-124): Flagg has put together some superstar performances over the last couple of weeks.

Nov. 21 vs. New Orleans: 29 points, 12-of-19 from the field.

Nov. 29 @ L.A. Clippers: 35 points, 13-of-22 from the field.

Dec. 1 @ Denver: 24 points, 10-of-19 from the field.

With those three games included, Flagg is shooting 51.5% over his last 11 games while averaging 19.9 points.

It’s good to see his production rising because of improved efficiency rather than shot-chucking.

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That brings me to this matchup with the Heat. They play at the fastest pace in the NBA and score the second-most points per game as a team (124.3).

That fast pace will only lead to more shots for Flagg, who was recently named Western Conference Rookie of the Month for November.

If he can have another efficient effort from the floor, there’s no doubt in my mind he can record enough points to get past this modest line.

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NBA SGP legs

Adebayo 10+ rebounds (-167): It’s also worth noting that the Mavericks play fast, too. They have the fifth-fastest pace in the NBA.

But they don’t score the ball efficiently, leading to a lot of rebound chances.

Because of that, they allow the fourth most rebounds per game to opposing centres (16.20), per Fantasy Pros.

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That plays right into Adebayo’s strength. He has 10+ rebounds in four of his past five games, averaging 10.8 during that time.

He was dealing with an injury early on, which limited his minutes, but he’s back to a full workload, and the results speak for themselves.

The Mavericks have the fifth-worst team FG% in the NBA (44.9%), so there should be a lot of chances on the glass for Adebayo.

Christie 2+ threes (-190): Christie is by far the best shooter on Dallas, drilling 45.6% of his 3s on 5.7 attempts per game.

He doesn’t need many looks to hit a couple of triples, and in a game with a huge 240.5 total, there will be plenty of shots to go around.

-> Bet on Cooper, Christie vs. Miami on Wednesday night

This season, Christie has been extremely consistent at cashing this wager, hitting 2+ threes in 17 of 22 games.

Miami holds opponents to a league-low 32.0% from deep, but because of the squad’s lightning-fast pace of play, it ranks in the bottom half for total 3s allowed.

That should give Christie more than enough volume to cash a pair of 3s.

Heat vs. Mavericks SGP made at 11:23 a.m. ET Dec. 3, 2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Dec. 3: Back Zegras, Wilson to score

Trevor Zegras’ excellence has gone under the radar this season, and he has a great chance to score against the Buffalo Sabres.

The pregame narrative: In the late-night slate, look for Tom Wilson to get on the board when the Washington Capitals visit the San Jose Sharks out west.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Dec. 3.

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NHL goal picks Dec. 3

Best Bet: Zegras to score (+210)

The Philadelphia Flyers are firmly in a playoff position mainly because of their defence. But when they need goals, Zegras has been the top contributor.

He leads or is tied for the lead in most categories.

Goals (9)
Points (25)
Shots (61)

He’s also second to Travis Konceny for average ice time among Flyers forwards.

The other juicy part of this wager is fading the Sabres.

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Buffalo gives up the eighth-most shots (30.1) and goals (3.35) against per game.

Rookie goaltender Colten Ellis is expected to make his seventh career start. He has a .898 SV% and 3.13 GAA.

I expect Philly to score at least a few tonight at home, and Zegras has great value at better than 2-to-1 odds.

Key stat: Zegras has cashed this wager in two of the last three games.

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NHL predictions

Wilson to score (+150): It isn’t Alexander Ovechkin leading the Capitals in goals; it’s Wilson, who has 16. That’s tied for sixth in the NHL.

The power forward is impactful in all areas, and he leads Washington’s forwards in ice time.

On top of that, he has a solid matchup against the Sharks.

San Jose gives up a ton of chances. It ranks dead last in the NHL for shots against (31.7/game), leading to 3.19 goals against on average.

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That won’t bode well against the Capitals, who rank near the top of the league in shots and goals.

Yaroslav Aksarov has been great in his first season as a full-time starter for the Sharks. But even the best goalies are vulnerable when the team gives up so many chances.

Washington should have plenty of opportunities tonight, so back Wilson, who’s on fire with five goals in his last five games (4-1 on this wager).

NHL goal picks made at 9:33 a.m. ET on Dec. 3, 2025.

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Giants vs. Patriots MNF Week 13 SGP predictions: Bet on Wan’Dale Robinson, TreVeyon Henderson in +375 play

Week 13 of the NFL season is headlined by the New York Giants and New England Patriots on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: These squads have opposite records, with the Patriots sitting atop the NFL at 10-2 while the Giants are 2-10. New York has no hope of a playoff appearance, but there’s still something to be excited about Monday with a quarterback battle between budding stars Jaxson Dart and Drake Maye.

Check out my Giants vs. Patriots predictions in this +375 same-game parlay, featuring Wan’Dale Robinson and TreVeyon Henderson.

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Giants vs. Patriots predictions

SGP: Patriots ML | Robinson over 5.5 receptions | Henderson anytime TD (+375)

Patriots moneyline (-375): There’s no reason to fade the Patriots here.

They are on a nine-game winning streak and have only lost once since Week 1.

During its streak, New England has an average winning margin of 11.1 points.

The offence has scored 23+ points in all those games.

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That consistency makes the Patriots difficult to beat as they appear immune to off-nights.

On the other hand, the Giants’ defence is very vulnerable. They allow the third-most yards (400.5/game) and points (27.8/game) in the NFL.

Drake Maye is having an MVP-calibre sophomore season and is leading the Patriots to a top-10 ranking in every stat on offence.

The Giants could cover the 7-point spread, but I can’t see the offence keeping pace with the Patriots. I expect New England to extend its heater.

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Monday Night Football SGP picks

Robinson over 5.5 receptions (+106): With Malik Nabers sidelined for the season, Robinson took over the role of WR1 in New York.

And he’s been productive, demanding a lot of attention from whoever is starting at QB.

27.4% target share (12th in NFL)
8.5 targets per game

Robinson was seen more as a gadget player early in his career. But he’s been given an expanded route tree and now looks like a legit 1,000-yard guy.

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In the eight games since Nabers went down, Robinson is averaging 6.0 receptions on 9.4 targets per game.

If the Giants are playing from behind, they’ll likely abandon the run game and deploy a more pass-heavy attack.

It’s also worth noting that the Patriots have a below-average pass defence, allowing 213.5 yards per game.

Henderson anytime TD (+102): Injuries in New England’s running back room have opened up an opportunity for Henderson to be the lead runner, and he’s been effective.

He has carried the ball 10+ times each of the last five weeks. During that time, he recorded 5.4 yards per carry and five touchdowns.

Henderson is a beast in the red zone. Take a look at his stats inside the 20-yard line compared to Rhamondre Stevenson.

Henderson: 21 carries, 61 yards, three TDs

Stevenson: 20 carries, 30 yards, three TDs

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Henderson’s 2.9 yards per carry in the red zone would rank seventh in the NFL if he had enough touches to qualify.

Stevenson is active this week, but I expect Henderson to remain the true RB1 in this offence as the season winds down.

The rookie has been a lot more efficient with his touches, and he’s also a strong receiver out of the backfield.

The Giants have the worst EPA per rush in the NFL (0.193), per rbsdm.com

Giants vs. Patriots predictions made at 2:36 p.m. ET on Nov. 30, 2025.

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Pelicans vs. Lakers SGP predictions Nov. 30: Expect a big scoring night from Austin Reaves in +510 wager

Two teams at opposite ends of the Western Conference standings matchup on Sunday night.

The pregame narrative: The Los Angeles Lakers are playing great basketball, sitting second in the conference standings. Meanwhile, the New Orleans Pelicans are in 14th and have lost 12 of their past 13 games ahead of tonight’s contest.

Check out my Pelicans vs. Lakers SGP picks for Nov. 30, featuring Austin Reaves and Deandre Ayton.

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Pelicans vs. Lakers SGP picks

Parlay: Lakers -10.5 | Reaves over 25.5 points | Ayton double-double (+510)

Lakers -10.5 (-182): First things first, LeBron James is out for this contest, managing a foot injury.

But that doesn’t deter me, as the Lakers are 10-4 without LeBron this season.

Not only that, but they are 6-2 at home and are currently on a six-game heater.

On the other side, the Pelicans are struggling. They are last in the Western Conference with a dreadful 3-17 record.

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They have a 1-8 record on the road and just played last night against the Golden State Warriors (a 104-96 loss for New Orleans).

So the Lakers hold the rest advantage and are at home, where they’ve been nothing but dominant.

When these two met in New Orleans earlier in November, the Lakers won by 14. They should have a repeat performance tonight with even more working in their favour this time.

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NBA SGP legs

Reaves over 25.5 points (-120): Without LeBron in the lineup, the offence should run more often through Reaves.

He is a bucket, no matter who’s in or out, but one less big mouth to feed always helps.

Reaves is averaging 28.5 points on 51.6% shooting (34.8% from 3).

He has scored 25+ points in 11 of 15 games this season.

There is obvious blowout potential in this game, and as mentioned, I predict the Lakers to win big.

-> Back Reaves and Ayton on Sunday night

But I also think Reaves can torch the Pelicans’ defence in limited minutes.

That’s because New Orleans has the third-worst defensive rating in the NBA, while allowing the second-most points to shooting guards.

When the Lakers played the Pelicans on Nov. 14, Reaves scored 31 points while his team still covered a 10.5-point spread.

Ayton double-double (+118): The former first overall pick is finding his footing with his new team.

He’s been good as a whole, averaging 15.6 points and 8.4 rebounds while shooting above 70% from the field.

I want to focus on his last five games, though:

15.8 PPG
10.2 RPG
Three double-doubles

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This is also a great matchup for Ayton to have a strong performance on the glass. The Pelicans concede the sixth-most rebounds to centres (15.63), per Fantasy Pros.

The big man is as traditional as they come, spending most of his time in the post, so there is huge potential for him as a rebounder.

Plus, he has recorded 10+ points in 13 of 16 games this season.

He could be in for a monster stat line against the Pelicans.

Pelicans vs. Lakers picks made at 11:54 a.m. on Nov. 30, 2025.

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Raptors vs. Knicks SGP picks Nov. 30: Bet on Mikal Bridges to shine in +370 same-game parlay

The Toronto Raptors travel to play the New York Knicks after a tough overtime loss on Saturday.

The pregame narrative: Toronto saw its nine-game win streak end in Charlotte and is now a sizeable underdog against New York on the back-to-back. Despite that, I expect a close game between two of the Eastern Conference’s top teams.

Check out my Raptors vs. Knicks SGP, featuring picks on Mikal Bridges and Sandro Mamukelashvili.

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Raptors vs. Knicks SGP picks

Parlay: Raptors +10.5 | Bridges 2+ threes | Mamukelashvili 10+ points (+370)

Raptors +10.5 (-195): A lot is working against the Raps here, but they’ve proven to be a young, energetic and scrappy team.

Among the players who saw the court on Saturday, the average age is 24.5 years. The second half of a back-to-back doesn’t concern me as much with teams this young.

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Toronto has all the tools to stay competitive on a nightly basis. It ranks eighth in offensive rating (118.9), third in defensive rating (112.9) and turns the ball over at a bottom-five rate.

The Raptors have failed to cover this spread just twice in 20 games, and both those games were in October.

I’m not sure they instantly begin another win streak on Sunday, but expect Toronto to at least be in this game.

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NBA SGP legs

Bridges 2+ threes (-200): This is a tough matchup for anyone on the Knicks, but Bridges is capable of clearing this modest total against any team.

The wing is knocking down 41.2% of his 3s on 5.4 attempts a night.

He’s 14-4 against this line this season.

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Bridges is hyper-efficient, which helps provide a high floor as a shooter.

The Knicks continue to be without OG Anunoby and Landry Shamet. Those two combine to take 11.0 threes per game.

There will be a lot of shots up for grabs, and Bridges should take advantage.

Mamukelashvili 10+ points (-110): Mamukelashvili was one of the best signings of the summer. He is making less than $3 million in 2025-26, and he’s been worth much more so far.

The 6-foot-9 big man is a sharpshooter, shooting 42.9% from 3-point range. That’s on a healthy 2.6 attempts per game.

He’s averaging 10.3 points and is 8-4 against this line over the past 12 contests.

But what excites me most is his opportunity to see a greater workload tonight.

Starting centre Jakob Poeltl is the oldest player in Toronto’s rotation (30), and he sat out one game in Toronto’s two most recent back-to-backs. He should play Sunday, but there’s no world where I see Darko Rajakovic deploying his centre for 30+ minutes.

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Poeltl played 23 minutes in his only game with no rest this season and is coming off 32 minutes in last night’s loss.

Mamukelashvilli should take most of his minutes. He’s very productive with his touches, which should be plentiful on Sunday. This final leg feels like a no-brainer.

Raptors vs. Knicks picks made at 10:00 a.m. ET Nov. 30, 2025.

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Bills vs. Steelers Week 13 NFL picks: Bet on Josh Allen to lead offensive charge for Buffalo

The Buffalo Bills attempt to put their road woes to rest on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The pregame narrative: Buffalo is 2-3 on the road, coming off a loss against the Houston Texans in Week 12. Despite that, the Bills are 3.5-point favourites over the AFC North-leading Steelers.

Check out my Bills vs. Steelers picks for Nov. 30, featuring a prop bet on Josh Allen.

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Bills vs. Steelers picks

Best Bet: Over 45.5 points (-108)

Both teams are aiming for the playoffs, but the defence between these two hasn’t been very good.

The Bills and Steelers own a below-average scoring defence and combine to allow 46.8 points per game.

Buffalo struggles to defend the run, ranking third in ground yards against (148.9/game) and will be without defensive tackle Dion Dawkins for this contest.

Meanwhile, Pittsburgh can’t defend the air, but more on that with my next pick.

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There is a distinct weakness on both sides, and these offences are talented enough to take advantage. Each team ranks inside the top 10 for scoring.

The Bills haven’t been good on the road, but have lost to two of the best defences in the NFL (Texans, Falcons).

Pittsburgh is nowhere near the same level on defence has consistently seen games surpass this mark in 2025.

Key stat: The Steelers have an 8-3 over record against this total.

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Top NFL prop prediction

Allen over 236.5 passing yards (-118): Let’s get back to that horrendous pass defence for the Steelers I briefly mentioned earlier.

Pittsburgh is the worst team in the NFL at stopping the pass, allowing 258.7 yards per game.

I know Allen has been much worse on the road, but those losses were all to teams that are above average at defending the air.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on Allen and other Week 13 player props here!

And by the way, he still managed to cash this wager in two straight away games.

Overall, the Bills quarterback still averages 246.3 passing yards per game. If we narrow that down to the past four games, Allen is averaging 287.3 yards.

Despite Buffalo being 2-2 over the last four weeks, Allen has actually played well and should be in for another above-average afternoon against the Steelers.

Bills vs. Steelers picks made at 1:14 p.m. on Nov. 28, 2025.

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Bills vs. Steelers Week 13 NFL picks: Bet on Josh Allen to lead offensive charge for Buffalo

The Buffalo Bills attempt to put their road woes to rest on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The pregame narrative: Buffalo is 2-3 on the road, coming off a loss against the Houston Texans in Week 12. Despite that, the Bills are 3.5-point favourites over the AFC North-leading Steelers.

Check out my Bills vs. Steelers picks for Nov. 30, featuring a prop bet on Josh Allen.

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Bills vs. Steelers picks

Best Bet: Over 46 points (-108)

Both teams are aiming for the playoffs, but the defence between these two hasn’t been very good.

The Bills and Steelers own a below-average scoring defence and combine to allow 46.8 points per game.

Buffalo struggles to defend the run, ranking third in ground yards against (148.9/game) and will be without defensive tackle Dion Dawkins for this contest.

Meanwhile, Pittsburgh can’t defend the air, but more on that with my next pick.

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There is a distinct weakness on both sides, and these offences are talented enough to take advantage. Each team ranks inside the top 10 for scoring.

The Bills haven’t been good on the road, but have lost to two of the best defences in the NFL (Texans, Falcons).

Pittsburgh is nowhere near the same level on defence has consistently seen games surpass this mark in 2025.

Key stat: The Steelers have an 8-3 over record against this total.

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Top NFL prop prediction

Allen over 229.5 passing yards (-113): Let’s get back to that horrendous pass defence for the Steelers I briefly mentioned earlier.

Pittsburgh is the worst team in the NFL at stopping the pass, allowing 258.7 yards per game.

I know Allen has been much worse on the road, but those losses were all to teams that are above average at defending the air.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on Allen and other Week 13 player props here!

And by the way, he still managed to cash this wager in two straight away games.

Overall, the Bills quarterback still averages 246.3 passing yards per game. If we narrow that down to the past four games, Allen is averaging 287.3 yards.

Despite Buffalo being 2-2 over the last four weeks, Allen has actually played well and should be in for another above-average afternoon against the Steelers.

Bills vs. Steelers picks made at 1:14 p.m. on Nov. 28, 2025.

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Mavericks vs. Lakers SGP predictions Nov. 28: Back LeBron James, fade Luka Doncic in +540 wager

The Dallas Mavericks might be getting Anthony Davis back for this meeting with his former team, the Los Angeles Lakers.

The pregame narrative: These two teams will be linked for the foreseeable future thanks to the blockbuster trade that sent Luka Doncic the other way. The Lakers are thriving with their new superstar and are big favourites to dispose of the Mavs in L.A.

Check out my Mavericks vs. Lakers SGP picks for Nov. 28, featuring Doncic and LeBron James.

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Mavericks vs. Lakers SGP picks

Parlay: Lakers -7.5 | James over 6.5 assists | Doncic under 34.5 points (+540)

Lakers -7.5 (-182): With or without AD, I expect the Lakers to keep rolling.

L.A. is 13-4 this season (5-2 at home) and 3-0 since the return of LeBron.

The visiting Mavericks haven’t had the same success. They are 5-14 and will for sure be without Kyrie Irving and Derick Lively tonight.

If Davis plays, I don’t expect the big man to be 100% after missing a month of action.

Dallas has been lucky with a lot of home games on their schedule, but it failed to take advantage. The team’s 1-4 away record is concerning, considering nine of their next 14 games are on the road.

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The Mavericks are a young team, so it’s unsurprising to see their road struggles. I don’t think a rusty AD changes things much.

Los Angeles has covered this spread in five of its past six wins.

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NBA SGP legs

James over 6.5 assists (+105): Since LeBron’s return, he’s settled into a playmaking role to support the scoring of Doncic and Austin Reaves.

He is averaging 8.7 assists and is 2-1 against this line. He finished with six assists in the outlier.

The King is averaging 13.3 potential assists per game (a pass leading directly to a shot).

His raw numbers are encouraging, showing the huge potential for James as a passer.

There is always a chance for a blowout with this high spread, and that would limit James’ opportunities, but I still think he can clear this line even in fewer minutes.

-> Back Curry and Sengun on Wednesday night

Doncic under 34.5 points (-134): This final leg could benefit from this game being a blowout.

But either way, this is an astronomical line, and the only positive with the Mavericks right now is their elite defence.

Dallas sits right around the middle of the pack, allowing 115.5 points per game, but owns the third-best defensive rating in the NBA (111.9).

Some of the reasons they allow more points than their rating suggests are their fast pace of play and high turnover rate.

However, the Mavericks have slowed things down recently, leading to low-scoring games. They’ve allowed 109.0 PPG over their last four games.

That doesn’t leave a lot of room for Doncic to have an explosive night. He’s finished under this total in four of the past eight contests.

Mavericks vs. Lakers picks made at 10:54 a.m. on Nov. 28, 2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Nov 28: Look for Connor Bedard, Seth Jarvis to score

Black Friday is jam-packed with 15 NHL games, and I’m backing a couple of budding stars to score.

The pregame narrative: Connor Bedard is having an amazing season, finally showing why he was such a highly touted prospect ahead of getting drafted No. 1 overall in 2023. Also, look for Seth Jarvis to score against the Winnipeg Jets.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 28.

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NHL goal picks Nov. 28

Best Bet: Bedard to score (+114)

In his third year, Bedard has arrived. He scored 14 goals in 23 games and has the Chicago Blackhawks in the playoff hunt for the first time in a while.

He’s playing over 21 minutes on ice per night, over a minute more than last season, and he’s making the most of the opportunity.

Not only does he score a lot, but he also leads the Blackhawks in points (33), by a lot, and shots (75). He’s the most active player on offence, and that’ll be important in this game against the Nashville Predators.

-> Bet on Bedard and the Blackhawks tonight!

That’s because they are a horrendous defensive team.

Nashville allows the third most goals per game (3.65). Juuse Saros (.889 SV%) is on the verge of a second straight season with worse than a .900 SV%.

It also helps that Chicago’s offence is playing well as a whole right now.

The Blackhawks have scored three or more goals in eight of their last 10 games. Look for Bedard to pounce on the opportunity tonight.

Key stat: Bedard is on an incredible 50-goal pace this season.

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NHL predictions

Jarvis to score (+145): Jarvis doesn’t get the same attention as Bedard, but he’s a flourishing young star known for his scoring prowess.

In four full NHL seasons, he has two 30-goal campaigns, and he has 12 already this season, which is a 43-goal pace.

Jarvis plays on the top line for the Carolina Hurricanes with Sebastian Aho, who’s an elite playmaker.

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Winnipeg was known for its league-best defence last year, but the wheels have fallen off with Connor Hellebuyck now on the injured reserve.

And Eric Comrie has seen a ton of the crease lately, it appears the Jets will turn to Thomas Milic for his first NHL start.

The 22-year-old has been solid in the AHL this season (.921 SV%), but I’m always for fading a goalie in his first career start. Especially when he plays for a team that allows 29.1 shots a night.

And Jarvis is a good bet to take advantage.

NHL goal picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 28, 2025.

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Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua boxing odds Dec. 19: Paul big underdog in bout with former heavyweight champ

Jake Paul faces his biggest challenge yet in former heavyweight boxing champ Anthony Joshua.

The latest: Paul went from fighting smaller, older opponents to now taking on a bigger Joshua while he’s still in his prime. The “Problem Child” is +750 to win this bout, while his opponent is a 10-to-1 favourite at the time of writing.

Check out our Paul vs. Joshua odds for their fight on Dec. 19.

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Paul vs. Joshua odds

Paul/Joshua markets	Betting odds
Paul to win	+600
Joshua to win	-1,000
To go the distance – Yes	+300
To go the distance – No	-500

Boxing odds as of 4:31 p.m. on 11/27/2025.

After Gervonta Davis withdrew from this bout, it appears Paul is tired of the doubters. He replaced his lightweight opponent with Joshua, a legit heavyweight stud who has fought the best in the division.

The Englishman’s last win was a knockout over former UFC heavyweight king Francis N’gannou.

He has also fought boxing greats Wladimir Klitschko, Daniel Dubois and Oleksander Usyk twice.

Joshua stands at 6-foot-6 and is a lean 250 pounds. He towers over Paul, who’s 6-foot-1, and is the opposite of the opponents Paul usually challenges.

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Jake Paul boxing preview vs. Anthony Joshua

So how does the underdog win this? Well, the odds would suggest he doesn’t stand a chance, and I mostly agree.

However, Paul has legit speed and power and would need to catch Joshua, who’s been knocked out before.

Is it likely? No. Is it possible? Yes.

Paul has been taking boxing seriously for half a decade now, and he should be viewed as a boxer rather than an influencer crossing over into the boxing world.

This will be the “Problem Child’s” 14th professional boxing fight.

In saying that, he’s the less talented, smaller boxer in this contest and deserves his status as a massive underdog on Dec. 19.

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